Climate Change Science on Telegram by GRT: World Meteorological Organization / NASA / IPCC / ONU / OOH / UN United Nations etc.
Photo
NOAA predicts hurricane season to ‘above normal’
Scientists at NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center — a division of the National Weather Service — have increased their prediction for the ongoing 2023 Atlantic hurricane season from a near-normal level of activity to an above-normal level of activity with today’s update. Forecasters believe that current ocean and atmospheric conditions, such as record-warm Atlantic sea surface temperatures, are likely to counterbalance the usually limiting atmospheric conditions associated with the ongoing El Nino event.
NOAA forecasters have increased the likelihood of an above-normal Atlantic hurricane season to 60% (increased from the outlook issued in May, which predicted a 30% chance). The likelihood of near-normal activity has decreased to 25%, down from the 40% chances outlined in May's outlook. This new update gives the Atlantic a 15% chance of seeing a below-normal season.
NOAA’s update to the 2023 outlook — which covers the entire six-month hurricane season that ends on Nov. 30 — calls for 14-21 named storms (winds of 39 mph or greater), of which 6-11 could become hurricanes (winds of 74 mph or greater). Of those, 2-5 could become major hurricanes (winds of 111 mph or greater). NOAA provides these ranges with a 70% confidence. These updated ranges include storms that have already formed this season.
https://www.noaa.gov/sites/default/files/2023-08/IMAGE-Hurricane-Outlook-AUGUST-UPDATE-2023-Pie-081023-NOAA.png
<figcaption
The updated 2023 Atlantic hurricane season probability and number of named storms. (Image credit: NOAA)
Download Image
The Atlantic basin experienced an active start to the hurricane season with five storms that have reached at least tropical storm strength, including one hurricane already. An average hurricane season produces 14 named storms, of which seven become hurricanes, including three major hurricanes.
“The main climate factors expected to influence the 2023 Atlantic hurricane activity are the ongoing El Nino and the warm phase of the Atlantic Multi-Decadal Oscillation, including record-warm Atlantic sea surface temperatures,” said Matthew Rosencrans, lead hurricane season forecaster with NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center. “Considering those factors, the updated outlook calls for more activity, so we urge everyone to prepare now for the continuing season.”
El Nino conditions are currently being observed and there is a greater than 95% chance that El Nino will continue through the Northern Hemisphere winter, according to the latest ENSO discussion from the Climate Prediction Center. El Nino usually results in atmospheric conditions that help to lessen tropical activity during the Atlantic hurricane season. So far, those limiting conditions have been slow to develop and climate scientists are forecasting that the associated impacts that tend to limit tropical cyclone activity may not be in place for much of the remaining hurricane season.
A below-normal wind shear forecast, slightly below-normal Atlantic trade winds and a near- or above-normal West African Monsoon were also key factors in shaping this updated seasonal forecast.
https://www.noaa.gov/sites/default/files/2023-08/IMAGE-Hurricane-Outlook-AUGUST-UPDATE-2023-Names-081023-NOAA.png
<figcaption
The 2023 Atlantic tropical cyclone names selected by the World Meteorological Organization. (Image credit: NOAA)
Download Image
More about hurricane season outlooks
NOAA’s hurricane outlooks are forecasts of overall season activity, not landfalls. A storm’s landfall is usually the result of mesoscale weather patterns and are typically predictable within [...]
Scientists at NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center — a division of the National Weather Service — have increased their prediction for the ongoing 2023 Atlantic hurricane season from a near-normal level of activity to an above-normal level of activity with today’s update. Forecasters believe that current ocean and atmospheric conditions, such as record-warm Atlantic sea surface temperatures, are likely to counterbalance the usually limiting atmospheric conditions associated with the ongoing El Nino event.
NOAA forecasters have increased the likelihood of an above-normal Atlantic hurricane season to 60% (increased from the outlook issued in May, which predicted a 30% chance). The likelihood of near-normal activity has decreased to 25%, down from the 40% chances outlined in May's outlook. This new update gives the Atlantic a 15% chance of seeing a below-normal season.
NOAA’s update to the 2023 outlook — which covers the entire six-month hurricane season that ends on Nov. 30 — calls for 14-21 named storms (winds of 39 mph or greater), of which 6-11 could become hurricanes (winds of 74 mph or greater). Of those, 2-5 could become major hurricanes (winds of 111 mph or greater). NOAA provides these ranges with a 70% confidence. These updated ranges include storms that have already formed this season.
https://www.noaa.gov/sites/default/files/2023-08/IMAGE-Hurricane-Outlook-AUGUST-UPDATE-2023-Pie-081023-NOAA.png
<figcaption
The updated 2023 Atlantic hurricane season probability and number of named storms. (Image credit: NOAA)
Download Image
The Atlantic basin experienced an active start to the hurricane season with five storms that have reached at least tropical storm strength, including one hurricane already. An average hurricane season produces 14 named storms, of which seven become hurricanes, including three major hurricanes.
