Türkiye, ALF poll:

AKP~NI: 34% (+2)
CHP-S&D: 29% (-3)
DEM-S&D: 11% (+1)
MHP~NI: 10%
ZP-*: 6% (+1)
YRP-*: 5%
İYİ~RE: 2% (-1)

+/- vs. 12-16 August 2024

Fieldwork: 16-19 September 2024
Sample size: 1,800

➤ https://europeelects.eu/turkiye
#Turkey

#Slovakia, FOCUS poll:

Smer-NI: 23% (-2)
PS-RE: 22% (+1)
Hlas-NI: 13% (+2)
Republika-ESN: 8% (+1)
KDH-EPP: 6% (-1)
SaS-ECR: 6% (-2)
MA-EPP: 5% (+1)
D-EPP: 5%
SNS~PfE: 5% (+1)
S/KÚ/ZĽ-EPP|ECR: 4%
SR~PfE: 3% (+1)

+/- vs. 9-14 July 2024

Fieldwork: 17-26 September 2024
Sample size: 1,017

➤ https://europeelects.eu/slovakia/

Europe Elects: Truth in Polling—six more countries assessed as part of our mission of promoting transparency in the polling industry!

The latest batch of assessments features pollsters operating in Azerbaijan, Germany, France, Greece, Hungary, and—last but not least—Georgia, which is having its national parliament election in October.

➡️https://europeelects.eu/europe-elects-truth-in-polling/ ⬅️

Countries assessed in previous months:
-Albania
-Andorra
-Armenia
-Austria
-Belarus
-Bosnia and Herzegovina
-Bulgaria
-Croatia
-Cyprus
-Czechia
-Denmark
-Estonia
-Finland

The project is supported by Fundação Calouste Gulbenkian, European University Institute, and Google as part of the European Media & Information Fund.

Contact: [email protected].

#Spain, SigmaDos poll:

PP-EPP: 36% (+1)
PSOE-S&D: 29%
VOX-PfE: 10%
Sumar-LEFT|G/EFA: 7% (+1)
Podemos-LEFT: 3%
SALF-NI: 3%
Junts-NI: 2%
ERC-G/EFA: 2%
EH Bildu-LEFT: 1%
PNV-RE: 1%
...

+/- vs. 5-8 August 2024

Fieldwork: 20-27 September 2024
Sample size: 1,909

➤ https://europeelects.eu/spain

#Spain, GESOP poll:

PP-EPP: 33%
PSOE-S&D: 27% (-3)
VOX-PfE: 13%
Sumar-LEFT|G/EFA: 11% (+1)
Podemos-LEFT: 3%
SALF-NI: 2% (n.a.)
Junts-NI: 2%
ERC-G/EFA: 2%

+/- vs. 27-31 May 2024

Fieldwork: 23-26 September 2024
Sample size: 1,004

➤ https://europeelects.eu/spain

#Denmark, Voxmeter poll:

A-S&D: 22% (+1)
F-G/EFA: 15% (-1)
I-EPP: 12%
Æ-ECR: 11% (+1)
V-RE: 10%
Ø-LEFT: 8% (+1)
C-EPP: 6%
O-PfE: 5% (+1)
B-RE: 5%
M-RE: 4% (-1)
Å→G/EFA: 1% (-1)

+/- vs. 15-22 September 2024

Fieldwork: 23-30 September 2024
Sample size: 1,003

➤ https://europeelects.eu/denmark

UK, Techne poll:

LAB-S&D: 32% (-1)
CON~ECR: 22% (+1)
REFORM~NI: 18%
LDEM-RE: 13%
GREENS-G/EFA: 7%
SNP-G/EFA: 2%

+/- vs. 18–19 September 2024

Fieldwork: 25–26 September 2024
Sample size: 1,638

➤ https://europeelects.eu/uk
#UnitedKingdom

UK, More in Common poll:

LAB-S&D: 30% (-4)
CON~ECR: 26% (+2)
REFORM~NI: 18% (+4)
LDEM-RE: 13% (+1)
GREENS-G/EFA: 8% (+1)
SNP-G/EFA: 3%
PC-G/EFA: 1%

+/- vs. 2024 election

Fieldwork: 24–25 September 2024
Sample size: 2,080

➤ https://europeelects.eu/uk
#UnitedKingdom

Denmark, Epinion poll:

