#Romania, INSCOP poll:

Presidential election

Ciolacu (PSD-S&D): 24% (+4)
Simion (AUR-ECR): 21% (+9)
Geoană (*): 18% (-3)
Lasconi (USR-RE): 15% (+1)
Ciucă (PNL-EPP): 8% (+1)
Diaconescu (*): 5%
Kelemen (UDMR-EPP): 4%
Terheș (PNCR-ECR): 2%
Orban (FD→EPP): 2% (new)
Birchall (*): 1%

+/− vs. 11-16 September 2024

Fieldwork: 11-18 October 2024
Sample size: 1,106

➤ https://europeelects.eu/romania

#Poland, United Surveys poll:

Presidential election (scenario: Trzaskowski as the candidate of KO)

Trzaskowski (KO-EPP|RE|G/EFA): 43% (+5)
Nawrocki (PiS-ECR): 29% (n.a.)
Hołownia (TD PL2050/PSL-RE|EPP): 12% (+1)
Mentzen (Kon-ESNI|PfE|NI): 10% (+1)
Dziemianowicz-Bąk (Lewica-S&D|LEFT): 6% (-3)

+/- vs. 26-28 July 2024

Fieldwork: 11-13 October 2024
Sample size: 1,000

➤ https://europeelects.eu/poland

#Poland, United Surveys poll:

Presidential election (scenario: Sikorski as the candidate of KO)

Nawrocki (PiS-ECR): 30% (+1)
Sikorski (KO-EPP|RE|G/EFA): 29% (-14)
Hołownia (TD PL2050/PSL-RE|EPP): 17% (+5)
Mentzen (Kon-ESNI|PfE|NI): 15% (+5)
Dziemianowicz-Bąk (Lewica-S&D|LEFT): 10% (+4)

+/- vs. Trzaskowski as the candidate of KO

Fieldwork: 11-13 October 2024
Sample size: 1,000

➤ https://europeelects.eu/poland

#Spain, DYM poll:

PP-EPP: 37%
PSOE-S&D: 29% (-1)
VOX-PfE: 11%
Sumar-LEFT|G/EFA: 8% (-1)
Podemos-LEFT: 3% (+1)
SALF-NI: 2% (n.a.)

+/- vs. 13-15 December 2023

Fieldwork: 16-18 October 2024
Sample size: 1,000

➤ https://europeelects.eu/spain

NEW | #Georgia goes to the polls soon. They do so in a polarised atmosphere between urban and rural areas, where youth and minority turnout could be a decisive factor determining the outcome.

Will Georgia flip, or will it stay blue? Read our preview: https://europeelects.eu/2024/10/24/will-georgia-flip-a-high-stakes-election-amidst-political-polarisation/

#Italy (#Umbria), Termometro Politico poll:

Presidential election

Tesei (LEGA-PfE): 49% (-9)
Proietti (*-S&D|LEFT|G/EFA|RE): 43% (+6)
Rizzo (DSP~NI): 5% (+4)
...

+/- vs. 2019 election

Fieldwork: 9-18 October 2024
Sample size: 1,000

➤ https://europeelects.eu/italy

#Georgia, national parliament election today:

➤ Eligible voters: ~3,508,000
➤ Polling stations open: 6 AM-6 PM CEST (8 AM-8 PM GET)
➤ Incumbent government: centre-left, conservative GD (~S&D|ECR) under Prime Minister Irakli Kobakhidze
➤ Electoral system: proportional representation, 5% threshold
➤ 19 party lists running

➤ https://europeelects.eu/georgia

#Georgia, Adjara regional parliament election today:

➤ Eligible voters: ~317,000
➤ Polling stations open: 6 AM-6 PM CEST (8 AM-8 PM GET)
➤ Incumbent majority party: centre-left, conservative Georgian Dream (~S&D|ECR)
➤ Electoral system: proportional representation, 5% threshold
➤ 11 party lists running

➤ https://europeelects.eu/georgia

#Georgia, national parliament election today:

Turnout at 8 AM CEST (10 AM GET)

2024: 9.3% (+1.0)
2020: 8.3%
2016: 8.3%
2012: 10.7%

Source: Central Electoral Commission

➤ https://europeelects.eu/georgia

#Georgia, national parliament election today:

Turnout at 8 AM CEST (10 AM GET) per region

Adjara: 7.8% (+0.5)
Guria: 7.7% (-1.2)
Tbilisi: 10.7% (+2.2)
Imereti: 8.1% (-0.7)
Kakheti: 10.1% (+1.2)
Mtskheta-Mtianeti: 10.4% (+1.4)
Racha-Lechkhumi: 12.1% (+0.3)
Samegrelo-Zemo Svaneti: 8.2% (+0.3)
Samtskhe-Javakheti: 8.8% (+0.9)
Kvemo Kartli: 8.5% (+1.0)
Shida Kartli: 9.7% (+1.3)

+/- vs. 2020 election

Source: Central Electoral Commission

➤ https://europeelects.eu/georgia

#Georgia, national parliament election today:

Turnout at 10 AM CEST (12 PM GET)

2024: 22.2% (+2.8)
2020: 19.4%
2016: 19.8%
2012: 25.9%
2008: 22.3%

Source: Central Electoral Commission

➤ https://europeelects.eu/georgia

#Georgia, national parliament election today:

