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Crypto Fear and Greed Index: 49/100 = Neutral|FJ
Iran Parliament's National Security Commission Ghalroo: The United States has two demands that are a matter of honor for the Islamic Republic, and it cannot accept them: first, the permanent cessation of enrichment, and second, handing over enriched uranium to the United States - Iran International.|FJ
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Adnoc CEO: We're ready to resume exports once Hormuz opens - WSJ.|FJ
The US to sell $100 bln 4-week bills on May 14th, to settle on May 19th.|FJ
NY Fed Household Debt And Credit Report (Q1 2026)

New York Fed: Aggregate debt delinquency little changed in the first quarter.

New York Fed: 4.8% of debt in the first quarter was in some stage of delinquency.

New York Fed report shows that first-quarter total household debt was little changed at $18.8 trillion versus the fourth quarter of 2025.

New York Fed: Credit card debt at $1.3 trillion in the first quarter, down $25 billion from the fourth quarter of 2025.

New York Fed: Mortgage balances at $13.2 trillion in the first quarter, up $21 billion from the fourth quarter of 2025.

New York Fed: Student loan defaults were relatively low, and contagion risk fears are premature.

New York Fed: Share of student loans transitioning into serious delinquency slowed in the first quarter.

New York Fed: The peak of student loan defaults may have already happened.

New York Fed: Student loan debt at $1.7 trillion, down $6 billion from the fourth quarter of 2025.

New York Fed: Auto loan debt at $1.7 trillion in first quarter, up $18 billion from fourth quarter of 2025.|FJ
Japan's NYK LINE eyes more oil tankers for supplies outside the Middle East - CEO, cited by Nikkei.|FJ
Fed bids for 52-week bills total $3.1 bln.|FJ
US 52-Week Bill Auction

High Yield 3.650%
Bid-to-cover 3.41
US sells $50 bln
Awards 4.56% of bids at high|FJ
Pakistan Foreign Ministry: Foreign Minister Ishaq Dar spoke today with China's Foreign Minister Wang Yi.|FJ
WASDE Soybean End Stocks Actual 1673M (Forecast 350M, Previous 350M)

WASDE Wheat End Stocks Actual 1673M (Forecast 850M, Previous 938M)

WASDE Cotton End Stocks Actual 22M (Forecast 4.24M, Previous 4.4M)

WASDE Corn End Stocks Actual 1673M (Forecast 1945M, Previous 2.127M)|FJ
EIA Short-term Energy Outlook Report


EIA forecasts assume the Strait of Hormuz will be closed through late May, a gradual resumption of traffic in June, and reach the pre-conflict level later in 2026.

EIA estimates 10.5 mln bpd of crude oil output was shut in during April from Iraq, Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, UAE, Qatar, and Bahrain.

EIA sees 2026 WTI price average of 85.68/bbl, vs prior forecast 87.41/bbl; 2027 forecast of 74.39/bbl (pvs 72.43/bbl).

EIA sees 2026 Brent price average of 94.85/bbl, vs prior forecast 96/bbl; 2027 forecast of 79.39/bbl (pvs 76.09/bbl).

EIA sees 2026 WTI price average of 85.68/bbl, vs prior forecast 87.41/bbl; 2027 forecast of 74.39/bbl (pvs 72.43/bbl).

EIA sees 2026 US oil output of 13.65 mln bpd, vs prior forecast 13:51 mln bpd; sees 2027 output of 14.1 mln bpd (pvs 13.95 mln bpd).

EIA sees 2026 US natgas output of 110.6 bcf/day, vs prior forecast 109.6 bcf/d; sees 2027 demand of 115 bcf/d (pvs 112.6 bcf/d).|FJ
The US CBP anticipates, as of May 11, paying tariff refunds with interest of $35.46 billion on 8.3 million entries - Court Filing.|FJ
EIA expects Iran war-related oil production shut-ins to peak at about 10.8 mln bpd in May.|FJ
EIA: If the Strait of Hormuz is shut through late June, crude oil prices would be $20/bbl higher than the current forecast that assumes reopening in late May.|FJ
An informed source familiar with the negotiations between Iran and the US confirmed the directives to the Iranian negotiating team included a condition to achieve five points before starting negotiations on the nuclear file - Al Jazeera reporter, citing an Informed Source

Ending the war on all fronts

Lifting all sanctions

Releasing the frozen funds

Compensating for the damages and losses resulting from the war

Recognizing Iran's sovereign right over the Strait of Hormuz.|FJ
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US Senate confirms Kevin Warsh to be Federal Reserve Governor.|FJ
The EU is in talks to join a US-led alliance to secure tech supply chains.|FJ
Fed bids for 10-year notes total $10 bln.|FJ
Treasury WI 10Y yield 4.464% before $42 billion auction|FJ
UK to contribute drones, jets, and a warship to a multinational mission to secure the Strait of Hormuz, the UK's defensive mission is backed by £115 million of new funding for mine-hunting drones and counter-drone systems - Statement.|FJ
US 10-Year Note Auction

High Yield 4.468% [Tail +0.4 bps]
Bid-to-cover 2.40
Sells $42 bln
Awards 22.00% of bids at high
Primary Dealers take 12.0%
Direct 24.1%
Indirect 64.0%|FJ
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