RT @Energy4Europe: Make your voice heard in the ongoing consultation to improve requirements for #EUEcoDesign and the EU #EnergyLabel. 🏷️
Your opinion can shape the future of #EnergyEfficient appliances and help reduce emissions.
#EUHaveYourSay until 31.08 👉https://t.co/q2qfripwd9 https://t.co/Eo0Aeb3XZr
EU Environment
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Your opinion can shape the future of #EnergyEfficient appliances and help reduce emissions.
#EUHaveYourSay until 31.08 👉https://t.co/q2qfripwd9 https://t.co/Eo0Aeb3XZr
EU Environment
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RT @eumetsat_users: Widespread dust (or Calima) covered most of the Iberian Peninsula during the heatwave on 9 Aug, as shown in this Meteosat-9 Dust RGB loop from Miguel-Angel Martinez Rubio @AEMET_Esp https://t.co/A1WDesbujZ
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RT @metofficestorms: Typhoon #Lan is passing to the east of the Ogasawara Islands in the Pacific. Landfall over the larger islands of #Japan expected early next week. https://t.co/U32lx0J8Hq
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NOAA Satellites
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RT @esa: 📸 This week's @ESA_EO #EarthFromSpace is a @CopernicusEU #Sentinel2 view of #SharmElSheikh. Zoom in on the link to see at full 10 m resolution 👉 https://t.co/27oXmIcFo4 https://t.co/04tzJLd3HZ
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RT @CYMS_S1: Hurricane #Dora south-west of Hawaii. @ESA_EO acquisitions on 2023/08/09 on 01:03 UTC, for #2023SHOC from @CopernicusEU #Sentinel1 A. Max sustained wind velocities (left) reaching 70 m/s, derived from SAR sea surface roughness (right). https://t.co/avUfii8ONs
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ESA Earth Observation
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RT @Anamariamojita: Warm welcome to the Republic of Palau as 143th member of IPBES!
It is great to see how our community is growing, not only in number but also in representation of different cultures and science and knowledge on biodiversity.
ipbes
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It is great to see how our community is growing, not only in number but also in representation of different cultures and science and knowledge on biodiversity.
ipbes
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Indigenous Peoples are unsung conservation heroes. Yet, throughout history, their rights have been violated.
We must protect their rights and way of life for the good of our planet.
https://t.co/SMbSgodc2t
Via @UNEP https://t.co/nslQgzKVJO
UN Biodiversity
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We must protect their rights and way of life for the good of our planet.
https://t.co/SMbSgodc2t
Via @UNEP https://t.co/nslQgzKVJO
UN Biodiversity
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A new fire emissions inventory is available! This will provide publicly available data on trace gases and aerosols from global fires for the years 2002 through 2021 while adding improvements to the previous inventory. https://t.co/6prkzemZAY
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NOAA Climate.gov
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The #climatecrisis is a #healthcrisis. How many lives could be saved each year if health was prioritized when developing climate policies?
Today we shine a light on @UNDP @WHO @theGEF work across the Pacific to build a #HealthierTomorrow: https://t.co/G1jQQAdPpM https://t.co/VQP4dBL2wL
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Today we shine a light on @UNDP @WHO @theGEF work across the Pacific to build a #HealthierTomorrow: https://t.co/G1jQQAdPpM https://t.co/VQP4dBL2wL
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💡 It's #DRRquiz time! Risk Safari series. 🦓🦌🦒🦏
We can refer to common but often overlooked risks as…
UNDRR
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We can refer to common but often overlooked risks as…
UNDRR
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RT @CopernicusLand: 😎3 minutes to spare?
Help us shape the future of #Copernicus Land Monitoring! 🌍
Take our annual #CLMS feedback survey & ensure that we develop our service together as a community.
👉 Let's improve CLMS together: https://t.co/QoVfUXeMfa https://t.co/F1VpdGb3Vz
ESA Earth Observation
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Help us shape the future of #Copernicus Land Monitoring! 🌍
Take our annual #CLMS feedback survey & ensure that we develop our service together as a community.
👉 Let's improve CLMS together: https://t.co/QoVfUXeMfa https://t.co/F1VpdGb3Vz
ESA Earth Observation
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From agriculture to pastoralism to fisheries, most South Sudanese have livelihoods that are highly dependent on water availability and variability.
Amid flood & drought risks and decades of conflict, how can #SouthSudan move towards a water-secure future? https://t.co/01T3PSA3mO https://t.co/NMSIss3bkH
World Bank Climate
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Amid flood & drought risks and decades of conflict, how can #SouthSudan move towards a water-secure future? https://t.co/01T3PSA3mO https://t.co/NMSIss3bkH
World Bank Climate
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NOAA predicts hurricane season to ‘above normal’
Scientists at NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center — a division of the National Weather Service — have increased their prediction for the ongoing 2023 Atlantic hurricane season from a near-normal level of activity to an above-normal level of activity with today’s update. Forecasters believe that current ocean and atmospheric conditions, such as record-warm Atlantic sea surface temperatures, are likely to counterbalance the usually limiting atmospheric conditions associated with the ongoing El Nino event.
