#Italy, Euromedia poll:

FdI-ECR: 32% (+2)
PD-S&D: 24%
M5S-LEFT: 10% (-1)
FI-EPP: 9%
LEGA-PfE: 9%
AVS-LEFT|G/EFA: 5%
A-RE: 3%
IV-RE: 2% (-1)
+E-RE: 2%
NM-EPP: 1%

+/- vs. 10 December 2024

Fieldwork: 9 January 2025
Sample size: 1,000

➤ https://europeelects.eu/italy

UK (#Bermuda): Premier and Finance Minister David Burt (PLP, centre-left) has called a parliamentary election for 18 February. Burt has signalled that this will be his final election following a change in PLP leadership in October this year. Burt has led PLP since 2016.

#UnitedKingdom

#Germany, INSA poll:

CDU/CSU-EPP: 31% (+1)
AfD-ESN: 22%
SPD-S&D: 15% (-1)
GRÜNE-G/EFA: 13%
BSW-NI: 6.5% (+0.5)
FDP-RE: 4%
LINKE-LEFT: 3.5% (+0.5)

+/- vs. 6-10 January 2025

Fieldwork: 10-13 January 2025
Sample size: 2,005

➤ https://europeelects.eu/germany

#Norway, Verian poll:

FrP~ECR: 24%
H-EPP: 24% (+1)
Ap-S&D: 21% (+5)
SV~LEFT: 7% (-3)
Sp~RE: 6% (-1)
R~LEFT: 5%
KrF-EPP: 4%
MDG-G/EFA: 4% (+1)
V-RE: 3% (-3)

+/- vs. 25-29 November 2024

Fieldwork: 6-10 January 2025
Sample size: 994

➤ https://europeelects.eu/norway

#Portugal, Pitagórica poll:

AD-EPP|ECR: 33% (+2)
PS-S&D: 27% (-2)
CH-PfE: 16% (-2)
IL-RE: 6%
BE-LEFT: 4%
CDU-LEFT|G/EFA: 4%
L-G/EFA: 3%
PAN-G/EFA: 1%

+/- vs. 2024 election

Fieldwork: 28 December 2024-5 January 2025
Sample size: 400

➤ https://europeelects.eu/portugal

#Germany, Forsa poll:

CDU/CSU-EPP: 31% (-1)
AfD-ESN: 20% (+1)
SPD-S&D: 16% (-1)
GRÜNE-G/EFA: 13% (+1)
BSW-NI: 4%
FDP-RE: 4% (+1)
LINKE-LEFT: 3%

+/- vs. 2-6 January 2025

Fieldwork: 7-13 January 2025
Sample size: 2,504

➤ https://europeelects.eu/germany

#Germany, YouGov poll:

CDU/CSU-EPP: 30% (+1)
AfD-ESN: 21%
SPD-S&D: 18% (+2)
GRÜNE-G/EFA: 14%
BSW-NI: 6%
FDP-RE: 4% (-1)
LINKE-LEFT: 4% (+1)

+/- vs. 3-6 January 2025

Fieldwork: 10-14 January 2025
Sample size: 1,771

➤ https://europeelects.eu/germany

New year - new pollster assessments from Europe Elects!

The latest release of Europe Elects: Truth in Polling covers pollsters operating in:

Poland🇵🇱
Portugal🇵🇹
Romania🇷🇴
Russia🇷🇺

➡️https://europeelects.eu/europe-elects-truth-in-polling/

This project is supported by European Media & Information Fund. Share it to help us promote transparency in the polling industry!

Feedback: [email protected]

#Switzerland: Amherd (M-EPP), Head of the Department of Defence, Civil Protection and Sport, has announced her intention to resign on 31 March 2025.

Her successor will be elected by the Federal Assembly (Parliament) during next parliamentary session in March.

➤ https://europeelects.eu/switzerland

#Sweden, Verian poll:

S-S&D: 34% (+1)
SD-ECR: 20% (+1)
M-EPP: 19%
V-LEFT: 7% (-1)
MP-G/EFA: 6% (-1)
C-RE: 5%
KD-EPP: 4%
L-RE: 3%

+/- vs. 25 November - 8 December 2024

Fieldwork: 30 December 2024 - 12 January 2025
Sample size: 3,228
➤ https://europeelects.eu/sweden

#Bulgaria: investiture vote on Rosen Zhelyazkov (GERB-EPP):

Yes: 125
No: 114
Abstention: 0

As a majority has voted "yes", Zhelyazkov (GERB-EPP) is approved as Prime Minister. He will lead a minority government consisting of GERB (EPP), BSPOL alliance (S&D), ITN (ECR) with confidence and supply from APS (RE).

