#Poland, United Surveys poll:

Scenario: PL2050 (RE) and PSL (EPP) run separately

KO-EPP|RE|G/EFA: 36% (+5)
PiS-ECR: 32% (-3)
Kon-ESN|PfE|NI: 11% (+4)
NL-S&D: 8% (n.a.)
PL2050-RE: 7% (n.a.)
PSL-EPP: 5% (n.a.)
Razem-LEFT: 1% (n.a.)

+/- vs. 2023 election

Fieldwork: 8-10 November 2024
Sample size: 1,000

➤ https://europeelects.eu/poland

#Slovakia: liberal PS (RE) reaches an all-time national record high with 25.1% in the latest NMS poll.

If repeated in an national election, it would be the highest result for a list led by the party since it was founded in 2017.

In June 2024, the party has won the European Parliament election in Slovakia with 27.8%.

➤ https://europeelects.eu/slovakia/

#Netherlands, Ipsos-I&O poll:

PVV-PfE: 24% (-1)
GL/PvdA-G/EFA|S&D: 16% (-1)
VVD-RE: 14%
D66-RE: 8% (+1)
CDA-EPP: 7%
SP~LEFT: 5%
PvdD-LEFT: 5%
BBB-EPP: 4%
DENK-*: 3% (+1)
CU-EPP: 2%
NSC-EPP: 2% (-1)
FvD-ESN: 2%
Volt-G/EFA: 2% (-1)
SGP-ECR: 2%
JA21~ECR: 1%

+/- vs. 18-21 October 2024

Fieldwork: 9-11 November 2024
Sample size: 2,020

➤ https://europeelects.eu/netherlands

Türkiye, SONAR poll:

CHP-S&D: 33% (-4)
AKP~NI: 28% (+3)
DEM-S&D: 9%
MHP~NI: 7% (-4)
İYİ~RE: 7%
ZP-*: 6%
YRP-*: 6% (+2)

+/- vs. September 2024

Fieldwork: October 2024
Sample size: N/A

➤ https://europeelects.eu/turkiye
#Turkey

#Romania, INSCOP poll:

Presidential election

Ciolacu (PSD-S&D): 25% (+1)
Simion (AUR-ECR): 19% (-1)
Lasconi (USR-RE): 14% (-1)
Geoană (*): 13% (-4)
Ciucă (PNL-EPP): 9% (+1)
Georgescu (*): 5% (n.a.)
Diaconescu (*): 5%
Kelemen (UDMR-EPP): 4%
Terheș (PNCR-ECR): 2%
Orban (FD→EPP): 1%
Birchall (*): 1%
Păcuraru (ADN-*): 1% (n.a.)

+/- vs. 11-18 October 2024

Fieldwork: 7-12 November 2024
Sample size: 1,100

➤ https://europeelects.eu/romania

#Switzerland: on 24 November, voters will cast their votes in four ballots on highways, tenancy law and health insurance.

The second LeeWas poll shows a dynamic against three ballots and an open race for the fourth ballot.

+/- vs. 2-3 October 2024

Fieldwork: 6-7 November 2024
Sample size: 11,961

➤ europeelects.eu/switzerland

#Romania, AtlasIntel poll:

Presidential election

Ciolacu (PSD-S&D): 25% (+14)
Simion (AUR-ECR): 14%
Lasconi (USR-RE): 14% (n.a.)
Ciucă (PNL-EPP): 10% (+4)
Geoană (*): 9% (-23)
Georgescu (*): 7% (n.a.)
Diaconescu (*): 5% (n.a.)
Kelemen (UDMR-EPP): 4% (+3)
Birchall (*): 3% (n.a.)
Terheș (PNCR-ECR): 3% (n.a.)
Orban (FD-→EPP): 1% (n.a.)
Predoiu (PLAN-*): 1% (n.a.)
Păcuraru (ADN-*): 1% (n.a.)
Popescu (PNR-*): 1% (n.a.)

+/- vs. 05-09 April 2024

Fieldwork: 09-12 November 2024
Sample size: 3,035

➤ https://europeelects.eu/romania

#Sweden, Indikator Opinion poll:

S-S&D: 33% (-1)
SD-ECR: 21% (+1)
M-EPP: 18% (-1)
V-LEFT: 9% (+1)
MP-G/EFA: 6% (-1)
C-RE: 5%
KD-EPP: 4%
L-RE: 3%

+/- vs. 26 August - 22 September 2024

Fieldwork: 7-29 October 2024
Sample size: 6,811

➤ https://europeelects.eu/sweden

#Sweden, Demoskop poll:

S-S&D: 32%
M-EPP: 20%
SD-ECR: 20% (+1)
V-LEFT: 8%
MP-G/EFA: 8% (+1)
C-RE: 5%
KD-EPP: 4% (+1)
L-RE: 3%

+/- vs. 22 September - 8 October 2024

Fieldwork: 26 October - 11 November 2024
Sample size: 2,508

➤ https://europeelects.eu/sweden

#Sweden, Verian poll:

