Middle East Spectator — MES
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News & Analysis on Middle East

Independent, but not unbiased, striving for a multipolar world. Mainly focused on Iran & Resistance Axis.

Introduction: https://t.iss.one/Middle_East_Spectator/4

Owner and contact for ads: @Elias_MES

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❗️🇺🇸/🇮🇷 BREAKING: Iran’s Foreign Minister, Abbas Araqchi, announces that the Strait of Hormuz is declared ‘completely open’ following the ceasefire in Lebanon, and this is valid for the remaining period of the U.S.-Iran ceasefire

All navigation through the Strait of Hormuz shall take place within the maritime corridor designated by the IRGC Navy and with Iran’s permission.

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❗️🇺🇸/🇮🇷 BREAKING: Trump announces the Strait of Hormuz is fully open, and refers to it as the ‘Strait of Iran’

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❗️🇺🇸/🇮🇷/🇱🇧 NEW: President Trump claims on Truth Social that the deal is ‘not tied, in any way, to Lebanon’

This is false; Iran’s Foreign Minister confirmed that the Strait of Hormuz was opened in response to the ceasefire in Lebanon.

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❗️🇺🇸/🇮🇷 President Trump on Truth Social:

‘The U.S.A. will get all Nuclear “Dust”, created by our great B2 Bombers — No money will exchange hands in any way, shape, or form.

This deal is in no way subject to Lebanon, either, but the USA will, seperately, work with the Hezboolah situation in an appropriate manner.

Israel will not be bombing Lebanon any longer. They are PROHIBITED from doing so by the U.S.A. Enough is enough!’

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❗️🇺🇸/🇮🇷 President Trump:

‘A GREAT AND BRILLIANT DAY FOR THE WORLD! DJT.’

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❗️🇺🇸/🇮🇷 President Trump: ‘Thank you again, IRAN!’

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❗️🇺🇸/🇮🇷 President Trump: ‘Iran has agreed to never close the Strait of Hormuz again’

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❗️🇺🇸/🇮🇷 IMPORTANT NOTES:

– Opening the Strait of Hormuz was part of the original 2-week ceasefire agreement, but this was dependent on a ceasefire in Lebanon.

– As soon as the ceasefire was declared in Lebanon, Iran also abided by its promise — opening the Strait of Hormuz for commercial shipping.

– This ‘opening’ is only valid for the duration of the ceasefire, unless it is extended upon mutual agreement.

– The Strait of Hormuz is under full sovereignity of Iran, and ships are only allowed to pass through the corridor designated by the IRGC Navy and with prior Iranian permission.

– American military vessels are not allowed to cross the Strait of Hormuz.

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❗️🇺🇸/🇮🇷 Iran’s semi-official Tasnim News Agency:

Iran has imposed 3 conditions for ships crossing the Strait of Hormuz:

1. Ships must be commercial; the passage of military ships is prohibited, and neither the ships nor their cargo should be related to ‘hostile’ countries.

2. Ships must pass through the route designated by Iran.

3. The passage of vessels must be coordinated with the IRGC Navy.

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From ‘regime change’ to ‘STRAIT OF IRAN’. Interesting how things go.
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❗️🇺🇸/🇮🇷 NEW: Trump announces that, despite the opening of the Strait of Hormuz, the Naval Blockade against Iran will continue

(Admin note: In my opinion, this is a violation of the ceasefire)

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– The question is now, will Iran charge tolls on passage?

This is very important.
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Middle East Spectator — MES
– The question is now, will Iran charge tolls on passage? This is very important.
❗️🇺🇸/🇮🇷 Seyyed Mahmoud Nabavian, Iranian MP & part of Islamabad delegation:

‘Some commercial ships will be allowed to pass through the Strait of Hormuz upon payment of tolls.

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❗️🇺🇸/🇮🇷 BREAKING: The U.S. has also agreed to release billions of dollars in frozen Iranian funds as part of the opening of the Strait of Hormuz – Reuters

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🇺🇸/🇮🇷 NEW: There is an Axios report that the U.S. is considering releasing $20 Billion worth of frozen Iranian funds in exchange for handing over part of the enriched uranium

This short-sighted ‘solution’ fails to address several key problems:

1. This money is already Iranian, the U.S. is not ‘giving’ anything to Iran by releasing it. It’s Iran’s own money that was frozen. The U.S. is merely releasing it (they lose nothing).

2. Unfreezing $20 Billion is only a drop of water in the grand scheme of politics. Within one or two years, this money will be gone, and for what? For losing ~400kg of 60% HEU that took half a decade to accumulate? For losing the fast-track to a possible nuclear deterrent?

3. The $20 Billion won’t make a difference in the Iranian economy. It will be used by the government for most likely military purchases (if the U.S. even allows that), it won’t be injected into the private sector. The only thing which Iran needs is SANCTIONS relief.

4. The right to uranium enrichment and keeping the enriched uranium stockpile inside the country were two fundamental positions during the Oman and Geneva talks. If Iran gives up these points without extensive sanctions relief, then it will give the U.S. the very things they failed to achieve during war.

Because of the following points, I would be skeptical about reports that Iran would agree to such a thing.

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❗️🇮🇱/🇱🇧 NEW: An Israeli drone strike on a motorcycle killed one and injured two in the town of Kounine, southern Lebanon

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❗️🇺🇸/🇮🇷 Iranian Foreign Ministry: ‘Reopening the Strait of Hormuz was part of the ceasefire agreement and is now being implemented after a ceasefire in Lebanon was announced’

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❗️🇺🇸/🇮🇷 Iranian Foreign Ministry: ‘A naval blockade will be considered a violation of the ceasefire terms. If the U.S. naval blockade continues, the Islamic Republic will also take the necessary reciprocal measures’

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❗️🇺🇸/🇮🇱/🇮🇷 NEW: Israel’s national broadcaster ‘Kann News’ claims that Iran and the U.S. are on the verge of signing a Memorandum of Understanding (MoU)

According to the report, a draft proposal that includes suspending enrichment and handing over part of the uranium stockpile has been submitted to Supreme Leader Ayatollah Khamenei for approval.

Israeli sources state that Iran’s President Masoud Pezeshkian and Foreign Minister Abbas Araqchi are optimistic about a deal, while the IRGC and the SNSC are skeptical about it and oppose it.

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