🇺🇸 — American official: We expect missiles to be launched from Iran, southern Lebanon, and perhaps from Yemen, in addition to drones.

— 🇮🇱/🇮🇷 Hebrew Media: The attack launched by Iran is bigger than we expected, by several magnitudes

@Middle_East_Spectator

— 🇺🇸/🇮🇱/🇯🇴 NEW: American, Jordanian and Israeli Air Force Jets are currently in the process of intercepting Iranian drones

Jordan has opened its airspace for the Israeli Air Force.

@Middle_East_Spectator

⚡The Houthis in Yemen launched missiles at Israel moments ago

— 🇮🇷/🇺🇳 Iran's Permanent Mission to the United Nations:

'Conducted on the strength of Article 51 of the UN Charter pertaining to legitimate defense, Iran’s military action was in response to the Zionist regime’s aggression against our diplomatic premises in Damascus.

The matter can be deemed concluded. However, should the Israeli regime make another mistake, Iran’s response will be considerably more severe.

It is a conflict between Iran and the rogue Israeli regime, from which the U.S. MUST STAY AWAY.'

@Middle_East_Spectator

— 🇺🇸/🇮🇱 NEW: The phone call between Netanyahu and Biden concluded, and Biden reportedly asked Israel not to respond to the Iranian attack directly – Hebrew Media

@Middle_East_Spectator

🇮🇱🇮🇷⚡️- Iran says they will respond with "double force" if Israel strikes Iran

A former cybersecurity engineer has been sentenced to three years in prison for stealing $12.3 MILLION from two decentralized #cryptocurrency exchanges by manipulating smart contracts and exploiting vulnerabilities.

https://thehackernews.com/2024/04/ex-security-engineer-jailed-3-years-for.html

🇮🇷 🇺🇸 🇺🇦 The Iranian April 13 missile-drone attack on Israel was very likely intended to cause significant damage below the threshold that would trigger a massive Israeli response. The attack was designed to succeed, not to fail.

🔶️ The strike package was modeled on those the Russians have used repeatedly against Ukraine to great effect.

🔶️ The strike consisted of approximately 170 drones, 30 cruise missiles, and 120 ballistic missiles.

🔶️ The drones were launched well before the ballistic missiles were fired, very likely in the expectation that they would arrive in Israel’s air defense window at about the same time as the cruise missiles and drones.

🔶️ The Russians have used such an approach against Ukraine repeatedly.

🔶️ Only a few ballistic missiles penetrated Israeli air defenses and struck near Israeli military bases out of the 120 or so the Iranians fired.

🔶️ Ukrainian air defenses have averaged interception rates of only about 46% of Russian ballistic missiles during recent large strikes.

🔶️ The Iranians likely expected that Israeli rates would be higher than the Ukrainian rates but not above 90% against such a large ballistic missile salvo—the Russians, after all, have never fired close to that many large ballistic missiles in a single strike against Ukraine.

🔶️ Israel’s air defense system has several obvious advantages over Ukrainian air defense, but the full implications of some of those advantages might well have been unclear to Iranian strike planners.

🔶️ Ukraine has, in particular, been unable to use combat aircraft to shoot down Russian drones and cruise missiles at scale, and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky recently observed that Kyiv will likely use the F-16s Ukraine will receive this summer in those roles.

🔶️ Iran will learn additional lessons from the failed attack that it can leverage to launch more successful attacks in the future.

https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/iran%E2%80%99s-attempt-hit-israel-russian-style-strike-package-failedfor-now