#Croatia, Ipsos poll:

Presidential election

Milanović (*-S&D): 41%
Primorac (*-EPP): 23% (-5)
Selak-Raspudić (*): 12% (+3)
Kekin (Možemo!-G/EFA): 11% (+3)
Bulj (Most→ECR): 5%
…

+/- vs. 1-20 November 2024

Fieldwork: 26 December 2024
Sample size: 608

➤ https://europeelects.eu/croatia/

#Croatia, Ipsos poll:

Presidential run-off election

Scenario: Milanović (*-S&D) vs. Primorac (*-EPP)

Milanović (*-S&D): 66% (+12)
Primorac (*-EPP): 34% (+4)

+/- vs. 1-20 November2024

Fieldwork: 26 December2024
Sample size: 608

➤ https://europeelects.eu/croatia/

#Switzerland: on 9 February 2025, voters will cast their votes in one ballot on environmental protection.

The first LeeWas poll shows a dynamic against the ballot.

Fieldwork: 18-19 December 2024
Sample size: 10,139

➤ europeelects.eu/switzerland

#Croatia, presidential election today (first round):

➤ Eligible voters: 3,762,221
➤ Polling stations open: 7:00-19:00 CET
➤ Incumbent: Zoran Milanović (*-S&D) running for re-election
➤ 8 candidates running

➤ https://europeelects.eu/croatia

#Croatia, presidential election (first round) today:

Turnout at 4:30 PM CET (excluding overseas turnout)

2005: 41.92%
2009: 33.87%
2014: 36.36%
2019: 38.82%
2024: 36.09%

Note: figures before 2019 reflect turnout as of 4 PM CET

Source: State Election Commission

➤ https://europeelects.eu/croatia

UK (GB), More in Common poll:

MRP seat projection

LAB-S&D: 228 (-183)
CON~ECR: 222 (+101)
REFORM~NI: 72 (+67)
LDEM-RE: 58 (-14)
SNP-G/EFA: 37 (+28)
PC-G/EFA: 4
GREENS-G/EFA: 2 (-2)

+/- vs. 2024 election

Fieldwork: 31 October - 16 December 2024
Sample size: 11,024

➤ https://europeelects.eu/uk
#UnitedKingdom

#Latvia, SKDS poll:

NA-ECR: 18% (+2)
LPV-PfE: 15% (+1)
JV-EPP: 13% (-1)
P-G/EFA: 11% (-1)
AS-ECR: 8%
ZZS~RE|S&D: 8% (-1)
ST!→NI: 7% (-1)
S-S&D: 6%
SV-ECR: 5%
LA-RE: 3% (-1)
JKP→EPP: 2%
PLV-NI: 1%
Par!-RE: 1%
P21-*: 1% (+1)

+/- vs. November 2024

Fieldwork: December 2024
Sample size: 1,739

➤ https://europeelects.eu/latvia

Türkiye, HBS poll:

CHP-S&D: 32%
AKP~NI: 30% (+1)
DEM-S&D: 9% (-1)
MHP~NI: 9%
İYİ~RE: 6%
ZP-*: 5% (+1)
YRP-*: 5% (-2)
AP-*: 2% (new)

+/- vs. 1-3 November 2024

Fieldwork: December 2024
Sample size: 3,200

➤ https://europeelects.eu/turkiye
#Turkey

Türkiye, HBS poll:

Presidential election (question: who do you want to see as president?)

Yavaş (CHP-S&D): 32%
Erdoğan (AKP~NI): 32% (-18)
İmamoğlu (CHP-S&D): 21%
Özdağ (ZP-*): 6% (+1)
Erbakan (YRP-*): 4% (new)
Ağıralioğlu (AP-*): 2% (new)

+/- vs. 2023 election

Fieldwork: December 2024
Sample size: 3,200

➤ https://europeelects.eu/turkiye
#Turkey

Türkiye, AREA poll:

AKP~NI: 30%
CHP-S&D: 27% (-3)
MHP~NI: 10% (+2)
DEM-S&D: 9% (-1)
İYİ~RE: 7%
ZP-*: 5%
YRP-*: 4%
TİP-*: 2% (n.a.)
AP-*: 2% (-1)
DEVA-*: 1% (n.a.)

+/- vs. 25-27 November 2024

Fieldwork: 25-27 December 2024
Sample size: 2,024

➤ https://europeelects.eu/turkiye
#Turkey

Türkiye, AREA poll:

Presidential election (scenario: first round polls with Erdoğan (AKP~NI) vs. CHP (S&D) candidate)

Yavaş (CHP-S&D): 62% (+17)
Erdoğan (AKP~NI): 38% (-12)

İmamoğlu (CHP-S&D): 55% (+10)
Erdoğan (AKP~NI): 45% (-5)

Erdoğan (AKP~NI): 53% (+3)
Özel (CHP-S&D): 47% (+2)

+/- vs. 2023 election

Fieldwork: 25-27 December 2024
Sample size: 2,024

➤ https://europeelects.eu/turkiye
#Turkey

#Croatia, presidential election today (first round):

Polling stations across Croatia have now closed. Exit polls will be released in a matter of minutes, which will be posted here.

