DPRK may not even have to fire a bullet.

@Slavyangrad

Rovno

The arrival of one X-101 cruise missile with a cluster warhead at an energy facility and the shooting down of the second missile on approach. After the submunitions had been detonated as scheduled, the lights went out in the windows for some reason.

@Slavyangrad

⚡️🇷🇺 Russia selects targets to hit in Ukraine with 'Oreshnik' missile - Putin

- The Russian president recalled that he warned NATO about the use of long-range missiles on Russian territory

- Russia has started serial production of the Oreshnik, Putin said.

- Russia's hypersonic complexes have no analogues in the world, and their production is being ramped up.

- Russia struck targets in Ukraine overnight with 90 missiles and more than 100 drones in response to recent ATACMS missile attacks

- Russia produces 10 times more missiles than all NATO countries combined

- In the case of a massive use of "Nutshell", the power of the strike would be comparable to nuclear weapons

- Decision-making centers in Kiev may become a target for hitting by "Oreshnik".

- There are no analogs of the Russian "Oreshnik" in the world, and they will not appear soon, Putin said. He noted that Russia was forced to use "Oreshnik" in response to enemy actions.

@Slavyangrad

❗️In Odessa Region, all areas where launchers carrying out strikes against Crimea were located were hit.

In the port of Chernomorsk, three launching platforms under different flags that had previously launched attack UAVs against southern Russia were hit.

@Slavyangrad

💥 The Fragility of Modern Deterrence: Are We Sleepwalking into Nuclear Armageddon?

(As of writing we are in the midst of a powerful Russian response across Ukraine). Fyodor Lukyanov, in his incisive analysis, points out that the ongoing standoff over Ukraine has effectively become a direct confrontation between Russia and NATO (US), two nuclear-armed entities now operating without the safeguards of Cold War diplomacy. The breakdown of private, backchannel communication, once the cornerstone of managing nuclear deterrence, has given way to comms via public posturing playing out in a media war. This dangerous shift has dramatically increased the likelihood of catastrophic miscalculation.

During the Cold War, an imperfect yet functional system of discreet diplomacy allowed for signals to be sent and received with clarity. Mutual understanding, even between enemies, helped prevent misunderstandings that could have spiraled into nuclear conflict. Today, this critical buffer has evaporated. From the West, contradictory leaks and media noise create confusion (what’s actual signal vs mere noise?). Meanwhile, Russia has adopted a direct and unambiguous approach, publicly marking its red lines in the absence of trustworthy backchannel diplomacy. However, deterrence is about credibility and when credibility plays out in the public eye, the risks of leaders being forced to act to “prove their threats” become exponentially higher.

The West’s decision to abandon private diplomacy in favor of megaphone posturing reveals a dangerous mix of hubris and short-sightedness. Western leaders are not merely playing to Moscow; they’re playing to their domestic audiences, their NATO partners, and the MIC that demands perpetual conflict to feed its coffers.
Russia, by contrast, has been forced into a position where clarity is its only shield. Its red lines are laid bare for the world to see, not because it seeks escalation, but because ambiguity has proven fatal in the face of Western doublespeak.

What makes this moment uniquely dangerous is the psychological trap that leaders on both sides now face. Public commitments to “credibility” mean that retreat or compromise is no longer seen as strength but painted as weakness.

The absence of private diplomacy not only erodes trust but also removes the critical mechanisms needed to diffuse crises. A single misstep, a missile strike misinterpreted, an overzealous military commander, or a politician cornered by his own rhetoric could ignite an uncontrollable chain reaction. NATO’s increasingly reckless posture, from Biden’s authorization of ATACMS strikes deep inside Russia’s internationally recognized borders to France and the UK greenlighting Storm Shadow and SCALP missiles, is a case in point. Each move nudges us closer to the brink, daring Russia to respond while naively assuming it won’t.

