#Finland, Taloustutkimus poll:
Kok-EPP: 21% (−1)
SDP-S&D: 20% (+1)
PS-ID: 19% (+1)
Kesk-RE: 10%
Vas-LEFT: 9% (+1)
Vihr-G/EFA: 9% (−1)
SFP-RE: 4%
KD-EPP: 4%
Liik~NI: 2%
+/− vs. January 2023
Fieldwork: 6 – 28 February 2023
Sample size: 2,459 (1,711)
➤https://europeelects.eu/finland
Kok-EPP: 21% (−1)
SDP-S&D: 20% (+1)
PS-ID: 19% (+1)
Kesk-RE: 10%
Vas-LEFT: 9% (+1)
Vihr-G/EFA: 9% (−1)
SFP-RE: 4%
KD-EPP: 4%
Liik~NI: 2%
+/− vs. January 2023
Fieldwork: 6 – 28 February 2023
Sample size: 2,459 (1,711)
➤https://europeelects.eu/finland
Estonia, RAIT Faktum&Ariko poll:
R-RE: 24% (-5)
EKRE-ID: 22% (+4)
K-RE: 17% (-6)
E200→RE: 13% (+9)
I-EPP: 8% (-3)
SDE-S&D: 8% (-2)
ER-G/EFA: 2%
P→EPP: 1% (new)
+/- vs. 2019 election
Fieldwork: 10-27 February 2023
Sample size: 959
➤ https://europeelects.eu/estonia
R-RE: 24% (-5)
EKRE-ID: 22% (+4)
K-RE: 17% (-6)
E200→RE: 13% (+9)
I-EPP: 8% (-3)
SDE-S&D: 8% (-2)
ER-G/EFA: 2%
P→EPP: 1% (new)
+/- vs. 2019 election
Fieldwork: 10-27 February 2023
Sample size: 959
➤ https://europeelects.eu/estonia
NEW: Estonians go to the polls on Sunday to elect their 15th parliament.
There are suggestions that the elections represent a paradigm shift, yet in a way a return to relative normalcy after 2016.
Read our preview: https://t.co/PSQ1GJmMDh
There are suggestions that the elections represent a paradigm shift, yet in a way a return to relative normalcy after 2016.
Read our preview: https://t.co/PSQ1GJmMDh
Europe Elects
Estonian Parliamentary Election: Return to Normality (Sort of) - Europe Elects
The 5th of March 2023 marks polling day for the elections that are to deliver onto the world the 15th Parliament of the Republic of Estonia. With the…
Estonia, Kantar Emor poll:
R-RE: 29% (+1)
K-RE: 16% (+2)
E200→RE: 15% (+1)
EKRE-ID: 14% (-4)
SDE-S&D: 12% (+2)
I-EPP: 7% (-2)
P→EPP: 2%
ER-G/EFA: 2% (-1)
+/- vs. 20-22 February 2023
Fieldwork: 28 February - 2 March 2023
Sample size: 1,613
➤ https://europeelects.eu/estonia
R-RE: 29% (+1)
K-RE: 16% (+2)
E200→RE: 15% (+1)
EKRE-ID: 14% (-4)
SDE-S&D: 12% (+2)
I-EPP: 7% (-2)
P→EPP: 2%
ER-G/EFA: 2% (-1)
+/- vs. 20-22 February 2023
Fieldwork: 28 February - 2 March 2023
Sample size: 1,613
➤ https://europeelects.eu/estonia
Europe Elects Official
V-Dem Electoral Democracy Index (2023): Top 10 countries covered by Europe Elects 🇩🇰 0.92 (+0.01) 🇨🇭 0.90 (+0.01) 🇳🇴 0.90 🇸🇪 0.90 (-0.01) 🇧🇪 0.89 (+0.01) 🇮🇪 0.89 (+0.01) 🇪🇪 0.89 🇫🇷 0.88 (+0.01) 🇱🇺 0.88 🇪🇸 0.87 (+0.01) +/- vs. 2022
The V-Dem Electoral Democracy Index measures the principle of electoral or representative democracy, including whether elections were free and fair, as well as the prevalence of a free and independent media.
#Estonia, national parliament election:
Turnout early voting 2 March 19:00 CET (20:00 EET):
...
2015: 33.0%
2019: 39.3%
2023: 27.2%
Source: National Electoral Committee
➤ https://europeelects.eu/estonia
Turnout early voting 2 March 19:00 CET (20:00 EET):
...
2015: 33.0%
2019: 39.3%
2023: 27.2%
Source: National Electoral Committee
➤ https://europeelects.eu/estonia
#Croatia, 2x1 komunikacije poll:
HDZ-EPP: 29% (-1)
SDP-S&D: 18%
Možemo!~G/EFA: 12%
Most→ECR: 11%
DP→ECR: 9% (+1)
HSU-*: 4%
SD~S&D: 4% (+1)
Centar-RE: 3%
HS-ECR: 3%
...
