#Germany (European Parliament election):

The centre-right CDU/CSU (EPP) bloc won the most votes among nearly all demographic groups, per the Forschungsgruppe Wahlen exit poll. Far-right AfD (NI) performed strongest among blue-collar workers, voters with a GCSE (Mittlere Reife) education and 45-59 year olds.

Special election page: https://europeelects.eu/ep2024

#Germany (European Parliament election):

According to Infratest dimap's exit poll, center-right CDU/CSU (EPP) won the most votes among nearly every demographic group. The sole exception are blue-collar workers, among whom far-right AfD (NI) was the largest voted party.

Special election page: https://europeelects.eu/ep2024

#Denmark, European Parliament election:

Final results

F-G/EFA: 17% (+4)
A-S&D: 16% (-6)
V-RE: 15% (-9)
C-EPP: 9% (+3)
Æ→ECR: 7% (NEW)
B-RE: 7% (-3)
Ø-LEFT: 7% (+1)
I→EPP: 7% (+5)
M-RE: 6% (NEW)
O-ID: 6% (-5)
Å→G/EFA: 3%


+/- vs. 2019 election

Special election page: https://europeelects.eu/ep2024

#Germany, INSA poll:

CDU/CSU-EPP: 30% (-0.5)
SPD-S&D: 16%
AfD-NI: 16% (+0.5)
GRÜNE-G/EFA: 12%
BSW→NI: 8% (+0.5)
FDP-RE: 5%
LINKE-LEFT: 3% (-0.5)
FW-RE: 3% (+0.5)

+/- vs. 31 May-3 June 2024

Fieldwork: 3-7 June 2024
Sample size: 1,203

➤ https://europeelects.eu/germany

#Italy, European Parliament election:

Preliminary final results

FdI-ECR: 28.8% (+22.3)
PD-S&D: 24.1% (+1.4)
M5S-NI: 10.0% (-7.1)
FI/NM-EPP: 9.6% (+1.1)
LEGA-ID: 9.0% (-25.3)
AVS-LEFT|G/EFA: 6.7% (+2.6)
SUE-RE|S&D: 3.8% (+0.7)
A-RE: 3.4% (new)
PTD-LEFT|G/EFA: 2.2% (new)
L-*: 1.2% (new)
SVP-EPP: 0.5%
...

+/- 2019 election

Source: Ministry of the Interior

Special election page: https://europeelects.eu/ep2024

#Italy, European Parliament Election:

Final results (Abroad - Europe): Popular Vote

PD-S&D: 30.0% (-2.7)
FdI-ECR: 18.8% (+16.3)
AVS-LEFT|G/EFA: 17.3% (+3.5)
M5S-NI: 7.9% (-5.8)
SUE-RE|S&D: 6.2% (-2.6)
FI/NM-EPP: 4.9% (-1.1)
A-RE: 4.9% (new)
LEGA-ID: 3.8% (-14.1)
PTD-LEFT|G/EFA: 3.3% (new)
L-*: 1.1% (new)
...

+/- vs. 2019 election

Special election page: https://europeelects.eu/ep2024

#Italy, European Parliament election: the preliminary final result shows that the centre-left Solidary Democracy (DemoS-S&D) is set to lose parliamentary representation.

DemoS ran as part of the Partito Democratico (S&D) multiparty list.

Special election page: https://europeelects.eu/ep2024

#France, OpinionWay poll:

Scenario: NUPES parties run united

RN-ID: 33% (+14)
NUPES-LEFT|G/EFA|S&D: 23% (-3)
Ensemble-RE: 18% (-8)
LR-EPP: 8% (-2)
REC-ECR: 5% (+1)
Divers gauche-*: 4% (+1)
Ecologists-G/EFA: 2% (-1)
Divers droite-*: 2%
Far-left candidates-*: 1%

+/- vs. 2019 election

Fieldwork: 10 June 2024
Sample size: 1,095

➤ https://europeelects.eu/france

#France, Toluna Harris poll:

