https://twitter.com/Schuldensuehner/status/1543844756614258689 Good Morning from #Germany, which is falling as an economic powerhouse on a global scale. Germany’s trade surplus is gone. Foreign trade balance came in at MINUS €1bn in May, which is the 1st negative print since 1991 due to its energy problems & weakness in manufacturing. https://t.co/HnRBwNaQon via @Schuldensuehner
X (formerly Twitter)
Holger Zschaepitz (@Schuldensuehner) on X
Good Morning from #Germany, which is falling as an economic powerhouse on a global scale. Germany’s trade surplus is gone. Foreign trade balance came in at MINUS €1bn in May, which is the 1st negative print since 1991 due to its energy problems & weakness…
https://twitter.com/Schuldensuehner/status/1543888625594662912 The fall of Germany in one chart: German total mkt cap as % of global mkt cap has hit another All-Time low at 1.97%. Only 1 German comp, Linde, is among global Top100 when measured by mkt cap. 2nd largest comp SAP #110, 3rd largest Deutsche Telekom #123, 4th largest Siemens #127. https://t.co/FXMDZPxtok via @Schuldensuehner
Twitter
The fall of Germany in one chart: German total mkt cap as % of global mkt cap has hit another All-Time low at 1.97%. Only 1 German comp, Linde, is among global Top100 when measured by mkt cap. 2nd largest comp SAP #110, 3rd largest Deutsche Telekom #123,…
https://twitter.com/Schuldensuehner/status/1544019708650954754 Bundesbank’s Nagel objected to #ECB’s promise to contain borrowing costs of weaker nations: impossible to say if a widened spread is justified. Bundesbank would suffer losses if it was forced to sell German bonds to offset purchases of debt from elsewhere. https://t.co/MF0DEz3DeF https://t.co/VaHybtkho0 via @Schuldensuehner
Bloomberg.com
ECB’s Nagel Warns Crisis-Tool Use Can Lead to ‘Dire Straits’
The European Central Bank should be cautious about deploying tools to contain the borrowing costs of weaker nations, Bundesbank President Joachim Nagel said.
https://twitter.com/Schuldensuehner/status/1544039043436093441 OOPS! German gas giant Uniper is in talks with the govt over a potential bailout package of as much as €9bn, BBG reports. Uniper, which is one of biggest importers of Russian gas, said last week it was in talks w/govt to secure liquidity. Shares sank 28% https://t.co/e8fcRCjOAv https://t.co/4pRRiQkqsi via @Schuldensuehner
Twitter
OOPS! German gas giant Uniper is in talks with the govt over a potential bailout package of as much as €9bn, BBG reports. Uniper, which is one of biggest importers of Russian gas, said last week it was in talks w/govt to secure liquidity. Shares sank 28% …
https://twitter.com/Schuldensuehner/status/1544238709922570240 Good morning from #Germany, where retail bank deposits are merely stagnating as German consumers are squeezed by #inflation. Yet €2.65tn are still sitting in current accounts w/o any interest, meaning consumers are suffering purchasing shortfalls of €182bn this year alone. https://t.co/c0xc2u9d8n via @Schuldensuehner
https://twitter.com/Schuldensuehner/status/1544239652223188992 OUCH! #Euro sank to a 20y low against the US Dollar as investors pared bets on #ECB interest-rate hikes given the growing risk of a recession in the region. Euro fell as much as 0.9% to 1.0331, its weakest level since December 2002. https://t.co/vssaqsxu8m via @Schuldensuehner
https://twitter.com/Schuldensuehner/status/1544315571256414208 German short bonds extend rally, 2Y yield falls 16bps to 0.46% as traders pare back #ECB hike bets. https://t.co/olff9L2e2H via @Schuldensuehner
https://twitter.com/Schuldensuehner/status/1544376648384102402 Hey guys, in our weekly @welt podcast DuZ we argue about whether #Germany's stumble is leading to a social crisis. Germany's econ situation is still stable, but the energy crisis has what it takes to cause econ & social collapse. MUST HEAR! https://t.co/DVziolzC3X https://t.co/6T6CY6IOC5 via @Schuldensuehner
https://twitter.com/Schuldensuehner/status/1544478550169976834 German 10y inflation expectations have collapsed to 2.09% due to recessionary fears and structural econ weaknesses. https://t.co/lbi4EI1poQ via @Schuldensuehner
Twitter
German 10y inflation expectations have collapsed to 2.09% due to recessionary fears and structural econ weaknesses.
https://twitter.com/Schuldensuehner/status/1544571635256201216 Good Morning from #Germany where imports from #Russia hit highest since 2014 due to higher energy prices. Rolling 12-month imports from Russia rose to €39bn by the end of Apr despite sanctions, help fill Putin's war chest. https://t.co/QEdb2706AP via @Schuldensuehner
Twitter
Good Morning from #Germany where imports from #Russia hit highest since 2014 due to higher energy prices. Rolling 12-month imports from Russia rose to €39bn by the end of Apr despite sanctions, help fill Putin's war chest.
