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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท Were US-Iran talks just a cover for sneak attack? Western media speculate that the war on Iran was planned, with Washington's nuclear energy talks with Tehran just a ruse. ๐Ÿ’ฌ This assault, in the middle of a second negotiation process, must torpedo theโ€ฆ
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ—ฃUS canโ€™t bully and bomb Iran into submission if its leaders donโ€™t let it - expert

๐ŸŸ  โ€œIt must be understood that Iran is not Venezuela, Iran is not Israel,โ€ Bureau of Military-Political Analysis head Alexander Mikhailov told Sputnik, commenting on the risks Tehran faces negotiating with Washington, given that the US and Israel have attacked twice in the middle of negotiations in less than a year.

๐ŸŸ  โ€œIran is a huge country -80 times larger than Israel, with a powerful defense industry. And if Iranโ€™s political elites donโ€™t accept the โ€˜conciliatory positionsโ€™ that the Trump administration has now begun to promote, this campaign could return to the US as a very serious disappointment in its own capabilities,โ€ Mikhailov stressed.

๐ŸŸ  โ€œA blockade of Iran, or the takeover of political control over that country, would allow the Americans, first, to restrict China from very significant energy resources โ€“ up to 20% of its hydrocarbons come from Iran. Second, it would allow them to essentially take control of that region through energy,โ€ Mikhailov warned, arguing that Washington is basically seeking a Venezuela 2.0 scenario in Iran.

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Sputnik International
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท Were US-Iran talks just a cover for sneak attack? Western media speculate that the war on Iran was planned, with Washington's nuclear energy talks with Tehran just a ruse. ๐Ÿ’ฌ This assault, in the middle of a second negotiation process, must torpedo theโ€ฆ
๐Ÿ—ฃ US-Israeli strikes on Iran throw international law out the window, mark return of law of the jungle - expert

๐Ÿ”Š โ€œWhen the actual negotiators who were just saying that a deal was closeโ€ reverse course and say talks were โ€œuninteresting and thatโ€™s why a blow was dealt, this brings us back to the understanding thatโ€ฆeven those conditional, conceptual agreements of the collective West on the contours of certain political or diplomatic actions are a thing of the past,โ€ political scientist Alexander Asafov says.

๐Ÿ’ฌ โ€œAs is international law,โ€ he added.


๐Ÿ”ถ Asafov pointed out that โ€œeven the explanation for why strikes were carried outโ€ keeps changing โ€“ from Trumpโ€™s disappointment with the progress of talks, to renewed claims that Iran is on the brink of a nuclear weapon, to hints that the negotiations were a ruse to buy time for a US-Israeli military buildup.

๐Ÿ”ถ The observer attributes the changes to the character of the current US president, which โ€œreplaces everything: ethics, diplomacy, politics, negotiations, bargaining, dealsโ€ with โ€œunilateral, arbitrary decision-making.โ€

๐Ÿ”ถ It begs the question: โ€œhow can decisions be made, or more precisely, what guarantees can be givenโ€ in negotiations? Because โ€œif the guarantee doesnโ€™t work even during the course of talks,โ€ if the potential for deception is baked in, โ€œthen, of course, there is less faithโ€ in the entire process, Asafov summed up.

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑUS & Israel's Iran strike delayed by week โ€˜for operation and intel reasonsโ€™ โ€“ report

After the second round of USโ€“Iran nuclear talks, โ€œmilitary plannersโ€ in America and Israel were preparing to conduct strikes against Iran on February 21, Axios cited senior US and Israeli officials as saying.

However, โ€œthe go-ahead never came,โ€ something that could have been caused by bad weather in the region or the US sideโ€™s push for better coordination with the Israel Defense Forces, according to the officials.

๐Ÿ‘‰ They argued that the delay opened a window for another round of talks in Geneva, with some insisting that the negotiations were a tactical maneuver to buy more time before the new strike date, keeping Iran believing that diplomacy was still the priority.

Other sources said that the Geneva talks were sincere, offering the possibility of avoiding military action if real progress was made.

The US and Israel started launching strikes on Iran on February 28, even as nuclear talks between Washington and Tehran were underway.

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๐Ÿ—ฃ Ukraine talks: Russia and US have a long record of striking pragmatic deals โ€“ Expert

๐Ÿ”ถ The US is very shrewd and focused on making a deal, Bureau of Military-Political Analysis head Alexander Mikhailov told Sputnik while commenting on the US-Russia peace talks on Ukraine.

