#Romania, CURS poll:

Presidential run-off election

Georgescu (*): 58%
Lasconi (USR-RE): 42%

Fieldwork: 1 December 2024
Sample size: 24,629

➤ https://europeelects.eu/romania

#Hungary, Real-PR 93. poll:

Fidesz/KDNP-PfE: 44%
TISZA-EPP: 36% (+1)
MH-ESN: 7%
DK-S&D: 5% (-1)
MKKP→G/EFA: 3% (-1)
Momentum-RE: 1%

+/- vs. 28 - 30 October 2024

Fieldwork: 25 - 27 November 2024
Sample size: 1,000

➤ https://europeelects.eu/hungary

#Germany, INSA poll:

CDU/CSU-EPP: 31.5% (-0.5)
AfD-ESN: 18.5% (+0.5)
SPD-S&D: 16% (+1)
GRÜNE-G/EFA: 13%
BSW-NI: 7.5% (-0.5)
FDP-RE: 4.5% (-0.5)
LINKE-LEFT: 3.5% (+0.5)

+/- vs. 25-29 November 2024

Fieldwork: 29 November-2 December 2024
Sample size: 2,003

➤ https://europeelects.eu/germany

#Norway, Verian poll:

FrP~ECR: 24% (+4)
H-EPP: 23% (-3)
Ap-S&D: 17% (-1)
SV~LEFT: 10% (+1)
Sp~RE: 6% (-2)
V-RE: 6%
R~LEFT: 6%
KrF-EPP: 4% (+1)
MDG-G/EFA: 2% (-1)

+/- vs. 28 October-1 November 2024

Fieldwork: 25-29 November 2024
Sample size: 995

➤ https://europeelects.eu/norway

#Ireland, national parliament election:

174/174 seats declared

FF-RE: 48
SF-LEFT: 39
FG-EPP: 38
Ind.-*: 16
SD→S&D: 11
LAB-S&D: 11
II-RE: 4
PBP/S~LEFT: 3
AON-*: 2
100%RDR-*: 1
Greens-G/EFA: 1

➤ https://europeelects.eu/ireland

#Ireland, national parliament election:
With 174/174 seats declared, Simon Harris' (FG-EPP) outgoing government of FF (RE), FG and Greens (G/EFA) has won exactly half of the number of seats in parliament, with 87. This leaves the coalition 1 seat short of a majority.

➤ https://europeelects.eu/ireland

UK, More in Common poll:

LAB-S&D: 27% (+2)
CON~ECR: 30% (+2)
REFORM~NI: 18% (-1)
LDEM-RE: 12% (-1)
GREENS-G/EFA: 8%
SNP-G/EFA: 2% (-1)
PC-G/EFA: 1%

+/- vs. 19-21 November 2024

Fieldwork: 26–27 November 2024
Sample size: 1,972

➤ https://europeelects.eu/uk
#UnitedKingdom

UK, BMG Research poll:

LAB-S&D: 29% (+1)
CON~ECR: 27% (-2)
REFORM~NI: 20% (+3)
LDEM-RE: 12% (-1)
GREENS-G/EFA: 7% (-1)
SNP-G/EFA: 3% (+1)
PC-G/EFA: 0% (-1)

+/- vs. 30-31 October 2024

Fieldwork: 26–27 November 2024
Sample size: 1,531

➤ https://europeelects.eu/uk
#UnitedKingdom

UK, Find Out Now poll:

LAB-S&D: 25% (-9)
CON~ECR: 27% (+3)
REFORM~NI: 22% (+8)
LDEM-RE: 12%
GREENS-G/EFA: 9% (+2)
SNP-G/EFA: 3%
PC-G/EFA: 1%

+/- vs. 2024 election

Fieldwork: 27 November 2024
Sample size: 2,316

➤ https://europeelects.eu/uk
#UnitedKingdom

UK, Techne poll:

LAB-S&D: 28% (-1)
CON~ECR: 27%
REFORM~NI: 18% (+1)
LDEM-RE: 13% (+1)
GREENS-G/EFA: 6% (-1)
SNP-G/EFA: 2%

+/- vs. 20-21 November 2024

Fieldwork: 27–28 November 2024
Sample size: 1,648

➤ https://europeelects.eu/uk
#UnitedKingdom

UK, Opinium poll:

LAB-S&D: 29% (-1)
CON~ECR: 25% (+1)
REFORM~NI: 21%
LDEM-RE: 10% (-2)
GREENS-G/EFA: 9% (+1)
SNP-G/EFA: 3%
PC-G/EFA: 1%

+/- vs. 11-13 November 2024

Fieldwork: 27–29 November 2024
Sample size: 2,050

➤ https://europeelects.eu/uk
#UnitedKingdom

#Romania: The constitutional court has validated the results of the first round of the presidential election.

