🇨🇦 - My take on the Canadian election.

Carney will win a majority.

He will likely give Alberta stuff it wants, which will keep the country together along with him winning a majority in Quebec.

Political risk will decrease, which will then allow Carney to negotiate with Trump more freely.

🇪🇺🇺🇸 -

The official version is that 2.5 million French people (often those who have qualified jobs in France) have left.

In reality, if we assume that the rate of people leaving France declaring their departure to the French consulate is the same than for third world countries, it could be up to 5.8 millions in a worst case scenario.

🇺🇸🇮🇱 -

🇸🇩 - 👀

🇦🇲🇮🇷 - Armenia-Iran exercices.

🇸🇾🇰🇷 - A South Korean delegation arrived in Damascus, Syria.

🇭🇷 - For a country like Croatia, Brussels should take what it can take from the brain drain, give the gibs people needs to have out there in Croatia, and shut up.

Why?

Because having mass migration in a country like Croatia is playing with fire, with the consequences in case of an "electoral accident" in the Balkan region possibly lasting decades.

EU leaders are planning to travel to Beijing for a summit with Chinese President Xi Jinping in late July.

Source: SCMP

🇺🇸🇵🇦 - US troops will be able to deploy to a string of facilities along the Panama Canal under a joint deal seen by AFP Thursday.

🇩🇪 - Boris Pistorius expected to remain Defense Minister under new German govt, Armin Laschet considered for foreign minister.

🇫🇷 - French parliament adopt crime bill which would, among other things, allows for criminals to lose access to social housing.

🇩🇪 - Germany to lower business taxes from 15 to 10%, to lower the number of civil servants (outside of security services) by 8% and to lower taxes on electricity.

🇺🇸🇮🇷 - Iran considers it unrealistic to reach a nuclear agreement within the next two months.

🇫🇷 - French Finance Minister Eric Lombard says Europe should adapt to the new international environment and lessen the regulatory burden on banks.

🇰🇷 - Liberal candidate Lee Jae-myung leading candidate for South Korean election, wants to boost growth by giving more purchasing power through redistribution, previously supported UBI but toned it down.

🇪🇺 - ECB chief Lagarde hints at interest rate hike ahead of April 17 meeting.

🇫🇷 - European firms remain mired in uncertainty, and U.S. tariffs remain on autos and steel produced in the bloc - Macron

🇫🇷 - With the [European] Commission, and in a spirit of European unity, our goal is simple: to negotiate the withdrawal of these unfair tariffs and ensure a balanced deal, without asymmetry on either side, Macron said.

🇪🇺 - EU hints at taxing ad revenues for companies like Meta and Google should 90 days-talks fail.