It ain't over till it's over. And it's victory or death - victory for one side, death for the other. Looks like the ukrop reserves are heading towards Donetsk and Gorlovka now.
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Forwarded from Two Majors - English Channel
Urgently. Zaporozhye and Donetsk front. Reports NgP exploration🦇
The losses forced the enemy to drastically adjust their plans:
The reserves deployed in the Krivoy Rog, Sumy, Kharkov directions are being transferred.
Enemy reserves go to :
1). settlements Gornyak, Kurakhovka, Krasnogorovka, Staromikhaylovka, Marinka;
2) settlements of Nevelskoye, Pervomayskoye, Vodyanoye.
3) n.p. Dzerzhinskoye, at least 2 brigades were deployed in the direction of Mayorsk and Gorlovka.
The reserves go through the Kramatorsk-Slavyansk transport hub, entering each direction in the Zaporozhye and Donetsk regions to reinforce the existing groupings.
For the current groupings, it is currently established:
According to the strategic plan of the enemy, it is planned to push through the front line of defense along the Nesteryanka-Novoselovka line and to the south, with the forces of four brigades: 65 Ombr, 128 Obr, 108 Obr, 15 Obr NSU), and provide a bridgehead for the introduction of the main forces of the strike force.
The main strike force is also aimed at the Orekhov - Tokmak - Melitopol direction , the advance is planned to be ensured by 10 AK forces, the main shock fist should be: 115, 116, 117, 118 ombr, which we talked about earlier.
A flank strike is planned in the direction Malaya Tokmachka - Berdyansk , with the forces of 82 odshbr, 71 oembr, and 46 oambr, with the task of seizing control on the line of the settlement of Urozhaynoye, Novopoltavka, Semyonovka.
Task: Covering the left flank of the main group.
In the future, it is planned to conduct raid operations as part of battalion-tactical groups with the forces of: 46 detachments and 1 Special Forces "Azov" in the directions of the settlement of Mordvinovka, Novovasilevka, Botieva.
Objective: to capture the frontier along the coast of the Sea of Azov Stepanovka the first, Botievo and prevent the landing of amphibious assault forces of the RF Armed Forces.
The forces of the main offensive grouping up to 12 brigades (47, 66, 115, 116, 117, 118 OMBR, 128 OGSHBR, 108 OBTR, 15 OBRON NGU, 82 ODSHBR, 71 OEBR, 46 OEMBR)
In total, for the offensive operation, including reserves (including brigades of marines, as well as units located in the Kryvyi Rih direction, included in the single plan of the operation in the Zaporozhye direction), at the moment the enemy has prepared:
Manpower - up to 56 thousand people (68 battalions)
Tanks - up to 350.
AFV of all types - up to 1000
Field artillery guns and mortars - up to 500.
MLRS - up to 140 units.
(From these figures it is necessary to subtract the number of those destroyed in recent days)
The Main Intelligence Directorate of the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine is carrying out information sabotage, spreading information that the Armed Forces of Ukraine are finally bogged down due to lack of funds to continue the offensive operation. Under no circumstances can this information be trusted, it is designed to weaken the vigilance of the RF Armed Forces, the enemy has more than enough forces.
The enemy will throw everything he has into battle, regardless of losses, this must be used to inflict critical damage on him.
Two Majors
The losses forced the enemy to drastically adjust their plans:
The reserves deployed in the Krivoy Rog, Sumy, Kharkov directions are being transferred.
Enemy reserves go to :
1). settlements Gornyak, Kurakhovka, Krasnogorovka, Staromikhaylovka, Marinka;
2) settlements of Nevelskoye, Pervomayskoye, Vodyanoye.
3) n.p. Dzerzhinskoye, at least 2 brigades were deployed in the direction of Mayorsk and Gorlovka.
The reserves go through the Kramatorsk-Slavyansk transport hub, entering each direction in the Zaporozhye and Donetsk regions to reinforce the existing groupings.
For the current groupings, it is currently established:
According to the strategic plan of the enemy, it is planned to push through the front line of defense along the Nesteryanka-Novoselovka line and to the south, with the forces of four brigades: 65 Ombr, 128 Obr, 108 Obr, 15 Obr NSU), and provide a bridgehead for the introduction of the main forces of the strike force.
