DD Geopolitics
157K subscribers
57.4K photos
36K videos
22 files
12.4K links
Transcending borders in a multipolar world.

Visit DDGeopolitics.com to follow us on other platforms.

You can message @DDGeopoliticsBOT if you wish to send media, news, or have any questions for the admin team.
Download Telegram
Forwarded from Rybar in English
🇷🇺🇺🇦 Chronicles of the special military operation
for November 13, 2024

Russian forces delivered a combined strike on AFU targets in Kyiv and Kyiv Region. Ukrainian formations carried out a terrorist attack in Sevastopol.

In the Kursk direction, Russian forces are advancing in Sudzha District southeast of Kreminna and are engaged in battles near Novoyvanivka.

In the Kurakhovka direction, the Russian Armed Forces liberated Ilyinka, fighting continues in Dalnie, and two Leopard 2A4 tanks were disabled south of Kurakhovka.

In the Vremivka direction, assault troops are advancing from the direction of Shakhtarsk and Zolota Nyva towards Velyka Novosilka, as well as attacking Novodarivka and fighting in Rovnopillia.

🔻Detailed analytical report on events in the Special Military Operation zone is available on our closed channel @rybar_plus_bot

High-resolution maps:

Situation in the special military operation zone (
ru; en)

Kursk direction (
ru; en)

#VelykaNovoselivka #digest #report #Donetsk #map #Kyiv #Kurakhovka #Kursk #Russia #Sevastopol #Ukraine
@rybar

Support us Original msg
Forwarded from Rybar in English
🇺🇦 On the Decline in Donations from the Ukrainian Population to the AFU

The publication Bloomberg published an interesting article with the headline "As War Grinds On, Ukrainians Donate Less to Their Military". According to the publication, there is a sharp decline in donation revenues.

Two of the largest volunteer organizations - the Pritula Foundation and "Come Back Alive" - are cited as examples, which have faced a 20% and 15% drop in donations compared to 2022. Other funds have lost even more - from 40% to 90% of their revenues.

According to the publication, this reflects a decrease in the willingness of Ukrainians to contribute to the defense effort at a difficult time at the front. Ukrainian volunteers explain this by the deterioration of the financial situation of Ukrainians, as well as the growing economic difficulties.

🔻To begin with, it should be said that the financial situation of the average Ukrainian citizen has indeed deteriorated. And with each passing day, it is becoming even more deplorable due to the degradation of the economy and the shortage of personnel caused by mass mobilization.

In addition, both the first and second funds (and small organizations as well) in the last one and a half years have been more known to the Ukrainian public as scammers who collect money for "wonder weapons", and in the best case they are delivered outdated junk purchased at the price of a MQ-9A Reaper UAV.

The story with Pritula's "satellite" alone is worth it. In addition to this, there is total mobilization, unpopular measures, to which corruption in all structures is added. The fatigue of the population from the war is becoming more and more noticeable, so the decline in donation revenues is a consequence of the accumulated problems in the country, with which no one is doing anything and is not going to do anything.
#Ukraine
@rybar

Support us Original msg
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
Forwarded from Rybar in English
🖇🇵🇱🇺🇦 On the outbursts of Ukrainian politicians against their sponsors

Polish Defense Minister Mariusz Błaszczak accused Ukrainians of "short memory" in response to Zelenskyy's accusations that the country refused to shoot down missiles over so-called Ukraine and give away the remaining MiG-29s. According to the [politician], Poland has done a lot for the Kyiv regime, but will not help at the expense of national security.

In general, such demands bordering on ultimatums to NATO sponsors - this is not only a clear manifestation of the level of political culture of representatives of the Kyiv regime. This is also a targeted strategy that has shown a certain effectiveness in previous years.

▪️At the beginning of the SMO, the collective West excessively inflated the importance of so-called Ukraine and Zelenskyy in the media, presenting them as the main "defenders of freedom and democracy" in Europe. And in Kyiv, they decided to take advantage of this status according to the principle of "ask for a lot - they will give less, but more than expected".

