Analysis of the Ukrainian Regrouping on the Kremennaya Front

If we assume that the Ukrainian army has removed its troops from the Kremennya zone not to another part of the front, but to another direction, then we can consider two versions of where exactly they could go and with what purpose they would do it.

"The Nazis are urgently regrouping their forces in the direction of Svatovo, it looks like there will be an attempt to attack," reports the 105th regiment of the DPR People's Militia. Starshe Eddy (@VysokyGovorit) claims the same thing. Perhaps they are both wrong, but we have here an attempt to undertake analysis without clear intelligence data.

So, there are the two versions of a possible AFU offensive, given their retreat from the Zherebets river line:

1) A flank attack bypassing the Tavolzhansky stronghold in order to reach Troitskoye to be able to establish control over the former state border area north of Svatovo. With further prospects of a turn to the south. If successful, this strike would significantly reduce the role of Svatovo and cut through some of our supply lines.

2) In the Pervomayskoye-Raygorodok section, with a possible supporting strike in the Raigorodok-Makeevka area, to knock out the Kotlyarovsky stronghold and saddle the Kupyansk-Svatovo route with access to the Krasnaya river its tributaries north of Svatovo in order to attempt traversing them. If this turns out to be successful, then mobile units may be sent into the breach zone. The consequences of this are difficult to predict.

All of these, however, are only promising areas, which the Ukrainian armed forces have been pounding on with varying degrees of success recently. At this moment, there is no evidence that any reserves capable of breaching our defenses have been deployed here (which does not guarantee the absence of such a deployment). On the contrary, there is ample evidence of our forces being deployed here.

Ukrainian analysts, in fact, publicly estimate our forces deployed in the area, including in the Belgorod Oblast, at 25K + 3K in reserve. There is no reason to believe them, but these are the numbers they are voicing publicly.

from @Zola_of_Renovation

(click on the map link below for both variants of Ugolny's analysis of the Ukrainian regrouping)

https://t.iss.one/SLGmaps/8

@Slavyangrad / SLG Spetsnaz Detachment (Inna)
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✔️"Men wage wars in pursuit of some advantage or defense of their principles, but they fight for land and women. Sooner or later other causes and motives are drowned in blood and lose their meaning. Death and survival eventually become the decisive factors, crowding out everything else. Sooner or later, survival becomes the only logic, and death becomes the only thing that can be heard and seen. And when best friends scream as they die and people lose their minds, mad with pain and rage in this bloody hell, and all the legitimacy, justice, and beauty of this world is thrown away along with the severed arms, legs, and heads of brothers, fathers, and sons - the determination to defend their land and women is what drives people to fight and die year after year. You will understand this by listening to their conversations before the battle. They talk about home and women and love. You will know this to be true by watching them die. If a man lies on the ground in his last moments before he dies, he reaches out his hand to clasp a handful of it in it. If the dying person is still able to do so, he lifts his head to look at the mountains, the valley, or the plain. If his home is far away, he thinks and talks about it. Talks about his village or the town he grew up in. In the end, only the land matters. And in his last moment, a man will not shout his principles - he will also whisper or shout the name of his sister or daughter, his beloved or mother, crying out to God. The end mirrors the beginning. In the end, the woman and the hometown are remembered."
© Gregory David Roberts, Shantaram

Whoever you are, footballer or tennis player, coach or athlete, doctor or manager, fight for your land and your women, otherwise others will get it.

@Slavyangrad
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‼️🇪🇪🏴☠️ The Estonian police chief issued an ultimatum to the Metropolitan of the Estonian Orthodox Church.
▪️Minister of the Interior Ministry Lauri Läänemets demands that Metropolitan Eugene condemn the statements of Patriarch Kirill, who supported Russia's actions.
▪️If the bishop does not condemn the patriarch's words by Wednesday, he will be stripped of his residence permit in Estonia.

@Slavyangrad
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Another brilliant move of UA diplomacy

Ukraine's ambassador to Japan calls Musk a pro-Russian "canned food " and Trump an "idiot".

What kind of insult is canned food?!?! Cretin

@Slavyangrad
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⭐️The last two days, which coincided in events with the appointment of Comrade Surovikin, showed that the Russian Armed Forces are capable of carrying out extremely sensitive strikes against the enemy. Why such strikes have not been carried out before, we can only speculate.

By the enemy, we mean the whole of Ukraine, sorry. No matter how cute a girl is on Instagram and no matter how much she loves her mother and children, if she is happily photographed against an installation stamp with a burning Crimean bridge, she is our enemy. She sponsors the AFU, she will give away our downed pilots, they will then be killed or tortured.

The power plant that supplies the population and the AFU with energy is also the enemy. The railway junction through which the train with the freaks that would slaughter us and our comrades, if we were in their hands, is also the enemy.

Assuming the AFU has missiles like ours. What would they do? They would kill us. Ask the Belgorod, Kursk, Bryansk, Kherson, Zaporozhye regions, the DNR, and the LNR. Although the inhabitants of the last four are referred to by Kiev as their citizens. But this is for financial reporting purposes.

We have no sentiment about the shelling. Wicked joy. The joy that the likes of posts about "air conditioning" in Luhansk in 2014, about the lack of light in Crimea in 2015, and the "shelling" of the DNR and LNR all eight years finally stop being liked. Because the phone is dead and it's hard to charge it. And there are problems with communication.

We are not trying to dehumanize anyone. The enemy did this to himself. He has been pursuing this goal for years, trying hard to prove that there is almost nothing human left in him.

By Two majors
@Slavyangrad
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The EU continues a roundabout exchange of military equipment. Germany and the Czech Republic have signed an agreement to supply German Leopard 2A4 tanks and Buffalo armored personnel carriers to the Czech army in exchange for T-72s for Ukraine.

