Türkiye, Kontak poll:

CHP-S&D: 36% (+11)
AKP~NI: 31% (-5)
MHP~NI: 8% (-2)
İYİ~RE: 6% (-4)
DEM-S&D: 6% (-3)
ZP-*: 5% (+3)
AP-*: 2% (new)
YRP-*: 1% (-2)
TİP-*: 1% (-1)
MP-*: 1%
SP~NI: 1% (n.a.)
BBP-*: 1%

+/- vs. 2023 election

Fieldwork: 2-7 December 2024
Sample size: 2,325

➤ https://europeelects.eu/turkiye
#Turkey

#Sweden, Ipsos poll:

S-S&D: 31% (-3)
SD-ECR: 21%
M-EPP: 19%
V-LEFT: 9% (+1)
MP-G/EFA: 6% (+1)
C-RE: 6% (+1)
KD-EPP: 3% (-1)
L-RE: 3% (-1)

+/- vs. 5-18 November 2024

Fieldwork: 2-16 December 2024
Sample size: 1,647

➤ https://europeelects.eu/sweden

⬇️📻 Check out the latest episode of our podcast. Our co-hosts Gabriel Hedengren and Javid Ibad discuss the 6 key elections from the past year that will definitely continue to have repercussions into 2025 and beyond.

➤ https://pnc.st/s/europe-elects-podcast/2a07da76/2024-the-electoral-year-in-review

#Denmark, Voxmeter poll:

A-S&D: 20%
F-G/EFA: 16%
I-EPP: 13% (+1)
Æ-ECR: 10% (-1)
V-RE: 10%
Ø-LEFT: 7% (-1)
C-EPP: 6%
O-PfE: 5% (+1)
B-RE: 4% (-1)
M-RE: 4% (+1)
Å→G/EFA: 2%

+/- vs. 9-15 December 2024

Fieldwork: 16-22 December
Sample size: 1,002

➤ https://europeelects.eu/denmark

Türkiye, ASAL poll:

Presidential election (scenario: first round polls with Erdoğan (AKP~NI) vs. CHP (S&D) candidate)

Erdoğan (AKP~NI): 52% (+2)
Yavaş (CHP-S&D): 48% (+3)

Erdoğan (AKP~NI): 56% (+6)
İmamoğlu (CHP-S&D): 44% (-1)

Erdoğan (AKP~NI): 66% (+16)
Özel (CHP-S&D): 34% (-11)

+/- vs. 2023 election

Fieldwork: 9-12 December 2024
Sample size: 1,860

➤ https://europeelects.eu/turkiye
#Turkey

Türkiye, Spectrum House poll:

CHP-S&D: 32% (-2)
AKP~NI: 31% (+4)
DEM-S&D: 11%
MHP~NI: 7% (-3)
İYİ~RE: 5%
ZP-*: 4% (-2)
YRP-*: 4% (-1)
AP-*: 2% (new)
TİP-*: 1% (n.a.)

+/- vs. 1-9 October 2024

Fieldwork: 25 November-3 December 2024
Sample size: 2,028

➤ https://europeelects.eu/turkiye
#Turkey

#France (New #Caledonia): the government presided over by Louis Mapou (Palika, Left) has fallen after a collective resignation by members of the Calédonie Ensemble (Liberal) list.
Mapou was the first ever pro-independence President of the government. Congress will elect a new one.

➤ https://oceaniaelects.com/new-caledonia/

#Luxembourg: Grand Duke Henri has announced that he will abdicate from the throne on 3 October 2025. His son, Prince Guillaume, will succeed him as Grand Duke of Luxembourg.

Grand Duke Henri has been Luxembourg's head of state since 2000 when his father Jean abdicated.

➤ ⁦https://europeelects.eu/luxembourg⁩

#Croatia, Ipsos poll:

HDZ-EPP: 33% (-1)
SDP-S&D: 27% (+3)
Možemo!-G/EFA: 11%
Most→ECR: 10% (+2)
DP-ECR: 3% (-3)
HSU-*: 3% (n.a.)

+/- vs. 1-20 November 2024

Fieldwork: 1-20 December 2024
Sample size: 982

➤ https://europeelects.eu/croatia/

#Sweden, Demoskop poll:

"With which party leader would you like to celebrate Christmas?"

Andersson (S-S&D): 28% (-2)
Åkesson (SD-ECR): 18% (-8)
Kristersson (M-EPP): 14% (+4)
Busch (KD-EPP): 14% (+6)
Dadgostar (V-LEFT): 8% (-1)
Pehrson (L-RE): 6% (-1)
Lind (MP-G/EFA): 6% (new)
Demirok (C-RE): 3% (+1)
Helldén (MP-G/EFA): 1% (new)

+/- vs. November 2023

Fieldwork: November 2024
Sample size: 1,009

➤ https://europeelects.eu/sweden

UK, More in Common poll:

'Who has been naughty, and who has been nice this year?'