The main strike force is also aimed at the Orekhov - Tokmak - Melitopol direction , the advance is planned to be ensured by 10 AK forces, the main shock fist should be: 115, 116, 117, 118 ombr, which we talked about earlier.
A flank strike is planned in the direction Malaya Tokmachka - Berdyansk , with the forces of 82 odshbr, 71 oembr, and 46 oambr, with the task of seizing control on the line of the settlement of Urozhaynoye, Novopoltavka, Semyonovka.
Task: Covering the left flank of the main group.
In the future, it is planned to conduct raid operations as part of battalion-tactical groups with the forces of: 46 detachments and 1 Special Forces "Azov" in the directions of the settlement of Mordvinovka, Novovasilevka, Botieva.
Objective: to capture the frontier along the coast of the Sea of Azov Stepanovka the first, Botievo and prevent the landing of amphibious assault forces of the RF Armed Forces.
The forces of the main offensive grouping up to 12 brigades (47, 66, 115, 116, 117, 118 OMBR, 128 OGSHBR, 108 OBTR, 15 OBRON NGU, 82 ODSHBR, 71 OEBR, 46 OEMBR)
In total, for the offensive operation, including reserves (including brigades of marines, as well as units located in the Kryvyi Rih direction, included in the single plan of the operation in the Zaporozhye direction), at the moment the enemy has prepared:
Manpower - up to 56 thousand people (68 battalions)
Tanks - up to 350.
AFV of all types - up to 1000
Field artillery guns and mortars - up to 500.
MLRS - up to 140 units.
(From these figures it is necessary to subtract the number of those destroyed in recent days)
The Main Intelligence Directorate of the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine is carrying out information sabotage, spreading information that the Armed Forces of Ukraine are finally bogged down due to lack of funds to continue the offensive operation. Under no circumstances can this information be trusted, it is designed to weaken the vigilance of the RF Armed Forces, the enemy has more than enough forces.
The enemy will throw everything he has into battle, regardless of losses, this must be used to inflict critical damage on him.
Two Majors
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Forwarded from Русский тарантасъ
Похоже на перенос направления главного удара с чистого Запорожья на стык Запорожья и Донецкой области, опять в районе Угледара в направлении трассы Донецк-Мариуполь. Предположу, что за вчерашний день относительного затишья под Токмаком, ВСУ успели сманеврировать по фронту, сдвинуться в район Гуляй-поля. Читайте, здесь подробнее и с картой:
https://t.iss.one/RVvoenkor/47099
https://t.iss.one/RVvoenkor/47099
Telegram
Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны
🇺🇦⚔️🇷🇺Тяжёлые бои и сложная ситуация на стыке Запорожского фронта и ДНР: потеряно Нескучное, враг меняет тактику наступления
▪️На Южно-Донецком направлении складывается непростая ситуация, враг начинает бросать существенные силы и предпринимать более грамотные…
▪️На Южно-Донецком направлении складывается непростая ситуация, враг начинает бросать существенные силы и предпринимать более грамотные…
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10,000 soldiers and 250 military aircraft from 25 countries, biggest NATO air "exercise" in its history. Based in Germany. Starts tomorrow (Monday) runs through June 23rd...
https://www.dw.com/en/nato-air-defender-23-to-be-biggest-exercise-ever/a-65872291
https://www.dw.com/en/nato-air-defender-23-to-be-biggest-exercise-ever/a-65872291
DW
NATO: Air Defender 23 is its biggest exercise ever
The NATO military alliance has begun war games in the skies over Germany. Three flight zones will be temporarily closed to civilian air traffic, and delays to civilian flights are expected.
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Forwarded from Press TV
German angst: Anti-war activists rally against NATO’s biggest ever air drills over Europe
🔹German anti-war activists have rallied in front of the Wunstorf Air Base against US-led NATO’s ‘Air Defender 23’ upcoming military drills, demanding a ceasefire in Ukraine and removal of US nuclear weapons from their country.
👉🏻Read more
@PressTV - #Germany
🔹German anti-war activists have rallied in front of the Wunstorf Air Base against US-led NATO’s ‘Air Defender 23’ upcoming military drills, demanding a ceasefire in Ukraine and removal of US nuclear weapons from their country.