▪️In attempts to get more weapons and money, the Kyiv regime actively exploited the created image, literally demanding new deliveries and referring to the promises of Western leaders in 2022. And for greater effect, it supplied this with media campaigns with stories about the deplorable state of the AFU, which can only be corrected by a new aid package.

▪️When this misfired, Zelenskyy's outbursts with public accusations of the weakness of his sponsors before Russia were already used, during which he pretended to try to "take advantage of their weakness". They were actively replicated by major media, which gave a certain media effect, which was usually followed by another handout.

However, all this works only within the framework of artificially created realities, where Zelenskyy is indispensable, and so-called Ukraine is vital for the Western world. On the command of the sponsors, this carriage will very quickly turn into a pumpkin, as if it had never existed.

❗️And here several questions arise - how much time is left before this moment and how exactly will yesterday's benefactors remind the short-sighted members of the Kyiv regime of their antics, which have not been forgotten in the West.
#media_technologies #Poland #Ukraine
@rybar

Support us Original msg
Forwarded from Rybar in English
🇷🇺🇺🇦 Chronicles of the special military operation
for November 15, 2024

Russian forces delivered several strikes on targets in the territory controlled by the Kyiv regime, including in the area of the Port of Odesa. The enemy attacked Russian regions with drones, air defense systems shot down more than 50 UAVs.

In the North Ukrainian direction, Russian Armed Forces personnel crossed the border in the Chernihiv Region and raised Russian flags in several settlements.

In the Kursk Region, Ukrainian formations attempted to attack Russian Armed Forces positions in the area of the Olhovsky Forest near Kremyane, but failed to achieve success and retreated.

In the Kupiansk-Svatove direction, Russian assault teams approached Kupiansk from the east and are engaged in combat in the industrial zone on the outskirts of the city.

In the Pokrovsk direction, Russian Armed Forces units advanced west from Novoaleksandrivka and approached Yuryivka.

In the Kurakhove direction, Russian military personnel fully liberated Antonivka and are advancing towards Berestky.

In the Vremivka direction, assault teams repelled Ukrainian counterattacks and consolidated in Rovnopillia, as well as advanced towards Novodarivka.

🔻Detailed analytical report on the events in the Special Military Operation zone is available on our closed channel @rybar_plus_bot

High-resolution maps:

Situation in the special military operation zone (
ru; en)

Kurakhove direction (
ru; en)

#BigNovoselka #Hadiach #digest #report #Donetsk #map #Kurakhove #Kursk #Poltava #Russia #Sloviansk #Ukraine
@rybar

Support us Original msg
Forwarded from Rybar in English
🇷🇺🇺🇸🇺🇦 On the authorization to use long-range missiles

Since the Americans, in the person of the outgoing administration, have decided that there is no need to sit quietly on a Sunday evening and, apparently, have given the green light to the use of ATACMS against old Russian territories, it's time to recall our September post when the rumors on this topic just began.

🔻From the point of view of possible threats, the most powerful modification of ATACMS can reach a distance of 300 km, which creates a threat to command posts, airfields, places of deployment of personnel and hospitals where our wounded are located.

This will at least force tactical-level units to react, as additional protection, especially air defense assets, and not only, will be needed. We are talking about elementary human ingenuity, that is, some will need to understand that building and moving in columns will become even more dangerous.

❗️And another nuance is that if Washington really allowed the use of ballistic missiles, other countries will follow the US and, in addition to ATACMS, Storm Shadow and SCALP will fly to the Kursk region. And Taurus may also appear (Scholz is also on the verge of leaving the German Olympus).

Therefore, it's time to look at the map, on which we also marked the range of JASSM cruise missiles, which can hit even further. This is another step towards increasing the degree of conflict to the extreme point, which will not change the outcome, but will create big problems.

The example of Crimea and the new territories is a confirmation of this. Difficulties arose, strikes were sometimes missed, but subsequently the number of missed missiles became less and less, and the enemy did not achieve practical benefit.

🔻For now, we should wait for an official confirmation from the White House, which is keeping silent. And all this at the moment looks like a test of the response of our leadership, especially after the words of Vladimir Putin that this will be regarded as NATO's entry into the conflict.