“The main climate factors expected to influence the 2023 Atlantic hurricane activity are the ongoing El Nino and the warm phase of the Atlantic Multi-Decadal Oscillation, including record-warm Atlantic sea surface temperatures,” said Matthew Rosencrans, lead hurricane season forecaster with NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center. “Considering those factors, the updated outlook calls for more activity, so we urge everyone to prepare now for the continuing season.”
El Nino conditions are currently being observed and there is a greater than 95% chance that El Nino will continue through the Northern Hemisphere winter, according to the latest ENSO discussion from the Climate Prediction Center. El Nino usually results in atmospheric conditions that help to lessen tropical activity during the Atlantic hurricane season. So far, those limiting conditions have been slow to develop and climate scientists are forecasting that the associated impacts that tend to limit tropical cyclone activity may not be in place for much of the remaining hurricane season.
A below-normal wind shear forecast, slightly below-normal Atlantic trade winds and a near- or above-normal West African Monsoon were also key factors in shaping this updated seasonal forecast.
https://www.noaa.gov/sites/default/files/2023-08/IMAGE-Hurricane-Outlook-AUGUST-UPDATE-2023-Names-081023-NOAA.png
<figcaption
The 2023 Atlantic tropical cyclone names selected by the World Meteorological Organization. (Image credit: NOAA)
Download Image
More about hurricane season outlooks
NOAA’s hurricane outlooks are forecasts of overall season activity, not landfalls. A storm’s landfall is usually the result of mesoscale weather patterns and are typically predictable within [...]
Climate Change Science on Telegram by GRT: World Meteorological Organization / NASA / IPCC / ONU / OOH / UN United Nations etc.
NOAA predicts hurricane season to ‘above normal’ Scientists at NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center — a division of the National Weather Service — have increased their prediction for the ongoing 2023 Atlantic hurricane season from a near-normal level of activity…
roughly one week of a storm approaching a landmass.
“The National Weather Service is dedicated to providing timely and accurate forecasts to empower individuals, families and communities to take proactive measures this hurricane season,” said Ken Graham, director of NOAA’s National Weather Service. “New tools such as a new hurricane model, the Hurricane Analysis and Forecast System and the expansion of the National Hurricane Center’s Tropical Weather Outlook to seven days are examples of our commitment to enhancing our forecasting capabilities and services.”
In June, NOAA deployed a new model to help produce hurricane forecasts. The Hurricane Analysis and Forecast System was put into operations on June 27 and will run alongside existing models for the 2023 season before replacing them as NOAA’s premier hurricane forecasting model.
NOAA urges everyone in vulnerable areas to have a well-thought-out hurricane plan and stay informed through official channels as this season progresses.
Media contact: John Moore, [email protected], (202) 603-2523
Source: https://www.noaa.gov/news-release/noaa-forecasters-increase-atlantic-hurricane-season-prediction-to-above-normal
Language
English
Featured Media
A GOES-16 (GOES East) visible satellite image of Hurricane Don at 6:20 PM EDT on July 22, 2023 in the Atlantic. Don was the firs
Type of news
News
Publish Date
Friday, August 11, 2023 - 14:45
Tags
Hurricanes
Headline
Likelihood of greater activity rises due to record-warm sea surface temperatures
Editorial Section
CPA
Contact
MDebray
Climate Change Science on Telegram by @ClimateChangeScience
A @grttme project - Other backups: @Hallotme
“The National Weather Service is dedicated to providing timely and accurate forecasts to empower individuals, families and communities to take proactive measures this hurricane season,” said Ken Graham, director of NOAA’s National Weather Service. “New tools such as a new hurricane model, the Hurricane Analysis and Forecast System and the expansion of the National Hurricane Center’s Tropical Weather Outlook to seven days are examples of our commitment to enhancing our forecasting capabilities and services.”
In June, NOAA deployed a new model to help produce hurricane forecasts. The Hurricane Analysis and Forecast System was put into operations on June 27 and will run alongside existing models for the 2023 season before replacing them as NOAA’s premier hurricane forecasting model.
NOAA urges everyone in vulnerable areas to have a well-thought-out hurricane plan and stay informed through official channels as this season progresses.