A-S&D: 20% (+1)
F-G/EFA: 15% (-1)
I-EPP: 13%
V-RE: 10% (+1)
Æ-ECR: 10% (-2)
Ø-LEFT: 8% (+1)
C-EPP: 7%
O-PfE: 6% (+1)
B-RE: 4%
M-RE: 4% (-2)
Å→G/EFA: 2%

+/- vs. 7-14 August 2024

Fieldwork: 20-27 October 2024
Sample size: 1,614

➤ https://europeelects.eu/denmark

#Croatia, Ipsos poll:

HDZ-EPP: 35% (+1)
SDP-S&D: 24% (+1)
Možemo!-G/EFA: 12%
Most→ECR: 8%
DP-ECR: 6% (-1)

+/- vs. 1-21 August 2024

Fieldwork: 1-20 September 2024
Sample size: 991

➤ https://europeelects.eu/croatia/

#Estonia, Norstat poll:

I-EPP: 27% (-3)
RE-RE: 22% (+5)
EKRE-PfE: 14% (+2)
SDE-S&D: 13% (-1)
KE-RE|ECR: 12% (-2)
PP→EPP: 4%
E200→EPP: 4%
ERK~ECR: 2%
EER-G/EFA: 1%
KOOS-*: 1%

+/- vs. 16-23 September 2024

Fieldwork: 23-29 September 2024
Sample size: 1,000

➤ https://europeelects.eu/estonia

#Bulgaria, Alpha Research poll:

GERB/SDS-EPP: 26% (+1)
PP/DB-RE|EPP|G/EFA: 16% (+1)
V-ESN: 15% (+2)
APS-RE: 9% (new)
DPS/NN-RE: 7% (new)
BSPOL-S&D: 7%
ITN-ECR: 6%
Velichie-*: 4% (-1)
MECh-*: 3%
SB-EPP: 3% (+1)

+/- vs. June 2024 election

Fieldwork: 18-24 September 2024
Sample size: 1,000

➤ https://europeelects.eu/bulgaria/

#Bulgaria: right-wing Morality, Unity, Honour (MECh-*) appears in a poll for the first time, with 3.3% in the latest Alpha Research poll. The party obtained 3.0% in the June 2024 election, below the electoral threshold of 4% needed to receive representation in the national parliament.

➤ https://europeelects.eu/bulgaria

#Bulgaria: DPS faction Movement for Rights and Freedoms – A New Beginning (DPS/NN-RE) appears in a poll for the first time, with 7.1% in the latest Alpha Research poll.

➤ https://europeelects.eu/bulgaria

#Bulgaria: DPS faction Alliance for Rights and Freedoms (APS-RE) appears in a poll for the first time, with 9.1% in the latest Alpha Research poll.

➤ https://europeelects.eu/bulgaria

San Marino: Francesca Civerchia (PDCS-EPP) and Dalibor Riccardi (Libera~S&D) have been elected as the Captains Regent (heads of state & government) of San Marino by the Parliament.

Term length is six months. Captains Regent have right to veto legislation.

➤ https://europeelects.eu/san-marino
#SanMarino

#Poland, United Surveys poll:

KO-EPP|RE|G/EFA: 36% (-1)
PiS-ECR: 31% (-2)
TD PL2050/PSL-RE|EPP: 12% (+1)
Kon-ESN|PfE|NI: 11% (+2)
Lewica-S&D|LEFT: 9%

+/- vs. 20-21 September 2024

Fieldwork: 27-29 September 2024
Sample size: 1,000

➤ https://europeelects.eu/poland

#Poland, Pollster poll:

KO-EPP|RE|G/EFA: 34% (+3)
PiS-ECR: 32% (+1)
Kon-ESN|PfE|NI: 12% (+4)
TD PL2050/PSL-RE|EPP: 11% (-6)
Lewica-S&D|LEFT: 10% (+2)

+/- vs. 15-16 February 2024

Fieldwork: 29-30 September 2024
Sample size: 1,047

➤ https://europeelects.eu/poland

#Finland, Taloustutkimus poll:

SDP-S&D: 23% (+1)
Kok.-EPP: 20% (-2)
PS-ECR: 17%
Kesk.-RE: 13% (+2)
Vas.-LEFT: 9%
Vihr.-G/EFA: 8%
SFP-RE: 4%
KD-EPP: 3% (-1)
Liik.~NI: 1% (-1)

+/- vs. August 2024

Fieldwork: 4 September-1 October 2024
Sample size: 2,600

➤ https://europeelects.eu/finland