High-resolution map
English version

#Russia #USA #Ukraine
@rybar

Support us Original msg
Forwarded from Rybar in English
Media is too big
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
🇩🇪🇷🇺🇺🇦 The FSB of Russia reported the arrest of a German citizen Nikolai Gaiduk, who entered Russia from Poland with the aim of organizing sabotage on energy facilities.

The security forces said he was involved in the explosion in March 2024 of a low-pressure gas distribution pipeline in Kaliningrad using a homemade explosive device.

According to the FSB, he came to the Kaliningrad region from Poland in order to organize sabotage on energy facilities on the orders of a Ukrainian citizen Zhurov, living in Hamburg. Liquid explosives were found in his car.

📌 It is quite obvious that this is a Ukrainian who received German citizenship. But with what passport did he cross the border? The detainee was a German citizen who was involved in one act of sabotage and planned another on Russian territory.

Who else, besides the detainee, will be charged? The German government, whose citizens are carrying out explosions in Russia, and whose country is home to SBU handlers with residence permits in Hamburg.

And now the German government has a choice: either to assist the terrorist, or to strengthen control over refugees from the so-called Ukraine. But it can be guaranteed that for Ukrainian migrants, neither the first nor the second option will bring anything good.
#Germany #Russia #Ukraine
@rybar

Support us Original msg
Forwarded from Rybar in English
🇬🇧🇷🇺🇺🇦 Recently, documents were published that indicate the key role of the United Kingdom in escalating the hostilities in so-called Ukraine. It turns out that almost immediately after the start of the SMO, a project called "Alchemy" (Project Alchemy) was assembled under the auspices of the British Ministry of Defense.

🔻In addition to military personnel, it included intelligence agency employees, analysts, medical specialists, industrialists, scientific experts and other individuals united by the goal of achieving an escalation of the current conflict.

Their tasks included organizing cyberattacks, sabotage, and even terrorist attacks on the territory of Russia, as well as developing a plan to change the government in the country. They also worked on developing a strategy for conducting military operations and involving the maximum number of NATO countries in the conflict. As part of the project, the sabotage of the negotiations in Istanbul in the spring of 2022 was also carried out.

Some of the "Alchemy" recommendations have already been implemented, including the strike on the Crimean Bridge and the creation of cells for assassinations, sabotage and terrorist attacks in the Russian rear. At the recent NATO summit, British Prime Minister Keir Starmer voiced ideas developed within the framework of the project, and the British Crown officially promised to support the so-called Ukraine "for as long as necessary."

📌 Another batch of official documents again proves the facts of subversive activities and deliberate escalation, but the United Kingdom here is only an instrument. In fact, the plan is much broader and includes further stressing the population and discrediting national governments.

Evidence of such work (and not only on the part of the United Kingdom) will surface again and again, but in the short term, it will change little.
#UnitedKingdom #Russia #Ukraine
@rybar

Support us Original msg
Forwarded from Rybar in English
🇷🇺🇺🇦 About the strike with an ICBM on Dnipro

Last night, Russian forces carried out another attack on Ukrainian territories. The most significant was the strike on the industrial enterprise "Yuzhmash" in Dnipro, during which an intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM) could have been used.

According to some signs, an ICBM (evident from the characteristic separating warheads) was indeed likely used, which would be the first successful combat use of such a weapon system in the history of military conflicts.

The warheads were in a non-nuclear configuration. Although there are rumors about the RS-26 "Rubezh", the type of missile is not reliably known. Ukrainian forces were unable to shoot down the ICBM, as evidenced by the footage of the impacts.

❗️This can be seen as a clear signal to the sponsors of the so-called Ukraine (especially on the anniversary of the Maidan) against the backdrop of the West's permission to use long-range missiles. How well they understood it - time will tell. But today's strike is indeed a non-trivial move, as nothing like this has happened before.

