$XLM/BTC

Adding confluence to the USD pair, XLM/BTC is another solid HTF setup. Deviation below the HTF range low + reaction at the GZ.


$XLM/USD:

https://x.com/CryptoCapo_/status/2026574961175896107?s=20

$BTC has reclaimed $65k. Altcoins are having strong bounces, outperforming.

Tomorrow is a key day, with the third round of indirect negotiations between US and Iran in Geneva (Feb 26, 2026). The markets are anticipating something good, at least short-term. Oil starting to pullback.

First real signs of strength.

We could see some short-term retracement/consolidation here, but this is likely going much higher soon.

Short-term correction likely over.

Ready for bullish continuation.

Reevaluating the situation.

I'd say this is a bear trap, news was likely priced in. The true capitulation / black swan event would be a blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, which can take longer to play out.

From a confluence perspective, a short squeeze remains the most likely scenario.

Do not panic.


https://x.com/CryptoCapo_/status/2027656334896681259?s=20

Market is not reacting too too bad. Some alts are even green on the day.

This could be another sign of strength.

Ignoring the Oil LTF scenario for now, due to current situation.

However, still bullish on crypto (negative correlation isn't always a thing, so both could go up). The market reaction has been strong so far, as said yesterday.

March should be the month of that expected short squeeze.

Interesting week ahead.

Just a matter of time.

https://x.com/CryptoCapo_/status/2028908881460506778?s=20

As you know, I don't trade Bitcoin, but it's one of the main references for market direction.

I've been buying more $XMR, $XLM, $BCH and privacy low caps.

https://x.com/CryptoCapo_/status/2029126670548930892?s=20

More and more bullish confirmations.

GM

Key zone here. Bullish continuation needed soon.

This is where those who went short between $60k-70k start adding size or margin to their positions, which increases upper liquidity.

Their target is below $60k. I don't doubt those levels will be reached eventually, but not yet. The most likely scenario is up for now.

Let's see how this plays out.

Some thoughts.

Have a good weekend.

https://x.com/CryptoCapo_/status/2029871343576010872?s=20

$BTC

Strong demand here, but it has to reclaim $70k, and ideally $72k.

Next key level would be $75k.

Rescue team has arrived.

GM

Resting is as important as working, if not more.

Don't forget to disconnect from the noise and connect to nature, especially in low volatility moments. Once the analysis is done, set alerts and let the market decide.

A clear mind is the best in these situations.

Have a good Sunday!