Financial World Updates
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๐Ÿšจ Energy shock hits global markets

Iran has reportedly targeted major oil infrastructure, including facilities linked to Saudi Aramco. Energy markets reacted immediately.

โžก๏ธ Crude oil jumped nearly 6% in a few hours.
โžก๏ธ Natural gas gained over 4%.
โžก๏ธ European gas surged 25% at the open
โžก๏ธ Dutch TTF moving above โ‚ฌ38 per MWh.

The Strait of Hormuz, a key transit route for roughly 20 million barrels of oil per day, is now at the center of the risk. Any disruption there directly impacts global supply expectations.

Shipping costs are rising fast as insurers reprice risk. Some carriers are already rerouting vessels around Africa, extending delivery times and increasing costs.

Only a limited share of Gulf oil can bypass the Strait through pipelines. If disruption persists, supply constraints could tighten quickly.

Markets are pricing geopolitical risk. The next move depends on whether this remains contained or escalates further.



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โš ๏ธ Key Events This Week

Geopolitics kick the week off as markets react to escalating conflict with Iran, a key driver for oil and risk sentiment. Inflation, labor, and activity data follow in a packed macro slate. Expect volatility, especially in futures ahead of data prints.

๐Ÿˆ Monday

โ— US futures react to Iran situation
โ— February ISM Manufacturing PMI data

Manufacturing PMI offers a snapshot of demand and price pressures in the factory sector. New orders and input costs are the components traders watch for inflation signals.

๐Ÿˆ Wednesday

โ— February ADP Employment data

ADP gives an early read on labor momentum ahead of Fridayโ€™s official jobs report. Itโ€™s imperfect but still cues market expectations around wage and hiring trends.

๐Ÿˆ Thursday

โ— Initial Jobless Claims data

Claims provide a trend check on labor stability. Persistent changes can tilt risk sentiment even if single prints are noisy.

๐Ÿˆ Friday

โ— January Retail Sales data
โ— February Jobs Report

Retail sales reflect consumer demand, a core growth component.
The jobs report is the big macro release. Payrolls, wages, and participation feed directly into rate pricing.

Main focus: Early geopolitical risk and Fridayโ€™s jobs cluster, as conflict headlines and employment figures shape economic expectations.



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๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ฌ

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ Iran says it attacked Israel's Prime Minister Netanyahu's office and the Air Force commander's residence.


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๐Ÿฆบ๐Ÿ‘“๐Ÿ•ถ๐Ÿฅฝ๐Ÿฅผ

๐Ÿ‡ถ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท Qatar, which accounts for 18โ€“20% of global LNG trade, halts production following Iranian drone strike.


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๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ฌ

European gas prices jump more than 30% after QatarEnergy halts LNG production.


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โš ๏ธ๐Ÿšฏโ†ช๏ธ๐Ÿ”‚โฌ…๏ธ

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท Secretary of War Hegseth says the US did not start the war with Iran but will "finish it" under President Trump.


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๐Ÿฆบ๐Ÿ‘“๐Ÿ•ถ๐Ÿฅฝ๐Ÿฅผ

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ TRUMP TO ADDRESS THE NATION OF IRAN AT THE WHITE HOUSE AT 11AM EST.


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โš ๏ธ๐Ÿšฏโ†ช๏ธ๐Ÿ”‚โฌ…๏ธ

US stocks fall as Middle Eastern war lifts oil prices


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๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ฌ

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ US ISM Manufacturing PMI:
52.4

EXPECTED: 51.8


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โš ๏ธ๐Ÿšฏโ†ช๏ธ๐Ÿ”‚โฌ…๏ธ

โšก๏ธ Trump:

โ— The US continues operations inside Iran.

โ— Iran refused to stop pursuing nuclear weapons.

โ— Iran could soon possess missiles capable of reaching America.

โ— Iran ignored our warnings and continued nuclear development.

โ— We are destroying Iranโ€™s navy and have disabled 10 Iranian vessels.

โ— We are ahead of schedule.

โ— The operation is expected to last 4โ€“5 weeks, with the option to continue much longer.


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๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ฌ

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ Israel's Tel Aviv stock exchange closes at new all-time high.


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๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ฌ

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท Iran officially closes the Strait of Hormuz and warns any ship passing through will be set on fire.

Roughly 20% of the world's oil supply passes through this strategic waterway.


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โš ๏ธ๐Ÿšฏโ†ช๏ธ๐Ÿ”‚โฌ…๏ธ

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Iran says the US is "trillions of dollars in debt and thirsty for Middle Eastern oil."


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๐Ÿฆบ๐Ÿ‘“๐Ÿ•ถ๐Ÿฅฝ๐Ÿฅผ

China:

"we will take necessary measures to secure our energy."



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๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ฌ

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Fed will inject $16,020,000,000 into the US economy this week.


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๐Ÿฆบ๐Ÿ‘“๐Ÿ•ถ๐Ÿฅฝ๐Ÿฅผ

UK gas prices have surged 93% since the start of the Iran war.


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๐Ÿฆบ๐Ÿ‘“๐Ÿ•ถ๐Ÿฅฝ๐Ÿฅผ

Oil storage tanks in Fujairah, United Arab Emirates, were reportedly targeted, with sources reporting a fire at the JSW terminal.


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โš ๏ธ๐Ÿšฏโ†ช๏ธ๐Ÿ”‚โฌ…๏ธ

๐Ÿšจ Billionaire Peter Thiel will dump a $280 million worth $PLTR shares.


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