👉🏻Read more
@PressTV - #Germany
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Об этом писали и писали вчера - предатели-олигархи-спекулянты делают бракованные беспилотники, которые стоят им 200 тысяч рублей, они продают их МО за 2,5 МИЛЛИОНА рублей (и идиоты покупают их), затем их отправляют нашим парням на фронт, которые едва ли смогут их использовать. Они - дерьмо.
Как и паразиты, которые их продают, и предатели, которые их покупают.
https://dzen.ru/a/ZIRsf_kVrkXy5YW7
Как и паразиты, которые их продают, и предатели, которые их покупают.
https://dzen.ru/a/ZIRsf_kVrkXy5YW7
Дзен | Статьи
Военкор Сапоньков заявил, что поставленные в войска дроны «Сибирячок-1» непригодны
Статья автора «АНТИФАШИСТ» в Дзене ✍: В то же время военкор сообщил, что в боевые подразделения Вооруженных сил России поставляют беспилотники, собранные из китайских запчастей, которые куплены в...
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More historical evidence, going back 10 years. IT'S A FACT, AND ITS REAL.
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Forwarded from Audie
This is another example of how the "rules based order," works.
https://t.iss.one/infodefENGLAND/8563
https://t.iss.one/infodefENGLAND/8563
Telegram
InfoDefenseENGLISH
Ukraine - a "gold mine" of transplantologists
Traces of foreign transplant doctors have been recorded in Donbass since the beginning of hostilities in 2014.
The criminal business is protected by the state - in 2021, the Verkhovna Rada legalized transplantation…
Traces of foreign transplant doctors have been recorded in Donbass since the beginning of hostilities in 2014.
The criminal business is protected by the state - in 2021, the Verkhovna Rada legalized transplantation…
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Forwarded from 🐾Elena💜 Alexandrovna
Лабрадор ищет дом❤️🆘
Невероятно обаятельный парнишка ищет самую лучшую семью☝️❤️
Зовут Джерри (по информации, которую нам дала заводчица)
Родился 1 апреля 2018 года. Малышу 5 лет.
Малыш очень добрый, ласковый, умный) знает множество базовых команд, послушный) к выгулу и поводку приучен 🫶❤️ ладит со всеми животными! Спит с кошками, гуляет с собаками) 🤣
Малыш будет пристраиваться только в дом или квартиру! На кроватку ❤️ только ответственным людям, с опытом содержания собак!
Малыша довели до ужасного состояния и бросили 😭 малыш обязан узнать, что такое любовь, ласка и забота! Что не все люди способны на предательство!! Повторюсь, только в ответственные руки! Второй раз предстательство он не переживет!
Для связи:
071-397-41-74 Виталий
071-397-42-12 Надежда
Невероятно обаятельный парнишка ищет самую лучшую семью☝️❤️
Зовут Джерри (по информации, которую нам дала заводчица)
Родился 1 апреля 2018 года. Малышу 5 лет.
Малыш очень добрый, ласковый, умный) знает множество базовых команд, послушный) к выгулу и поводку приучен 🫶❤️ ладит со всеми животными! Спит с кошками, гуляет с собаками) 🤣
Малыш будет пристраиваться только в дом или квартиру! На кроватку ❤️ только ответственным людям, с опытом содержания собак!
Малыша довели до ужасного состояния и бросили 😭 малыш обязан узнать, что такое любовь, ласка и забота! Что не все люди способны на предательство!! Повторюсь, только в ответственные руки! Второй раз предстательство он не переживет!
Для связи:
071-397-41-74 Виталий
071-397-42-12 Надежда
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Военный Донецк впервые отмечает День России в составе РФ.
Праздничные мероприятия в связи с высокой опасностью обстрелов со стороны ВСУ отменены.
Праздничные мероприятия в связи с высокой опасностью обстрелов со стороны ВСУ отменены.
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⚠️Russia Day is celebrated on an inappropriate day. With this, disintegration and betrayal began. And because of what Yeltsin did, the very existence of Russia is again called into question. And on this very day, Russian heroes defend at the cost of their lives, think about it - at the cost of their lives! - the very existence of Russia. The real day of Russia is ahead, this is the day of our Victory, the day of the capture of Kyiv. We don't have Russia Day yet. So let's go and bring that day closer. We will celebrate later.
