Financial World Updates
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โš ๏ธ๐Ÿšฏโ†ช๏ธ๐Ÿ”‚๐Ÿ”‚

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ US job openings are now at recession levels.


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โš ๏ธ๐Ÿšฏโ†ช๏ธ๐Ÿ”‚โฌ…๏ธ

๐Ÿ’ต The Economist warns about a โ€œdangerous dollarโ€

The Economist says the world is flipping. The US dollar is no longer seen as a safe haven, and investors are actively looking for alternatives.

In this โ€œinverted world,โ€ confidence in the dollar weakens as risk perceptions around the US rise.


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๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ Russia secretly transferred approximately $2.5 billion in cash to Iran, bypassing U.S. sanctions, to support Iranโ€™s economy.


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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ US Job Openings Plunge As December Sees 604K Drop To 6.54 Million Lowest Since 2020.


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๐Ÿฆบ๐Ÿ‘“๐Ÿ•ถ๐Ÿฅฝ๐Ÿฅผ

๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ China orders banks to reduce US Treasury holdings.


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๐Ÿ“… Key Events of the Week

This week is driven by US labor and inflation data, with earnings as a secondary layer. Retail demand sets the early tone, but the core focus is how tight the labor market remains ahead of CPI.

Ongoing funding negotiations keep the risk of a partial government shutdown alive, which can amplify market reactions around key prints.

๐Ÿ“… Monday

โ€ข December Retail Sales data

Retail sales offer an early signal on consumer demand. Strength here supports growth assumptions and keeps pressure on rates.


๐Ÿ“… Tuesday

โ€ข U.S. Retail Sales

โ€ข Robinhood $HOOD earnings

Retail data helps confirm consumption trends. Robinhood earnings reflect retail trading activity and risk appetite.


๐Ÿ“… Wednesday

โ€ข U.S. NFP Jobs Report

โ€ข Cisco $CSCO earnings

NFP is the main growth and labor signal. Payrolls, wages, and participation shape rate expectations. Cisco earnings feed into enterprise spending and broader tech sentiment.


๐Ÿ“… Thursday

โ€ข Initial Jobless Claims

โ€ข January Existing Home Sales

โ€ข Coinbase $COIN earnings

Claims are used to confirm labor trends. Housing data reflects rate sensitivity. Coinbase earnings impact crypto-linked risk sentiment.


๐Ÿ“… Friday

โ€ข U.S. CPI Inflation

CPI is the key inflation checkpoint. Core and services inflation matter most for Fed pricing and front-end rates.


Main focus:
Wednesdayโ€™s NFP and Fridayโ€™s CPI, as labor strength and inflation persistence jointly drive rate expectations.


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๐Ÿฆบ๐Ÿ‘“๐Ÿ•ถ๐Ÿฅฝ๐Ÿฅผ

๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต Japan restarts world's biggest nuclear plant, operator says.


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๐Ÿฅท Former Goldman Sachs executive starts prison sentence over 1MDB scandal

Tim Leissner, a former top executive at Goldman Sachs, has begun serving a 2-year prison sentence for his role in a massive financial fraud.

Leissner admitted helping siphon about $4.5B from Malaysiaโ€™s sovereign wealth fund 1MDB.

The case took 8 years to reach sentencing and ultimately led to the collapse of Malaysiaโ€™s government. Goldman Sachs paid over $5B to settle related charges.

Leissner cooperated with prosecutors and became the key witness in the 2022 trial of his former colleague Roger Ng. The scheme was orchestrated by Malaysian financier Jho Low, who continues to deny wrongdoing and has been a fugitive since 2018.

One of the largest financial scandals of the decade is still not fully closed.



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๐Ÿฆบ๐Ÿ‘“๐Ÿ•ถ๐Ÿฅฝ๐Ÿฅผ

Alphabet is looking to issue a 100-year bond.
Last time this happened was Motorola in 1997.


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๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ Shanghai Futures Exchange physical silver supply falls from 349.9 tons to 318.54 tons - CEIC data.


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Consumer credit surged +$24 billion in December โ€” highest increase since 2023.


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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ President Trump says the US economy can grow at 15% if Kevin Warsh does his job right as Fed Chair.


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๐Ÿฆบ๐Ÿ‘“๐Ÿ•ถ๐Ÿฅฝ๐Ÿฅผ

๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ฟ Kazakhstan reports net gold and foreign currency reserves of $69.526 billion in January, a 10.1% increase from December โ€“ Central Bank.


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๐Ÿฆบ๐Ÿ‘“๐Ÿ•ถ๐Ÿฅฝ๐Ÿฅผ

๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ฒ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Armenia buys U.S.- made V-BAT (MQ-35A) drones for $11 million, its first major U.S. arms deal, announced during visit by J.D. Vance.


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๐Ÿฆบ๐Ÿ‘“๐Ÿ•ถ๐Ÿฅฝ๐Ÿฅผ

OpenAI starts testing ads in ChatGPT.


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๐Ÿฅญ๐Ÿ‡๐Ÿˆ๐ŸŠ๐Ÿ’

๐ŸŒ How global economic power shifted from 1980 to 2025

This chart tracks the worldโ€™s top economies over the last 45 years using nominal GDP. The hierarchy changed a lot, but some patterns stayed surprisingly stable.

The US has remained the largest economy the entire time. GDP grew from about $2.9T in 1980 to over $30.6T in 2025, keeping a clear lead despite cycles and shocks.

China is the biggest structural shift.
๐Ÿ—„ Ranked 7th in 1980 with ~$300B GDP
๐Ÿ—„ Still outside the top 5 in 2000
๐Ÿ—„ Now firmly 2nd at ~$19.4T

Japan tells the opposite story. It peaked in the late 80s and early 90s, briefly closing the gap with the US, then slowed. By 2025 it sits in 4th place.

Europe stayed relevant but stagnant. Germany, the UK, and France never dropped out of the top 10, yet none managed a breakout like China or India.

India quietly climbed the ranks. From under $200B in 1980 to over $4.1T in 2025, now inside the top 5.


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๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ฌ

Bank of America now expects the Bank of Japan to hike rates in April, earlier than June.

A 25bp move would lift the policy rate to 1.00%, after Decemberโ€™s rise to 0.75% (a 30-year high).

BofA also forecasts further hikes in Sept 2026 and twice in 2027.


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๐Ÿ—“ Feb 15


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Gold exploration hits an unprecedented pause

Crescat says that for the first time in its long tracking history, data shows zero major gold discoveries between 2023 and 2024.

This has never happened before in the recorded dataset.


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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Unemployed Americans are taking longer to find new jobs than at any point in the past four years, per FT.


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