🦺👓🕶🥽🥼

🇺🇸 Odds of the US government shutting down by Friday reaches new all-time high.


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🐈 Key Events Next Week


🗓 Monday

• Markets react to 100% Canada tariff threat
• Markets react to 75% probability of U.S. government shutdown

These are headline-driven moves.
Tariff risk feeds directly into inflation expectations and cross-border trade sentiment. Shutdown odds affect risk appetite and front-end rates through fiscal uncertainty.

🗓 Tuesday

• January Consumer Confidence

This offers a read on household demand and sentiment after recent policy noise. Weakness would lean toward growth caution rather than immediate policy repricing.

🗓 Wednesday

• Fed interest rate decision
• Powell press conference
• Microsoft $MSFT earnings
• Tesla $TSLA earnings
• Meta $META earnings

This is the core event cluster. The Fed sets the policy framework, while Powell’s language shapes rate expectations. Earnings from AI and growth bellwethers test whether equity optimism can hold under tighter financial conditions.

🗓 Thursday

• Initial jobless claims
• Apple $AAPL earnings

Labor data feeds into the growth side of the Fed reaction function. Apple adds a consumer and megacap read that can spill into broader index sentiment.

🗓 Friday

• U.S. PPI inflation
• U.S. government shutdown deadline

PPI matters for the inflation pipeline and margin pressure. The shutdown deadline is a binary risk that can override macro signals if headlines escalate.

Main focus

Wednesday’s Fed decision and earnings cluster, with Friday’s shutdown deadline as a secondary risk trigger.


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🌍🌐🧭⛰️

🇨🇳 China says it will create new advantages for attracting foreign investment.


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🇧🇬🇧🇫🇨🇮🇩🇯🇪🇬

Silver reaches new all-time high of $110.


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🦺👓🕶🥽🥼

🇹🇭 Silver online futures trading has been temporarily suspended on Thailand’s TFEX.


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🥭🍇🍈🍊🍒

Gold has surged past $5,000, pushing its market cap above $35T. Silver is rallying alongside it, hitting $108 with a capitalization over $6T. The market mood feels like Trump is long precious metals — though many expect he’ll eventually flip short.

Meanwhile, Bitcoin rebounded to $88K after Canada refused to sign a trade deal with China, reportedly following strong pressure from the White House. Trump had earlier threatened 100% tariffs on Canada if the agreement went through.

Adding to global tension, a U.S. aircraft carrier group led by the USS Abraham Lincoln has arrived near Iran’s coast. Its exact mission remains unclear — the situation is being closely watched.

Volatility across markets is being driven not just by economics, but by rising geopolitical risks.


🥫 t.iss.one/FinancialWorldUpdates