Alexander Dugin
Alexander Dugin
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День России отмечается в неуместный день. С этого начался распад и предательство. И из-за того, что сделал Ельцин, само существование России снова поставлено под вопрос. И в этот самый день русские герои отстаивают ценой жизни, вдумайтесь - ценой жизни! - само бытие России. Настоящий день России впереди, это день нашей Победы, день взятия Киева. Пока у нас нет дня России. Так идем же и приблизим этот день. Праздновать будем потом.
Александр Дугин
Александр Дугин
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Forwarded from Репортёр Руденко V
Media is too big
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ВСУ может начать большое наступление на Донбассе, — председатель комитета по обороне Великобритании Тобиас Эллвуд
«В ближайшие несколько дней мы должны ожидать крупной атаки в той или иной части Донбасса», — заявил он.
По его словам, украинская армия проводит «разведывательно-подготовительные операции» и «главная часть украинских сил все еще находится в резервах, готовая к этой единственной атаке».
@rtrdonetsk
«В ближайшие несколько дней мы должны ожидать крупной атаки в той или иной части Донбасса», — заявил он.
По его словам, украинская армия проводит «разведывательно-подготовительные операции» и «главная часть украинских сил все еще находится в резервах, готовая к этой единственной атаке».
@rtrdonetsk
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Evacuation of the crew of the Bradley, blown up by a mine in the Orekhovskoye direction a few days ago. - @belarusian_silovik
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Forwarded from Белорусский силовик 🇧🇾
Media is too big
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Эвакуация экипажа "Брэдли", подорванного на мине на Ореховском направлении несколько дней назад.
@belarusian_silovik
@belarusian_silovik
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Oleg Tsarev comment on Shoigu's order for all PMC's to sign contracts wit RF MoD before July 1st -
"Another turn in the conflict between the Ministry of Defense and PMC Wagner: according to the order of Shoigu, from July 1, all volunteers must sign a contract with the Ministry of Defense. The stated goal of the order is good - to provide social benefits to soldiers and their families. Prigozhin has already stated that Wagner PMC fighters will not sign any contracts with the Ministry of Defense. Moreover, he emphasized that in general he is subordinate to Putin, the supreme commander-in-chief, and not the minister of defense, but specifically at the front, he carries out Surovikin’s orders and coordinates the actions of his army with him, such was the agreement. Of course, the offensive of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, and the war in general, is, of course, the wrong time to sort things out inside. I am sure that at first it is necessary, having put aside all mutual claims, to win, and then to sort things out. And one more moment that can become decisive at the moment when the future volunteer chooses a unit for himself: fighters can quit, for example, from the Wagner PMC at any time, but now it is almost impossible to terminate the contract with the Ministry of Defense.
All other PMCs, except for Wagner PMCs, already worked very closely with the Ministry of Defense and were controlled by it. But there are no special victories behind them. If we assume that the real purpose of the order of the Minister of Defense was to take control of the only unit not under his control, the Wagner PMC, then we can say that this goal was not achieved. "
"Another turn in the conflict between the Ministry of Defense and PMC Wagner: according to the order of Shoigu, from July 1, all volunteers must sign a contract with the Ministry of Defense. The stated goal of the order is good - to provide social benefits to soldiers and their families. Prigozhin has already stated that Wagner PMC fighters will not sign any contracts with the Ministry of Defense. Moreover, he emphasized that in general he is subordinate to Putin, the supreme commander-in-chief, and not the minister of defense, but specifically at the front, he carries out Surovikin’s orders and coordinates the actions of his army with him, such was the agreement. Of course, the offensive of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, and the war in general, is, of course, the wrong time to sort things out inside. I am sure that at first it is necessary, having put aside all mutual claims, to win, and then to sort things out. And one more moment that can become decisive at the moment when the future volunteer chooses a unit for himself: fighters can quit, for example, from the Wagner PMC at any time, but now it is almost impossible to terminate the contract with the Ministry of Defense.