Turnout at 8 AM CEST (10 AM GET) per region

Adjara: 19.8% (+1.9)
Guria: 21.1% (-0.5)
Tbilisi: 23.2% (+5.0)
Imereti: 22.0% (+1.3)
Kakheti: 23.9% (+3.4)
Mtskheta-Mtianeti: 23.5% (+2.5)
Racha-Lechkhumi: 31.3% (+3.0)
Samegrelo-Zemo Svaneti: 21.6% (+2.0)
Samtskhe-Javakheti: 22.0% (+1.8)
Kvemo Kartli: 20.8% (+2.2)
Shida Kartli: 21.9% (+2.1)

+/- vs. 2020 election

Source: Central Electoral Commission

➤ https://europeelects.eu/georgia

NEW | #Georgia goes to the polls soon. They do so in a polarised atmosphere between urban and rural areas, where youth and minority turnout could be a decisive factor determining the outcome.

Will Georgia flip, or will it stay blue? Read our preview: https://europeelects.eu/2024/10/24/will-georgia-flip-a-high-stakes-election-amidst-political-polarisation/

#Georgia, national parliament election today:

Turnout at 1 PM CEST (3 PM GET)

2024: 41.6% (+5.1)
2020: 36.5%
2016: 34.8%
2012: 45.0%

Source: Central Electoral Commission

➤ https://europeelects.eu/georgia

#Georgia, national parliament election today:

Turnout at 1 PM CEST (3 PM GET) per region

Adjara: 41.9% (+5.8)
Guria: 43.7% (+3.1)
Tbilisi: 42.4% (+7.8)
Imereti: 42.8% (+4.4)
Kakheti: 42.6% (+4.1)
Mtskheta-Mtianeti: 42.9% (+3.8)
Racha-Lechkhumi: 54.2% (+4.7)
Samegrelo-Zemo Svaneti: 40.5% (+4.3)
Samtskhe-Javakheti: 43.4% (+3.1)
Kvemo Kartli: 35.6% (+1.7)
Shida Kartli: 41.7% (+4.6)

+/- vs. 2020 election

Source: Central Electoral Commission

➤ https://europeelects.eu/georgia

#Georgia, national parliament election today:

Turnout at 3 PM CEST (5 PM GET)

2024: 50.6% (+4.8)
2020: 45.8%
2016: 42.0%
2012: 53.0%
2008: 42.9%

Source: Central Electoral Commission

➤ https://europeelects.eu/georgia

#Georgia, national parliament election today:

Turnout at 3 PM CEST (5 PM GET) per region

Adjara: 53.1% (+6.7)
Guria: 53.7% (+2.9)
Tbilisi: 52.4% (+8.6)
Imereti: 51.3% (+4.0)
Kakheti: 51.3% (+3.0)
Mtskheta-Mtianeti: 51.9% (+2.9)
Racha-Lechkhumi: 61.8% (+4.5)
Samegrelo-Zemo Svaneti: 47.8% (+2.8)
Samtskhe-Javakheti: 52.4% (+2.3)
Kvemo Kartli: 42.3% (+0.4)
Shida Kartli: 50.7% (+4.4)

+/- vs. 2020 election

Source: Central Electoral Commission

➤ https://europeelects.eu/georgia

#Bulgaria, Exacta poll:

GERB/SDS-EPP: 27% (+2)
PP/DB-RE|EPP: 15% (+1)
V-ESN: 14%
BSPOL-S&D|LEFT: 8% (+1)
APS-RE: 8% (new)
DPS/NN-RE: 7% (new)
ITN-ECR: 6%
MECh-*: 4% (+1)
SB-EPP: 3% (-1)
Velichie-*: 3% (-2)

+/- vs. June 2024 election

Fieldwork: 19-22 October 2024
Sample size: 1,050

➤ https://europeelects.eu/bulgaria/

#Bulgaria, Gallup International poll:

GERB/SDS-EPP: 26%
PP/DB-RE|EPP: 16% (+1)
V-ESN: 15%
BSPOL-S&D: 7%
APS-RE: 8%
DPS/NN-RE: 8% (+1)
ITN-ECR: 6%
MECh-*: 4%
Velichie-*: 4% (+1)
SB-EPP: 1%

+/- vs. 28 September - 6 October 2024

Fieldwork: 10-21 September 2024
Sample size: 1,007

➤ https://europeelects.eu/bulgaria/

#Georgia, national parliament election today:

Edison Research (8 PM GET) exit poll

GD~S&D|ECR: 41% (-7)
Unity-EPP|RE: 17% (-17)
CfC-RE: 17% (new)
SG-RE: 10% (+5)
ForGeo~EPP: 8% (+8)
Girchi~NI: 2% (-1)
AP~ECR: 2% (-2)
LP-*: 2% (+1)

+/- vs. 2020 election

➤ https://europeelects.eu/georgia

#Georgia, national parliament election today:

HarrisX (8 PM GET) exit poll

GD~S&D|ECR: 42% (-6)
CfC-RE: 18% (new)
Unity-EPP|RE: 13% (-21)
SG-RE: 9% (+4)
ForGeo~EPP: 8% (+8)

+/- vs. 2020 election

➤ https://europeelects.eu/georgia