Türkiye, Ank-Ar poll:

Presidential election (scenario: Yavaş (CHP-S&D) runs as independent)

Erdoğan (AKP~NI): 35% (+1)
İmamoğlu (CHP-S&D): 27% (-1)
Yavaş (*): 24% (-1)
DEM candidate (S&D): 5% (n.a.)
Dervişoğlu (İYİ~RE): 2% (n.a.)
Özdağ (ZP-*): 2% (n.a.)
Erbakan (YRP-*): 1% (n.a.)
Ağıralioğlu (AP-*): 1% (n.a.)

+/- vs. 27-29 October 2024

Fieldwork: 27-29 November 2024
Sample size: 2,004

➤ https://europeelects.eu/turkiye
#Turkey

Türkiye, Ank-Ar poll:

Presidential election (scenario: first round polls with İmamoğlu (CHP-S&D) vs. AKP (~NI) candidate)

İmamoğlu (CHP-S&D): 55% (+1)
Bayraktar (AKP~NI): 45% (-1)

İmamoğlu (CHP-S&D): 56% (+1)
Erdoğan (AKP~NI): 44% (-1)

İmamoğlu (CHP-S&D): 57%
Fidan (AKP~NI): 43%

+/- vs. 27-29 October 2024

Fieldwork: 27-29 November 2024
Sample size: 2,004

➤ https://europeelects.eu/turkiye
#Turkey

Türkiye, Ank-Ar poll:

Presidential election (scenario: first round polls with Yavaş (CHP-S&D) vs. AKP (~NI) candidate)

Yavaş (CHP-S&D): 60%
Erdoğan (AKP~NI): 40%

Yavaş (CHP-S&D): 61%
Bayraktar (AKP~NI): 39%

Yavaş (CHP-S&D): 61% (+1)
Fidan (AKP~NI): 39% (-1)

+/- vs. 27-29 October 2024

Fieldwork: 27-29 November 2024
Sample size: 2,004

➤ https://europeelects.eu/turkiye
#Turkey

Türkiye, Ank-Ar poll:

Presidential election (scenario: first round between Yavaş (CHP-S&D) and İmamoğlu (CHP-S&D))

Yavaş (CHP-S&D): 51%
İmamoğlu (CHP-S&D): 49%

+/- vs. 27-29 October 2024

Fieldwork: 27-29 November 2024
Sample size: 2,004

➤ https://europeelects.eu/turkiye
#Turkey

#Slovenia, Mediana poll:

SDS-EPP: 30%
GS-RE: 21% (-1)
SD-S&D: 10% (-1)
NSi-EPP: 7% (+1)
Vesna-G/EFA: 7% (+2)
L-LEFT: 6% (-1)
Resnica→NI: 6% (+2)
PSS-G/EFA: 3% (-1)
SNS→PfE: 3% (+1)
SLS-EPP: 2% (-1)
NP-*: 2% (n.a.)
ND-*: 0% (-1)
K~RE: 0%

+/- vs. 2-5 December 2024

Fieldwork: 18-21 November 2024
Sample size: 724

➤ https://europeelects.eu/slovenia

#Sark (UK Crown Dependency), parliament election today:

Final results (seat count)

New members-*: 6 (new)
Incumbent members-*: 3 (-2)

#UnitedKingdom

#France: President Emmanuel Macron (RE-RE) has appointed François Bayrou (MoDem-RE) as Prime Minister and asked him to form a government.

Bayrou is the current High Commissioner of Planning, mayor of Pau, and president of the Mouvement démocrate (RE), which has been part of the presidential coalition since 2017. He also was a brief Minister of Justice in Édouard Philippe’s (HOR-RE) government, and a Minister of National Education under Prime Ministers Édouard Balladur (RPR-EDA) and Alain Juppé (RPR-EDA).

➤ https://europeelects.eu/france

The European Union has certain hopes when it comes to Bosnia and Herzegovina—and frankly, so do we. 🇧🇦🇪🇺🎄

New Christmas merch: https://redbubble.com/i/sweatshirt/Bosnian-Poll-Christmas-by-EuropeElects/156172087.WY6W4?asc=u

New pollster assessments from Europe Elects!

The latest release of Europe Elects: Truth in Polling covers pollsters operating in:

Kosovo 🇽🇰
Moldova 🇲🇩
Montenegro 🇲🇪
Netherlands 🇳🇱
North Macedonia 🇲🇰
Norway 🇳🇴

This project is supported by European Media & Information Fund. Share it to help us promote transparency in the polling industry!