Media contact: John Moore, [email protected], (202) 603-2523
Source: https://www.noaa.gov/news-release/noaa-forecasters-increase-atlantic-hurricane-season-prediction-to-above-normal
Language
English
Featured Media
A GOES-16 (GOES East) visible satellite image of Hurricane Don at 6:20 PM EDT on July 22, 2023 in the Atlantic. Don was the firs
Type of news
News
Publish Date
Friday, August 11, 2023 - 14:45
Tags
Hurricanes
Headline
Likelihood of greater activity rises due to record-warm sea surface temperatures
Editorial Section
CPA
Contact
MDebray
Climate Change Science on Telegram by @ClimateChangeScience
A @grttme project - Other backups: @Hallotme
This media is not supported in your browser
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
It's #FullDiskFriday, and we're looking at the Earth from a different perspective today—via Japan's #Himawari9 🛰️!
This imagery was captured earlier today. Can you spot Typhoon #Lan churning over the Philippine Sea and Hurricane #Dora over the Central Pacific Ocean? https://t.co/xsAXzEzGyQ
NOAA Satellites
Climate Change Science on Telegram by @ClimateChangeScience
A @grttme project - Other backups: @Hallotme
This imagery was captured earlier today. Can you spot Typhoon #Lan churning over the Philippine Sea and Hurricane #Dora over the Central Pacific Ocean? https://t.co/xsAXzEzGyQ
NOAA Satellites
Climate Change Science on Telegram by @ClimateChangeScience
A @grttme project - Other backups: @Hallotme
Have a look at the 6th #C3S General Assembly's agenda.
Day 1 includes sessions on #C3S Climate Intelligence activities, a joint session with @eumetsat on #ExtremeEvents & Hydrological Cycle monitoring, & more.
📍🇨🇿 Brno, Czechia
🗓️ 12-14 Sept
▶️https://t.co/kM9malXTgV https://t.co/V98zbLMJb1
Copernicus ECMWF
Climate Change Science on Telegram by @ClimateChangeScience
A @grttme project - Other backups: @Hallotme
Day 1 includes sessions on #C3S Climate Intelligence activities, a joint session with @eumetsat on #ExtremeEvents & Hydrological Cycle monitoring, & more.
📍🇨🇿 Brno, Czechia
🗓️ 12-14 Sept
▶️https://t.co/kM9malXTgV https://t.co/V98zbLMJb1
Copernicus ECMWF
Climate Change Science on Telegram by @ClimateChangeScience
A @grttme project - Other backups: @Hallotme
#InternationalYouthDay ✊🏽
Greenpeace International
Climate Change Science on Telegram by @ClimateChangeScience
A @grttme project - Other backups: @Hallotme
We couldn't have said it any better!
Will you help amplify the voices of these young activists calling for a better future for us all? 👉 https://t.co/LL4kQAwgGj https://t.co/G5lwJEp0BN - Greenpeace Africa Greenpeace International
Climate Change Science on Telegram by @ClimateChangeScience
A @grttme project - Other backups: @Hallotme
#ClimateAction is needed to protect #biodiversity & the🌎🔍How ?⤵️
🌱Protect and restore carbon & species-rich ecosystems
🌳Increase sustainable agricultural & forestry practices
🌊Enhance and better target conservation actions to protect ocean & land surfaces
Via @UN https://t.co/WRpokSic86
UN Biodiversity
Climate Change Science on Telegram by @ClimateChangeScience
A @grttme project - Other backups: @Hallotme
🌱Protect and restore carbon & species-rich ecosystems
🌳Increase sustainable agricultural & forestry practices
🌊Enhance and better target conservation actions to protect ocean & land surfaces
Via @UN https://t.co/WRpokSic86
UN Biodiversity
Climate Change Science on Telegram by @ClimateChangeScience
A @grttme project - Other backups: @Hallotme
Improving energy efficiency can reduce emissions and costs from industry. Investment in energy efficiency must increase to accelerate declines in industrial energy intensity, which must drop 26% over the current decade to reach net zero. #SystemsChangeLab https://t.co/sUL43NFOJG https://t.co/o1fPE4GZs6
WRI Climate
Climate Change Science on Telegram by @ClimateChangeScience
A @grttme project - Other backups: @Hallotme
WRI Climate
Climate Change Science on Telegram by @ClimateChangeScience
A @grttme project - Other backups: @Hallotme
RT @UNEP: Wetlands cover roughly 6% of the Earth’s land surface & are vital for human health, food supply, and livelihoods.
Did you know they come in various forms?