Scenario: NUPES parties run united

RN-ID: 34% (+15)
NUPES-LEFT|G/EFA|S&D: 22% (-4)
Ensemble-RE: 19% (-7)
LR-EPP: 9% (-1)
Divers gauche-*: 9% (+6)
REC-ECR: 4%
Far-left candidates-*: 3% (+2)

+/- vs. 2019 election

Fieldwork: 9-10 June 2024
Sample size: 2,744

➤ https://europeelects.eu/france

#Italy, European Parliament Election:

Final results (South constituency): Popular Vote

PD-S&D: 24.3% (+6.4)
FdI-ECR: 23.6% (+16.1)
M5S-NI: 16.8% (-12.3)
FI/NM-EPP: 10.8% (-1.5)
LEGA-ID: 6.9% (-17.0)
AVS-LEFT|G/EFA: 5.7% (+2.0)
SUE-RE|S&D: 4.9% (+1.7)
A-RE: 3.3% (new)
PTD-LEFT|G/EFA: 1.9% (new)
L-*: 0.9% (new)
PA/Italexit-LEFT|NI: 0.6%
AP-EPP: 0.4%

+/- vs. 2019 election

Special election page: https://europeelects.eu/ep2024

UK (GB), Survation (MRP) poll:

LAB-S&D: 43% (-2)
CON~ECR: 24% (-2)
REFORM~NI: 11% (+2)
LDEM-RE: 10%
GREENS-G/EFA: 4%
SNP-G/EFA: 3%
PC-G/EFA: 1% (+1)

+/- vs. 8-22 March 2024

Fieldwork: 22 May – 2 June 2024
Sample size: 30,044

➤ https://europeelects.eu/uk
#UnitedKingdom

UK (GB), Survation poll:

LAB-S&D: 43% (-4)
CON~ECR: 23% (-1)
REFORM~NI: 15% (+7)
LDEM-RE: 9% (-2)
GREENS-G/EFA: 5% (+2)
SNP-G/EFA: 3%
PC-G/EFA: 0% (-1)

+/- vs. 24-27 May 2024

Fieldwork: 5–6 June 2024
Sample size: 1,056

➤ https://europeelects.eu/uk
#UnitedKingdom

UK (GB), Techne poll:

LAB-S&D: 44% (-1)
CON~ECR: 20% (-1)
REFORM~NI: 15% (+3)
LDEM-RE: 10% (-1)
GREENS-G/EFA: 6%
SNP-G/EFA: 2%

+/- vs. 29-30 May 2024

Fieldwork: 5–6 June 2024
Sample size: 1,645

➤ https://europeelects.eu/uk
#UnitedKingdom

UK (GB), Savanta poll:

LAB-S&D: 46% (+4)
CON~ECR: 26% (-2)
LDEM-RE: 10% (+1)
GREENS-G/EFA: 3% (-1)
REFORM~NI: 11% (+2)
SNP-G/EFA: 2% (-1)
PC-G/EFA: 1%
WPB~LEFT: 0% (-1)

+/- vs. 31 May – 2 June 2024

Fieldwork: 5–7 June 2024
Sample size: 2,095

➤ https://europeelects.eu/uk
#UnitedKingdom

UK (GB), Opinium poll:

LAB-S&D: 42% (-3)
CON~ECR: 24% (-1)
REFORM~NI: 12% (+1)
LDEM-RE: 10% (+2)
GREENS-G/EFA: 7% (+1)
SNP-G/EFA: 3%

+/- vs. 29-31 May 2024

Fieldwork: 5–7 June 2024
Sample size: 1,471

➤ https://europeelects.eu/uk
#UnitedKingdom

UK (GB), We Think poll:

LAB-S&D: 45% (-1)
CON~ECR: 20% (-1)
REFORM~NI: 15% (+2)
LDEM-RE: 10% (+2)
GREENS-G/EFA: 5% (-1)
SNP-G/EFA: 3%
PC-G/EFA: 1% (+1)

