Бэкап дополнительных материалов к сводкам CIT
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Британія не виключає можливість передачі Україні авіаційних крилатих ракет Storm Shadow, операційна дальність яких 560 км – міністр оборони Британії Бен Воллес

«рф хотіла б знати, які види зброї ми можемо передати Україні, щоб підтримати її. Ми обговорюватимемо це з українцями на основі їхніх потреб та технічних можливостей».

🇺🇦Реальная Война
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Forwarded from CIT preview
https://twitter.com/UAWeapons/status/1604208852169363458

Has a previously-unseen munition been revealed in #Ukraine?

Recently video appeared showing shelling of a Russian position in the vicinity of Bakhmut, #Donetsk Oblast. The unusual explosions have led to to many theories- but we have a strong idea about what was really used.
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Forwarded from CIT preview
Not so long ago we documented a new type of mortar ammunition with the Ukrainian army - a M971 120mm cargo bomb, which houses 24 M87 dual-purpose AT/AP submunitions in the standard version.

The M971 was originally developed and manufactured in Israel 🇮🇱.
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Forwarded from CIT preview
Going by the explosion pattern, bomblet dispersion pattern and quantity, we believe that we are seeing these effective (but controversial) munitions in use.

Given submunition failures and absence of self-destructing feature for the M87 they may have unwelcome long term effects.
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Forwarded from CIT preview
Who supplied them to Ukraine? That's not clear. A very limited number of countries reported possession of such mortar bombs and we tend to believe what we see was exported from a country which previously purchased these bombs from Israel.
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Forwarded from CIT preview
https://twitter.com/PararamTadam/status/1604037739745353728

Putin visited the headquarters of the special military operation on 12/16/2022. There is no official information about the location of the headquarters, but it will not be difficult to determine how much Putin risked his life.
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Forwarded from CIT preview
Second photo was taken on 8/11/2022 during Shoigu's visit to the headquarters of the special military operation. The location of the headquarters was also not reported at that time, however, Shoigu had already visited this room earlier.
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Forwarded from CIT preview
This photo was taken in March 2015, when Shoigu visited the newly opened Southern Regional Center for National Defense Management (SRCNDM) in Rostov-on-Don. As you can see, the photos show the same room, only the sign on the back wall has changed.
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Forwarded from CIT preview
The SRCNDM is located at coordinates 47°13.424'N 39°42.265'E. Ironically, there is a circus in the next building. So, we found out that Putin is very brave and is not afraid of clowns. He can visit any Russian city if this city is not closer than 100 kilometers from the front.
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Forwarded from political.ua
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Только что был очередной обстрел Донецка из Градов. Пропагандоны сами зафиксировали момент, как были слышны выходы из РСЗО и сразу прилеты через несколько секунд

political.ua | подпишись
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Forwarded from CIT preview
https://twitter.com/yutushui/status/1605149307593973760

The CIT's argument about the shelling of Donetsk is based on the shape of a dispersion ellipse.
Long story short:
1. Steeper trajectory results in the squeezed ellipses in the perpendicular direction at a short range of fire.

@CITeam_ru @CITeam_en @RuslanLeviev @michaelnacke
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Forwarded from CIT preview
2. External attachment that slows down projectiles results in the same form of the ellipse.

There are two trajectories, steeper and flatter, that aim at the same distance.
Forwarded from CIT preview
Flatter trajectories at short distances give the ellipse elongated in the direction of fire; at long distances, the ellipse is elongated in the perpendicular direction.
Steeper trajectories in both cases result in the elongated ellipse perpendicular to the fire direction.
Forwarded from CIT preview
I calculate the maximal deviation in the direction of fire (blue line) and the perpendicular direction (orange curve) as a function of the firing range.
For flatter trajectories, depending on the range, one can be larger than the other.
Forwarded from CIT preview
For steeper trajectories, the perpendicular deviation is always larger. So the ellipse is always elongated along in a perpendicular direction.
Forwarded from CIT preview
Here is the evolution of ellipses for two trajectories aiming at the same distance as a function of distance. L=1 is the maximal firing range.
Forwarded from CIT preview
Corollary: The observed ellipse elongated in the perpendicular direction can be the result of:
1. Long-range fire with any trajectory.
2. Short-range fire at a steeper trajectory.

Hence, the form of the ellipse does not prove that the fire was at a long distance.

Finally, there are ways to slow down the projectile by attaching external caps that increase air resistance. This will reduce the maximal range of fire. Consequently, this makes results in the squeezed form of ellipses at relatively close distances.

Moreover, anomalously large deviations >500m, can be the consequence of these external caps.
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Forwarded from Досье Шпиона
🔓Противовоздушная оборона надёжна и крепка. Если сбивать дружественные цели, конечно.

Шёл 300-тый день Специальной военной операции, а российские военнослужащие так и не научились отличать свои цели в небе от вражеских.

На этот раз конфуз случился на запорожском направлении. Экипаж ЗРПК Панцирь-С1 обнаружил в ночном небе объект и принял решение о его «приземлении». Цель была успешно сбита. В последствии оказалось, что «объектом» был дружественный вертолет – Ка-52 «Аллигатор». Экипаж вертолёта выжил.

Инцидент произошел в первых числах декабря.
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