#Estonia: right-wing ERK (~ECR) appears in a poll for the first time, with 3% in the latest Turu-uuringute poll.

The party was formed by former members of right-wing EKRE (PfE) who left or were expelled by the party board ahead of the party’s leadership election in June.

➤ https://europeelects.eu/estonia

#Slovakia, FOCUS poll:

Smer-NI: 26% (+2)
PS-RE: 21%
Hlas-NI: 11% (-3)
KDH-EPP: 7% (+1)
SaS-ECR: 7% (+1)
Republika-ESN|NI: 7% (-1)
D-EPP: 5% (+1)
MA-EPP: 5% (-1)
S/KÚ/ZĽ-EPP|ECR: 4%
SNS~PfE: 3% (-1)
SR~PfE: 3% (+1)

+/- vs. 5-12 June 2024

Fieldwork: 9-14 July 2024
Sample size: 1,013

➤ https://europeelects.eu/slovakia/

#Slovakia, FOCUS poll:

Scenario: Ivan Korčok (*) forms his own party

Smer-NI: 25% (-1)
PS-RE: 16% (-6)
List Korčok-*: 14% (new)
Hlas-NI: 11% (-1)
Republika-ESN|NI: 7%
KDH-EPP: 7% (-1)
SaS-ECR: 5% (-3)
MA-EPP: 4% (-1)
SNS~PfE: 3%
D-EPP: 3% (-2)
S/KÚ/ZĽ-EPP|ECR: 3% (-2)
SR~PfE: 2% (-1)

+/- vs. without List Korčok

Fieldwork: 9-14 July 2024
Sample size: 1,013

➤ https://europeelects.eu/slovakia/

#Slovakia, FOCUS poll:

Scenario: Ivan Korčok (*) leads a joint SaS (ECR) and D (EPP) list

Smer-NI: 25% (-1)
PS-RE: 18% (-4)
SaS/D-ECR|EPP: 15% (new)
Hlas-NI: 12% (+1)
Republika-ESN|NI: 8% (+1)
KDH-EPP: 7%
MA-EPP: 4%
S/KÚ/ZĽ-EPP|ECR: 4%
SNS~PfE: 3% (-1)
SR~PfE: 3%

+/- vs. without SaS/D

Fieldwork: 9-14 July 2024
Sample size: 1,013

➤ https://europeelects.eu/slovakia/

#Denmark, Voxmeter poll:

A-S&D: 21% (+3)
F-G/EFA: 15% (-4)
I-EPP: 11% (-2)
V-RE: 10%
Æ-ECR: 9%
Ø-LEFT: 8% (+2)
M-RE: 7%
C-EPP: 6%
B-RE: 6% (+1)
O-PfE: 5%
Å→G/EFA: 2%

+/- vs. 17-23 June 2024

Fieldwork: 5-11 August 2024
Sample size: 1,001

➤ https://europeelects.eu/denmark

Türkiye, HBS poll:

CHP-S&D: 33%
AKP~NI: 31%
MHP~NI: 11% (+1)
DEM-S&D: 9% (+1)
YRP-*: 6%
İYİ~RE: 6% (+1)
ZP-*: 3%
TİP-*: 2%

+/- vs. 6-7 July 2024

Fieldwork: 26-27 July 2024
Sample size: 3,100

➤ https://europeelects.eu/turkiye
#Turkey

#Spain, SigmaDos poll:

PP-EPP: 35%
PSOE-S&D: 29% (-1)
VOX-PfE: 10% (+1)
Sumar-LEFT|G/EFA: 6% (-1)
Podemos-LEFT: 3% (-1)
SALF-NI: 3%
ERC-G/EFA: 2%
Junts-NI: 2%
EH Bildu-LEFT: 1%
PNV-RE: 1%
...

+/- vs. 12-18 July 2024

Fieldwork: 5-8 August 2024
Sample size: 2,102

➤ https://europeelects.eu/spain

#Poland, Pollster poll:

ZP-ECR: 32% (-1)
KO-EPP|RE|G/EFA: 31% (-4)
Kon-ESN|NI: 14% (+1)
TD PL2050/PSL-RE|EPP: 10% (+1)
Lewica-S&D: 9%

+/- vs. 8-9 July 2024

Fieldwork: 8 August 2024
Sample size: 1,001

➤ https://europeelects.eu/poland

#Poland, Pollster poll:

Scenario: PL2050 (RE) and PSL (EPP) run separately

KO-EPP|RE|G/EFA: 31%
ZP-ECR: 30% (-2)
Kon-ESN|NI: 14%
PL2050-RE: 9% (n.a.)
Lewica-S&D: 9%
PSL-EPP: 2% (n.a.)

+/- vs. headline poll

Fieldwork: 8 August 2024
Sample size: 1,001

➤ https://europeelects.eu/poland

#Germany, INSA poll:

CDU/CSU-EPP: 31% (+1)
AfD-ESN: 18%
SPD-S&D: 15%
GRÜNE-G/EFA: 10%
BSW-NI: 9% (-0.5)
FDP-RE: 5%
LINKE-LEFT: 3% (-0.5)

+/- vs. 26-29 July 2024

Fieldwork: 29 July-2 August 2024
Sample size: 1,199

➤ https://europeelects.eu/germany

#Germany, Forsa poll:

CDU/CSU-EPP: 30%
AfD-ESN: 17%
SPD-S&D: 15%
GRÜNE-G/EFA: 11%
BSW-NI: 7%
FDP-RE: 5% (+1)
LINKE-LEFT: 3%
FW-RE: 3% (n.a.)