+/- vs. 30-31 May 2024

Fieldwork: 6–7 June 2024
Sample size: 1,198

➤ https://europeelects.eu/uk
#UnitedKingdom

#Ireland, European Parliament election:
Count 1 (First preference votes) : Midlands-North-West constituency results

5 Seats available

Flanagan (Ind.-LEFT): 11.5% (-2.8)
Cowen (FF-RE): 10.9% (new)
Carberry (FG-EPP): 10.9% (new)
Walsh (FG-EPP): 10.5% (-0.3)
Mullooly (II~ECR): 8.4% (new)
Gildernew (SF-LEFT): 6.7% (new)
Chambers (FF-RE): 6.5% (new)
Tóibín (AON-*): 6.0% (new)
Blaney (FF-RE): 4.5% (new)
Macmanus (SF-LEFT): 4.3% (new)
Casey (Ind.→ID): 3.1% (-6.4)
McHugh (Ind.→LEFT): 2.8% (new)
Hearne (SD→S&D): 2.2% (new)
Kelly (IFP~ECR): 2.0% (new)
O'Reilly (GP-G/EFA): 2.0% (new)
J. Waters (Ind.-*): 2.0% (new)
Landy (LAB-S&D): 1.0% (new)
Smith (Ind.-*): 1.0% (new)
Cahill (IP-*): 0.7% (new)
Barrett (NP-*): 0.6% (new)
O'Boyle (PBP-S~LEFT): 0.6% (new)
Reynolds (NP-*): 0.5% (new)
Maguire (IF-*): 0.5% (new)
...

+/- vs. 2019 result

Garland, Pocock & Keenan have been eliminated in the first count and their votes will be distributed accordingly

Special election page: https://europeelects.eu/ep2024

#Ireland, European Parliament election:
Count 1 (First Preference Votes): South constituency results

5 seats available

Kelly (FG-EPP): 17.8% (+1.3)
Kelleher (FF-RE): 13.2% (+1.5)
McNamara (Ind.-*): 8.2% (new)
Ní Mhurchú (FF-RE): 8.0% (new)
Wallace (I4C-LEFT): 7.7% (-3.7)
Funchion (SF-LEFT): 7.3% (new)
O'Sullivan (GP-G/EFA): 6.9% (-3.7)
Mullins (FG-EPP): 4.8% (new)
Blighe (IF-*): 3.6% (new)
Gavan (SF-LEFT): 3.3% (new)
Hourigan (LAB-S&D): 3.1% (new)
Punch (II~ECR): 3.0% (new)
S. Doyle (SD→S&D): 2.9% (new)
Murphy (AON-*): 2.1% (new)
Leahy (IFP~ECR): 1.8% (new)
Bogue (Rabharta-*): 1.3% (new)
McGurk (Ind.-*): 0.9% (new)
Fitzgibbon (Ind.-*): 0.9% (new)
Prendiville (PBP-S~LEFT): 0.9% (new)
de Barra (Ind.→LEFT): 0.7% (new)
Lahive (TIP-*): 0.6% (new)
C. Doyle (Ind.-*): 0.5% (new)
O'Riordan (Ind.-*): 0.4% (new)

+/- vs. 2019 result

Kelly has been elected in the first count and their surplus will be distributed accordingly.

Special election page: https://europeelects.eu/ep2024

#EU27: the Europe Elects result projection for the EU election has stabilized over the past few hours. The figures are now almost identical with our pre-election projection.

The seats for the Irish delegation are still to-be-determined.

Details: https://europeelects.eu/ep2024

#France: LÉ (G/EFA), LFI (LEFT), PS (S&D), PCF (LEFT), PP (S&D)*, G.s (~G/EFA), and GRS (LEFT) announced yesterday night that they had struck an electoral deal to form the "Nouveau Front Populaire".

They will run "unique candidates" in "each constituency" for the upcoming National Assembly elections. The first four were leaders of the Nupes coalition in the 2022 elections.

The name is a reference to the 1936 Front Populaire led by SFIO (now PS) and PCF.

*Although they signed the statement, PP leaders have since tempered or denied the agreement.

➤ https://europeelects.eu/france