Net niceness

Martin Lewis (*): +46
King Charles (*): +20
Ed Davey (LDEM-RE): -2
Kemi Badenoch (CON~ECR): -5
Jeremy Clarkson (*): -15
Keir Starmer (LAB-S&D): -21
Nigel Farage (REFORM~NI): -27
Rachel Reeves (LAB-S&D): -27
Donald Trump (R-ECR): -50

Fieldwork: November 2024
Sample size: N/A

➤ https://europeelects.eu/uk
#UnitedKingdom

#Germany, INSA poll:

CDU/CSU-EPP: 31% (-1)
AfD-ESN: 19.5% (-0.5)
SPD-S&D: 16%
GRÜNE-G/EFA: 12.5% (+0.5)
BSW-NI: 8%
FDP-RE: 5%
LINKE-LEFT: 3%

+/- vs. 16-19 December 2024

Fieldwork: 20-23 December 2024
Sample size: 2,010

➤ https://europeelects.eu/germany

#Germany, Forsa poll:

CDU/CSU-EPP: 31% (+1)
AfD-ESN: 19%
SPD-S&D: 16% (-1)
GRÜNE-G/EFA: 13%
LINKE-LEFT: 4% (+1)
BSW-NI: 4%
FDP-RE: 3% (-1)

+/- vs. 10-16 December 2024

Fieldwork: 17-20 December 2024
Sample size: 2,008

➤ https://europeelects.eu/germany

#Serbia, Faktor Plus poll:

SNS+-EPP: 51% (-3)
SSP-S&D: 8%
SPS~S&D: 8% (-1)
KP-*: 6% (+1)
MI SN-*: 6% (+1)
NPS~NI: 4% (-1)
NADA~ECR: 4%
ZLF-G/EFA: 3%
SRCE-*: 3%
DS-S&D: 2% (n.a.)

+/- vs. September 2024

Fieldwork: December 2024
Sample size: 1,180

➤ https://europeelects.eu/serbia

#Switzerland: on 9 February 2025, voters will cast their votes in one ballot on environmental protection.

The first gfs.bern poll shows a dynamic against the ballot.

Fieldwork: 2-16 December 2024
Sample size: 18,845

➤ europeelects.eu/switzerland

#Georgia, Institute for Polling & Marketing poll:

Q: Who do you personally consider the President of Georgia?

Zurabishvili (*): 68%
Kavelashvili (PP~ECR): 32%

Fieldwork: 24-25 December 2024
Sample size: 800

➤ https://europeelects.eu/georgia/

#Portugal (Madeira regional assembly), Intercampus poll:

PSD-EPP: 39% (+2)
PS-S&D: 21% (-1)
JPP-RE: 15% (-2)
CH-PfE: 7% (-2)
IL-RE: 4% (+2)
CDS-EPP: 4%
BE-LEFT: 2% (+1)
PAN-G/EFA: 2%
PTP-*: 2% (+1)

+/- vs. 2024 election

Fieldwork: 29 November-7 December 2024
Sample size: 803

➤ https://europeelects.eu/portugal

#Portugal (#Madeira regional assembly), Aximage poll:

PSD-EPP: 37%
PS-S&D: 19% (-3)
JPP-RE: 18% (+1)
CH-PfE: 11% (+2)
IL-RE: 4% (+1)
CDS-EPP: 3% (-1)
PAN-G/EFA: 3% (+1)

+/- vs. 2024 election

Fieldwork: 30 November-6 December 2024
Sample size: 458

➤ https://europeelects.eu/portugal

#Croatia, Promocija Plus poll:

Presidential election

Milanović (*-S&D): 44% (+1)
Primorac (*-EPP): 27% (+3)
Selak-Raspudić (*): 11% (-1)
Kekin (Možemo!-G/EFA): 9% (-2)
Bulj (Most→ECR): 4%
Lozo (DOMiNO-ECR): 2%
…

+/- vs. 2-5 December 2024

Fieldwork: 19-23 December 2024
Sample size: 1,000

➤ https://europeelects.eu/croatia/

#Croatia, Promocija Plus poll:

Presidential run-off election (different scenarios)

Milanović (*-S&D): 61% (-5)
Primorac (*-EPP): 39% (+4)

Milanović (*-S&D): 58% (n.a.)
Selak-Raspudić (*): 42% (n.a.)

+/- vs. 2-5 December 2024

Fieldwork: 19-23 December 2024
Sample size: 1,000

➤ https://europeelects.eu/croatia/

#Germany: following Chancellor Olaf Scholz (SPD-S&D) losing a motion of confidence on 16 December, President Frank-Walter Steinmeier (SPD-S&D) has dissolved the Bundestag and set the date for an early election, to be held on 23 February 2025.

➤ https://europeelects.eu/germany