#Germany: the centre-right CDU/CSU-EPP alliance maintains a firm lead in our polling average at 31%.

The governing coalition, comprised of centre-left SPD-S&D, green GRÜNE-G/EFA and liberal FDP-RE, also polls at a combined 31%, though the FDP currently sits below the electoral threshold of 5%.

See more: https://europeelects.eu/germany/

#Iceland: President Halla Tómasdóttir (*) has approved the proposal submitted by prime minister Bjarni Benediktsson (D-EPP) to dissolve parliament and call snap elections. Parliamentary elections will take place on 30 November.

All current members of the cabinet ministry will take positions in the temporary executive board except those from coalition partner Left-Green Movement (V~LEFT|RE), who will become ordinary parliamentary members

➤ https://europeelects.eu/iceland/

#Slovenia, Mediana poll:

SDS-EPP: 32% (-3)
GS-RE: 24% (+3)
SD-S&D: 9% (+1)
NSi-EPP: 7% (+1)
L-LEFT: 5% (-1)
Vesna-G/EFA: 5% (+1)
Resnica→NI: 4% (+1)
SNS→PfE: 3% (+1)
PSS-G/EFA: 3% (-1)
NP-*: 3% (n.a.)
SLS-EPP: 2% (-2)
ND-*: 1%
K~RE: 0%

+/- vs. 16-19 September 2024

Fieldwork: 30 September-3 October 2024
Sample size: 724

➤ https://europeelects.eu/slovenia

#Estonia, Norstat poll:

I-EPP: 31% (+4)
RE-RE: 18%
SDE-S&D: 14%
EKRE-PfE: 12% (-1)
KE-RE|ECR: 11% (-4)
E200→EPP: 5% (+1)
PP→EPP: 5% (-1)
EER-G/EFA: 2% (+1)
ERK~ECR: 1%
KOOS-*: 1%

+/- vs. 30 September-6 October 2024

Fieldwork: 7-14 October 2024
Sample size: 1,000

➤ https://europeelects.eu/estonia

#Poland, IBRiS poll:

Presidential election

Trzaskowski (KO-EPP|RE|G/EFA): 39% (+9)
Nawrocki (PiS-ECR): 26% (new)
Hołownia (TD PL2050/PSL-RE|EPP): 12% (-2)
Mentzen (Kon-ESN|PfE|NI): 10% (new)
Dziemianowicz-Bąk (Lewica-S&D|LEFT): 9% (new)
Matysiak (*): 4% (new)

+/- vs. 2020 election

Fieldwork: 11-12 October 2024
Sample size: 1,071

➤ https://europeelects.eu/poland

North #Macedonia, IPIS poll:

VMRO DPMNE-EPP: 44% (-1)
SDSM-S&D: 15% (-1)
DUI/AA+~S&D|EPP|NI: 14%
VREDI~NI: 13% (+1)
Levica~LEFT: 8% (+1)
ZNAM-*: 6% (+1)

+/- vs. 18-21 June 2024

Fieldwork: 10-13 October 2024
Sample size: 1,134

➤ https://europeelects.eu/northmacedonia

#Czechia, NMS poll:

ANO-PfE: 33% (+1)
ODS-ECR: 12% (+1)
STAN-EPP: 12% (+3)
SPD-ESN: 8%
Piráti-G/EFA: 7% (-1)
KSČM-NI: 5% (+1)
Přísaha-PfE: 4% (-1)
TOP09-EPP: 4%
Auto-PfE: 4% (-1)
SocDem-S&D: 3% (+1)
KDU/ČSL-EPP: 3% (+1)
Zelení-G/EFA: 2%
Trikolora~ESN: 1%
PRO-*: 1%
Svobodní-NI: 1% (-1)

+/- vs. 3 - 10 September 2024

Fieldwork: 4 - 9 October 2024
Sample size: 1,301

➤ https://europeelects.eu/czechia

#Finland, Verian poll:

SDP-S&D: 23% (+1)
Kok.-EPP: 19% (-2)
PS-ECR: 16%
Kesk.-RE: 13% (+1)
Vas.-LEFT: 9%
Vihr.-G/EFA: 8%
SFP-RE: 4%
KD-EPP: 4%
Liik.~NI: 2%

+/- vs. August-September 2024

Fieldwork: 16 September-11 October 2024
Sample size: 2,432

➤ https://europeelects.eu/finland

#Hungary, IDEA poll:

Fidesz/KDNP-PfE: 39%
TISZA-EPP: 37% (+3)
DK-S&D: 7% (-1)
MH-ESN: 7%
MKKP→G/EFA: 4% (+1)
Momentum-RE: 2%
2RK-*: 1%
NP-*: 1% (-1)
MMN→EPP: 1% (n.a.)

+/- vs. 28 August - 6 September 2024

Fieldwork: 27 September - 7 October 2024
Sample size: 1,500

➤ https://europeelects.eu/hungary

#Romania, Sociopol poll:

Presidential election

Ciolacu (PSD-S&D): 26% (-1)
Simion (AUR-ECR): 19% (+1)
Ciucă (PNL-EPP): 17% (+3)
Lasconi (USR-RE): 12%
Geoană (*): 10% (-1)
Diaconescu (*): 9% (+3)
Kelemen (UDMR-EPP): 2% (-1)
Terheș (PNCR-ECR): 2% (new)
Georgescu (*): 2% (new)
Orban (FD→EPP): 1% (new)
...

