#Estonia, Norstat poll:
I-EPP: 28% (+1)
RE-RE: 18%
SDE-S&D: 15% (+2)
KE-RE|ECR: 13% (-4)
EKRE-PfE: 12% (-2)
PP→EPP: 5% (+2)
E200→EPP: 4% (-1)
ERK~ECR: 2% (+2)
EER-G/EFA: 1% (-1)
KOOS-*: 1%
+/- vs. 4-10 November 2024
Fieldwork: 11-17 November 2024
Sample size: 1,000
➤ https://europeelects.eu/estonia
I-EPP: 28% (+1)
RE-RE: 18%
SDE-S&D: 15% (+2)
KE-RE|ECR: 13% (-4)
EKRE-PfE: 12% (-2)
PP→EPP: 5% (+2)
E200→EPP: 4% (-1)
ERK~ECR: 2% (+2)
EER-G/EFA: 1% (-1)
KOOS-*: 1%
+/- vs. 4-10 November 2024
Fieldwork: 11-17 November 2024
Sample size: 1,000
➤ https://europeelects.eu/estonia
November 20, 2024
#Romania, Argument poll:
PSD-S&D: 38% (+6)
AUR-ECR: 20% (+2)
PNL-EPP: 17% (-4)
USR-RE: 16%
S.O.S.RO-NI: 5% (-4)
UDMR-EPP: 2% (-1)
FD→EPP: 2%
+/- vs. 18-23 October 2024
Fieldwork: November 2024
Sample size: 1,100
➤ https://europeelects.eu/romania
PSD-S&D: 38% (+6)
AUR-ECR: 20% (+2)
PNL-EPP: 17% (-4)
USR-RE: 16%
S.O.S.RO-NI: 5% (-4)
UDMR-EPP: 2% (-1)
FD→EPP: 2%
+/- vs. 18-23 October 2024
Fieldwork: November 2024
Sample size: 1,100
➤ https://europeelects.eu/romania
November 21, 2024
Romania, Argument poll:
#Presidential election
Ciolacu (PSD-S&D): 31% (+4)
Lasconi (USR-RE): 17% (+1)
Simion (AUR-ECR): 17% (-1)
Geoană (*): 11% (-4)
Ciucă (PNL-EPP): 8% (-5)
Georgescu (*): 7% (+3)
Diaconescu (*): 6% (+1)
Kelemen (UDMR-EPP): 1%
Orban (FD→EPP): 1%
Terheș (PNCR-ECR): 1% (+1)
Birchall (*): 1%
+/- vs. 18-23 October 2024
Fieldwork: November 2024
Sample size: 1,100
➤ https://europeelects.eu/romania
#Presidential election
Ciolacu (PSD-S&D): 31% (+4)
Lasconi (USR-RE): 17% (+1)
Simion (AUR-ECR): 17% (-1)
Geoană (*): 11% (-4)
Ciucă (PNL-EPP): 8% (-5)
Georgescu (*): 7% (+3)
Diaconescu (*): 6% (+1)
Kelemen (UDMR-EPP): 1%
Orban (FD→EPP): 1%
Terheș (PNCR-ECR): 1% (+1)
Birchall (*): 1%
+/- vs. 18-23 October 2024
Fieldwork: November 2024
Sample size: 1,100
➤ https://europeelects.eu/romania
November 21, 2024
Europe Elects Official
Romania, Argument poll: #Presidential election Ciolacu (PSD-S&D): 31% (+4) Lasconi (USR-RE): 17% (+1) Simion (AUR-ECR): 17% (-1) Geoană (*): 11% (-4) Ciucă (PNL-EPP): 8% (-5) Georgescu (*): 7% (+3) Diaconescu (*): 6% (+1) Kelemen (UDMR-EPP): 1% Orban (FD→EPP):…
#Romania, Argument poll:
Presidential run-off election (different scenarios)
Ciolacu (PSD-S&D): 65%
Ciucă (PNL-EPP): 35%
Ciolacu (PSD-S&D): 58%
Simion (AUR-ECR): 42%
Ciolacu (PSD-S&D): 58% (n.a.)
Lasconi (USR-RE): 42% (n.a.)
Ciolacu (PSD-S&D): 53% (+2)
Geoană (*): 47% (-2)
+/- vs. 18-23 October 2024
Fieldwork: November 2024
Sample size: 1,100
➤ https://europeelects.eu/romania
Presidential run-off election (different scenarios)
Ciolacu (PSD-S&D): 65%
Ciucă (PNL-EPP): 35%
Ciolacu (PSD-S&D): 58%
Simion (AUR-ECR): 42%
Ciolacu (PSD-S&D): 58% (n.a.)