UN Biodiversity
Climate Change Science on Telegram by @ClimateChangeScience
A @grttme project - Other backups: @Hallotme
Did you know they come in various forms?
UN Biodiversity
Climate Change Science on Telegram by @ClimateChangeScience
A @grttme project - Other backups: @Hallotme
RT @UNCCD: An amazing find — study confirms that biodiversity is richer underground 🩵🤎
When we take good care of the land, we replenish the #soil and help its biodiversity thrive. #UNited4Lsnd
https://t.co/MfnI6yz7TX
UN Biodiversity
Climate Change Science on Telegram by @ClimateChangeScience
A @grttme project - Other backups: @Hallotme
When we take good care of the land, we replenish the #soil and help its biodiversity thrive. #UNited4Lsnd
https://t.co/MfnI6yz7TX
UN Biodiversity
Climate Change Science on Telegram by @ClimateChangeScience
A @grttme project - Other backups: @Hallotme
This media is not supported in your browser
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
RT @FAO: Water is:
💧Food
💧Prosperity
💧Energy
💧Life
We can't take it for granted.
Each and every one of us can take #WaterAction 👉https://t.co/58kObzbEZF
#WorldFoodDay https://t.co/Sm3GLe8t5G
UN Biodiversity
Climate Change Science on Telegram by @ClimateChangeScience
A @grttme project - Other backups: @Hallotme
💧Food
💧Prosperity
💧Energy
💧Life
We can't take it for granted.
Each and every one of us can take #WaterAction 👉https://t.co/58kObzbEZF
#WorldFoodDay https://t.co/Sm3GLe8t5G
UN Biodiversity
Climate Change Science on Telegram by @ClimateChangeScience
A @grttme project - Other backups: @Hallotme
This media is not supported in your browser
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
Top climate stories for July ↓
🟢July set to be the world's hottest month on record:
https://t.co/t7WmbiwKHM
🟢New EU law to protect & restore soils:
https://t.co/pVksJDGfGf
🟢EU invests EUR 3.6 billion from ETS revenues in clean tech projects:
https://t.co/R80AgLAU4p https://t.co/ZxlBOFtBa0
EU Climate Action
Climate Change Science on Telegram by @ClimateChangeScience
A @grttme project - Other backups: @Hallotme
🟢July set to be the world's hottest month on record:
https://t.co/t7WmbiwKHM
🟢New EU law to protect & restore soils:
https://t.co/pVksJDGfGf
🟢EU invests EUR 3.6 billion from ETS revenues in clean tech projects:
https://t.co/R80AgLAU4p https://t.co/ZxlBOFtBa0
EU Climate Action
Climate Change Science on Telegram by @ClimateChangeScience
A @grttme project - Other backups: @Hallotme
The #InflationReductionAct is the first major piece of legislation in more than 50 years to address the offshoring of industry and reinvest in U.S. manufacturing at scale.
Learn how the law is igniting a manufacturing renaissance across the nation: https://t.co/RPPjiS62YU
WRI Climate
Climate Change Science on Telegram by @ClimateChangeScience
A @grttme project - Other backups: @Hallotme
Learn how the law is igniting a manufacturing renaissance across the nation: https://t.co/RPPjiS62YU
WRI Climate
Climate Change Science on Telegram by @ClimateChangeScience
A @grttme project - Other backups: @Hallotme
RT @EU_Commission: Slovenia, we will be at your side for your recovery and reconstruction.
🇸🇮 can request and will receive financial support from the 🇪🇺.
Thanks to the EU Solidarity Fund, #NextGenerationEU and cohesion funds, the country can be rebuilt and made more resilient.
EU Climate Action
Climate Change Science on Telegram by @ClimateChangeScience
A @grttme project - Other backups: @Hallotme
🇸🇮 can request and will receive financial support from the 🇪🇺.
Thanks to the EU Solidarity Fund, #NextGenerationEU and cohesion funds, the country can be rebuilt and made more resilient.
EU Climate Action
Climate Change Science on Telegram by @ClimateChangeScience
A @grttme project - Other backups: @Hallotme
RT @EU_Commission: Youth must have a say on the decisions that make their future.
We have selected 25 young people to be members of the 2023–2025 European Union Youth Sounding Board for International Partnerships.
They will advise on youth participation and empowerment in EU external action.
EU Climate Action
Climate Change Science on Telegram by @ClimateChangeScience
A @grttme project - Other backups: @Hallotme
We have selected 25 young people to be members of the 2023–2025 European Union Youth Sounding Board for International Partnerships.
They will advise on youth participation and empowerment in EU external action.