+/- vs. 15-27 December 2022
Fieldwork: February 2023
Sample size: N/A
➤ https://europeelects.eu/croatia
HDZ-EPP: 29% (-1)
SDP-S&D: 18%
Možemo!~G/EFA: 12%
Most→ECR: 11%
DP→ECR: 9% (+1)
HSU-*: 4%
SD~S&D: 4% (+1)
Centar-RE: 3%
HS-ECR: 3%
...
+/- vs. 15-27 December 2022
Fieldwork: February 2023
Sample size: N/A
➤ https://europeelects.eu/croatia
#Italy, Noto poll:
FdI-ECR: 28.5%
PD-S&D: 19.5% (+3.5)
M5S-NI: 16.5% (-3)
LEGA-ID: 10%
A/IV-RE: 8% (+0.5)
FI-EPP: 8%
AVS-LEFT|G/EFA: 1.5% (-1)
+E-RE: 1.5% (-0.5)
NM-EPP: 1.5%
+/- vs. 13 February 2023
Fieldwork: N/A
Sample size: 1,000
➤ https://europeelects.eu/italy
FdI-ECR: 28.5%
PD-S&D: 19.5% (+3.5)
M5S-NI: 16.5% (-3)
LEGA-ID: 10%
A/IV-RE: 8% (+0.5)
FI-EPP: 8%
AVS-LEFT|G/EFA: 1.5% (-1)
+E-RE: 1.5% (-0.5)
NM-EPP: 1.5%
+/- vs. 13 February 2023
Fieldwork: N/A
Sample size: 1,000
➤ https://europeelects.eu/italy
Europe Elects Official
V-Dem Participatory Democracy Index (2023): Top 10 countries covered by Europe Elects 🇨🇭 0.88 🇮🇹 0.76 🇩🇰 0.71 🇱🇹 0.70 🇮🇸 0.69 🇷🇴 0.69 (-0.04) 🇸🇮 0.68 🇲🇹 0.67 🇧🇬 0.67 (-0.03) 🇩🇪 0.66 +/- vs. 2022
This index measures the degree to which citizens participate in their own government(s) through local democratic institutions, direct democracy mechanisms, civil society organizations, and the concepts measured in the electoral democracy index.
#Bulgaria, Sova Harris poll:
GERB/SDS-EPP: 27% (+2)
PP/DB-EPP|G/EFA: 26% (-1)
DPS-RE: 12% (-2)
V~NI: 11% (+1)
BSP-S&D: 10% (+1)
Levitsata-*: 4% (+3)
BV~NI: 4% (-1)
...
+/− vs. 2022 election
Fieldwork: 20 –27 February 2023
Sample size: 1,000
➤ https://europeelects.eu/bulgaria/
GERB/SDS-EPP: 27% (+2)
PP/DB-EPP|G/EFA: 26% (-1)
DPS-RE: 12% (-2)
V~NI: 11% (+1)
BSP-S&D: 10% (+1)
Levitsata-*: 4% (+3)
BV~NI: 4% (-1)
...
+/− vs. 2022 election
Fieldwork: 20 –27 February 2023
Sample size: 1,000
➤ https://europeelects.eu/bulgaria/
#Germany, Infratest dimap poll:
CDU/CSU-EPP: 31% (+2)
SPD-S&D: 18% (-1)
GRÜNE-G/EFA: 17%
AfD-ID: 14% (-1)
FDP-RE: 6%
LINKE-LEFT: 5%
+/- vs. 14-15 February 2023
Fieldwork: 27 February-1 March 2023
Sample size: 1,311
➤ https://europeelects.eu/germany
CDU/CSU-EPP: 31% (+2)
SPD-S&D: 18% (-1)
GRÜNE-G/EFA: 17%
AfD-ID: 14% (-1)
FDP-RE: 6%
LINKE-LEFT: 5%
+/- vs. 14-15 February 2023
Fieldwork: 27 February-1 March 2023
Sample size: 1,311
➤ https://europeelects.eu/germany
#France, Cluster17 poll:
"Do you support the following figures?" (% of yes)
Macron (RE-RE): 14% (-1)
Mélenchon (LFI-LEFT): 13% (-1)
Le Pen (RN-ID): 13% (-3)
…
+/- vs. 27-29 January 2023
Fieldwork: 25-26 February 2023
Sample size: 1,801
➤ https://europeelects.eu/france
"Do you support the following figures?" (% of yes)
Macron (RE-RE): 14% (-1)
Mélenchon (LFI-LEFT): 13% (-1)
Le Pen (RN-ID): 13% (-3)
…
+/- vs. 27-29 January 2023
Fieldwork: 25-26 February 2023
Sample size: 1,801
➤ https://europeelects.eu/france
Bulgaria, Mediana poll:
GERB/SDS-EPP: 25%
PP/DB-EPP|G/EFA: 23% (-4)
V~NI: 13% (+3)
DPS-RE: 11% (-3)
BSP-S&D: 9%
BV~NI: 5%
Levitsata-*: 4% (+3)
...
