Global Intel Watch
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Constantineโ€™s Notebook
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ - Trump announces he's pausing tariffs for 90 days.
this is for 10% tariffs, so China is not included.
๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ - Not surprised that Turkey is negotiating with Israel over Syria. It was obvious no one would let the Turks just have a base near Daraa and say "fine".
Do you believe Macron will try to get a third term?
Anonymous Poll
63%
Yes
37%
No
๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ผโšก- Romeo Brawner Jr., Philippine Chief of Staff, says the Philippines would inevitably get involved in a China-Taiwan conflict.
Media is too big
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๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ“ž๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโ—๏ธ โ€” According to Fox Business Correspondent Charles Gasparino and top money managers, todayโ€™s โ€œ90-Day Pauseโ€ on the reciprocal tariffs announced last week by U.S. President Trump, was forced by mainly by the Government of Japan and other countries selling bonds overnight causing the bond market to skyrocket, not Communist China.

๐Ÿ”— OSINTdefender (@sentdefender)
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๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณโšก- China's Ministry of Commerce emergency meeting continues into its second day, the meeting was in response to recent trade developments, and called for safeguarding national sovereignty, security and development interests. Several senior Chinese officials were in attendance.
๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ - My take on the Canadian election.

Carney will win a majority.

He will likely give Alberta stuff it wants, which will keep the country together along with him winning a majority in Quebec.

Political risk will decrease, which will then allow Carney to negotiate with Trump more freely.
๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ -
An underdiscussed topic is the sheer number of French people leaving France
Anonymous Poll
78%
Yes
22%
No
Global Intel Watch
An underdiscussed topic is the sheer number of French people leaving France
The official version is that 2.5 million French people (often those who have qualified jobs in France) have left.

In reality, if we assume that the rate of people leaving France declaring their departure to the French consulate is the same than for third world countries, it could be up to 5.8 millions in a worst case scenario.
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ -
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๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท - Armenia-Iran exercices.
๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ท - A South Korean delegation arrived in Damascus, Syria.
๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡ท - For a country like Croatia, Brussels should take what it can take from the brain drain, give the gibs people needs to have out there in Croatia, and shut up.

Why?

Because having mass migration in a country like Croatia is playing with fire, with the consequences in case of an "electoral accident" in the Balkan region possibly lasting decades.
Forwarded from Clash Report
EU leaders are planning to travel to Beijing for a summit with Chinese President Xi Jinping in late July.

Source: SCMP
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฆ - US troops will be able to deploy to a string of facilities along the Panama Canal under a joint deal seen by AFP Thursday.
๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช - Boris Pistorius expected to remain Defense Minister under new German govt, Armin Laschet considered for foreign minister.
๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท - French parliament adopt crime bill which would, among other things, allows for criminals to lose access to social housing.
Global Intel Watch
๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช - Boris Pistorius expected to remain Defense Minister under new German govt, Armin Laschet considered for foreign minister.
๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช - Germany to lower business taxes from 15 to 10%, to lower the number of civil servants (outside of security services) by 8% and to lower taxes on electricity.