Preliminary results will be available after 8PM CET tonight.

➤ https://europeelects.eu/croatia

#Croatia, presidential election (first round):

7PM CET Ipsos exit poll:

Milanović (*-S&D): 51.5 % (+20.6)
Primorac (*-EPP): 19.3 % (-7.7)
Selak-Raspudić (*): 8.8 % (new)
Kekin (Možemo-G/EFA): 8.3 % (new)
Jonjić (HSP-*): 4.0 % (new)
Bulj (Most→ECR): 3.5 % (new)
Lozo (DOMiNO-ECR): 2.6 % (new)
Tokić Kartelo (*): 0.8 % (new)

+/- vs. 2019 election

➤ https://europeelects.eu/croatia

#Croatia, presidential election (first round):

7:50 PM CET Ipsos exit poll:

Milanović (*-S&D): 50.7 % (-0.8)
Primorac (*-EPP): 19.0 % (-0.2)
Selak-Raspudić (*): 9.3 % (+0.5)
Kekin (Možemo-G/EFA): 8.8 % (+0.5)
Jonjić (HSP-*): 3.9 % (-0.1)
Bulj (Most→ECR): 3.7 % (+0.2)
Lozo (DOMiNO-ECR): 2.5 % (-0.1)
Tokić Kartelo (*): 0.9 % (+0.1)

+/- vs. 7PM CET Ipsos exit poll

➤ https://europeelects.eu/croatia

#Croatia, presidential election (first round) today:

Ipsos exit poll shows that the incumbent Zoran Milanović (*-S&D) is set to win a majority of the votes.

If the State Electoral Commission (DIP) confirms this result as final, Milanović has won the presidential election in the first round. This would be the first time that a candidate wins a presidential election in the first round since 1997. It would also mark the highest result for SDP (S&D)-supported candidate in Croatian history.

➤ https://europeelects.eu/croatia

#Croatia, presidential election (first round) today:

Ipsos exit poll shows that the HDZ (EPP)-supported candidate Dragan Primorac has won 19.0% of the votes.

If the State Electoral Commission (DIP) confirms this result as final, it will be the worst result for HDZ (EPP)-supported candidate since 2009. Since the transition from a semi-presidential to a parliamentary system in 2000, HDZ (EPP)-supported candidates have never won a majority of votes in the first round of Presidential elections.

➤ https://europeelects.eu/croatia

#Croatia, presidential election (first round) today:

According to the Ipsos exit poll, candidate Dragan Primorac (*-EPP) is set to secure a second place. This is the third consecutive presidential election where HDZ (EPP)-supported candidate occupies a second place.

➤ https://europeelects.eu/croatia

#Croatia, presidential election (first round) today:

80.3% counted:

Milanović (*-S&D): 49.9% (+20.0)
Primorac (*-EPP): 20.7% (-6.3)
Selak-Raspudić (*): 8.6% (new)
Kekin (Možemo-G/EFA): 8.1% (new)
Jonjić (HSP-*): 4.5% (new)
Bulj (Most→ECR): 3.8% (new)
Lozo (DOMiNO-ECR): 2.4% (new)
Tokić Kartelo (*): 0.9% (new)

+/- vs. 2019 election

➤ https://europeelects.eu/croatia

#Croatia, presidential election (first round):

91.2% counted:

Milanović (*-S&D): 49.4% (-0.5)
Primorac (*-EPP): 20.1% (-0.6)
Selak-Raspudić (*): 8.9% (+0.3)
Kekin (Možemo-G/EFA): 8.4% (+0.3)
Jonjić (HSP-*): 4.5% (-0.3)
Bulj (Most→ECR): 3.8%
Lozo (DOMiNO-ECR): 2.4%
Tokić Kartelo (*): 0.9%

+/- vs. 80.3% counted

➤ https://europeelects.eu/croatia

#Croatia, presidential election (first round):

96.8% counted:

Milanović (*-S&D): 49.3% (-0.1)
Primorac (*-EPP): 19.5% (-0.6)
Selak-Raspudić (*): 9.2% (+0.3)
Kekin (Možemo-G/EFA): 8.8% (+0.4)
Jonjić (HSP-*): 5.0% (+0.2)
Bulj (Most→ECR): 3.8%
Lozo (DOMiNO-ECR): 2.4%
Tokić Kartelo (*): 0.9%

+/- vs. 91.2% counted

➤ https://europeelects.eu/croatia