And there are reasons to believe that this will not be the last such use.
#Dnipro #Russia #Ukraine
@rybar

Support us Original msg
Forwarded from Rybar in English
🇷🇺🇸🇾🇺🇦🏴 Another group from the "Idlib terrarium" has made itself known again: the terrorist group Katibat al-Tawhid wal-Jihad (KTJ), which operates under the leadership of Hay'at Tahrir al-Sham, has published footage of its activities in Syria.

The main feature of the video was that the militants began using drones to attack government forces, and the narrator particularly noted the influence of Ukrainian formations on the new tactic of using drones in combat.

According to a member of KTJ (an Uzbek, judging by the language), drones have become an effective means that are much cheaper than missiles or other weapons, but with which they can strike concentrations of people, equipment and firing points, as shown in the published footage.

🔻Immediately, the news comes to mind about how Ukrainian GUR units trained militants in Idlib in the assembly, modernization and use of drones against the Russian Armed Forces and the SAA. Before this information appeared, terrorists were not noted for the methodical use of these technologies.

There were isolated incidents, but not so often. The Uzbek KTJ terrorist did not directly say who trained them, but the facts in the form of hints about the "success of the AFU in this direction" speak for themselves.

All this once again demonstrates the impact of the special operation on the course of armed conflicts. Interest in drone technologies has increased due to the cheapness of materials and high capabilities for their use, which is expressed not only in Syria, but also in other regions, such as Africa or Myanmar.
#Russia #Syria #terrorism #Ukraine
@rybar

Support us Original msg
Forwarded from Rybar in English
🇮🇱🇺🇸🇺🇦 On the ICC arrest warrant for Netanyahu and Gallant

Less than an hour ago, the International Criminal Court issued an arrest warrant for the Prime Minister and former Defense Minister of Israel - Benjamin Netanyahu and Yoav Gallant for war crimes committed in the Gaza Strip.

🔻Since the information is confirmed by Israeli media, it can be stated that the ultra-Orthodox government of Israel has crashed into a wall. Essentially, this is a continuation of the confrontation, the latest episode of which was the investigation against the ICC Prosecutor Karim Khan, likely initiated by supporters of Israel's current leadership.

Of course, no one will arrest Netanyahu and Gallant (just as they won't arrest our President Vladimir Putin). This is more of a slap in the face and a serious diplomatic blow to the reputation of the ultra-Orthodox.

📌 But the ultra-Orthodox themselves, as well as their supporters (for example, like the Chabad, many of whom are top-ranking officials in the so-called Ukraine), will have reason for serious concern. For them, this does not bode well at least in the short term.

All that has happened seems like the "discharge chord" of those behind Biden. In recent weeks, the US authorities have been doing everything that will undoubtedly affect Donald Trump after his inauguration. Granting permission to Ukrainian formations, new military aid packages - this was done to complicate the resolution of the conflict.

Donald Trump himself has close family ties with the ultra-Orthodox, and the warrant for Netanyahu and Gallant will also affect Trump. And this, in turn, will affect the Ukrainian leadership, whom Trump will now find it more difficult to support.

❗️In the short term, the ultra-Orthodox in Israel will begin to cast themselves as victims of anti-Semitism, while mobilizing everyone they can, allegedly to resist hostile external pressure. That is, to continue to pursue an aggressive policy against their neighbors.
#Israel #USA #Ukraine
@rybar

Support us Original msg
Forwarded from Rybar in English
❗️🇷🇺🇺🇦 Kurakhovske direction: significant advance of the Russian Armed Forces north of Kurakhove
situation as of the end of November 23, 2024

In the area of Novodmytrivka, the control zone has been significantly expanded: Russian troops have almost completely occupied the settlement of Zarya and the surrounding forest belts. At the same time, the presence of the enemy to the north and in the pocket to the south still remains.

▪️The settlement of Sontsovka, also known as Krasne, has also largely come under the control of the Russian Armed Forces. The presence of the enemy in the outskirts of the settlement still remains, but is sporadic. Heavy fighting continues.

▪️Between Novoselidivka and Ilyinka, a pocket that had formed after the significant advance of Russian troops in the above-mentioned settlements was cleared. Thus, a fairly impressive territory west of Kurakhivka was liberated.