Lasconi (USR-RE): 42% (n.a.)
Ciolacu (PSD-S&D): 53% (+2)
Geoană (*): 47% (-2)
+/- vs. 18-23 October 2024
Fieldwork: November 2024
Sample size: 1,100
➤ https://europeelects.eu/romania
November 21, 2024
Denmark, Verian poll:
A-S&D: 21% (+1)
F-G/EFA: 14 (-3)
I-EPP: 12%
V-RE: 12% (+2)
Æ-ECR: 9% (-1)
Ø-LEFT: 8%
C-EPP: 7%
O-PfE: 5% (-1)
M-RE: 4%
B-RE: 4%
Å→G/EFA: 2% (+1)
+/- vs. 5-11 October 2024
Fieldwork: 6-13 November 2024
Sample size: 2,035
➤ https://europeelects.eu/denmark
A-S&D: 21% (+1)
F-G/EFA: 14 (-3)
I-EPP: 12%
V-RE: 12% (+2)
Æ-ECR: 9% (-1)
Ø-LEFT: 8%
C-EPP: 7%
O-PfE: 5% (-1)
M-RE: 4%
B-RE: 4%
Å→G/EFA: 2% (+1)
+/- vs. 5-11 October 2024
Fieldwork: 6-13 November 2024
Sample size: 2,035
➤ https://europeelects.eu/denmark
November 21, 2024
#Lithuania: the Lithuanian parliament has supported Gintautas Paluckas (LSDP-S&D) in the formation of a new government coalition, which consists of LSDP (S&D), DSVL (G/EFA), NA (*) with 88 in favour, 34 against, and 6 abstentions.
The new government has 86 seats out of 141 in total.
➤ europeelects.eu/lithuania
The new government has 86 seats out of 141 in total.
➤ europeelects.eu/lithuania
Europe Elects
Lithuania - Europe Elects
National Parliament Composition National Poll Average This poll average is the result of a smoothing cubic spline fitted to our dataset of all national polls collected in Lithuania.…
November 21, 2024
#Czechia, NMS poll:
ANO-PfE: 35% (+2)
STAN-EPP: 11% (-1)
ODS-ECR: 10% (-2)
SPD-ESN: 7% (-1)
KSČM-NI: 6% (+1)
Piráti-G/EFA: 6% (-1)
Auto-PfE: 4%
TOP09-EPP: 4%
SocDem-S&D: 3%
Přísaha-PfE: 3% (-1)
KDU/ČSL-EPP: 3%
Svobodní-NI: 2% (+1)
Zelení-G/EFA: 2%
PRO-*: 2% (+1)
Trikolora~ESN: 1%
+/- vs. 4 - 9 October 2024
Fieldwork: 5 - 11 November 2024
Sample size: 1,306
➤ https://europeelects.eu/czechia
ANO-PfE: 35% (+2)
STAN-EPP: 11% (-1)
ODS-ECR: 10% (-2)
SPD-ESN: 7% (-1)
KSČM-NI: 6% (+1)
Piráti-G/EFA: 6% (-1)
Auto-PfE: 4%
TOP09-EPP: 4%
SocDem-S&D: 3%
Přísaha-PfE: 3% (-1)
KDU/ČSL-EPP: 3%
Svobodní-NI: 2% (+1)
Zelení-G/EFA: 2%
PRO-*: 2% (+1)
Trikolora~ESN: 1%
+/- vs. 4 - 9 October 2024
Fieldwork: 5 - 11 November 2024
Sample size: 1,306
➤ https://europeelects.eu/czechia
November 21, 2024
#Hungary, Nézőpont poll:
Fidesz/KDNP-PfE: 46%
TISZA-EPP: 34% (-1)
MH-ESN: 8% (+2)
DK-S&D: 5%
MKKP→G/EFA: 4% (+1)
Momentum-RE: 1%
+/- vs. 14-17 October 2024
Fieldwork: 11-13 November 2024
Sample size: 1,000
➤ https://europeelects.eu/hungary
Fidesz/KDNP-PfE: 46%
TISZA-EPP: 34% (-1)
MH-ESN: 8% (+2)
DK-S&D: 5%
MKKP→G/EFA: 4% (+1)
Momentum-RE: 1%
+/- vs. 14-17 October 2024
Fieldwork: 11-13 November 2024
Sample size: 1,000
➤ https://europeelects.eu/hungary
November 21, 2024
Türkiye, TÜSİAR poll:
CHP-S&D: 29% (-2)
AKP~NI: 29% (-1)
DEM-S&D: 10% (+1)
MHP~NI: 9% (-2)
ZP-*: 5% (+1)
YRP-*: 5% (-3)
İYİ~RE: 4% (+2)
AP-*: 3% (new)
SP: 1% (n.a.)