+/- vs. 4-12 September 2024

Fieldwork: 7-9 October 2024
Sample size: 1,004

➤ https://europeelects.eu/romania/

#Denmark, Voxmeter poll:

A-S&D: 20% (-2)
F-G/EFA: 16% (+1)
I-EPP: 13% (+1)
Æ-ECR: 10% (-1)
V-RE: 10%
Ø-LEFT: 8%
C-EPP: 6%
O-PfE: 5%
M-RE: 4%
B-RE: 4% (-1)
Å→G/EFA: 2% (+1)

+/- vs. 23-30 September 2024

Fieldwork: 7-13 October 2024
Sample size: 1,005

➤ https://europeelects.eu/denmark

#Estonia, Kantar Emor poll:

I-EPP: 24% (-1)
RE-RE: 17% (-1)
SDE-S&D: 15% (-1)
KE-RE|ECR: 14%
EKRE-PfE: 13% (+3)
PP→EPP: 6% (+1)
E200→EPP: 3% (-1)
ERK~ECR: 2% (-2)
EER-G/EFA: 2% (+1)
KOOS-*: 2% (-1)

+/- vs. 12-18 September 2024

Fieldwork: 10-16 October 2024
Sample size: 1,505

➤ https://europeelects.eu/estonia

⬇️📻 Check out the latest episode of our podcast. Our co-hosts Gabriel Hedengren and Javid Ibad discuss the Austrian general elections, state elections in Germany, Azerbaijan, and Russia, the new EU commissioners, and the new French Government.

➤ https://pnc.st/s/europe-elects-podcast/13de038c/france-and-germany-dominate-european-politics-but-not-the-eu-

#Moldova, Intellect Group poll:

Presidential election

Sandu (*-EPP): 43% (+10)
Stoianoglo (*): 19% (+2)
Usatîi (PN-*): 18% (+9)
Vlah (*): 6% (-1)
Tarlev (PVM-*): 4% (-3)
Chicu (PDCM-*): 2%
Furtună (*): 2% (new)
Năstase (*): 2% (-3)
Morari (*): 2% (-1)
Țîcu (BÎ-EPP): 1% (n.a.)
Ulianovschi (*): 1% (n.a.)

+/- vs. 30 August - 2 September 2024

Fieldwork: 13-15 October 2024
Sample size: 985

➤ https://europeelects.eu/moldova

#Moldova, Intellect Group poll:

PAS-EPP: 40% (+2)
PSRM~LEFT: 17% (+1)
PN-*: 15% (+10)
BV-*: 13% (n.a.)
MAN~S&D: 5%
PCRM-LEFT: 4% (-6)

+/- vs. 15-19 June 2023

Fieldwork: 13-15 October 2024
Sample size: 985

➤ https://europeelects.eu/moldova

#Moldova, Intellect Group poll:

Support for Moldova's integration into the EU

In favour: 59%
Against: 41%

Fieldwork: 13-15 October 2024
Sample size: 985

➤ https://europeelects.eu/moldova

#Moldova, iData poll:

Presidential election

Sandu (*-EPP): 36% (+1)
Usatîi (PN-*): 16%
Stoianoglo (*): 14% (-1)
Tarlev (PVM-*): 8%
Furtună (*): 7% (+7)
Vlah (*): 6% (-2)
Ulianovschi (*): 5%
Chicu (PDCM-*): 4% (-1)
Țîcu (BÎ-EPP): 2% (+1)
Năstase (*): 1%
Morari (*): 1% (-1)
Arseni (*): 0%

+/- vs. 13-18 September 2024

Fieldwork: 19 September - 10 October 2024
Sample size: 1,100

➤ https://europeelects.eu/moldova

#Moldova, iData poll:

PAS-EPP: 36% (-2)
BV-*: 18%
PSRM~LEFT: 16% (+1)
PN-*: 14% (+1)
PCRM-LEFT: 3% (+1)
PDCM-*: 3% (-2)
PSDE-S&D: 2%
BÎ-EPP: 2% (+1)
CUB-RE: 2%
MAN~S&D: 2% (-2)
PLDM-EPP: 1% (+1)
PVM-*: 1% (new)
PL-RE: 0%
MRM-*: 0% (new)

+/- vs. 13-18 September 2024

Fieldwork: 19 September - 10 October 2024
Sample size: 1,100

➤ https://europeelects.eu/moldova

#Moldova, iData poll:

Support for Moldova's integration into the EU

In favour: 68% (+14)
Against: 32% (-14)

+/- vs. 13-18 September 2024

Fieldwork: 19 September - 10 October 2024
Sample size: 1,100

➤ https://europeelects.eu/moldova

#Moldova, CBS Research poll:

Presidential election

Sandu (*-EPP): 61% (+10)
Stoianoglo (*): 15% (+1)
Usatîi (PN-*): 10% (-1)
Vlah (*): 4% (-2)
Furtună (*): 3% (+2)
Tarlev (PVM-*): 2% (-1)
Chicu (PDCM-*): 2% (-2)
Năstase (*): 1%
Morari (*): 1%
Țîcu (BÎ-EPP): 1% (+1)
Ulianovschi (*): 0% (-1)

+/- vs. 13-22 September 2024

Fieldwork: 11-16 October 2024
Sample size: 1,034

➤ https://europeelects.eu/moldova

#Moldova: Incumbent president Sandu (*-EPP) reaches an all-time record high of 60.6% in the latest CBS Research poll for the first round of the Moldovan presidential election that will take place this Sunday.

In the first round of the 2020 election, she obtained 36.16%.

➤ https://europeelects.eu/moldova