▪️In addition, information about the advance of Russian troops in Berestky is confirmed, and here too, the majority of the settlement is already under the firm control of the Russian troops, while the presence of the enemy remains in the dachas south of the 37th kilometer station, where fighting continues. The nearby strongholds are still controlled by the enemy.

▪️Within the boundaries of Kurakhove, fighting continues. Our sources confirmed the information about the capture of at least part of the elevator.

At the same time, they were unable to confirm or deny the exit to school number 5 and the bus station, clarifying that heavy fighting continues in the city. In the farms south of Hryhoriy Skovoroda Street, the presence of Ukrainian formations is still maintained.

▪️In the vicinity of Dalnie, fighting also continues in the fields, the halt in the settlements along the Sukhyi Yaly river remains partially obscured by the "fog of war".

At the same time, we know that the enemy is transferring reserves here, even taking into account the rapidly deteriorating situation, which looks somewhat strange, especially against the background of the loss of forest belts east of Ilyinka.

▪️In addition, there is an advance of Russian troops in Trudove and its environs. The control zone within the settlement and the surrounding forest belts has been significantly expanded. Thus, the fighting is already approaching the C051104 highway and practically to Uspenovka from the south and a large stronghold at the intersection.

▪️In the area of Maksymivka, offensive actions are also underway towards the settlement of Sukhyi Yaly, but the situation here remains obscured by the fog of war.

There is information about at least attempts of attacks by Russian troops, but there is no information yet about their outcome and scale.

If you have any additions to the situation, or you would like us to highlight the successes of your unit, you can always write to us in the feedback bot @rybar_feedback_bot

High-resolution map
English version

#digest #Donetsk #Kurakhove #map #Russia #Ukraine
@rybar
Original msg
Forwarded from Rybar in English
🇷🇺🇺🇦 Representatives of the Kyiv regime have stated that 99% of citizens who wished to leave the new Russian regions for territory controlled by the Kyiv regime are ultimately returning home. According to them, there are already 150,000 such people, including 70,000 who have returned to Mariupol.

On the one hand, this news best illustrates the cost of the numerous stories told by Ukrainian propagandists about the "horrors of the occupation," which even the local audience is no longer particularly captivated by. Especially against the backdrop of the successes in the restoration of Mariupol and other cities.

It also clearly demonstrates the attitude of the authorities of the so-called Ukraine towards the people from Donbas: they perceive them solely as "separatists," do not provide real assistance, and refuse to provide housing. Or they even report them to the SBU for speaking Russian, as has happened more than once in Lviv and other western regions.

🔻And the return of refugees to the new regions also indicates that in the "east" they are quite ready to live peacefully under the Russian flag, forgetting about the so-called Ukraine. And this not only destroys the Ukrainian myth of a "united country": in Kyiv, they must realize that the residents of the Kharkiv, Dnipropetrovsk, or Odesa regions will do exactly the same.
#Russia #Ukraine
@rybar

Support us Original msg
Forwarded from Rybar in English
❗️🇷🇺🇺🇦 Kurakhovka direction: liberation of a number of settlements and fighting in Kurakhovka
situation as of 8:00 pm on November 26, 2024

Russian forces continue a rapid advance both on the approaches to Kurakhovka and to the south of it.

▪️In the city itself, fierce fighting continues in the urban area. Ukrainian formations are conducting local counterattacks, trying to stabilize the situation. Due to the extremely dynamic nature of the fighting in the city, the front line in Kurakhovka is rather conditional at the moment.

▪️To the south, Russian forces are advancing along the Sukhaya Gully, as well as attacking in the direction of the N-15 highway from the side of Dalneye. To the west of the latter, there are also successes in the forest belt towards Yantarnoye.

▪️At the line of Yelizavetovka - Ilyinka. The latter was liberated by Russian troops after several days of fighting. This was preceded by the clearing of a large stronghold east of the village by units of the 33rd Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 20th Motorized Rifle Division. Then they managed to reach the outskirts of Romanovka. According to some reports, Russian assault troops have already begun assault operations in the village. Significant advances of the Russian Armed Forces have also been recorded in the fields north of Ilyinka.

