Bitcoin & Gold Tradevesting (Experimental)
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Bitcoin & Gold simple analysis based on Auto Fibonacci Extension & Retracement and EMA 9/20/50/100/200

My other channel: @androidryukimods
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The Tradevesting Rules

- Maximum drawdown of BTC since it's launch is -85.3% https://portfolioslab.com/symbol/BTC-USD (fluctuates according to USD inflation rate).

- CAGR of BTC since it's launch:
2009 October 5th = $1÷1309.03 = $0.0007639 (lowest)
2025 October 5th = $125686.7 (highest)
Range = 16 years
((125686.7÷0.0007639)^(1÷16))−1=226.22%

- Maximum drawdown of Gold is -44.69% https://portfolioslab.com/symbol/XAUUSD=X (fluctuates according to USD inflation rate).

- CAGR of Gold:
2009 October 5th = $1001.2 (lowest)
2025 October 5th = $3886.455 (highest)
Range = 16 years
((3886.455÷1001.2)^(1÷16))−1=8.85%

- Chart Trading View BTCUSD CRYPTO spot crypto for Bitcoin & XAUUSD OANDA commodity cfd for Gold PAXG (using PAXGUSD instead on weekends)

- Time frame 1 day (1D)

- Determine the allocation percentage of your Bitcoin and Gold in your portfolio based on your personal risk level. For me, it's around 50% - 70% for Bitcoin, 10% is in a stablecoin for ammunition, and the rest is PAXG.

- Adjust the allocations according to your respective risk profiles.

- Only use money that is not used for at least the next 10 years.

- Auto Fibonacci Extension & Auto Fibonacci Retracement indicator

- EMA 9/20/50/100/200 indicator

- Buy at bullish correction or breakout retest on time frame 1D, as long as the allocation percentage is not overflow yet.

- Trimming the profit at golden ratio (level 1.618) on time frame 1D or when auto fib extension switch from bullish/breakout mode to bearish/breakdown mode if it's on profit yet and the allocation percentage is overflow.

- Spot only, not intended for futures nor forex trading.

- Never sell all your Bitcoin & Gold.

- Not Financial Advice, do your own research, and stay skeptical and critical.

- Money Management: https://www.pling.com/p/2255141/

- Real Profit/Loss Calculator: https://www.pling.com/p/2285156/

- This channel is free. If anyone asks you for money using this channel's name, definitely they are fraudsters/scammers.

- This is just a channel and does not have any groups. Groups claiming this channel are fake.

- Status is still in experimental state and a poll will be held in every January 1st whether the status will increase to beta and then stable or not.

- Trust yourself. Don't trust anyone, even me.

- DM @reiryuki if you have any questions.
1
Structures

Auto Fibonacci Extension is big trend detection.

Auto Fibonacci Retracement is small trend detection.

Bullish = Auto Fib indicator just showing up (level 0 at the bottom).

Bearish = Auto Fib indicator just showing down (level 0 at the top).

Breakout = Auto Fib indicator still showing down (level 0 at the top) but the price closing candle is above level 0.

Breakdown = Auto Fib indicator still showing up (level 0 at the bottom) but the price closing candle is lower than level 0.

Bullish correction = Auto Fib indicator is showing up (level 0 at the bottom) and the price is in EMA 9 or bellow.

Bearish correction = Auto Fib indicator is showing down (level 0 at the top) and the price is in EMA 9 or above.

Breakout retest = Auto Fib indicator is showing down (level 0 at the top), the price closing candle has been above of level 0 but now going back to level 0.

Breakdown retest = Auto Fib indicator is showing up (level 0 at the bottom), the price closing candle has been bellow of level 0 but now going back to level 0.

- If Auto Fib Extension is showing up, but Auto Fib Retracement is showing down, or vice versa > then the price tends to go to level 0.618 (silver ratio) Retracement and then go to level 1.618 (golden ratio) Extension. However, trading with retracement silver ratio level 0.618 target is not recommended because it will result in more losses than wins. Likewise, trading with a target level 0 retesting is also not recommended.

- Auto Fib Extension and Retracement both showing up or showing down > then the price tends to go to level 1.618 (golden ratio) at the nearest Extension or Retracement.

- Auto Fib Extension in breakdown state but Auto Fib Retracement in breakout state > then the breakdown state in extension becomes invalid, and vice versa.
Today (finally)

Time frame 1D

Auto fib retracement (small trend) in bullish mode

Auto fib extension (big trend) in bullish mode

Good to buy

Trimming 1: 100859.09
Trimming 2: 107138.57

Rules: https://t.iss.one/btctradevesting/3
Structures: https://t.iss.one/btctradevesting/4
There is a correction in understanding that the structure of "Breakdown" is the opposite of "Breakout" and "Breakdown Retest" is the opposite of "Breakout Retest".
Bitcoin & Gold Tradevesting (Experimental)
There is a correction in understanding that the structure of "Breakdown" is the opposite of "Breakout" and "Breakdown Retest" is the opposite of "Breakout Retest".
So the correct understanding of structure in this time frame 1W is:

- Extension (big trend) is in a breakdown condition (not bullish)
- Retracement (small trend) is in bullish condition

Then the price will tend to rise and reach silver ratio level 0.618 (108784.1) at the Retracement, then going back to bearish again.
Bitcoin & Gold Tradevesting (Experimental)
108784.1
If I may assume, we might reach this price in the next 7 weeks until 2 months. (disclaimer)
Today

Time frame 1D

Auto fib retracement (small trend) in bullish mode

Auto fib extension (big trend) just changed (again) to bearish mode

Don't buy now because the price trend will rise to Retracement silver ratio level 0.618 (90711.92) and then fall further. Unless your average buy price is below 90711.92 and want to trim sell at 90711.92 and make sure time frame 1 hour and 1 minute is confirmed before buy. Based on my experience in backtesting on lower time frame, Retracement trades are bad, it has big possibility of breakdown and doesn't go to the target plan. We only need Extension as the target, while Retracement only as a confirmation, not as a target.

Rules: https://t.iss.one/btctradevesting/3
Structures: https://t.iss.one/btctradevesting/4
Time Frame 1D

Auto Fib Retracement (small trend) in bullish mode and already reach silver ratio 0.618

Auto Fib Extension (big trend) still in bearish mode

This is the time for trimming if you have bought at lower prices and have made a floating profit.

For the next buy, we will wait for one of 2 conditions:

1) If the price breakout retest the extension.

2) If the extension changes to bullish mode and retracement also in bullish mode

Rules: https://t.iss.one/btctradevesting/3
Structures: https://t.iss.one/btctradevesting/4