NOAA forecasters have increased the likelihood of an above-normal Atlantic hurricane season to 60% (increased from the outlook issued in May, which predicted a 30% chance). The likelihood of near-normal activity has decreased to 25%, down from the 40% chances outlined in May's outlook. This new update gives the Atlantic a 15% chance of seeing a below-normal season.
NOAA’s update to the 2023 outlook — which covers the entire six-month hurricane season that ends on Nov. 30 — calls for 14-21 named storms (winds of 39 mph or greater), of which 6-11 could become hurricanes (winds of 74 mph or greater). Of those, 2-5 could become major hurricanes (winds of 111 mph or greater). NOAA provides these ranges with a 70% confidence. These updated ranges include storms that have already formed this season.
https://www.noaa.gov/sites/default/files/2023-08/IMAGE-Hurricane-Outlook-AUGUST-UPDATE-2023-Pie-081023-NOAA.png
<figcaption
The updated 2023 Atlantic hurricane season probability and number of named storms. (Image credit: NOAA)
Download Image
The Atlantic basin experienced an active start to the hurricane season with five storms that have reached at least tropical storm strength, including one hurricane already. An average hurricane season produces 14 named storms, of which seven become hurricanes, including three major hurricanes.
“The main climate factors expected to influence the 2023 Atlantic hurricane activity are the ongoing El Nino and the warm phase of the Atlantic Multi-Decadal Oscillation, including record-warm Atlantic sea surface temperatures,” said Matthew Rosencrans, lead hurricane season forecaster with NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center. “Considering those factors, the updated outlook calls for more activity, so we urge everyone to prepare now for the continuing season.”
El Nino conditions are currently being observed and there is a greater than 95% chance that El Nino will continue through the Northern Hemisphere winter, according to the latest ENSO discussion from the Climate Prediction Center. El Nino usually results in atmospheric conditions that help to lessen tropical activity during the Atlantic hurricane season. So far, those limiting conditions have been slow to develop and climate scientists are forecasting that the associated impacts that tend to limit tropical cyclone activity may not be in place for much of the remaining hurricane season.
A below-normal wind shear forecast, slightly below-normal Atlantic trade winds and a near- or above-normal West African Monsoon were also key factors in shaping this updated seasonal forecast.
https://www.noaa.gov/sites/default/files/2023-08/IMAGE-Hurricane-Outlook-AUGUST-UPDATE-2023-Names-081023-NOAA.png
<figcaption
The 2023 Atlantic tropical cyclone names selected by the World Meteorological Organization. (Image credit: NOAA)
Download Image
More about hurricane season outlooks
NOAA’s hurricane outlooks are forecasts of overall season activity, not landfalls. A storm’s landfall is usually the result of mesoscale weather patterns and are typically predictable within [...]
Scientists at NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center — a division of the National Weather Service — have increased their prediction for the ongoing 2023 Atlantic hurricane season from a near-normal level of activity to an above-normal level of activity with today’s update. Forecasters believe that current ocean and atmospheric conditions, such as record-warm Atlantic sea surface temperatures, are likely to counterbalance the usually limiting atmospheric conditions associated with the ongoing El Nino event.
NOAA forecasters have increased the likelihood of an above-normal Atlantic hurricane season to 60% (increased from the outlook issued in May, which predicted a 30% chance). The likelihood of near-normal activity has decreased to 25%, down from the 40% chances outlined in May's outlook. This new update gives the Atlantic a 15% chance of seeing a below-normal season.
NOAA’s update to the 2023 outlook — which covers the entire six-month hurricane season that ends on Nov. 30 — calls for 14-21 named storms (winds of 39 mph or greater), of which 6-11 could become hurricanes (winds of 74 mph or greater). Of those, 2-5 could become major hurricanes (winds of 111 mph or greater). NOAA provides these ranges with a 70% confidence. These updated ranges include storms that have already formed this season.
https://www.noaa.gov/sites/default/files/2023-08/IMAGE-Hurricane-Outlook-AUGUST-UPDATE-2023-Pie-081023-NOAA.png
<figcaption
The updated 2023 Atlantic hurricane season probability and number of named storms. (Image credit: NOAA)
Download Image
The Atlantic basin experienced an active start to the hurricane season with five storms that have reached at least tropical storm strength, including one hurricane already. An average hurricane season produces 14 named storms, of which seven become hurricanes, including three major hurricanes.
“The main climate factors expected to influence the 2023 Atlantic hurricane activity are the ongoing El Nino and the warm phase of the Atlantic Multi-Decadal Oscillation, including record-warm Atlantic sea surface temperatures,” said Matthew Rosencrans, lead hurricane season forecaster with NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center. “Considering those factors, the updated outlook calls for more activity, so we urge everyone to prepare now for the continuing season.”
