#Portugal, Aximage poll:

AD-EPP|ECR: 32% (+5)
PS-S&D: 29% (-1)
CH-PfE: 15% (-2)
IL-RE: 6% (-1)
BE-LEFT: 6% (+1)
L-G/EFA: 4% (-1)
CDU-LEFT|G/EFA: 3% (-1)
PAN-G/EFA: 2%

+/- vs. 3-8 July 2024

Fieldwork: 30 September-5 October 2024
Sample size: 802

➤ https://europeelects.eu/portugal

#Switzerland: on 24 November, voters will cast their votes in four ballots on highways, tenancy law and health insurance.

The first LeeWas poll shows support for the two first ballots, disapproval for the third ballot and an open race for the fourth ballot.

Fieldwork: 2-3 October 2024
Sample size: 11,170

➤ https://europeelects.eu/switzerland

#Sweden, Verian poll:

S-S&D: 33%
M-EPP: 20%
SD-ECR: 19%
V-LEFT: 9%
MP-G/EFA: 6%
C-RE: 5%
KD-EPP: 4% (+1)
L-RE: 3%

+/- vs. 26 August - 8 September 2024

Fieldwork: 23 September - 6 October 2024
Sample size: 3,000

➤ https://europeelects.eu/sweden

#Sweden, Demoskop poll:

S-S&D: 32% (-1)
M-EPP: 20%
SD-ECR: 19% (-1)
V-LEFT: 8% (-1)
MP-G/EFA: 7% (+1)
C-RE: 5% (+1)
KD-EPP: 3%
L-RE: 3%

+/- vs. 24 August - 9 September 2024

Fieldwork: 22 September - 8 October 2024
Sample size: 2,650

➤ https://europeelects.eu/sweden

#Germany, YouGov poll:

CDU/CSU-EPP: 32%
AfD-ESN: 18%
SPD-S&D: 16% (+2)
GRÜNE-G/EFA: 11% (-2)
BSW-NI: 8%
FDP-RE: 5% (+1)
LINKE-LEFT: 3% (-1)
FW-RE: 1%

+/- vs. 6-10 September 2024

Fieldwork: 4-8 October 2024
Sample size: 1,773

➤ https://europeelects.eu/germany

#Germany, Ipsos poll:

CDU/CSU-EPP: 32% (-1)
AfD-ESN: 18%
SPD-S&D: 15% (+2)
GRÜNE-G/EFA: 11%
BSW-NI: 8% (-1)
FDP-RE: 4%
LINKE-LEFT: 3%
FW-RE: 3% (+1)

+/- vs. 6-7 September 2024

Fieldwork: 2-4 October 2024
Sample size: 1,000

➤ https://europeelects.eu/germany

#Germany, Infratest dimap poll:

CDU/CSU-EPP: 31% (-2)
AfD-ESN: 17%
SPD-S&D: 16% (+1)
GRÜNE-G/EFA: 13% (+2)
BSW-NI: 8%
FDP-RE: 3% (-1)
LINKE-LEFT: 3%
FW-RE: 3% (n.a.)

+/- vs. 3-4 September 2024

Fieldwork: 7-9 October 2024
Sample size: 1,321

➤ https://europeelects.eu/germany

Türkiye, MetroPOLL poll:

AKP~NI: 32% (+6)
CHP-S&D: 31% (-3)
DEM-S&D: 10%
MHP~NI: 9% (+1)
İYİ~RE: 5% (-1)
YRP-*: 4% (-1)
ZP-*: 4% (-2)
TİP-*: 2% (+1)

+/- vs. 12-16 July 2024

Fieldwork: 12-19 September 2024
Sample size: 1,576

➤ https://europeelects.eu/turkiye
#Turkey

Türkiye, MetroPOLL poll:

Presidential election (scenario: CHP (S&D) has two candidates)

Erdoğan (AKP~NI): 35% (-15)
Yavaş (CHP-S&D): 30%
İmamoğlu (CHP-S&D): 23%
Demirtaş (DEM-S&D): 12% (n.a.)

+/- vs. 2023 election

Fieldwork: 12-19 September 2024
Sample size: 1,576

➤ https://europeelects.eu/turkiye
#Turkey

#Poland, Opinia24 poll:

KO-EPP|RE|G/EFA: 37% (+6)
PiS-ECR: 35%
Kon-ESN|PfE|NI: 13% (+6)
TD PL2050/PSL-RE|EPP: 7% (-7)
Lewica-S&D|LEFT: 6% (-3)

+/- vs. 2023 election

Fieldwork: 7-9 October 2024
Sample size: 1,000

➤ https://europeelects.eu/poland

#Georgia, Savanta poll:

GD~S&D|ECR: 36% (-12)
CfC-RE: 18% (new)
Unity-EPP|RE: 14% (-20)
ForGeo~EPP: 10% (+10)
SG-RE: 8% (+4)
AP~ECR: 3% (-1)
Girchi~NI: 3%
LP-*: 2% (+1)

+/- vs. 2020 election

Fieldwork: 29 September-8 October 2024
Sample size: 1,561

➤ https://europeelects.eu/georgia/

#Georgia: as the national parliament election is to take place in 15 days, we are all closely keeping track not only of opinion polls, but also the pollsters themselves! 🇬🇪

Europe Elects: Truth in Polling is a project assessing pollsters in each European country, including Georgia. You can access the database at any time by visiting https://europeelects.eu/europe-elects-truth-in-polling

This project is supported by European Media & Information Fund.