▪️At the same time, fighters of the 39th Guards Brigade and the 57th Regiment of the 20th Division of the 8th Army liberated Yelizavetovka. Under the cover of armored vehicles, they were able to quickly break the defense of the AFU in the village and reach its western outskirts. Later it became known that the territory of the "Forest Estate" grove also came under the control of the Russian Armed Forces, the capture of which opens the way to Veselyi Gai from the south.

If you have any additions to the situation, or you want us to highlight the successes of your unit, you can always write to us in the feedback bot @rybar_feedback_bot

High-resolution map
English version

#digest #Donetsk #Kurakhovka #map #Russia #Ukraine
@rybar
Support us Original msg
Forwarded from Russian MFA 🇷🇺
Media is too big
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
🎙 Russia's Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov’s interview to Tucker Carlson (Moscow, December 5, 2024)

Read in full
Watch on Youtube

Key talking points

#RussiaUS

• We would like to have normal relations with all countries especially with the United States. We don't see any reason why Russia and the United States cannot cooperate for the sake of the universe.

• The Ukrainians would not be able to do what they're doing with long-range modern weapons without direct participation of the American servicemen. We don't want to aggravate the situation, but since ATACMS and other long-range weapons are being used against mainland Russia as it were, we are sending signals. <...>

[The US and its allies] must understand that we would be ready to use any means not to allow them to succeed in what they call strategic defeat of Russia. They fight for keeping the hegemony over the world on any country, any region, any continent. We fight for our legitimate security interests.

• We don't want to aggravate the situation, but since ATACMS and other long-range weapons are being used against mainland Russia, we are sending signals. We hope that the last one, a couple of weeks ago, the signal with the new weapon system called #Oreshnik was taken seriously.

• When the United States and other Western countries recognized unilateral declaration of independence of Kosovo, they said this is the self-determination being implemented. There was no referendum in Kosovo — unilateral declaration of independence. <...> And when a few years later, Crimeans were holding referendum with invitation of many international observers, not from international organizations, but from parliamentarians in Europe, in Asia, in post-Soviet space, they said that they cannot accept this because this is violation of territorial integrity 🤷‍♂️

The UN Charter is not a menu. You have to respect it in all its entirety 👉 #UNCharterIsOurRules

• I think [Donald Trump] is a very strong person. A person who wants results. Who doesn't like procrastination on anything. But this does not mean that he's pro-Russian as some people try to present him. The amount of sanctions we received under the Trump administration was very big.

#Ukraine

• We strongly prefer peaceful solution through negotiations on the basis of respecting legitimate security interest of Russia, and on the basis of respecting the people who live in Ukraine, who still live in Ukraine being Russians. <...>

No military bases, no military exercises on the Ukrainian soil with participation of foreign troops. <...> We cannot tolerate a deal which would keep the legislation which are prohibiting Russian language, Russian media, Russian culture, Ukrainian Orthodox Church, because it is a violation of the obligations of Ukraine under the UN Charter.

• We are not talking about exterminating anybody's population. We don't have any intention to exterminate Ukrainian people. They are brothers and sisters to the Russian people.

• It is becoming clear that there is a fatigue in some capitals, and there are talks every now and then that the Americans would like to leave [Ukraine] with the Europeans and to concentrate on something more important.

#Syria

• The Americans in the east of Syria groom some Kurdish separatists using the profits from oil and grain sold, the resources which they occupy. <...> The information [on who's backing Islamist groups] which is being floated and it's in the public domain mentions among others the Americans, the Brits. Some people say that Israel is interested in making this situation aggravate. So that Gaza is not under very close scrutiny.
Forwarded from Rybar in English
🇷🇺🇺🇦 Chronicles of the special military operation
for December 7-8, 2024

Russian forces delivered a series of strikes on enemy targets on the territory of the so-called Ukraine and repelled UAF drone attacks in several Russian regions.

In the Kursk direction, Russian forces dislodged Ukrainian formations from the eastern outskirts of Plekhovo, clearing the territory of the agricultural enterprise.