All other PMCs, except for Wagner PMCs, already worked very closely with the Ministry of Defense and were controlled by it. But there are no special victories behind them. If we assume that the real purpose of the order of the Minister of Defense was to take control of the only unit not under his control, the Wagner PMC, then we can say that this goal was not achieved. "
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BORIS ROZHIN: DECISIVE BATTLES ARE AHEAD
Military expert Boris Rozhin spoke in an exclusive interview about the intermediate results of the Ukrainian offensive, the need for a “second wave” of mobilization, the blowing up of the ammonia pipeline and the possibility of freezing the conflict.
- The Ukrainian offensive began clearly not as brightly as announced by Kiev. What is the main reason for the underestimation of Russian defense or, on the contrary, that Moscow has learned lessons from the events of the summer-autumn of 2022?
- There are both points. On the one hand, even in the statements of the Western press, the thesis slips that the RF Armed Forces are defending much better than the countries of NATO and the Armed Forces of Ukraine expected. The footage of a large number of destroyed equipment became a kind of cold shower for those who were inclined to underestimate the Russian army.
In this respect, the heated controversy between Wagner PMC and the RF Ministry of Defense played a cruel joke on the enemy, deepening the underestimation of the units of the RF Ministry of Defense before the offensive of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. This also had to be paid in blood.
On the other hand, the RF Armed Forces have indeed learned from the 2022 campaign, both from successful and unsuccessful operations. Competent preparation made it possible in the first week to inflict huge material and demographic losses on the enemy with minor territorial losses in the gray zone.
The enemy failed to achieve serious operational successes during the offensive on June 4-12. But the Armed Forces of Ukraine still have enough reserves to try to push through at least in one of the sections. So the decisive battles that determine the outcome of the Zaporozhye strategic defensive operation are still ahead.
- How can you assess the degree of saturation of the combat formations of the RF Armed Forces with personnel? How adequate are the talks about the need for a second wave of mobilization?
- In recent months, the number of the Russian Armed Forces grouping in Ukraine has increased, as, in fact, the density of battle formations, but, from my point of view, it is still not enough. The grouping of the RF Armed Forces in Ukraine, in order to solve the tasks at hand, should be a multiple larger in order to provide the necessary superiority in numbers for conducting large-scale offensive operations and reduce the enemy’s ability to realize superiority in numbers in certain areas.
Measures to attract contractors, volunteers, PMCs, prisoners, etc. only partially solve the problem of disproportion in the number of active groups. Therefore, mobilization in one form or another is seen as necessary and inevitable. The desire of the authorities not to resort to such unpopular measures is quite understandable, so now the emphasis is on the above channels for replenishing the active group in Ukraine.
- Recently, the FSB reported that the GUR was preparing a terrorist attack using a "dirty bomb"? How real is this threat and what is Kyiv counting on when planning such actions?
“The threat is more than real. The preparation of such scenarios was revealed even during the capture of documentation at the ZNPP, as the RF Ministry of Defense officially announced. There are opportunities to create a "dirty bomb" in Ukraine, as well as the possibility to bring it from the territory of NATO countries. As part of the course towards the escalation of the war and the recent destruction of the Kakhovskaya hydroelectric power station, coupled with the attack on the Kursk nuclear power plant and the shelling of the ZNPP, the likelihood of a “dirty bomb” being used in Ukraine or in the border areas of the Russian Federation looks significant.
- What does the appearance of samples of military equipment made in China at the units stationed in Grozny mean? Are we talking about single commercial purchases, or is Beijing gradually changing its approach to arms supplies to Russia, which it previously refrained from doing?
Military expert Boris Rozhin spoke in an exclusive interview about the intermediate results of the Ukrainian offensive, the need for a “second wave” of mobilization, the blowing up of the ammonia pipeline and the possibility of freezing the conflict.
- The Ukrainian offensive began clearly not as brightly as announced by Kiev. What is the main reason for the underestimation of Russian defense or, on the contrary, that Moscow has learned lessons from the events of the summer-autumn of 2022?
- There are both points. On the one hand, even in the statements of the Western press, the thesis slips that the RF Armed Forces are defending much better than the countries of NATO and the Armed Forces of Ukraine expected. The footage of a large number of destroyed equipment became a kind of cold shower for those who were inclined to underestimate the Russian army.