El Nino conditions are currently being observed and there is a greater than 95% chance that El Nino will continue through the Northern Hemisphere winter, according to the latest ENSO discussion from the Climate Prediction Center. El Nino usually results in atmospheric conditions that help to lessen tropical activity during the Atlantic hurricane season. So far, those limiting conditions have been slow to develop and climate scientists are forecasting that the associated impacts that tend to limit tropical cyclone activity may not be in place for much of the remaining hurricane season.
A below-normal wind shear forecast, slightly below-normal Atlantic trade winds and a near- or above-normal West African Monsoon were also key factors in shaping this updated seasonal forecast.
https://www.noaa.gov/sites/default/files/2023-08/IMAGE-Hurricane-Outlook-AUGUST-UPDATE-2023-Names-081023-NOAA.png
<figcaption
The 2023 Atlantic tropical cyclone names selected by the World Meteorological Organization. (Image credit: NOAA)
Download Image
More about hurricane season outlooks
NOAA’s hurricane outlooks are forecasts of overall season activity, not landfalls. A storm’s landfall is usually the result of mesoscale weather patterns and are typically predictable within [...]
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NOAA predicts hurricane season to ‘above normal’ Scientists at NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center — a division of the National Weather Service — have increased their prediction for the ongoing 2023 Atlantic hurricane season from a near-normal level of activity…
roughly one week of a storm approaching a landmass.
“The National Weather Service is dedicated to providing timely and accurate forecasts to empower individuals, families and communities to take proactive measures this hurricane season,” said Ken Graham, director of NOAA’s National Weather Service. “New tools such as a new hurricane model, the Hurricane Analysis and Forecast System and the expansion of the National Hurricane Center’s Tropical Weather Outlook to seven days are examples of our commitment to enhancing our forecasting capabilities and services.”
In June, NOAA deployed a new model to help produce hurricane forecasts. The Hurricane Analysis and Forecast System was put into operations on June 27 and will run alongside existing models for the 2023 season before replacing them as NOAA’s premier hurricane forecasting model.
NOAA urges everyone in vulnerable areas to have a well-thought-out hurricane plan and stay informed through official channels as this season progresses.
Media contact: John Moore, [email protected], (202) 603-2523
Source: https://www.noaa.gov/news-release/noaa-forecasters-increase-atlantic-hurricane-season-prediction-to-above-normal
Language
English
Featured Media
A GOES-16 (GOES East) visible satellite image of Hurricane Don at 6:20 PM EDT on July 22, 2023 in the Atlantic. Don was the firs
Type of news
News
Publish Date
Friday, August 11, 2023 - 14:45
Tags
Hurricanes
Headline
Likelihood of greater activity rises due to record-warm sea surface temperatures
Editorial Section
CPA
Contact
MDebray
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“The National Weather Service is dedicated to providing timely and accurate forecasts to empower individuals, families and communities to take proactive measures this hurricane season,” said Ken Graham, director of NOAA’s National Weather Service. “New tools such as a new hurricane model, the Hurricane Analysis and Forecast System and the expansion of the National Hurricane Center’s Tropical Weather Outlook to seven days are examples of our commitment to enhancing our forecasting capabilities and services.”
In June, NOAA deployed a new model to help produce hurricane forecasts. The Hurricane Analysis and Forecast System was put into operations on June 27 and will run alongside existing models for the 2023 season before replacing them as NOAA’s premier hurricane forecasting model.
NOAA urges everyone in vulnerable areas to have a well-thought-out hurricane plan and stay informed through official channels as this season progresses.
Media contact: John Moore, [email protected], (202) 603-2523
Source: https://www.noaa.gov/news-release/noaa-forecasters-increase-atlantic-hurricane-season-prediction-to-above-normal
Language
English
Featured Media
A GOES-16 (GOES East) visible satellite image of Hurricane Don at 6:20 PM EDT on July 22, 2023 in the Atlantic. Don was the firs
Type of news
News
Publish Date
Friday, August 11, 2023 - 14:45
Tags
Hurricanes
Headline
Likelihood of greater activity rises due to record-warm sea surface temperatures
Editorial Section
CPA
Contact
MDebray
Climate Change Science on Telegram by @ClimateChangeScience
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It's #FullDiskFriday, and we're looking at the Earth from a different perspective today—via Japan's #Himawari9 🛰️!
This imagery was captured earlier today. Can you spot Typhoon #Lan churning over the Philippine Sea and Hurricane #Dora over the Central Pacific Ocean? https://t.co/xsAXzEzGyQ
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This imagery was captured earlier today. Can you spot Typhoon #Lan churning over the Philippine Sea and Hurricane #Dora over the Central Pacific Ocean? https://t.co/xsAXzEzGyQ
NOAA Satellites
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