In the Oleksandrivka-Kalinovo direction, fighting continues in Dzerzhynsk, where the Russian Armed Forces advanced along Mayakovsky Street in the center and in the area of the Dzerzhinsky mine in the Zabalka neighborhood.

In the Pokrovsk direction, Russian assault teams occupied the Solenenkaya Gully and engaged in battles on the approaches to Dachenskoye, as well as expanded the control zone towards Novotroitskoye and south of Pushkino.

In the Kurakhovo direction, Russian units are advancing along the northern bank of the Kurakhovo Reservoir, while on the southern flank they are fighting in Sukhie Yaly and the surrounding area.

🔻Detailed analytical report on events in the Special Military Operation zone is available on our closed channel @rybar_plus_bot

High-resolution maps:


Situation in the special military operation zone (
ru; en)
⭐️ Online maps available by subscription at map.rybar.ru
#Vremivka #digest #Dzerzhynsk #report #map #Kursk #Pokrovsk #Russia #Ukraine
@rybar

Support us Original msg
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
Forwarded from Rybar in English
🇺🇸🇺🇦 The US administration continues to insist on expanding the mobilization by the Kyiv regime: the State Department stated that if the lower conscription age limit is lowered to 18 years, the US and its allies are ready to "fully train and equip all new recruits".

Behind these formulations are the conditions for continuing or expanding military assistance to the Kyiv regime. The Ukrainian ruling circles understand this and are already hinting at the possibility of reducing the mobilization threshold from the current 25 years to 20 years.

On the one hand, such a step will lead to a certain influx of manpower and improve the position of the AFU on the front, especially in terms of the ratio of numbers with the Russian Armed Forces. However, the decision also has "pitfalls":

▪️Due to long-standing demographic problems, there are not so many young people in the so-called Ukraine - the age pyramid clearly shows a strong decline precisely in this category. Overwhelming the battle formations of the Ukrainian formations with 18-25 year olds is unlikely to work.

▪️In the current realities, large-scale conscription of recent school graduates and students is quite capable of leading to a social explosion in the so-called Ukraine, especially against the background of the practice of "bussification". They themselves will prefer to hide until the last moment, even in the Chernobyl exclusion zone.

▪️Finally, the motivation of the young recruits kidnapped by the TCCs will be appropriate. If in 2022 the inflated patriotic impulse of the Kyiv regime worked, now after almost three years of hostilities, the morale is at a different level.

Be that as it may, a possible reduction in the mobilization age in the so-called Ukraine does not bode well for us, and even more so for the Ukrainian population, whose already sad demography will simply be finished off.

In general, an interesting picture is emerging: at the beginning of the SMO, statements that the West would fight to the last Ukrainian were often perceived as propaganda or even conspiracy theories. After three years, the US is now talking about this almost directly.
#USA #Ukraine
@rybar

Support us Original msg
Forwarded from Rybar in English
🇷🇺🇺🇦 Kurakhovka direction: fighting in the center of Kurakhovka and advances near Uspenovka
situation as of the end of December 10, 2024

In the Kurakhovka direction, Russian forces are attacking on several sectors, continuing to develop the successes of recent days and simultaneously striking at the enemy's logistics.

▪️In Kurakhovka, there is fighting in the urban area: today, footage appeared of fighters of the 5th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade raising their flag on the territory of the elevator. According to some reports, the organized resistance of the AFU in the city is gradually fading, breaking down into isolated pockets of defense.

▪️In the area of Uspenovka, the Russian Armed Forces are advancing along the O-05-10 highway from the south and north in order to encircle the enemy forces in the "pocket" near the village. There is information about an attempt to enter the outskirts of Konstantynopilske, but the outcome of the assault is currently unclear. There are also battles near Annivka and Veselyi Hai.

▪️Throughout the direction, there is also high activity of the use of Russian UAVs, as a result of which the enemy is losing equipment both on the highway in Kurakhovka from the side of Dachne, and in the forest belts between settlements.

In particular, over the past few days, about ten cases of successful fire strikes by the Russian Armed Forces on Ukrainian vehicles, artillery positions, and personnel have been recorded.