The first Leopards will arrive in the Czech Republic by the end of this year. The Soviet T-72M4 will be supplied to the Ukrainian Armed Forces in the amount of a battalion-size configuration (some 30 units).

@epoddubny
@Slavyangrad
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By Andrei Medvedev

This is actually what I wrote about yesterday.
Kiev is going to go on the offensive. Kiev urgently needs an overkill. Whatever it takes.

There will not be an armistice, of course. But difficult days await us. So the unnecessary euphoria of strikes on infrastructure is best forgotten sooner rather than later.

At the moment, Ukraine has enough strength to advance and create difficulties for us.

@Slavyangrad
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The head of the Belarusian KGB said that foreigners had trained up to 300 militants in Ukraine to take over one of the country's district capitals. He added that foreign special services help train in Poland, Lithuania and Ukraine the organizers of terrorist attacks in Belarus.

@Slavyangrad
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💥The work of our winged guard
100% hit🔥🔥🔥

@Slavyangrad
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A new level of coordination of tank units - with the help of a UAV.

The actions of our tank units made it possible to swiftly clear the forest belt from the Nazis and persuade them to call off the counterattack again.

@Slavyangrad
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Rumours of Ukrainian Evacuation from Artemovsk

According to Artemovsk local channels, emergency services and police have initiated an evacuation there. This is interpreted by a number of channels (started by @Legitimniy, with the Russian channels amplifying this further) as a preparation to "surrender Artemovsk".

Generally, in addition to the advance near Artemovsk, which is now in the spotlight, far more dramatic events are taking place to the south. The southern group of the Russian Army, apart from the blockade of Artemovsk from the south (after Odradovka, Zaitsevo, Veselya Dolina, and the Asphalt Plant, they appear to have entered Opytnoye, Ivangrad, and the Hydro Dam area), continues to advance westwards in the Maiorsk - Ozaryanovka - Kurdymovka - Zelenopolye - Klescheevka area. Ukrainian press actually spoke today about the Russian Army advancing close to Ozaryanovka, though this fact has yet to be confirmed by the Russian press.

Further advance to the west not only puts the entire Artemovsk garrison at risk of encirclement (which is still a long way off), but also begins to threaten the encirclement of Dzerzhinsk from the north. This, in turn, will seriously worsen the strategic position of the AFU in Donbass.

Accordingly, the AFU may or may not cling to Artemovsk. But any reserves, if they are sent here, will go first between Artemovsk and Gorlovka. Because there, after a long time and a lot of spent resources, our troops have gone only halfway through enemy fire.

from @Zola_of_Renovation

@Slavyangrad / SLG Spetsnaz Detachment (Inna)
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Analysis of the Current Operational Importance of Artemovsk

Simply speaking, we needed to take Artemovsk as much as a caveman needs to keep the fire alive, but only for as long as we had Izyum. Izyum provided a blockade of Slavyansk from the north-west and west (we did not take Barvenkovo, road traffic was going there, though the railway did not work—it does now).

Now, all that said, Artemovsk is still a strategic point. Taking control of Artemovsk will give us a lot of terrain won back in our favour, blockading the Slavyansk garrison once again (the Ukrainian army in Slavyansk has been actively engaged in fighting in the Liman area because of operational freedom as a result of the loss of Izyum), this time from the east.

But now the liberation of Artemovsk does not mark the final push for Slavyansk. Now the liberation of Artemivsk will only mark new battles in the area of Chasov Yar, along the route to Slavyansk, and in the area of Soledar.

But to the south, between Artemovsk and Gorlovka, we will sooner or later blockade Dzerzhinsk (Toretsk) from the north and cut the Dzerzhinsk-Konstantinovka highway.

The consequences of this step depend on the measures taken by the Ukrainian command and the resources available to us. In the best-case scenario, the Ukrainian grouping in Avdeevka will suffer an operational crisis.

This, however, is not a matter of one day or even one week. Nonetheless, the trend is clear.

from @Zola_of_Renovation

@Slavyangrad / SLG Spetsnaz Detachment (Inna)
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‼️🇺🇦 Fighting in Kupyansk direction continues: saboteurs of the Ukrainian armed forces try to penetrate into the rear of our troops
So, during the search, drone operators detected a Ukrainian DRG on a pickup truck, with accurate fire the enemy group was destroyed in the vehicle.

@Slavyangrad
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A broken man carries an unbroken man.

Destruction by a Russian helicopter of a Ukrainian BREM-1 towing a trophy Russian T-62M with a "visor" at a crossing in the Kherson region using an LMUR ("Izdelie-305") missile.

@Slavyangrad
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⚡ BREAKING !

The KGB of Belarus knows that the West is considering the possibility of using tactical nuclear weapons against Belarus and Russia.

Chairman of the Department Ivan Tertel on the air of the TV channel "Belarus - 1"

https://t.iss.one/SolovievLive/133511

Svatovo Front Update

Briefly on the northern section of the Svatovo front. The Ukrainian units that left Volchansk in a hurry last night are now settling in small groups in the town of Veliky Burluk.

Approximately 150 soldiers have already settled in private homesteads and are preparing to move on to Dvurechnaya and Kupyansk.

On the whole, it is still rather quiet at the front, with the Ukrainian army continuing to mobilize forces, including a large number of foreign mercenaries.

https://t.iss.one/SLGmaps/5

from Starshe Eddy

@Slavyangrad / SLG Spetsnaz Detachment
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Exclusive footage of a 120mm mortar, OMVBr of the Russian Defence Ministry targeting Ukrainian enemy DRGs.

The video captures the deaths of two AFU servicemen.

Kharkov region.

@Slavyangrad
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Destroyed AFU BMP near Otradivka (apparently caught by the Wagners).

@Slavyangrad
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