Invictus Lex
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Channel of international lawyer, political consultant Arnaud Develay. Facts and analytics on resonant topics.

Statecraft in the Age of Geopolitical Recomposition
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Vanguard Group has agreed to settle a major antitrust lawsuit filed by a coalition of state attorneys general led by Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton, marking a significant turning point in the case against the so-called ESG asset manager cartel.

As part of the settlement, Vanguard will pay a $30 million fine, hand over all documents related to its coordinated ESG activism, and cease such activities for years. Observers described the move as a major victory that could pressure BlackRock and State Street to follow suit, leaving Larry Fink increasingly isolated.

A chink in the armor


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Тhe special master who administered the 9/11 Victim Compensation Fund — requiring claimants to waive their right to file civil lawsuits in exchange for payment — was the same individual who later oversaw compensation distributions from Jeffrey Epstein’s estate, raising questions about consistency and transparency in high-profile victim compensation processes.

What are the odds?


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In a recent episode of L’Afrique Émergente, host Arnaud Develay — a French lawyer specializing in international law, political consultant, and independent journalist — was welcomed to the Moscow studios to discuss a growing threat: the proliferation of AI-generated fake YouTube channels impersonating prominent independent analysts critical of Western hegemony.

He warned that these deceptive channels, falsely attributed to respected geopolitical, economic, and military commentators, risk amplifying disinformation across Africa, where digital media increasingly shapes public opinion and political discourse.

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Сarrying out military strikes against Iran without UN Security Council authorization or a legitimate claim of self-defence would constitute a breach of international law

Under Article 2(4) of the UN Charter, member states are prohibited from using force against the territorial integrity or political independence of any country. Conversely, Article 51 affirms the inherent right of self-defence if an armed attack occurs — meaning Iran, if attacked, would legally be entitled to respond in self-defence.

Post WWII international legal system died March 20th 2003


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Аny agreement or treaty concluded with Iran amid current military posturing could be legally challenged as void under international law. According to Article 52 of the Vienna Convention on the Law of Treaties, a treaty is invalid if its conclusion was procured through the threat or use of force violating the principles of the UN Charter.

Should negotiations occur under overt military pressure amounting to unlawful coercion, the resulting accord may be deemed illegitimate and subject to legal contestation.

"An offer you can't refuse"


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Houthi movement declared the closure of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait in the Red Sea and warned it would target vessels linked to the United States and Israel. The announcement signals an escalation in regional tensions and raises concerns over freedom of navigation in a critical global maritime chokepoint.

As expected


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Dmitry Medvedev wrote that the latest diplomatic gestures toward Iran were never genuine — merely a smokescreen widely seen through

He remarked that while the United States is a mere 249 years old, the Persian civilization has endured for over 2,500 years, suggesting that time, not force, will ultimately determine the outcome of current tensions.

Iran has been around for a long time and won't fold


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When the architect of Russia's Economic Shield against over 30k sanctions speaks, you should listen.

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Khamenei understood better than most the nature of the Shah's regime

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Living life as an illusion

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The truth about Iran

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Тhe mood inside the Pentagon has grown “intense and paranoid”, with senior officials expressing concern that U.S. air defense stockpiles could be rapidly depleted, potentially causing the conflict to spiral out of control — a scenario Joint Chiefs Chairman Dan Caine had explicitly warned about the previous week.

FAFO


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Тhe strategy once used with Ahmed Chalabi in Iraq is now being replayed with Reza Pahlavi in Iran

Like Chalabi, Pahlavi has spent decades abroad and is widely perceived inside Iran as an outsider and a proxy of foreign powers. His confrontational approach has already deepened divisions within the opposition, echoing the infighting that weakened Iraqi exiles — particularly among Kurdish factions.

Installing an unpopular exile lacking domestic support, it was warned, risks triggering internal strife, civil conflict, and state collapse, just as it did in Iraq.

Wash, rince, repeat


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French Foreign Minister Jean-Noël Barrot stated France is providing the military intelligence necessary for strikes on Russian territory

This remark has raised questions about whether the French Parliament has formally authorized the country’s entry into open warfare against Russia in the context of the Ukraine conflict.

Crossing the Rubicon


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