TİP: 1% (n.a.)
+/- vs. 25-30 June 2024
Fieldwork: 1-3 November 2024
Sample size: 2,670
➤ https://europeelects.eu/turkiye
#Turkey
CHP-S&D: 29% (-2)
AKP~NI: 29% (-1)
DEM-S&D: 10% (+1)
MHP~NI: 9% (-2)
ZP-*: 5% (+1)
YRP-*: 5% (-3)
İYİ~RE: 4% (+2)
AP-*: 3% (new)
SP: 1% (n.a.)
TİP: 1% (n.a.)
+/- vs. 25-30 June 2024
Fieldwork: 1-3 November 2024
Sample size: 2,670
➤ https://europeelects.eu/turkiye
#Turkey
November 21, 2024
#Germany, Infratest dimap poll:
CDU/CSU-EPP: 33% (-1)
AfD-ESN: 19% (+1)
SPD-S&D: 14% (-2)
GRÜNE-G/EFA: 14% (+2)
BSW-NI: 6%
FDP-RE: 4% (-1)
LINKE-LEFT: 3% (n.a.)
+/- vs. 7 November 2024
Fieldwork: 18-20 November 2024
Sample size: 1,318
➤ https://europeelects.eu/germany
CDU/CSU-EPP: 33% (-1)
AfD-ESN: 19% (+1)
SPD-S&D: 14% (-2)
GRÜNE-G/EFA: 14% (+2)
BSW-NI: 6%
FDP-RE: 4% (-1)
LINKE-LEFT: 3% (n.a.)
+/- vs. 7 November 2024
Fieldwork: 18-20 November 2024
Sample size: 1,318
➤ https://europeelects.eu/germany
November 21, 2024
#Romania, AtlasIntel poll:
Presidential election
Ciolacu (PSD-S&D): 24% (-1)
Simion (AUR-ECR): 15% (+1)
Lasconi (USR-RE): 15% (+1)
Ciucă (PNL-EPP): 12% (+2)
Geoană (*): 7% (-2)
Georgescu (*): 6% (-1)
Kelemen (UDMR-EPP): 6% (+2)
Birchall (*): 4% (+1)
Diaconescu (*): 3% (-2)
Terheș (PNCR-ECR): 2% (-1)
Popescu (PNR-*): 2% (+1)
Orban (FD→EPP): 2% (+1)
Păcuraru (ADN-*): 1%
Predoiu (PLAN-*): 0% (-1)
+/- vs. 09-12 November 2024
Fieldwork: 15–20 November 2024
Sample size: 2,003
➤ https://europeelects.eu/romania
Presidential election
Ciolacu (PSD-S&D): 24% (-1)
Simion (AUR-ECR): 15% (+1)
Lasconi (USR-RE): 15% (+1)
Ciucă (PNL-EPP): 12% (+2)
Geoană (*): 7% (-2)
Georgescu (*): 6% (-1)
Kelemen (UDMR-EPP): 6% (+2)
Birchall (*): 4% (+1)
Diaconescu (*): 3% (-2)
Terheș (PNCR-ECR): 2% (-1)
Popescu (PNR-*): 2% (+1)
Orban (FD→EPP): 2% (+1)
Păcuraru (ADN-*): 1%
Predoiu (PLAN-*): 0% (-1)
+/- vs. 09-12 November 2024
Fieldwork: 15–20 November 2024
Sample size: 2,003
➤ https://europeelects.eu/romania
November 21, 2024
#Sweden, Ipsos poll:
S-S&D: 34% (+1)
SD-ECR: 21% (+1)
M-EPP: 19% (+1)
V-LEFT: 8%
MP-G/EFA: 5% (-1)
C-RE: 5%
KD-EPP: 4%
L-RE: 4%
+/- vs. 7-20 October 2024
Fieldwork: 5-18 November 2024
Sample size: 1,616
➤ https://europeelects.eu/sweden
S-S&D: 34% (+1)
SD-ECR: 21% (+1)
M-EPP: 19% (+1)
V-LEFT: 8%
MP-G/EFA: 5% (-1)
C-RE: 5%
KD-EPP: 4%
L-RE: 4%
+/- vs. 7-20 October 2024
Fieldwork: 5-18 November 2024
Sample size: 1,616
➤ https://europeelects.eu/sweden
November 22, 2024
#Estonia, Kantar Emor poll:
I-EPP: 24%
RE-RE: 17%
KE-RE|ECR: 15% (+1)
SDE-S&D: 14% (-1)
EKRE-PfE: 14% (+1)
PP→EPP: 6%
E200→EPP: 4% (+1)
KOOS-*: 2%
ERK~ECR: 2%
EER-G/EFA: 1% (-1)
+/- vs. 10-16 October 2024
Fieldwork: 14-21 November 2024
Sample size: 1,516
➤ https://europeelects.eu/estonia
I-EPP: 24%
RE-RE: 17%
KE-RE|ECR: 15% (+1)
SDE-S&D: 14% (-1)
EKRE-PfE: 14% (+1)
