Türkiye, ALF poll:

Presidential election (scenario: multiple CHP (S&D) candidates in first round)

Erdoğan (AKP~NI): 38% (-12)
Yavaş (CHP-S&D): 31%
İmamoğlu (CHP-S&D): 25%

+/- vs. 2023 election

Fieldwork: 3-13 December 2024
Sample size: 3,160

➤ https://europeelects.eu/turkiye
#Turkey

Türkiye, Ank-Ar poll:

CHP-S&D: 30%
AKP~NI: 28% (-1)
DEM-S&D: 9%
MHP~NI: 8% (+1)
ZP-*: 6%
İYİ~RE: 6%
YRP-*: 5% (+1)
AP-*: 3%
TİP-*: 2%

+/- vs. 27-29 November 2024

Fieldwork: 26-29 December 2024
Sample size: 2,004

➤ https://europeelects.eu/turkiye
#Turkey

Türkiye, Ank-Ar poll:

Presidential election (scenario: Yavaş (CHP-S&D) runs as independent)

Erdoğan (AKP~NI): 35%
İmamoğlu (CHP-S&D): 27%
Yavaş (*): 23% (-1)
DEM candidate (S&D): 5%
Özdağ (ZP-*): 2%
Dervişoğlu (İYİ~RE): 2%
Erbakan (YRP-*): 2% (+1)
Ağıralioğlu (AP-*): 1%

+/- vs. 27-29 November 2024

Fieldwork: 26-29 December 2024
Sample size: 2,004

➤ https://europeelects.eu/turkiye
#Turkey

Türkiye, Ank-Ar poll:

Presidential election (scenario: first round polls with İmamoğlu (CHP-S&D) vs. AKP (~NI) candidate)

İmamoğlu (CHP-S&D): 54% (-2)
Erdoğan (AKP~NI): 46% (+2)

İmamoğlu (CHP-S&D): 55%
Bayraktar (AKP~NI): 45%

İmamoğlu (CHP-S&D): 55% (-2)
Fidan (AKP~NI): 45% (+2)

+/- vs. 27-29 November 2024

Fieldwork: 26-29 December 2024
Sample size: 2,004

➤ https://europeelects.eu/turkiye
#Turkey

Türkiye, Ank-Ar poll:

Presidential election (scenario: first round polls with Yavaş (CHP-S&D) vs. AKP (~NI) candidate)

Yavaş (CHP-S&D): 56% (-5)
Fidan (AKP~NI): 44% (+5)

Yavaş (CHP-S&D): 56% (-4)
Erdoğan (AKP~NI): 46% (+4)

Yavaş (CHP-S&D): 61%
Bayraktar (AKP~NI): 39%

+/- vs. 27-29 November 2024

Fieldwork: 26-29 December 2024
Sample size: 2,004

➤ https://europeelects.eu/turkiye
#Turkey

Türkiye, Ank-Ar poll:

Presidential election (scenario: first round between Yavaş (CHP-S&D) and İmamoğlu (CHP-S&D))

Yavaş (CHP-S&D): 51%
İmamoğlu (CHP-S&D): 49%

+/- vs. 27-29 November 2024

Fieldwork: 26-29 December 2024
Sample size: 2,004

➤ https://europeelects.eu/turkiye
#Turkey

#Lithuania, Baltijos tyrimai poll:

NA-*: 20% (+5)
LSDP-S&D: 19% (-1)
DSVL-G/EFA: 14% (+5)
TS LKD-EPP: 13% (-5)
LVŽS-ECR: 10% (+3)
LS-RE: 7% (-1)
…

+/- 2024 election

Fieldwork: 30 October - 12 November 2024
Sample size: 1,019

➤ https://europeelects.eu/lithuania

#Lithuania, Baltijos tyrimai poll:

LSDP-S&D: 23% (+4)
NA-*: 17% (-3)
DSVL-G/EFA: 15% (+1)
TS LKD-EPP: 14% (+1)
LVŽS-ECR: 9% (-1)
LS-RE: 5% (-2)
…

+/- 30 October - 12 November 2024

Fieldwork: 12 November - 1 December 2024
Sample size: 1,018

➤ https://europeelects.eu/lithuania

#Lithuania: the Dawn of Nemunas (NA-*) surges to 20% in the October 30 - 12 November Baltijos tyrimai poll.

This is the first poll showing the party in first place.

