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— 🇮🇷/🇴🇲 NEW: Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi has arrived in Muscat, Oman, ahead of the planned talks with the U.S.
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—❗️🇺🇸/🇮🇷 NEW: The Trump administration has tried but failed, on multiple occasions, to contact Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Khamenei directly – Sources
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On Wednesday, it will be the 47th anniversary of the Islamic Revolution in Iran
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—❗️🇺🇸/🇮🇷 NEW: The U.S. has abandoned its demands for Iran to limit its ballistic missile program and end its support to regional groups – Haaretz
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Iran and U.S. will negotiate, Israel will attack at some point either during the negotiations or shortly after they've been concluded, then the U.S. will say 'oh well, we tried diplomacy' and Trump can justify entering the war to protect Israel, America's greatest ally.
There will be a heavy round of fighting, likely worse than the 12-Day War, but regime change won't occur. The U.S. will try as much as possible to conduct attacks from their fleets and aircraft carriers to avoid provoking Iranian retaliation against U.S. military bases in the Persian Gulf.
At the end of it all, thousands of Iranians will be dead, the Strait of Hormuz will likely be blocked, and the U.S. will sign an uneasy truce with Iran. Then the process of waiting for another round of fighting will start all over.
There will be a heavy round of fighting, likely worse than the 12-Day War, but regime change won't occur. The U.S. will try as much as possible to conduct attacks from their fleets and aircraft carriers to avoid provoking Iranian retaliation against U.S. military bases in the Persian Gulf.
At the end of it all, thousands of Iranians will be dead, the Strait of Hormuz will likely be blocked, and the U.S. will sign an uneasy truce with Iran. Then the process of waiting for another round of fighting will start all over.
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At least, that's my closest guess to what's going to happen. But politics is a strange business. You never really know.
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— 🇺🇸/🇮🇷/🇴🇲 NEW: An Iranian source close to the negotiating team in Oman tells MES the atmosphere is 'skeptical'; Iranians deeply distrust the American side and are not convinced they really want to make a deal
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Indirect talks have started.
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—❗️🇮🇷/🇺🇸/🇴🇲 NEW: During the negotiations in Oman, Iran conveyed to the U.S. that uranium enrichment on Iranian soil is non-negotiable – IRNA
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—❗️🇮🇷/🇺🇸/🇴🇲 NEW: Iran demands the U.S. recognize Iran's right to enrich uranium – IRNA
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—❗️🇮🇷/🇺🇸/🇴🇲 NEW: Iran considers any precondition on the nuclear program to reflect the ill-will of the opposing party – IRNA
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Negotiations are still ongoing.
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— 🇺🇸/🇮🇷/🇴🇲 NEW: The U.S. CENTCOM commander also joined the American delegation in Muscat
The U.S. is talking to the Omanis now. The Iranian delegation just finished the second round.
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The U.S. is talking to the Omanis now. The Iranian delegation just finished the second round.
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— 🇷🇺 WATCH: Due to heavy snowfall in Russia, the Russian Army fires artillery shells into the mountains to provoke avalanches, so they don't happen unexpectedly
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— 🇵🇰 NEW: At least 31 Shia Muslims were killed as a result of a suicide bombing at a Mosque in Islamabad, Pakistan
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Third round of message exchanges have started in Oman.
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—❗️🇺🇸/🇮🇷/🇴🇲 NEW: The indirect negotiations in Oman have ended; plans for new talks have not yet been announced
It was decided that the delegations will return to their residences in Muscat tonight and not hold a 3rd round of exchanges.
Likely, Araqchi will return to Tehran tonight or tomorrow.
@Middle_East_Spectator
It was decided that the delegations will return to their residences in Muscat tonight and not hold a 3rd round of exchanges.
Likely, Araqchi will return to Tehran tonight or tomorrow.
@Middle_East_Spectator
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Middle East Spectator — MES
—❗️🇺🇸/🇮🇷/🇴🇲 NEW: The indirect negotiations in Oman have ended; plans for new talks have not yet been announced It was decided that the delegations will return to their residences in Muscat tonight and not hold a 3rd round of exchanges. Likely, Araqchi will…
—❗️🇺🇸/🇮🇷 NEW: Iran and the U.S. have agreed to continue the diplomatic path. A new meeting will be set up soon. For now, both delegations will return to their countries.
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