S-S&D: 35% (+2)
M-EPP: 19% (-1)
SD-ECR: 19%
V-LEFT: 8% (-1)
MP-G/EFA: 6%
C-RE: 5%
KD-EPP: 4%
L-RE: 3%

+/- vs. 23 September - 6 October 2024

Fieldwork: 28 October - 10 November 2024
Sample size: 3,000

➤ https://europeelects.eu/sweden

#Germany, YouGov poll:

CDU/CSU-EPP: 33% (+1)
AfD-ESN: 19% (+1)
SPD-S&D: 15% (-1)
GRÜNE-G/EFA: 12% (+1)
BSW-NI: 7% (-1)
FDP-RE: 5%
LINKE-LEFT: 3%
FW-RE: 1%

+/- vs. 4-8 October 2024

Fieldwork: 8-12 November 2024
Sample size: 1,805

➤ https://europeelects.eu/germany

#Hungary, IDEA poll:

TISZA-EPP: 41% (+4)
Fidesz/KDNP-PfE: 38% (-1)
MH-ESN: 7%
DK-S&D: 6% (-1)
MKKP→G/EFA: 3% (-1)
NP-*: 2% (+1)
Momentum-RE: 1% (-1)
2RK-*: 1%

+/- vs. 27 September - 7 October 2024

Fieldwork: 31 October – 8 November 2024
Sample size: 1,500

➤ https://europeelects.eu/hungary

#Spain, DYM poll:

PP-EPP: 33% (-4)
PSOE-S&D: 28% (-1)
VOX-PfE: 13% (+2)
Sumar-LEFT|G/EFA: 8%
Podemos-LEFT: 5% (+2)
SALF-NI: 2%

+/- vs. 16-18 October 2024

Fieldwork: 8-11 November 2024
Sample size: 1,015

➤ https://europeelects.eu/spain

#Iceland, Maskína poll:

S-S&D: 20% (-1)
C-RE: 20% (+1)
D-EPP: 13%
M~EPP|RE: 13% (-2)
F~RE: 9%
B~RE: 7% (-1)
J-*: 6% (+1)
P-G/EFA: 5%
V~LEFT: 3%
L-*: 2%
Y-*: 1%

+/- vs. 1-6 November 2024

Fieldwork: 8-13 November 2024
Sample size: 1,406

➤ https://europeelects.eu/iceland/

#Iceland: The centre to centre-right Liberal Reform Party (C-RE) rises to 19.9% in the latest Maskína poll. This is the highest poll result for C ever.

If repeated in a national parliament election, it would be the best result for C in its history.

➤ https://europeelects.eu/iceland

#Norway, InFact poll:

FrP~ECR: 24% (+1)
H-EPP: 20%
Ap-S&D: 18% (-3)
SV~LEFT: 8% (+2)
R~LEFT: 7% (+1)
Sp~RE: 6% (-1)
V-RE: 5%
MDG-G/EFA: 4% (+1)
KrF-EPP: 4%

+/- vs. 3 October 2024

Fieldwork: 4 November 2024
Sample size: 1,124

➤ https://europeelects.eu/norway

#Norway, Norfakta poll:

H-EPP: 22% (-2)
FrP~ECR: 21% (+5)
Ap-S&D: 21% (+1)
SV~LEFT: 9% (-1)
Sp~RE: 7% (+1)
R~LEFT: 5% (-1)
V-RE: 4% (-1)
MDG-G/EFA: 3%
KrF-EPP: 3%

+/- vs. 1-2 October 2024

Fieldwork: 5-6 November 2024
Sample size: 1,000

➤ https://europeelects.eu/norway

#Alderney (UK Crown Dependency), parliament election today:

➤ Eligible voters: ~1,400
➤ Polls open: 10:30AM - 7.30PM CEST (9.30AM - 6.30PM local time)
➤ 5/10 members of parliament up for election
➤ Electoral system: plurality block voting
➤ Voting age: 16

#UnitedKingdom

UK (#Cayman Islands): Premier Jualiana O’Connor (UPM, *) has announced that the next territorial election will be held on April 30.

This comes after 4 MPs of the governing United People’s Movement resigned from the party, losing them their majority.

#UnitedKingdom

#Germany, INSA poll:

CDU/CSU-EPP: 32% (-0.5)
AfD-ESN: 19% (-0.5)
SPD-S&D: 16% (+0.5)
GRÜNE-G/EFA: 10% (-1.5)
BSW-NI: 8% (+1)
FDP-RE: 4% (-1)
LINKE-LEFT: 4% (+0.5)

+/- vs. 8-11 November 2024

Fieldwork: 11-15 November 2024
Sample size: 1,204

➤ https://europeelects.eu/germany