➤ https://europeelects.eu/lithuania/

#Norway, Norstat poll:

FrP~ECR: 28% (+2)
H-EPP: 21%
Ap-S&D: 17% (-1)
SV~LEFT: 7% (-2)
R~LEFT: 7% (+2)
V-RE: 5%
Sp~RE: 5% (-1)
KrF-EPP: 4% (+1)
MDG-G/EFA: 4%

+/- vs. 12-16 November 2024

Fieldwork: 10-14 December 2024
Sample size: 1,000

➤ https://europeelects.eu/norway

#Netherlands, Verian poll:

PVV-PfE: 25% (-2)
GL/PvdA-G/EFA|S&D: 17%
VVD-RE: 15% (+1)
CDA-EPP: 10% (+1)
D66-RE: 7%
SP~LEFT: 4% (-1)
PvdD-LEFT: 4%
Volt-G/EFA: 3% (+1)
BBB-EPP: 3% (-1)
DENK: 3% (+1)
FvD-ESN: 3% (+1)
CU-EPP: 2% (-1)
NSC-EPP: 2%
SGP-ECR: 2%
JA21-ECR: 1%

+/- vs. 22-25 November 2024

Fieldwork: 24-28 December 2024
Sample size: 1,538

➤ https://europeelects.eu/netherlands

#Netherlands: centre-right New Social Contract (NSC-EPP) of Pieter Omtzigt reaches a record low at 1.8% of the vote, in the latest Verian poll.

NSC was founded in late August 2023 and was the country's largest party around 19% in Europe Elects' polling average as late as October 2023.

➤ https://europeelects.eu/netherlands

#Germany, GMS poll:

CDU/CSU-EPP: 33% (-1)
AfD-ESN: 18% (+1)
SPD-S&D: 16% (+1)
GRÜNE-G/EFA: 13%
BSW-NI: 4% (-2)
FDP-RE: 4%
LINKE-LEFT: 3%
FW-RE: 2%

+/- vs. 27 November-2 December 2024

Fieldwork: 27 December 2024-2 January 2025
Sample size: 1,010

➤ https://europeelects.eu/germany

#Croatia (Presidential election, first round), Ipsos exit poll:

Men versus women

Milanović (*-S&D): 49.7% | 51.9%
Primorac (*-EPP): 21.6% | 15.9%
Selak-Raspudić (*): 8.2% | 10.5%
Kekin (Možemo-G/EFA): 6.6% | 11.6%

➤ https://europeelects.eu/croatia

#Croatia (Presidential election, first round), Ipsos exit poll:

Age groups per electorate (60+ vs. 45-59 vs. 30-44 vs. 18-29)

Milanović (*-S&D): 57% | 50% | 48% | 43%
Primorac (*-EPP): 23% | 20% | 15% | 13%
Selak-Raspudić (*): 8% | 11% | 11% | 9%
Kekin (Možemo-G/EFA): 3% | 8% | 13% | 21%

➤ https://europeelects.eu/croatia

#Croatia (Presidential election, first round), Ipsos exit poll:

Highest degree in the formal education system per electorate (university vs. secondary school vs. primary school)

Milanović (*-S&D): 48% | 53% | 47%
Primorac (*-EPP): 15% | 20% | 32%
Selak-Raspudić (*): 12% | 8% | 6%
Kekin (Možemo-G/EFA): 14% | 7% | 4%

➤ https://europeelects.eu/croatia

#Bulgaria, Market Links poll:

GERB/SDS-EPP: 28% (+2)
PP/DB-RE|EPP: 15% (+1)
V-ESN: 14% (+1)
DPS/NN-NI: 13% (+1)
BSPOL-S&D|LEFT: 8%
APS-RE: 7% (-1)
ITN-ECR: 5% (-2)
MECh-*: 4% (-1)

+/- vs. October 2024 election

Fieldwork: 12-20 December 2024
Sample size: 1,007

➤ https://europeelects.eu/bulgaria/

#Spain, Target Point poll:

PP-EPP: 33% (+1)
PSOE-S&D: 29% (+1)
VOX-PfE: 15%
Sumar-LEFT|G/EFA: 7% (+1)
Podemos-LEFT: 5% (+2)
SALF-ECR|NI: 2% (-1)

+/- vs. 20-22 November 2024

Fieldwork: 26-30 December 2024
Sample size: 1,002

➤ https://europeelects.eu/spain

#Austria, IFDD poll:

FPÖ-PfE: 37%
ÖVP-EPP: 21%
SPÖ-S&D: 19% (-1)
NEOS-RE: 11% (+1)
GRÜNE-G/EFA: 8%
KPÖ-LEFT: 3%

+/- vs. 17–18 December 2024

Fieldwork: 03-04 January 2025
Sample size: 1125

➤ https://europeelects.eu/austria

#Germany, INSA poll:

CDU/CSU-EPP: 31%
AfD-ESN: 20% (-0.5)
SPD-S&D: 16% (-0.5)
GRÜNE-G/EFA: 13% (+1)
BSW-NI: 7%
FDP-RE: 4% (+0.5)
LINKE-LEFT: 3% (-1)

+/- vs. 27-30 December 2024

Fieldwork: 30 December 2024-3 January 2025
Sample size: 1,201

➤ https://europeelects.eu/germany

#Croatia: in the first round of the last week presidential election, the incumbent president Zoran Milanović (*-S&D) won a plurality of votes in all 20 counties and in city of Zagreb. This is the first time since 2005 that one presidential candidate wins a plurality of votes in all counties and in the capital, and a second time overall for SDP (S&D)-supported candidate to do so in Croatian history.

➤ https://europeelects.eu/croatia