๐Ÿ’ฌ "The only area where one can currently engage with the Americans is the question of the economic benefitsโ€”or lack thereofโ€”of serious military conflicts," Mikhailov notes.


๐Ÿ”ถ Asked if Washington is sincere in its talks with Russia after its attack on Iran, the pundit argues there are key differences between the two situations.

๐Ÿ’ฌ "We and the Americans are two strategic nuclear powers that, since the mid-20th century, have divided the world into spheres of influenceโ€”and we continue to exist in this framework on a kind of superstructure," Mikhailov says.


๐Ÿ”ถ Russia and the US also have a long history of negotiations during Cold War-era conflicts, including those beyond their borders, and reaching agreements.

๐Ÿ”ถ But Mikhailov argues that if the US truly wants a quick Ukraine peace deal with Russia, it would have already been done.

๐Ÿ’ฌ "The Americans find it advantageous to keep Ukraine as a factor destabilizing Russiaโ€™s borders, and more broadly, as a lever of pressure on Russia," the pundit says.


๐Ÿ”ถ Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov has previously stressed that Russia values US mediation but it is guided by its own national interests, with all agreements needing legal validation.

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๐Ÿ—ฃ Prolonged Hormuz Strait closure could unleash a multi-year oil price shock โ€“ Energy expert

๐Ÿ“ Closure of the Strait of Hormuz sends shockwaves through markets, with Citi predicting Brent crude could surge to $80 to $90 a barrel this week.

๐Ÿ’ฌ "According to market reports, war risk underwriters began canceling policies for strait transits hours after Operation Epic Fury launched," Dr Tilak Doshi, energy editor at The Daily Sceptic, tells Sputnik.


๐Ÿ”Š "The Financial Times confirmed premiums surging 50%,โ€ he warned. โ€œVessels linked to American or Israeli interests are becoming uninsurable entirely."

Overall impact of an extended shutdown:

๐Ÿ”ธ Immediate/near-term spike:

๐ŸŸง 80% to 150% rises sending Brent from around $70 to $80 per barrel to $130 to $200, amplified by panic, hoarding and risk premiums

๐ŸŸง That matches qualitative analyst warnings of triple-digit oil and potential 1970s-style shocks

The immediate price impact will ease over time, falling to 40% to 70% above the baseline as efficiency gains, fuel switching and non-Gulf supply response kick in, the expert said.

But in the short term, global consumption may fall by about 20 million barrels per day, with disproportionate pain for Asia, which buys an estimated 84% of Gulf oil.

๐Ÿ”ธ Broader effects:

๐Ÿ”ถ Sharp global inflation surge of two to four per cent

๐Ÿ”ถ recessionary GDP drag, with oil shock multipliers typically โˆ’0.5 to โˆ’1% GDP per 10% price rise in short run, and severe hits to import-dependent economies

๐Ÿ’ฌ "A prolonged Hormuz closure would trigger a massive, multi-year oil price shock โ€“ doubling or more initially โ€“ rationing around 19% of global supply purely through demand destruction. This underscores the chokepointโ€™s strategic risk," Doshi says.


๐Ÿ”ถ The expert thinks markets "are now pricing in only a short disruption to the Strait of Hormuz, but much depends on how the war is prosecuted going forward."

๐Ÿ’ฌ "With the US midterm elections in sight, the Trump administration will want to ensure that global crude oil prices are brought back down as quickly as possible, so as to put a limit on US gasoline prices," Doshi stresses.


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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ The US has an interest in sealing a deal on Ukraine with Russia โ€“ expert

Washington is interested in striking a peace deal with Russia rather than escalating the Ukraine conflict, political scientist Alexander Asafov, member of the Russian Association of Political Consultants, tells Sputnik.

Russia has already presented its own proposals:

๐Ÿ‘‰ the objectives of the special military operation must be achieved;

๐Ÿ‘‰ they will be achieved by either military or diplomatic means.

โ—๏ธWashington knows that if negotiations fail, Russia will fight on until it achieves the de-militarization and de-Nazification of Ukraine and security for Russia, the pundit points out.

๐Ÿ—ฃ"Those not involved in the negotiationsโ€”the Brits, the French, the Germans, the Poles, and othersโ€”have an interest in escalating the conflict, each for their own reasons," Asafov says.