You can contact us at: [email protected].

#Hungary: Péter Magyar's newly-formed centre-right Respect and Freedom (TISZA-EPP) has reached 36% in our polling average, just 7pp below the governing right-wing Fidesz-KDNP (PfE).

This is the highest an individual opposition party has polled since our average began in 2018.

See more: https://europeelects.eu/hungary/

Türkiye, ASAL poll:

CHP-S&D: 33% (-2)
AKP~NI: 31% (+1)
MHP~NI: 10%
DEM-S&D: 9%
YRP-*: 4% (-1)
İYİ~RE: 4%
ZP-*: 4%
TİP-*: 2% (+1)

+/- vs. 17-27 August 2024

Fieldwork: 22-29 September 2024
Sample size: 2,520

➤ https://europeelects.eu/turkiye
#Turkey

#Italy, Termometro Politico poll:

FdI-ECR: 29%
PD-S&D: 23%
M5S-LEFT: 10%
LEGA-PfE: 9%
FI-EPP: 8 (-1)
AVS-LEFT|G/EFA: 7%
A-RE: 3%
IV-RE: 2%
+E-RE: 2%
PTD-LEFT: 2%
DSP~NI: 1%
NM-EPP: 1%
ScN-*: 1%

+/- vs. 2-3 October 2024

Fieldwork: 9-10 October 2024
Sample size: 2,800

➤ https://europeelects.eu/italy

#Italy, EMG poll:

FdI-ECR: 29% (+2)
PD-S&D: 22% (+1)
M5S-LEFT: 12% (-4)
LEGA-PfE: 9%
FI-EPP: 9% (+1)
AVS-LEFT|G/EFA: 7% (+3)
A-RE: 3%
IV-RE: 3% (n.a.)
+E-RE: 2% (n.a.)
NM-EPP: 1% (n.a.)

+/- vs. 19-23 May 2024

Fieldwork: 8-9 October 2024
Sample size: 1,523

➤ https://europeelects.eu/italy

#Italy (#Liguria), Ipsos poll:

Presidential election

Bucci (*-EPP|ECR|PfE): 49% (-7)
Orlando (PD-S&D): 46% (+7)
...

+/- vs. 2020 election

Fieldwork: 8-10 October 2024
Sample size: 800

➤ https://europeelects.eu/italy

#Greece, Opinion Poll poll:

ND-EPP: 32% (+1)
PASOK KINAL-S&D: 17% (+2)
KKE-NI: 10% (+2)
EL-ECR: 9% (-1)
SYRIZA-LEFT: 9% (-3)
FL-PfE: 5% (+2)
PE-NI: 4%
Niki-NI: 4%
MeRA25~LEFT: 3%
NA~LEFT: 2%

+/- vs. 27-30 August 2024

Fieldwork: 24-27 September 2024
Sample size: 1,502
➤ https://europeelects.eu/greece

#Greece, Palmos Analysis poll:

ND-EPP: 29% (-5)
PASOK KINAL-S&D: 18% (+6)
SYRIZA-LEFT: 11% (-3)
KKE-NI: 10% (+1)
EL-ECR: 7% (-4)
Niki-NI: 5% (+1)
PE-NI: 4%
FL-PfE: 4% (n.a.)
MeRA25~LEFT: 3% (n.a.)
NA~LEFT: 3% (-1)
Spartiates-*: 2% (-1)

+/- vs. 01-04 April 2024

Fieldwork: 24-28 September 2024
Sample size: 1,012
➤ https://europeelects.eu/greece

#Greece, Metron Analysis poll:

ND-EPP: 29% (-1)
PASOK KINAL-S&D: 17% (+2)
KKE-NI: 11%
EL-ECR: 10% (+1)
SYRIZA-LEFT: 8% (-1)
FL-PfE: 5% (+1)
PE-NI: 5%
Niki-NI: 3% (-1)
NA~LEFT: 3%
MeRA25~LEFT: 3% (-1)
Spartiates-*: 2% (+1)

+/- vs. 13-23 September 2024

Fieldwork: 26 September - 02 October 2024
Sample size: 1,703
➤ https://europeelects.eu/greece

#Greece: left-wing to centre-left SYRIZA (LEFT) falls to 8.5% in the latest Metron Analysis poll.

This is the party’s lowest polling result since April 2012 and if repeated in an election it would be its lowest election result since 2009.

The party is amidst a leadership contest as Stefanos Kasselakis, who was elected as party leader in September 2023, was ousted by the party’s Central Committee.

➤ https://europeelects.eu/greece