➤ https://europeelects.eu/bulgaria/

#Slovenia, Mediana poll:

SDS-EPP: 32% (-2)
GS-RE: 22% (-1)
SD-S&D: 9% (-1)
NSi-EPP: 8% (+2)
L-LEFT: 7% (-1)
Resnica→NI: 5%
Vesna-G/EFA: 3% (+1)
SLS-EPP: 3% (+1)
SNS→PfE: 3% (+2)
PSS-G/EFA: 2%
NP-*: 1% (n.a.)
ND-*: 1% (n.a.)
K~RE: 1% (+1)

+/- vs. 16-19 December 2024

Fieldwork: 6-9 January 2024
Sample size: 726

➤ https://europeelects.eu/slovenia

#Slovakia, NMS poll:

PS-RE: 24% (-1)
Smer-NI: 18% (-1)
Hlas-NI: 12% (+1)
Republika-ESN: 9% (-1)
SaS-ECR: 7% (+2)
S-EPP: 6%
KDH-EPP: 6%
D-EPP: 4%
SR~PfE: 4%
MA-EPP: 3%
ZĽ~EPP: 2% (-1)
SNS~PfE: 2% (-1)
ĽSNS-NI: 1%
KÚ-ECR: 1%

+/- vs. 4-9 December 2024

Fieldwork: 9-13 January 2025
Sample size: 1,001

➤ https://europeelects.eu/slovakia/

Türkiye, Yöneylem poll:

AKP~NI: 31% (+1)
CHP-S&D: 31% (-4)
DEM-S&D: 10%
MHP~NI: 8% (-1)
ZP-*: 5% (+1)
İYİ~RE: 4%
YRP-*: 3% (-1)
TİP-*: 3% (+2)
AP-*: 2% (new)

+/- vs. 13-16 September 2024

Fieldwork: 3-7 January 2025
Sample size: 2,100

➤ https://europeelects.eu/turkiye
#Turkey

#Estonia, Norstat poll:

I-EPP: 29% (+1)
RE-RE: 19% (+1)
EKRE-PfE: 15% (-1)
KE-RE|ECR: 14%
SDE-S&D: 14% (+2)
PP→EPP: 5% (+1)
E200→EPP: 2%
EER-G/EFA: 1% (-1)
KOOS-*: 1%
ERK-*: 1%

+/- vs. 30 December 2024-5 January 2025

Fieldwork: 6-12 January 2025
Sample size: 1,000

➤ https://europeelects.eu/estonia

#Estonia: the liberal E200 (→EPP) reaches a record low with 1.9% in the latest Norstat poll—the lowest polling result ever obtained by the party.

If repeated in the next national parliament election, this would be the party’s worst result ever.

➤ https://europeelects.eu/estonia

Türkiye, ASAL poll:

CHP-S&D: 32% (+1)
AKP~NI: 30% (-3)
DEM-S&D: 10% (+1)
MHP~NI: 9% (-1)
İYİ~RE: 4% (-1)
YRP-*: 4% (+1)
ZP-*: 4% (+1)
TİP-*: 2% (+1)
AP-*: 1% (-1)

+/- vs. 9-12 December 2024

Fieldwork: 10-14 January 2025
Sample size: 1,800

➤ https://europeelects.eu/turkiye
#Turkey

#Norway, Norstat poll:

FrP~ECR: 24% (-4)
Ap-S&D: 20% (+3)
H-EPP: 20% (-1)
SV~LEFT: 9% (+2)
R~LEFT: 6% (-1)
V-RE: 6% (+1)
Sp~RE: 5%
KrF-EPP: 4%
MDG-G/EFA: 3% (-1)

+/- vs. 10-14 December 2024

Fieldwork: 8-13 January 2025
Sample size: 992

➤ https://europeelects.eu/norway

#Norway, Norstat poll:

FrP~ECR: 24% (-4)
Ap-S&D: 20% (+3)
H-EPP: 20% (-1)
SV~LEFT: 9% (+2)
R~LEFT: 6% (-1)
V-RE: 6% (+1)
Sp~RE: 5%
KrF-EPP: 4%
MDG-G/EFA: 3% (-1)

+/- vs. 10-14 December 2024

Fieldwork: 8-13 January 2025
Sample size: 992

➤ https://europeelects.eu/norway

#Spain, CIS poll:

PSOE-S&D: 32%
PP-EPP: 30% (+2)
VOX-PfE: 12%
Sumar-LEFT|G/EFA: 7%
Podemos-LEFT: 4%
SALF-NI: 2% (-1)
ERC-G/EFA: 2%
Junts-NI: 1%
BNG-G/EFA: 1%
PNV-RE: 1%
EH Bildu-LEFT: 1%
...

+/- vs. 2-9 December 2024

Fieldwork: 2-9 January 2025
Sample size: 4,024

➤ https://europeelects.eu/spain

#Germany, YouGov poll:

MRP seat projection

CDU/CSU-EPP: 222 (+25)
AfD-ESN: 146 (+63)
SPD-S&D: 115 (-91)
GRÜNE-G/EFA: 101 (-17)
BSW-NI: 45 (new)
SSW-G/EFA: 1
FDP-RE: 0 (-91)
LINKE-LEFT: 0 (-39)

+/- vs. 2021 election

Fieldwork: 3 December 2024-16 January 2025
Sample size: 10,411

➤ https://europeelects.eu/germany