๐Ÿ’ฌ"As for the actual participants in the talksโ€”why would they shift their positions, and what would they gain?" the expert asks โ€” suggesting that it is not in Washingtonโ€™s interest to change course at the last minute.


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โš”๏ธ CENTCOM releases footage of strikes on Iranian Navy

US Central Command announced the complete destruction of its surface fleet in the region.

"Two days ago, the Iranian regime had 11 ships in the Gulf of Oman, today they have zero," the statement reads.


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๐Ÿ”ฅ Gulf war: US and allies burning through missiles fast โ€“ military expert

๐Ÿ—ฃ The US risks running out of air defense missiles, military expert and air defense historian Yury Knutov tells Sputnik.

๐Ÿ”ถ A video of a US Patriot battery in action "shows that eight interceptors are initially used against two ballistic missiles, with additional interceptors launched afterward," Knutov notes. "One ballistic missile is intercepted, while the other hits its target. One of the interceptors even veers off course and flies away."

๐Ÿ”ถ The expert says the crew acted chaotically โ€” either due to poor training or nerves โ€” despite the fact that systems like the Patriot automate much of the engagement process.

๐Ÿ’ฌ "If Patriot air defense missiles were used, it suggests the operators may have been either highly agitated โ€” leading to numerous mistakes โ€” or acting out of fear," Knutov says. "That fear could have prevented them from properly locking onto targets and engaging them accurately."


๐Ÿ”ถ Knutov does not rule out the possibly that the systems were poorly-maintained, or that software errors caused the misses.

๐Ÿ’ฌ "Such a massive expenditure of missiles โ€” when no more than two should be needed per target โ€” suggests that if the US and its allies continue using their missiles this way, their stockpiles could be depleted very quickly."


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โš”๏ธ US evacuates its embassy in Amman

All personnel temporarily departed the compound in Jordanian capital out of "an abundance of caution," the embassy announces.

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๐Ÿ—ฃ Strongest strikes are yet to come โ€” Rubio

The Secretary of State says US military is currently focused on destroying Iran's ballistic missile stockpiles.

"The next phase will be even more punishing on Iran than it is right now."


Rubio also acknowledges the US might play a role in governing Iran in the future.

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๐Ÿ—ฃ US testing rapid global strike concept in Iran, military expert Alexander Khrolenko says

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โš”๏ธ US-Israeli bombs hit Iranian state broadcast

Two explosions reported near the headquarters of Iranian television and radio in Tehran following American and Israeli airstrikes.

Programming continued uninterrupted, local media reported.

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๐Ÿ’ฅ Iranian strikes on US forces in Dubai killed over 40 โ€” IRGC

The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps announced a combined drone-missile attack on US soldiers in Dubai.

The IRGC stated that more than 160 US troops were present at the target, citing field reports.

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๐Ÿ”ฅ Fire broke out at the US Embassy in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, Reuters reported

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๐Ÿ‡ถ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Qatar denies Patriot missile shortage reports

The Media Office pushes back against Bloomberg's report, insisting air defense capabilities remain fully intact.

"The Qatar Armed Forces have repeatedly demonstrated their capability to defend the nation against external threats and remain at full readiness."


Bloomberg previously reported that Qatar's stock of Patriots would last 4 days at the current rate of use.

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๐Ÿ“‘ Saudi Arabia confirms US embassy hit in drone attack

Two drones struck the US embassy in Riyadh, resulting in "a limited fire and minor material damage to the building," Ministry of Defense stated.

US issued security alert for citizens in Jeddah, Riyadh, and Dhahran, ordering them to shelter in place immediately.

๐Ÿ“น Footage from social media

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๐Ÿ—ฃIran is not yet another Afghanistan โ€” Vance

"The president has clearly defined what he wants to accomplish. He's not gonna let his country go to war unless there's a clearly defined objective," he told Fox News.


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๐Ÿ”Š I tried to persuade US administrations to act against Iran, and Trump did โ€” Netanyahu

The Israeli prime minister thanked President Trump for taking "firm action" against Iran after spending decades discussing the Iranian threat with successive American administrations.

"We're very lucky to have him as the leader of the free world," he concludes.


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๐Ÿ“น Protesters march pass Trump Tower calling to stop war with Iran

Footage from social media

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