Elena Lasconi (USR-RE) won the vote in major cities, while Călin Georgescu (*) secured a plurality in smaller towns and parts of rural areas.

➤ https://europeelects.eu/romania

#Switzerland, Sotomo poll:

UDC/SVP/PPS~RE|ESN|ECR: 30% (+2)
PS/SP-S&D: 18%
PLR/FDP/PLD-RE: 14%
LC/DM/IC/AC-EPP: 14%
V/G-G/EFA: 10%
PVL/GLP-RE: 7% (-1)
PEV/EVP-ECR: 2%

+/- vs. 2023 election

Fieldwork: 28 October - 11 November 2024
Sample size: 4,467

➤ europeelects.eu/switzerland

#Ireland, national parliament election:
Centre-right FF (RE) and centre-right FG (EPP) won a combined 42.7% of the vote in Friday's election. Together, this is their worst showing in Ireland's history.

➤ https://europeelects.eu/ireland

#Germany, Forsa poll:

CDU/CSU-EPP: 32%
AfD-ESN: 18%
SPD-S&D: 16% (+1)
GRÜNE-G/EFA: 12%
LINKE-LEFT: 4%
BSW-NI: 4%
FDP-RE: 3% (-1)

+/- vs. 19-25 November 2024

Fieldwork: 26 November-2 December 2024
Sample size: 2,502

➤ https://europeelects.eu/germany

#Germany, GMS poll:

CDU/CSU-EPP: 34%
AfD-ESN: 17% (-1)
SPD-S&D: 15% (+1)
GRÜNE-G/EFA: 13% (+2)
BSW-NI: 6% (-1)
FDP-RE: 4%
LINKE-LEFT: 3% (+1)
FW-RE: 2% (-1)

+/- vs. 11-16 September 2024

Fieldwork: 27 November-2 December 2024
Sample size: 1,005

➤ https://europeelects.eu/germany

#Portugal, Intercampus poll:

PS-S&D: 30% (+1)
AD-EPP|ECR: 29% (+1)
CH-PfE: 16% (+2)
IL-RE: 8% (+1)
BE-LEFT: 6%
CDU-LEFT|G/EFA: 3% (-1)
L-G/EFA: 3%
PAN-G/EFA: 3% (+1)

+/- vs. 4-10 October 2024

Fieldwork: 21-27 November 2024
Sample size: 605

➤ https://europeelects.eu/portugal

Türkiye, AREA poll:

CHP-S&D: 30%
AKP~NI: 30%
DEM-S&D: 10%
MHP~NI: 8%
İYİ~RE: 7% (-1)
ZP-*: 5% (-2)
YRP-*: 4%
AP-*: 3% (new)

+/- vs. 20-27 October 2024

Fieldwork: 25-27 November 2024
Sample size: 2,000

➤ https://europeelects.eu/turkiye
#Turkey

#France: motion of no confidence against Prime Minister Michel Barnier (LR-EPP)

Majority: 288
Votes in favour of the motion: 331

Barnier lost the National Assembly’s confidence and president Emmanuel Macron (RE-RE) will have to nominate a new Prime Minister. The social security budget bill is also rejected.

After 1962, this is the second time in the history of the Fifth Republic that a motion of no confidence has been adopted.

➤ https://europeelects.eu/france

#Italy, SWG poll:

FdI-ECR: 29%
PD-S&D: 22% (-1)
M5S-LEFT: 12% (+1)
LEGA-PfE: 9%
FI-EPP: 9%
AVS-LEFT|G/EFA: 7%
A-RE: 3%
IV-RE: 3%
+E-RE: 2%
ScN-*: 1%
NM-EPP: 1%

+/- vs. 20-25 November 2024

Fieldwork: 27 November - 2 December 2024
Sample size: 1,200

➤ https://europeelects.eu/italy