In this respect, the heated controversy between Wagner PMC and the RF Ministry of Defense played a cruel joke on the enemy, deepening the underestimation of the units of the RF Ministry of Defense before the offensive of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. This also had to be paid in blood.
On the other hand, the RF Armed Forces have indeed learned from the 2022 campaign, both from successful and unsuccessful operations. Competent preparation made it possible in the first week to inflict huge material and demographic losses on the enemy with minor territorial losses in the gray zone.
The enemy failed to achieve serious operational successes during the offensive on June 4-12. But the Armed Forces of Ukraine still have enough reserves to try to push through at least in one of the sections. So the decisive battles that determine the outcome of the Zaporozhye strategic defensive operation are still ahead.
- How can you assess the degree of saturation of the combat formations of the RF Armed Forces with personnel? How adequate are the talks about the need for a second wave of mobilization?
- In recent months, the number of the Russian Armed Forces grouping in Ukraine has increased, as, in fact, the density of battle formations, but, from my point of view, it is still not enough. The grouping of the RF Armed Forces in Ukraine, in order to solve the tasks at hand, should be a multiple larger in order to provide the necessary superiority in numbers for conducting large-scale offensive operations and reduce the enemy’s ability to realize superiority in numbers in certain areas.
Measures to attract contractors, volunteers, PMCs, prisoners, etc. only partially solve the problem of disproportion in the number of active groups. Therefore, mobilization in one form or another is seen as necessary and inevitable. The desire of the authorities not to resort to such unpopular measures is quite understandable, so now the emphasis is on the above channels for replenishing the active group in Ukraine.
- Recently, the FSB reported that the GUR was preparing a terrorist attack using a "dirty bomb"? How real is this threat and what is Kyiv counting on when planning such actions?
“The threat is more than real. The preparation of such scenarios was revealed even during the capture of documentation at the ZNPP, as the RF Ministry of Defense officially announced. There are opportunities to create a "dirty bomb" in Ukraine, as well as the possibility to bring it from the territory of NATO countries. As part of the course towards the escalation of the war and the recent destruction of the Kakhovskaya hydroelectric power station, coupled with the attack on the Kursk nuclear power plant and the shelling of the ZNPP, the likelihood of a “dirty bomb” being used in Ukraine or in the border areas of the Russian Federation looks significant.
- What does the appearance of samples of military equipment made in China at the units stationed in Grozny mean? Are we talking about single commercial purchases, or is Beijing gradually changing its approach to arms supplies to Russia, which it previously refrained from doing?
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- China certainly provides indirect support to Russia. Beijing does not need to specify anything or make an official statement about this. Iran, North Korea and a number of other countries behave in exactly the same way. Heavy Chinese armored vehicles at the front have not yet been noted, as well as large Chinese drones.
As for the machines shown in Grozny, the source of their appearance in Russia is not completely clear, but it is quite possible to assume that the Chinese could be aware of the purchases of these machines through third countries. Well, as for the significance of this assistance, it can be noted that a significant part of all the drones at the disposal of our troops are of Chinese origin. This market is completely saturated with China. And so it goes for a number of positions.
- Almost simultaneously with the collapse of the dam of the Kakhovskaya hydroelectric power station, the Ukrainian DRG blew up the Togliatti-Odessa ammonia pipeline. What is the meaning of this terrorist attack and what is the reason for the obsession of the Foreign Ministry on this object?
— The ammonia pipeline was tied to a grain deal. Since the parties understand that the deal will be canceled with a 90% probability in July, it makes no sense to keep the ammonia pipeline intact. Russia would still not be allowed to launch it. Therefore, in any case, it would not work, and its undermining fixes the irreversibility of the processes leading to the disruption / revision of the grain deal.
- That is, the extension of the "Grain Deal" after a clear escalation, which Kyiv went to in early June, should not be expected?
— The extension of the grain deal looks extremely unlikely. Erdogan won the elections, so the Erdogan support factor has been removed. The ammonia pipeline was blown up and also out of the game. None of Russia's key demands were met.
Therefore, the deal will either be completely canceled or revised within the framework of the agreements between Russia and Turkey on new terms.
- There is a lot of talk about the possibility of "freezing" the conflict. Who benefits from this scenario in the short term (up to a year) and who benefits in the long term?