+/− vs. 2022 election
Fieldwork: 19 –24 February 2023
Sample size: 973
➤ https://europeelects.eu/bulgaria/
GERB/SDS-EPP: 25%
PP/DB-EPP|G/EFA: 23% (-4)
V~NI: 13% (+3)
DPS-RE: 11% (-3)
BSP-S&D: 9%
BV~NI: 5%
Levitsata-*: 4% (+3)
...
+/− vs. 2022 election
Fieldwork: 19 –24 February 2023
Sample size: 973
➤ https://europeelects.eu/bulgaria/
Poland, IBRiS poll:
PiS-ECR: 37% (+1)
KO-EPP|RE|G/EFA: 29% (-1)
Lewica-S&D: 10%
PL2050-RE: 8% (-2)
Kon~NI: 8% (+1)
PSL-EPP: 7% (+1)
+/- vs. 14-15 January 2023
Fieldwork: 28 February - 1 March 2023
Sample size: 1,100
➤ https://europeelects.eu/poland
PiS-ECR: 37% (+1)
KO-EPP|RE|G/EFA: 29% (-1)
Lewica-S&D: 10%
PL2050-RE: 8% (-2)
Kon~NI: 8% (+1)
PSL-EPP: 7% (+1)
+/- vs. 14-15 January 2023
Fieldwork: 28 February - 1 March 2023
Sample size: 1,100
➤ https://europeelects.eu/poland
UK (GB), YouGov poll:
LAB-S&D: 46% (-4)
CON~ECR: 23% (+1)
LDEM-RE: 9%
REFORM~NI: 8% (+1)
GREENS-G/EFA: 7% (+1)
SNP-G/EFA: 4%
PC-G/EFA: 1%
+/- vs. 14-15 Feb
Fieldwork: 21-22 February 2023
Sample size: 2,003
➤ https://europeelects.eu/uk
LAB-S&D: 46% (-4)
CON~ECR: 23% (+1)
LDEM-RE: 9%
REFORM~NI: 8% (+1)
GREENS-G/EFA: 7% (+1)
SNP-G/EFA: 4%
PC-G/EFA: 1%
+/- vs. 14-15 Feb
Fieldwork: 21-22 February 2023
Sample size: 2,003
➤ https://europeelects.eu/uk
UK (GB), Deltapoll poll:
LAB-S&D: 46% (-4)
CON~ECR: 31% (+3)
LDEM-RE: 8% (-1)
REFORM~NI: 5% (+3)
GREENS-G/EFA: 4% (+1)
SNP-G/EFA: 3% (-1)
PC-G/EFA: 1%
UKIP~ID: 1%
+/- vs. 17-20 Feb
Fieldwork: 24-27 February 2023
Sample size: 1,060
➤ https://europeelects.eu/uk
LAB-S&D: 46% (-4)
CON~ECR: 31% (+3)
LDEM-RE: 8% (-1)
REFORM~NI: 5% (+3)
GREENS-G/EFA: 4% (+1)
SNP-G/EFA: 3% (-1)
PC-G/EFA: 1%
UKIP~ID: 1%
+/- vs. 17-20 Feb
Fieldwork: 24-27 February 2023
Sample size: 1,060
➤ https://europeelects.eu/uk
UK, Savanta poll:
LAB-S&D: 44% (-1)
CON~ECR: 29% (-2)
LDEM-RE: 9%
REFORM~NI: 6% (+2)
SNP-G/EFA: 4% (+1)
GREENS-G/EFA: 3%
+/- vs. 17-19 Feb
Fieldwork: 24-26 February 2023
Sample size: 2,224
➤https://europeelects.eu/uk
LAB-S&D: 44% (-1)
CON~ECR: 29% (-2)
LDEM-RE: 9%
REFORM~NI: 6% (+2)
SNP-G/EFA: 4% (+1)
GREENS-G/EFA: 3%
+/- vs. 17-19 Feb
Fieldwork: 24-26 February 2023
Sample size: 2,224
➤https://europeelects.eu/uk
Moldova, iData poll:
Presidential election
Sandu (*-EPP): 34% (+7)
Dodon (PSRM~LEFT): 20% (-4)
Șor (PPȘ~ECR): 14% (+1)
Ceban (MAN-*): 13% (+3)
Chicu (PDCM-*): 8% (+3)
...
+/- vs. 15–26 December 2022
Fieldwork: 15-24 February 2023
Sample size: 1,040
➤ https://europeelects.eu/moldova
Presidential election
Sandu (*-EPP): 34% (+7)
Dodon (PSRM~LEFT): 20% (-4)
Șor (PPȘ~ECR): 14% (+1)
Ceban (MAN-*): 13% (+3)
Chicu (PDCM-*): 8% (+3)
...
+/- vs. 15–26 December 2022
Fieldwork: 15-24 February 2023
Sample size: 1,040
➤ https://europeelects.eu/moldova