If you have any additions to the situation, or you would like us to highlight the successes of your unit, you can always write to us in the feedback bot @rybar_feedback_bot

High-resolution map

English version

⭐️ Online maps are available by subscription at map.rybar.ru

#digest #Kurakhovka #map #Russia #Ukraine
@rybar

Support us Original msg
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
Forwarded from Rybar in English
🇷🇺🇺🇦 On the first use of a Ukrainian drone-missile and the strike on Taganrog

🔻Last night, the enemy carried out the first attack on "old" Russian territories with operational-tactical ATACMS missiles in a number of six units in a significant period of time.

▪️There were no Neptune anti-ship missiles, no kamikaze UAVs, and certainly no Peklo drone-missiles, which were recently presented in the so-called Ukraine, in this strike. Only six ATACMS missiles.

▪️According to our data, it was not possible to shoot down all the missiles over the Taganrog Aviation Scientific and Technical Complex, but it was possible to avoid any damage to the infrastructure. Only automotive equipment in the parking lot was affected.

▪️The launch was carried out from the Zaporizhia Region, and the flight time was just under two minutes. This object has recently been under close scrutiny of Western intelligence, but they failed to achieve their goal.

❗️As for the Peklo drone-missile, its use was recorded yesterday, but in the Black Sea. One specimen was detected from the Odesa Region, and it was shot down by a MiG-29 of the Black Sea Fleet 120 km southwest of Tarkhankut around 11 am.

So this can be called the first combat use of the Ukrainian "wonder-weapon", but not very successful, as it is described by the Ukrainian media at the behest of some of our information outlets.

High-resolution map
English version

#Crimea #Russia #Ukraine
@rybar

Support us Original msg
Forwarded from Rybar in English
🇵🇱🇫🇷🇺🇦 French President Emmanuel Macron will visit Poland tomorrow to discuss a plan for a European peacekeeping mission that is intended to preserve the sovereignty of the so-called Ukraine within the framework of a possible agreement between the US and Russia.

The details of the plan are not being disclosed, but it is known to be based on the Korean scenario. According to this, a foreign contingent of peacekeeping forces would be deployed to the line of demarcation. Macron's idea received tacit approval from the United Kingdom in November.

Poland's participation in this strategy is presented as "crucial" due to its military potential and geographical location. And it's clear why the French president expects special support from the Poles: this would allow them to legally approach the Eastern Borderlands.

Interestingly, there has already been a reaction in Warsaw to Macron's plan: the Polish Defense Minister Mariusz Błaszczak stated that the deployment of Polish soldiers to the so-called Ukraine "is out of the question", as "NATO, not individual countries, should play the key role here".

At the same time, after a long time, the Poles have again spoken about legalizing their mercenaries who are fighting for the AFU illegally - officially this should be punishable by up to five years in prison.

The details of the initiative are unknown, but it is said that the bill provides for the "forgiveness and oblivion of crimes and misdemeanors" from February 24, 2022 to December 31, 2026 for joining the AFU without the consent of the competent Polish authority.

That is, in addition to the Poles being allowed to fight unhindered in the so-called Ukraine, they will also be allowed, in essence, to do so as they please - no criminal prosecution is envisaged. With this arrangement, Polish prisoners of war can also not be taken.

📌 However, it is important to understand that in reality this is not about a peacekeeping mission as such - that is, the deployment of "blue helmets" who would essentially perform police functions in no-man's-land: there are not enough people or special equipment for this.

🔻 The discussion is actually about the introduction of a limited NATO troop contingent, which could thus simply take Ukrainian territory. And this, in turn, means a serious military escalation with Russia.

Ultimately, the parties are likely to reach no decision: no European government is willing to take on such responsibility and thus risk a nuclear strike. But for now, they can distract themselves from domestic political crises, economic collapse and social tensions, and even play the role of hegemons, pretending that the fate of the entire Western world depends on the participation of France or Poland.
#Poland #France #Ukraine
@rybar in collaboration with @pl_syrenka

Support us Original msg