A short-term freeze is beneficial for the West in order to rearm Ukraine, replenish the army with personnel through new waves of mobilization and resume the war at a convenient moment. This, of course, is not beneficial for Russia, since it does not solve any of the problems.
The goals of the Russian Federation are known and announced - negotiations, taking into account the entry of 4 new regions into the Russian Federation, a non-bloc, neutral, denazified Ukraine. If a truce does not provide for the achievement of these goals, then it is obviously not beneficial to Russia. In the current realities, there is nothing to talk about with the Nazi regime. The outcome of the war will be decided on the battlefields. BORIS ROZHIN: DECISIVE BATTLES ARE AHEAD
Military expert Boris Rozhin spoke in an exclusive interview about the intermediate results of the Ukrainian offensive, the need for a “second wave” of mobilization, the blowing up of the ammonia pipeline and the possibility of freezing the conflict.
- The Ukrainian offensive began clearly not as brightly as announced by Kiev. What is the main reason for the underestimation of Russian defense or, on the contrary, that Moscow has learned lessons from the events of the summer-autumn of 2022?
- There are both points. On the one hand, even in the statements of the Western press, the thesis slips that the RF Armed Forces are defending much better than the countries of NATO and the Armed Forces of Ukraine expected. The footage of a large number of destroyed equipment became a kind of cold shower for those who were inclined to underestimate the Russian army.
As for the machines shown in Grozny, the source of their appearance in Russia is not completely clear, but it is quite possible to assume that the Chinese could be aware of the purchases of these machines through third countries. Well, as for the significance of this assistance, it can be noted that a significant part of all the drones at the disposal of our troops are of Chinese origin. This market is completely saturated with China. And so it goes for a number of positions.
- Almost simultaneously with the collapse of the dam of the Kakhovskaya hydroelectric power station, the Ukrainian DRG blew up the Togliatti-Odessa ammonia pipeline. What is the meaning of this terrorist attack and what is the reason for the obsession of the Foreign Ministry on this object?
— The ammonia pipeline was tied to a grain deal. Since the parties understand that the deal will be canceled with a 90% probability in July, it makes no sense to keep the ammonia pipeline intact. Russia would still not be allowed to launch it. Therefore, in any case, it would not work, and its undermining fixes the irreversibility of the processes leading to the disruption / revision of the grain deal.
- That is, the extension of the "Grain Deal" after a clear escalation, which Kyiv went to in early June, should not be expected?
— The extension of the grain deal looks extremely unlikely. Erdogan won the elections, so the Erdogan support factor has been removed. The ammonia pipeline was blown up and also out of the game. None of Russia's key demands were met.
Therefore, the deal will either be completely canceled or revised within the framework of the agreements between Russia and Turkey on new terms.
- There is a lot of talk about the possibility of "freezing" the conflict. Who benefits from this scenario in the short term (up to a year) and who benefits in the long term?
A short-term freeze is beneficial for the West in order to rearm Ukraine, replenish the army with personnel through new waves of mobilization and resume the war at a convenient moment. This, of course, is not beneficial for Russia, since it does not solve any of the problems.
The goals of the Russian Federation are known and announced - negotiations, taking into account the entry of 4 new regions into the Russian Federation, a non-bloc, neutral, denazified Ukraine. If a truce does not provide for the achievement of these goals, then it is obviously not beneficial to Russia. In the current realities, there is nothing to talk about with the Nazi regime. The outcome of the war will be decided on the battlefields. BORIS ROZHIN: DECISIVE BATTLES ARE AHEAD
Military expert Boris Rozhin spoke in an exclusive interview about the intermediate results of the Ukrainian offensive, the need for a “second wave” of mobilization, the blowing up of the ammonia pipeline and the possibility of freezing the conflict.
- The Ukrainian offensive began clearly not as brightly as announced by Kiev. What is the main reason for the underestimation of Russian defense or, on the contrary, that Moscow has learned lessons from the events of the summer-autumn of 2022?
- There are both points. On the one hand, even in the statements of the Western press, the thesis slips that the RF Armed Forces are defending much better than the countries of NATO and the Armed Forces of Ukraine expected. The footage of a large number of destroyed equipment became a kind of cold shower for those who were inclined to underestimate the Russian army.
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