EU Climate Action
Climate Change Science on Telegram by @ClimateChangeScience
A @grttme project - Other backups: @Hallotme
RT @FAONorthAmerica: We look forward to welcoming you & the @FAO delegation to Vancouver for the #GEFAssembly2023.
Together with our 🇨🇦 partners, we will work on innovative Climate Solutions to ensure a healthy planet with healthy people, leaving no one behind.
@FAOclimate
@CanadaDev
@theGEF
FAO Climate Change & Biodiversity
Climate Change Science on Telegram by @ClimateChangeScience
A @grttme project - Other backups: @Hallotme
Together with our 🇨🇦 partners, we will work on innovative Climate Solutions to ensure a healthy planet with healthy people, leaving no one behind.
@FAOclimate
@CanadaDev
@theGEF
FAO Climate Change & Biodiversity
Climate Change Science on Telegram by @ClimateChangeScience
A @grttme project - Other backups: @Hallotme
RT @ICRAF: 🌳 Mainstreaming biodiversity in forestry
📚 This report reviews progress and outlines the technical and policy tools available for countries and stakeholders to effectively mainstream biodiversity in forestry.
Full issue➡️: https://t.co/Ffns1Q89z3
#TreesPeoplePlanet https://t.co/zScsiO7lO2
UN Biodiversity
Climate Change Science on Telegram by @ClimateChangeScience
A @grttme project - Other backups: @Hallotme
📚 This report reviews progress and outlines the technical and policy tools available for countries and stakeholders to effectively mainstream biodiversity in forestry.
Full issue➡️: https://t.co/Ffns1Q89z3
#TreesPeoplePlanet https://t.co/zScsiO7lO2
UN Biodiversity
Climate Change Science on Telegram by @ClimateChangeScience
A @grttme project - Other backups: @Hallotme
RT @FAOeagriculture: 🌎@FAO #Digital Services Portfolio has now landed in #SriLanka!🛬
📍Find out what S.E.E.D Hub offers to build resilience to #climatechange and reduce risks related to production🌾
Read more👉 https://t.co/oRp1rvg8FO
#Digital4Impact #ClimateAction #SDGs https://t.co/MHFSes0YkR
FAO Climate Change & Biodiversity
Climate Change Science on Telegram by @ClimateChangeScience
A @grttme project - Other backups: @Hallotme
📍Find out what S.E.E.D Hub offers to build resilience to #climatechange and reduce risks related to production🌾
Read more👉 https://t.co/oRp1rvg8FO
#Digital4Impact #ClimateAction #SDGs https://t.co/MHFSes0YkR
FAO Climate Change & Biodiversity
Climate Change Science on Telegram by @ClimateChangeScience
A @grttme project - Other backups: @Hallotme
Category 4 Typhoon #Lan is headed toward #Japan but expected to weaken before landfall. https://t.co/TXjxSKfhdf https://t.co/q8r1lmogn7
UW-Madison CIMSS
Climate Change Science on Telegram by @ClimateChangeScience
A @grttme project - Other backups: @Hallotme
UW-Madison CIMSS
Climate Change Science on Telegram by @ClimateChangeScience
A @grttme project - Other backups: @Hallotme
RT @esa: 😎 Take a journey around ESA's sites: whether it’s training astronauts, telecoms innovation, Earth observation or space safety, everyone across the organisation works towards our goals as ‘One ESA’.
Download our #OneESA brochure👉 https://t.co/3qfa7MoTrQ https://t.co/OfaTw6nowE
ESA Earth Observation
Climate Change Science on Telegram by @ClimateChangeScience
A @grttme project - Other backups: @Hallotme
Download our #OneESA brochure👉 https://t.co/3qfa7MoTrQ https://t.co/OfaTw6nowE
ESA Earth Observation
Climate Change Science on Telegram by @ClimateChangeScience
A @grttme project - Other backups: @Hallotme
Work with us!
@FAO is looking for an International Social Forestry and Climate Change specialist based in our Bangkok office.
Apply by 14 August!
👉 https://t.co/pH3mYtwCKs
@FAOJobs https://t.co/gqrrxUFYI6
FAO Forestry
Climate Change Science on Telegram by @ClimateChangeScience
A @grttme project - Other backups: @Hallotme
@FAO is looking for an International Social Forestry and Climate Change specialist based in our Bangkok office.
Apply by 14 August!
👉 https://t.co/pH3mYtwCKs
@FAOJobs https://t.co/gqrrxUFYI6
FAO Forestry
Climate Change Science on Telegram by @ClimateChangeScience
A @grttme project - Other backups: @Hallotme