PP→EPP: 6%
E200→EPP: 4% (+1)
KOOS-*: 2%
ERK~ECR: 2%
EER-G/EFA: 1% (-1)
+/- vs. 10-16 October 2024
Fieldwork: 14-21 November 2024
Sample size: 1,516
➤ https://europeelects.eu/estonia
November 22, 2024
#Germany, Allensbach poll:
CDU/CSU-EPP: 37% (+1)
AfD-ESN: 17% (+1)
SPD-S&D: 15%
GRÜNE-G/EFA: 10% (-0.5)
BSW-NI: 7.5% (-1.5)
FDP-RE: 4% (-0.5)
+/- vs. 28 September-11 October 2024
Fieldwork: 2-14 November 2024
Sample size: 1,049
➤ https://europeelects.eu/germany
CDU/CSU-EPP: 37% (+1)
AfD-ESN: 17% (+1)
SPD-S&D: 15%
GRÜNE-G/EFA: 10% (-0.5)
BSW-NI: 7.5% (-1.5)
FDP-RE: 4% (-0.5)
+/- vs. 28 September-11 October 2024
Fieldwork: 2-14 November 2024
Sample size: 1,049
➤ https://europeelects.eu/germany
November 22, 2024
#Germany, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll:
CDU/CSU-EPP: 32% (-1)
AfD-ESN: 18%
SPD-S&D: 16%
GRÜNE-G/EFA: 12%
BSW-NI: 5% (-1)
LINKE-LEFT: 4%
FDP-RE: 3%
+/- vs. 5-7 November 2024
Fieldwork: 19-21 November 2024
Sample size: 1,399
➤ https://europeelects.eu/germany
CDU/CSU-EPP: 32% (-1)
AfD-ESN: 18%
SPD-S&D: 16%
GRÜNE-G/EFA: 12%
BSW-NI: 5% (-1)
LINKE-LEFT: 4%
FDP-RE: 3%
+/- vs. 5-7 November 2024
Fieldwork: 19-21 November 2024
Sample size: 1,399
➤ https://europeelects.eu/germany
November 22, 2024
#Italy, SWG poll:
FdI-ECR: 30%
PD-S&D: 22%
M5S-LEFT: 11%
FI-EPP: 9%
LEGA-PfE: 9%
AVS-LEFT|G/EFA: 7%
A-RE: 3%
IV-RE: 3% (+1)
+E-RE: 2%
ScN-*: 1%
NM-EPP: 1%
PTD-LEFT: 1%
+/- vs. 6-11 November 2024
Fieldwork: 13-19 November 2024
Sample size: 1,200
➤ https://europeelects.eu/italy
FdI-ECR: 30%
PD-S&D: 22%
M5S-LEFT: 11%
FI-EPP: 9%
LEGA-PfE: 9%
AVS-LEFT|G/EFA: 7%
A-RE: 3%
IV-RE: 3% (+1)
+E-RE: 2%
ScN-*: 1%
NM-EPP: 1%
PTD-LEFT: 1%
+/- vs. 6-11 November 2024
Fieldwork: 13-19 November 2024
Sample size: 1,200
➤ https://europeelects.eu/italy
November 22, 2024
#Romania, AtlasIntel poll:
Presidential election
Ciolacu (PSD-S&D): 24%
Lasconi (USR-RE): 18% (+3)
Simion (AUR-ECR): 17% (+2)
Ciucă (PNL-EPP): 14% (+2)
Georgescu (*): 8% (+2)
Geoană (*): 7%
Diaconescu (*): 6%
Kelemen (UDMR-EPP): 3% (-3)
Terheș (PNCR-ECR): 1% (-1)
Orban (FD→EPP): 1% (-1)
Birchall (*): 1% (-3)
Predoiu (PLAN-*): 0%
Păcuraru (ADN-*): 0% (-1)
Popescu (PNR-*): 0% (-2)
+/- vs. 15–20 November 2024
Fieldwork: 20-22 November 2024
Sample size: 1,692
➤ https://europeelects.eu/romania
Presidential election
Ciolacu (PSD-S&D): 24%
Lasconi (USR-RE): 18% (+3)
Simion (AUR-ECR): 17% (+2)
Ciucă (PNL-EPP): 14% (+2)
Georgescu (*): 8% (+2)
Geoană (*): 7%
Diaconescu (*): 6%
Kelemen (UDMR-EPP): 3% (-3)
Terheș (PNCR-ECR): 1% (-1)
Orban (FD→EPP): 1% (-1)
Birchall (*): 1% (-3)
Predoiu (PLAN-*): 0%
Păcuraru (ADN-*): 0% (-1)
Popescu (PNR-*): 0% (-2)
+/- vs. 15–20 November 2024
Fieldwork: 20-22 November 2024
Sample size: 1,692
➤ https://europeelects.eu/romania
November 22, 2024
