Walter Bloomberg
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*US-IRAN TALKS ARE PLANNED FOR WEDNESDAY IN PAKISTAN: CNN
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CRUDE OIL LOADINGS FROM SAUDI ARABIA’S YANBU PORT FELL 17% TO ABOUT 3.5 MLN BPD IN THE WEEK BEGINNING APRIL 13, SHIPPING DATA SHOWS
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U.S. MILITARY: SINCE BEGINNING OF BLOCKADE, U.S. FORCES HAVE DIRECTED 27 VESSELS TO TURN AROUND OR RETURN TO AN IRANIAN PORT
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*TRUMP SAYS CEASEFIRE EXPIRES WEDNESDAY EVENING WASHINGTON TIME
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*TRUMP SAYS 'HIGHLY UNLIKELY' HE EXTENDS CEASEFIRE WITH IRAN
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*TRUMP SAYS VANCE WILL LEAVE FOR PAKISTAN LATER ON MONDAY
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*PRESIDENT SAYS WILL NOT OPEN STRAIT OF HORMUZ UNTIL DEAL SIGNED
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VANCE IS STILL IN THE U.S. AND HAS NOT DEPARTED FOR PAKISTAN, A SOURCE FAMILIAR SAYS
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*OIL EXTENDS GAINS AS TRUMP SAYS CEASEFIRE EXTENSION 'UNLIKELY'
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U.S. STOCKS EXTEND FALL, NASDAQ DOWN 1.00%
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Forwarded from The Kobeissi Letter
BREAKING: The S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF, $RSP, has seen -$2.0 billion in outflows so far in April, on track for its largest monthly outflow on record.

This comes after $RSP posted +$6.0 billion in inflows in February, the largest swing in flows since the fund's inception.

By https://t.co/KssEgQslMt
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FED RATE HIKE BEFORE MID-2027? ODDS NEAR FLIP

Kalshi traders now see a 49% chance that the Federal Reserve raises rates again before July 2027.

After months of swings, expectations have moved back toward a near coin flip as markets track inflation data and Fed commentary. https://t.co/v62OZ7fiRB
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WARSH SAYS PRICE STABILITY FED MANDATE WITHOUT EXCUSE: POLITICO
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WARSH: FED MUST STAY STRICTLY INDEPENDENT ON RATES

Fed Chair nominee Warsh will tell lawmakers he is committed to keeping monetary policy β€œstrictly independent.” Kevin Warsh

In prepared remarks, he also says he will work with the administration and Congress on non-rate-related
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IRAN REJECTS U.S. PRESSURE, SAYS IT WILL NOT SUBMIT TO FORCE

Masoud Pezeshkian said Iran has β€œdeep historical mistrust” of the US and accused American officials of sending β€œcontradictory” and β€œunconstructive” signals.

He stated that meaningful dialogue requires honoring
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WELLS FARGO CEO: PRETTY CLEAR CONSENSUS THAT LOWERING INTEREST RATES WOULD BE THE WRONG THING TO DO UNTIL THERE IS AN END TO THE IRAN CONFLICT IN SIGHT
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*LAGARDE: ECB NEEDS MORE DATA BEFORE DRAWING POLICY CONCLUSIONS
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WELLS FARGO CEO: DON'T THINK PRIVATE CREDIT IS GOING TO CRUMBLE
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STRAIT OF HORMUZ TRAFFIC COLLAPSES AS OPENING CLAIMS UNRAVEL

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz has dropped to a near standstill after brief claims it had reopened quickly fell apart.

Iranian and US statements over the weekend suggested the key oil route was open, triggering https://t.co/oPEx2gP0qj
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IRAN PLANS TO SEND NEGOTIATING TEAM TO PAKISTAN ON TUESDAY: WSJ
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IRAN SIGNALS TALKS IN PAKISTAN β€” BUT CONFUSION REMAINS

Iran has told mediators it plans to send a negotiating team to Islamabad on Tuesday for a second round of talks with the US.

However, uncertainty persists. A Foreign Ministry spokesperson said there are no current plans for
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