But Russia has responded. The deployment of the hypersonic-ballistic Oreshnik missile, capable of carrying nuclear warheads, was no mere “combat test.” It was a calculated signal, a demonstration of Moscow’s resolve to defend its red lines with decisive force. The West’s strategy, built on the illusion of Russian hesitance, is a catastrophic miscalculation. Moscow has no illusions about what’s at stake, and its actions reflect a sobering acknowledgment of the existential threat posed by NATO’s provocations.

Unlike the Cold War, this is no longer a game of chess where careful strategy and mutual respect for red lines dictate moves. This is poker, played with nuclear chips, where bluffing and brinkmanship replace logic and restraint. The U.S. and NATO, emboldened by their own propaganda, are gambling that Russia won’t escalate. But Russia, rooted in a historical memory of existential defense, isn’t playing the West’s game, it’s prepared for survival.

History will not be kind to those who gamble with humanity’s future for the sake of their own political vanity. It’s time for the West to step back, not as an act of weakness, but as an acknowledgment of reality.

- Gerry Nolan

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🇷🇺🇧🇾Lukashenko - about "Oreshnik" and the conversation with Putin about the deployment in Belarus:

We can see this immediately from the statements of the media. You can see, though, that there is no unified line, everything has gone in pieces. This shows that they are a little confused. Well, the weapons are good. Not nuclear weapons, but comparable in power to nuclear weapons. But without penetrating radiation, without contaminating the target area. That's why it had such a strong impact on the so-called "world community", and especially on those who thought that everything would be fine. It won't.
I made a joke to my older brother, I said: "Places of deployment are ready". When? We'll think about it.

@Slavyangrad

Lowering the age of mobilization is pointless because there are not enough weapons for soldiers, Zelensky's adviser said

▪️"It makes no sense to call on Ukraine to lower the draft age, presumably to draft more people, when we see that previously announced equipment is not arriving on time. Because of these delays, Ukraine does not have enough weapons to equip soldiers already mobilized," Litvin wrote on X.

@Slavyangrad

CNN discusses the mobilization of 18-year-old Ukrainians.

- Russia is advancing on almost every part of the front. The Biden administration is now calling on Ukraine to dramatically lower the draft age for Ukrainian soldiers from 25 to 18. General, is that enough to turn the tide?

- No, it's not enough. I think from the beginning this administration didn't have a clear strategy of what they wanted to achieve. What you see now is an administration that's leaving and a Ukraine that has had incredible success against the Russians. And obviously the West has not lost. Ukraine has not lost.

Sure sounds like losing.

@Slavyangrad

Russia's nuclear weapons are ready for use.

@Slavyangrad

The AFU fears a major breakthrough in the Pokrovsk direction

AFU soldiers in the Pokrovsk direction say that the units are experiencing a critical shortage of personnel, which makes the prospect of a major breakthrough of Russian troops real.

The fears of the AFU soldiers are reported by CNN. According to the publication, which refers to the words of the Ukrainian military, the situation in the direction is critical for the Kiev regime. The AFU does not have enough infantry, the lack of which cannot be compensated even by drones.

As for the prospects, the soldiers give extremely pessimistic assessments: "Now the Russians are pulling troops to the front line, and at one point they will all go in for an assault. They can go very far because there are no people on the ground defending their positions."

It is worth noting that in addition to the shortage of personnel, the combat effectiveness of Ukrainian units is affected by the shortage of weapons. Thus, a few days ago the Kiev regime recalled from the troops a 100,000-strong batch of defective 120-mm mines, effectively leaving the troops without ammunition. And if we take into account that it is not possible to keep the defense even with the help of drones, the prospects of the AFU in Donbass are indeed becoming extremely sad.

Nevertheless, in the Kursk region, the enemy continues to put up fierce resistance and it is becoming clear where all the personnel are going. To the detriment of other areas, the AFU command seeks to hold positions in Kursk region at any cost, while threatening a new counter-offensive, but so far only in the media.

North Wind

@Slavyangrad

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⚡️"Ukraine would have created a nuclear bomb long ago if physicists knew terms in Ukrainian language"
- Institute for the Development and Creation of the State Language of Ukraine

@Slavyangrad