#Romania, Verifield poll:
Presidential election
Ciolacu (PSD-S&D): 25% (-1)
Lasconi (USR-RE): 19% (+2)
Simion (AUR-ECR): 19%
Georgescu (*): 11% (+6)
Ciucă (PNL-EPP): 9% (+2)
Geoană (*): 8%
Diaconescu (*): 5% (-2)
Kelemen (UDMR-EPP): 3% (-2)
Terheș (PNCR-ECR): 1% (+1)
Birchall (*): 1%
Predoiu (PLAN-*): 0%
Păcuraru (ADN-*): 0% (-1)
Popescu (PNR-*): 0%
+/- vs. 08-14 November 2024
Fieldwork: 20-21 November 2024
Sample size: 1,803
➤ https://europeelects.eu/romania
Presidential election
Ciolacu (PSD-S&D): 25% (-1)
Lasconi (USR-RE): 19% (+2)
Simion (AUR-ECR): 19%
Georgescu (*): 11% (+6)
Ciucă (PNL-EPP): 9% (+2)
Geoană (*): 8%
Diaconescu (*): 5% (-2)
Kelemen (UDMR-EPP): 3% (-2)
Terheș (PNCR-ECR): 1% (+1)
Birchall (*): 1%
Predoiu (PLAN-*): 0%
Păcuraru (ADN-*): 0% (-1)
Popescu (PNR-*): 0%
+/- vs. 08-14 November 2024
Fieldwork: 20-21 November 2024
Sample size: 1,803
➤ https://europeelects.eu/romania
November 22, 2024
❗️Wake up, first-ever All Elects Fundraiser dropped❗️
In 2024, Europe Elects was able to continue:
- covering and aggregating polls from all over Europe
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- maintaining its election calendar
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We were able to do so thanks to our network, as well as your support. This time, we are asking for your help maintaining Europe Elects, Africa Elects, America Elects, Asia Elects, and Oceania Elects. Every amount counts!
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In 2024, Europe Elects was able to continue:
- covering and aggregating polls from all over Europe
- covering elections all over Europe
- releasing in-house European Parliament Projections
- maintaining its election calendar
- maintaining its databases of political parties
We were able to do so thanks to our network, as well as your support. This time, we are asking for your help maintaining Europe Elects, Africa Elects, America Elects, Asia Elects, and Oceania Elects. Every amount counts!
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All-Elects Fundraiser (2024-2025), organized by Europe Elects UG
Last year, we as Europe Elects launched a fundraiser to ensure the continuation of … Europe Elects UG needs your support for All-Elects Fundraiser (2024-2025)
November 22, 2024
#Germany, INSA poll:
CDU/CSU-EPP: 32%
AfD-ESN: 19%
SPD-S&D: 14% (-2)
GRÜNE-G/EFA: 11%
BSW-NI: 7% (-0.5)
FDP-RE: 5% (+0.5)
LINKE-LEFT: 4% (+0.5)
+/- vs. 15-18 November 2024
Fieldwork: 18-21 November 2024
Sample size: 1,203
➤ https://europeelects.eu/germany
CDU/CSU-EPP: 32%
AfD-ESN: 19%
SPD-S&D: 14% (-2)
GRÜNE-G/EFA: 11%
BSW-NI: 7% (-0.5)
FDP-RE: 5% (+0.5)
LINKE-LEFT: 4% (+0.5)
+/- vs. 15-18 November 2024
Fieldwork: 18-21 November 2024
Sample size: 1,203
➤ https://europeelects.eu/germany
November 23, 2024