+/- vs. 23-29 July 2024

Fieldwork: 30 July-5 August 2024
Sample size: 2,500

➤ https://europeelects.eu/germany

#Germany, INSA poll:

CDU/CSU-EPP: 30.5% (-0.5)
AfD-ESN: 17% (-1)
SPD-S&D: 15%
GRÜNE-G/EFA: 10.5% (+0.5)
BSW-NI: 9.5% (+0.5)
FDP-RE: 5%
LINKE-LEFT: 3.5% (+0.5)

+/- vs. 29 July-2 August 2024

Fieldwork: 2-5 August 2024
Sample size: 2,002

➤ https://europeelects.eu/germany

#Germany, Verian poll:

CDU/CSU-EPP: 31%
SPD-S&D: 16% (+1)
AfD-ESN: 16%
GRÜNE-G/EFA: 13%
BSW-NI: 7%
FDP-RE: 5%
LINKE-LEFT: 3%

+/- vs. 3-9 July 2024

Fieldwork: 31 July-6 August 2024
Sample size: 1,449

➤ https://europeelects.eu/germany

#Germany, Ipsos poll:

CDU/CSU-EPP: 30%
AfD-ESN: 16%
SPD-S&D: 14%
GRÜNE-G/EFA: 13% (+1)
BSW-NI: 8%
FDP-RE: 5%
LINKE-LEFT: 3%
FW-RE: 2%

+/- vs. 5-7 July 2024

Fieldwork: 2-4 August 2024
Sample size: 1,000

➤ https://europeelects.eu/germany

#Germany, Infratest dimap poll:

CDU/CSU-EPP: 31% (+1)
AfD-ESN: 16% (-1)
SPD-S&D: 15% (+1)
GRÜNE-G/EFA: 13% (-1)
BSW-NI: 9% (+1)
FDP-RE: 5%

+/- vs. 1-3 July 2024

Fieldwork: 5-7 August 2024
Sample size: 1,311

➤ https://europeelects.eu/germany

#Germany, INSA poll:

CDU/CSU-EPP: 31% (+0.5)
AfD-ESN: 18% (+1)
SPD-S&D: 16% (+1)
GRÜNE-G/EFA: 10% (-0.5)
BSW-NI: 9% (-0.5)
FDP-RE: 5%
LINKE-LEFT: 3%

+/- vs. 2-5 August 2024

Fieldwork: 5-9 August 2024
Sample size: 1,203

➤ https://europeelects.eu/germany

#Germany (#Saxony regional parliament), Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll:

CDU-EPP: 34% (+2)
AfD-ESN: 30% (+2)
BSW-NI: 11% (new)
GRÜNE-G/EFA: 6% (-3)
SPD-S&D: 6% (-2)
LINKE-LEFT: 4% (-6)

+/- vs. 2019 election

Fieldwork: 5-8 August 2024
Sample size: 1,003

➤ https://europeelects.eu/germany

#Germany (#Thuringia regional parliament), Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll:

AfD-ESN: 30% (+7)
CDU-EPP: 21% (-1)
BSW-NI: 19% (new)
LINKE-LEFT: 15% (-16)
SPD-S&D: 7% (-1)
GRÜNE-G/EFA: 3% (-2)

+/- vs. 2019 election

Fieldwork: 5-8 August 2024
Sample size: 1,015

➤ https://europeelects.eu/germany

#Germany (#Thuringia regional parliament), INSA poll:

AfD-ESN: 30% (+7)
CDU-EPP: 21% (-1)
BSW-NI: 19% (new)
LINKE-LEFT: 16% (-15)
SPD-S&D: 6% (-2)
GRÜNE-G/EFA: 3% (-2)
FDP-RE: 3% (-2)

+/- vs. 2019 election

Fieldwork: 5-12 August 2024
Sample size: 1,000

➤ https://europeelects.eu/germany

#Estonia, Norstat poll:

I-EPP: 27% (-3)
RE-RE: 20% (+3)
SDE-S&D: 18%
KE-RE: 12% (+1)
EKRE-PfE: 12% (-1)
PP→EPP: 6% (+1)
E200→EPP: 3%
EER-G/EFA: 1%

+/- vs. 29 July-4 August 2024

Fieldwork: 5-11 August 2024
Sample size: 1,000

➤ https://europeelects.eu/estonia

#Georgia, GORBI poll:

GD~S&D|ECR: 59% (-1)
Unity-EPP|RE: 13%
SG-RE: 6% (+1)
CfC-RE: 6% (+1)
ForGeo~EPP: 5% (+1)
AP~ECR: 3% (+2)
EG-EPP: 2% (-3)
Girchi~NI: 2% (+1)

+/- vs. 11-18 March 2024

Fieldwork: 24 July-4 August 2024
Sample size: 1,700

➤ https://europeelects.eu/georgia/