Walter Bloomberg
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TRUMP ON IRAN: THERE'S A DEAL ON HORMUZ AND THERE WILL BE A DEAL ON DENUCLEARIZATION
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- TRUMP ON IRAN: TALKING TO THEM IN THE FORM OF A NEGOTIATION
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TRUMP ON YEN: U.S. INTERVENING BECAUSE U.S. HAS A GOOD RELATIONSHIP WITH JAPAN
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HORMUZ DEAL IN SIGHT

Trump says Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Qatar, and Iran all urged him to delay planned strikes.

He says the attack would have been massive but paused after allies pushed for diplomacy.

According to Trump, allies believe a deal is closeβ€”first on the Strait of Hormuz, then on Iran's nuclear program.
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*TRUMP SAYS NEW IRAN NEGOTIATIONS TO BEGIN MONDAY AFTERNOON
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TRUMP: HAVE DECIDED A PUNISHMENT FOR CANADA ON WILDFIRES , BUT WON'T SAY YET
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*TRUMP SAYS US INTERVENTION IN YEN WAS A SIGNAL OF FRIENDSHIP
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IRAN'S FOREIGN MINISTRY SPOKESPERSON ON TALKS WITH U.S.: THERE IS NO PLAN TO RECEIVE A DELEGATION OR SEND AN IRANIAN ONE DURING 'THESE DAYS'
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BITCOIN SLIPS ON WALLET HACK FEARS

Bitcoin dropped 1.3% to $62,591 amid concerns over a potential hack targeting Coldcard wallets.

Coinkite urged users to move funds after researchers flagged a flaw that may have enabled attackers to steal roughly $70 million in under an hour.

Adding pressure, bitcoin ETFs recorded outflows on Friday.
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CHINA'S CXMT CONSIDERS SECOND MEMORY CHIP PLANT IN BEIJING, SOURCES SAY

CXMT IN FINANCING TALKS WITH A LOCAL GOVERNMENT-BACKED TECH AND MANUFACTURING HUB FOR THE NEW CHIP PLANT, SOURCES SAY
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OIL STOCKS FALL PREMARKET AS CRUDE PRICES DECLINE OVER 5%

EXXONMOBIL DOWN 1.6%, CHEVRON DOWN 1.5%, CONOCOPHILLIPS FALLS 2%

OCCIDENTAL PETROLEUM FALLS 2.3%, DEVON ENERGY DOWN 1.9%
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$SPCX - SPACEX FACES LOCK-UP SELLING PRESSURE

SpaceX shares are under pressure as insider lock-up expirations begin on August 6.

Around 20–30% of locked shares will become eligible for sale initially, with staggered unlocks lifting tradable shares to roughly 40% by December 2026.

The stock has already fallen below its IPO price, while investors await its first earnings report after Tuesday's close.
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BOJ MONEY MARKET DATA SUGGEST FX MARKET INTERVENTION BY JAPAN
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*BOJ DATA SUGGEST JAPAN INTERVENTION OF ABOUT 5.3 TLN YEN FRIDAY
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$TSLA - STIFEL CUTS TESLA PRICE TARGET, KEEPS BUY

Stifel lowered its Tesla price target to $491 from $508, while maintaining a Buy rating.

The firm cited weaker profitability after Q2, with gross margin falling to 16.8% and adjusted EBITDA missing expectations.

Despite this, Stifel remains bullish on FSD and Robotaxi, pointing to a growing order backlog and the Model YL launch as key long-term catalysts.
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MARKET MOVERS

🟒 UPGRADES
$IR: Stifel upgraded to Buy; PT raised to $101 from $84
$PSN: Jefferies upgraded to Buy; PT cut to $52 from $60
$CRCL: TD Cowen initiated with Buy; PT $82
$RBLX: JP Morgan assumed coverage with Neutral; PT $40

πŸ”΄ DOWNGRADES
$LAUR: JP Morgan downgraded to Neutral
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FED’S WILLIAMS BACKS CURRENT POLICY STANCE

John Williams said Fed policy remains well positioned to return inflation to 2%.

He strongly supported the latest FOMC decision and said the Fed will act if inflation stalls.

Williams expects Middle East-driven price pressures to fade, stressed the Fed need not follow market pricing, and sees no financial-stability threat from AI investment.
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$GME - GAMESTOP SHARES DOWN 3.1% PREMARKET AFTER CO ANNOUNCES PRIVATE EXCHANGE OF $1.4 BLN OF CONVERTIBLE NOTES FOR EQUITY
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GOLDMAN REFRESHES U.S. CONVICTION LIST

Goldman Sachs added Applied Materials ( $AMAT), Delta ( $DAL), Microsoft ( $MSFT), O'Reilly Automotive ( $ORLY), Viking Holdings ( $VIK) and UPS to its U.S. Conviction List.

The firm removed Broadcom ( $AVGO), Dick's Sporting Goods ( $DKS), Johnson & Johnson ( $JNJ) and ServiceNow ( $NOW).
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IRAN DISMISSES TRUMP'S TALKS PUSH

Iran signaled no interest in resuming negotiations with the U.S., despite President Trump's comments about a possible agreement.

Tehran said its focus is a separate shipping arrangement with Oman, not reopening the Strait of Hormuz, and blamed Washington for violating June's memorandum, warning no meaningful change is likely while U.S. measures remain in place.
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πŸ“… THIS WEEK'S U.S. ECONOMIC CALENDAR (ET)

🟒 Monday
β€’ 9:45 AM – S&P Global Manufacturing PMI
β€’ 10:00 AM – ISM Manufacturing PMI (Est. 54.0), Construction Spending (Est. +0.3% m/m)
β€’ 4:00 PM – Auto Sales

πŸ”΅ Tuesday
β€’ 8:30 AM – Trade Balance (Est. -$73.0B)
β€’ 10:00 AM – JOLTS Job Openings (Est. 7.5M), Factory Orders (Est. +0.3% m/m)
β€’ 4:30 PM – API Crude Inventories

🟠 Wednesday
β€’ 8:15 AM – ADP Employment (Est. +75K)
β€’ 10:00 AM – ISM Services PMI (Est. 54.4)
β€’ 10:30 AM – EIA Oil Inventories
β€’ 4:05 PM – Fed's Lisa Cook Speaks

🟑 Thursday
β€’ 8:30 AM – Initial Jobless Claims (Est. 200K), Productivity (Est. +0.7%), Unit Labor Costs (Est. +2.0%)
β€’ 10:30 AM – Natural Gas Storage

πŸ”΄ Friday (KEY EVENT)
β€’ 8:30 AM – πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ U.S. Jobs Report
β€’ NFP (Est. +85K)
β€’ Unemployment Rate (Est. 4.3%)
β€’ Avg. Hourly Earnings (Est. +0.3% m/m)
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