https://twitter.com/Schuldensuehner/status/1544631594971021312 #Russia has pocketed at least $24bn from selling energy to #China & #India since Ukraine war started, showing how higher prices limiting efforts by US & Europe to punish Putin. India spent $5.1bn on Russian energy in 3 mths to end of May, >5 times YoY. https://t.co/p0twRiyPmM https://t.co/wZFmQ8tAOF via @Schuldensuehner
https://twitter.com/Schuldensuehner/status/1544635773504196608 RT @georg_schmitt: Dax ganz unten, Stimmung trotzdem weit oben. Feierabend-Radler mit den “Alles auf Aktien”-Podcastern @Schuldensuehner und @Tiefseher. Nicht im Bild, aber ganz nah: @The_Sommerfeldt. Viel zu weit weg: @AnjaEttel. https://t.co/UIXnsPywos via @Schuldensuehner
https://twitter.com/Schuldensuehner/status/1544910386364923904 Good morning from #Germany where #recession fears are on the rise. 2022 growth forecasts have already plummeted to 1.7% from 4.5% at one point. The danger of recession is also becoming visible in bond mkts. 10y German bund yields have virtually collapsed from 1.9 to 1.2%. https://t.co/2mYKdzwKwy via @Schuldensuehner
Twitter
Good morning from #Germany where #recession fears are on the rise. 2022 growth forecasts have already plummeted to 1.7% from 4.5% at one point. The danger of recession is also becoming visible in bond mkts. 10y German bund yields have virtually collapsed…
https://twitter.com/Schuldensuehner/status/1544917395919278080 German 10y #inflation expectations have collapsed as stagflation worries now give way to recession worries. https://t.co/dNenE9mhKg via @Schuldensuehner
https://twitter.com/Schuldensuehner/status/1545415077892952068 Good Morning from Germany where Target2 balance rose by €54bn in Jun due to rising stress in Eurozone w/10y Italy risk spread temporarily jumped >240bps for 1st time since 2020. Target2 claims of Bundesbank on rest of Eurosystem now €1.2tn, meaning substantial risks for Germany https://t.co/LmQ9mfZhMN via @Schuldensuehner
Twitter
Good Morning from Germany where Target2 balance rose by €54bn in Jun due to rising stress in Eurozone w/10y Italy risk spread temporarily jumped >240bps for 1st time since 2020. Target2 claims of Bundesbank on rest of Eurosystem now €1.2tn, meaning substantial…
https://twitter.com/Schuldensuehner/status/1545418418630844416 Strong US jobs confirm July 75bps Fed rate hike. Payrolls rose 372k in June – remaining strong relative to prior month's 384k figure and surpassing consensus expectations at 265k. Avg hourly earnings stronger-than-expected at 5.1% YoY as last month was revised higher. https://t.co/WjSBujldJI via @Schuldensuehner
https://twitter.com/Schuldensuehner/status/1545506801067724800 Fed tightening expectations climbed following decent jobs report. Market is now pricing for Funds Rate to be 3.48% on 12/31, up ~11bp vs pre-jobs report on Thur. 75bp hike on 7/27 is widely assumed w/peak at ~3.59% around Mar2023 & cuts starting around May. (via @knowledge_vital) https://t.co/MbGBUdmzj7 via @Schuldensuehner
Twitter
Fed tightening expectations climbed following decent jobs report. Market is now pricing for Funds Rate to be 3.48% on 12/31, up ~11bp vs pre-jobs report on Thur. 75bp hike on 7/27 is widely assumed w/peak at ~3.59% around Mar2023 & cuts starting around May.…
https://twitter.com/Schuldensuehner/status/1545511724853432326 Biotech stocks have added >$200bn in market value over past 3 weeks after sector sentiment got a boost from reports Merck & Co. was interested in cancer drugmaker Seagen. The Nasdaq Biotech Index has rallied roughly 20% since the first report of a potential tie-up. (via BBG) https://t.co/kHGJFrGSeQ via @Schuldensuehner
Twitter
Biotech stocks have added >$200bn in market value over past 3 weeks after sector sentiment got a boost from reports Merck & Co. was interested in cancer drugmaker Seagen. The Nasdaq Biotech Index has rallied roughly 20% since the first report of a potential…
https://twitter.com/Schuldensuehner/status/1545523818621538305 Elon Musk said he’s terminating his $44bn agreement to acquire Twitter and take it private, saying the company has made “misleading representations” as part of the deal. Twitter hasn’t “complied w/its contractual obligations” over issue of spam bots on the platform,” he said Fri. https://t.co/OVzmiS2YD8 via @Schuldensuehner
Twitter
Elon Musk said he’s terminating his $44bn agreement to acquire Twitter and take it private, saying the company has made “misleading representations” as part of the deal. Twitter hasn’t “complied w/its contractual obligations” over issue of spam bots on the…
https://twitter.com/Schuldensuehner/status/1545528467416141826 #Twitter plunges 12% postmarket after Musk ends deal. Twitter plans to pursue legal action vs Musk to enforce pact at $54.20 per share price. https://t.co/XNQGptad1D via @Schuldensuehner
Twitter
#Twitter plunges 12% postmarket after Musk ends deal. Twitter plans to pursue legal action vs Musk to enforce pact at $54.20 per share price.
https://twitter.com/Schuldensuehner/status/1545755076601470976 Good Morning from #Germany which is preparing for natural gas shortages, chancellor Scholz says while EconMin Habeck warns of a social rift should an energy nightmare occur due to a lack of gas supplies from Russia. Gas in Europe is already 8 times more expensive than in the US. https://t.co/e7P3aNR68h via @Schuldensuehner