Feedback: [email protected]

➡️ https://europeelects.eu/europe-elects-truth-in-polling/

📰 The November issue of our newsletter is now live on our Substack. Read our in-depth recap of post-election drama in Georgia, Romania, and Moldova as well as our summary of recent elections in Iceland and Ireland.
⬇️

https://europeelects.substack.com/p/copy-europe-elects-newsletter

#Hungary, Századvég poll:

Fidesz/KDNP-PfE: 42% (+2)
TISZA-EPP: 34% (-1)
MKKP→G/EFA: 7% (-2)
MH-ESN: 7%
DK-S&D: 5%
Momentum-RE: 3% (+1)
MSZP-S&D: 1%

+/- vs. 14 - 19 November 2024

Fieldwork: December 2024
Sample size: 1,000

➤ https://europeelects.eu/hungary

#Estonia, Kantar Emor poll:

I-EPP: 27% (+3)
RE-RE: 18% (+1)
KE-RE|ECR: 14% (-1)
SDE-S&D: 13% (-1)
EKRE-PfE: 12% (-2)
PP→EPP: 6%
E200→EPP: 4%
ERK~ECR: 3% (+1)
EER-G/EFA: 2% (+1)
KOOS-*: 1% (-1)

+/- vs. 14-21 November 2024

Fieldwork: 4-11 December 2024
Sample size: 1,537

➤ https://europeelects.eu/estonia

#Georgia, presidential election today:

➤ Indirect election
➤ Eligible voters: 300 electoral college delegates
➤ 1 candidate running: Kavelashvili (GD/PP~S&D|ECR)

➤ https://europeelects.eu/georgia

#Georgia, presidential election today:

Results of the first round

Kavelashvili (GD/PP~S&D|ECR): 224
Abstentions: 1
Not voting: 75

Mikheil Kavelashvili (GD/PP~S&D|ECR) has won the required two-thirds-majority of the vote and is elected President.

➤ https://europeelects.eu/georgia

#Netherlands, Peil poll:

Seat projection

PVV-PfE: 35 (-3)
GL/PvdA-G/EFA|S&D: 25
VVD-RE: 20 (+1)
CDA-EPP: 15 (+1)
D66-RE: 11
BBB-EPP: 7
SP~LEFT: 7 (+1)
FvD-ESN: 5
PvdD-LEFT: 5 (+1)
Volt-G/EFA: 4
CU-EPP: 4
DENK-*: 4
SGP-ECR: 4
NSC-EPP: 3
JA21-ECR: 2

+/- vs. 22-23 November 2024

Fieldwork: 13-15 December 2024
Sample size: N/A

➤https://europeelects.eu/netherlands

#Sweden, Verian poll:

S-S&D: 33% (-2)
SD-ECR: 19%
M-EPP: 19%
V-LEFT: 8%
MP-G/EFA: 7% (+1)
C-RE: 5%
KD-EPP: 4%
L-RE: 3%

+/- vs. 28 October - 10 November 2024

Fieldwork: 25 November - 8 December 2024
Sample size: 3,226

➤ https://europeelects.eu/sweden

#Sweden, Demoskop poll:

S-S&D: 33% (+1)
SD-ECR: 20%
M-EPP: 19% (-1)
V-LEFT: 8%
MP-G/EFA: 7% (-1)
C-RE: 5%
KD-EPP: 4%
L-RE: 3%

+/- vs. 26 October - 11 November 2024

Fieldwork: 23 November - 9 December 2024
Sample size: 2,489

➤ https://europeelects.eu/sweden

#Spain, Sondaxe poll:

PP-EPP: 33% (-1)
PSOE-S&D: 28% (-1)
VOX-PfE: 14% (+1)
Sumar-LEFT|G/EFA: 8%
Podemos-LEFT: 4%
ERC-G/EFA: 2%
EH Bildu-LEFT: 2%
Junts-NI: 1% (-1)
PNV-RE: 1%
...

+/- vs. 23-29 May 2024

Fieldwork: 5-11 December 2024
Sample size: 1,111

➤ https://europeelects.eu/spain

Türkiye, ASAL poll:

AKP~NI: 33% (+2)
CHP-S&D: 31% (-2)
MHP~NI: 10% (+2)
DEM-S&D: 9%
İYİ~RE: 5%
ZP-*: 3% (-2)
YRP-*: 3% (-1)
AP-*: 2% (+1)
TİP-*: 1%

+/- vs. 9-17 November 2024

Fieldwork: 9-12 December 2024
Sample size: 1,860

➤ https://europeelects.eu/turkiye
#Turkey

#Denmark, Epinion poll:

A-S&D: 20%
F-G/EFA: 14% (-1)
I-EPP: 13%
Æ-ECR: 10%
V-RE: 10%
Ø-LEFT: 7% (-1)
O-PfE: 6%
C-EPP: 6% (-1)
B-RE: 5% (+1)
M-RE: 4%
Å→G/EFA: 2%

+/- vs. 30 October-6 November 2024

Fieldwork: 4-10 December 2024
Sample size: 1,590

➤ https://europeelects.eu/denmark

#Germany, INSA poll:

CDU/CSU-EPP: 31% (-0.5)
AfD-ESN: 20% (+0.5)
SPD-S&D: 17%
GRÜNE-G/EFA: 11% (-0.5)
BSW-NI: 8%
FDP-RE: 5% (+0.5)
LINKE-LEFT: 3%

+/- vs. 6-9 December 2024

Fieldwork: 9-13 December 2024
Sample size: 1,203

➤ https://europeelects.eu/germany