🌟 🇺🇸 🌏 Today, the Department of War announced that the U.S. Indo-Pacific Command (INDOPACOM) would be reverted back to its original name, U.S. Pacific Command (PACOM). The border delineation of the combatant command will remain the same, per a release from the Department of War.

📎 OSINTdefender

🇷🇺⚔️🇺🇦 Here's a closer up view of the approximate situation in Konstantinovka right now.

The locations of heaviest fighting are marked in green, the two remaining roads leading out of the city are marked in yellow, and new Russian DRG activity is marked in pink.

I think we can expect a full Ukrainian withdrawal to the northwestern suburbs over the next two weeks, where they will presumably make a final stand in the Battle of Konstantinovka.

🔗 AMK Mapping

🇷🇺⚔️🇺🇦 The Russian gamble in Lyman...

As Ukrainian forces continue their counterattacks north of Lyman, Russia appears to have taken a gamble, concentrating their assault forces near Lyman in a sudden attempt at taking the city, instead of deploying them to slow down the Ukrainian advance on the flanks.

🔗 AMK Mapping

🇷🇺⚔️🇺🇦 Here's a closer-up view of the approximate situation in Lyman, showing the current Russian infiltration routes.

Right now, Russian soldiers are operating within the city centre and most other districts of Lyman, and have established stable control over several blocks in the northern suburbs.

I warned about these increased Russian infiltrations a little over a week ago, and since then the situation for Ukraine has rapidly become critical. We may be witnessing a repeat of Konstantinovka unfold, but it remains unclear as to how much Russia will be able to consolidate in these new areas.

🔗 AMK Mapping

🇺🇦⚔️🇷🇺 Here's a closer-up view of the approximate situation north of Lyman, where Ukrainian forces are continuing their counterattacks aimed at eliminating the Russian bridgehead west of the Nitrius River.

Fierce battles continue for the areas of Zelena Dolyna, Novoe, Lypovoe, Katerynovka, Shandrygolovo, Ridkodub, and Novomykhailovka. Because of these recent advances, this Russian bridgehead is now at serious risk of being cut off, especially considering that Russia is concentrating most of its assault forces to capture Lyman itself.

However, if Lyman falls before Ukraine can cut off the bridgehead, Russia may be able to advance north to rear of the Ukrainian forces who are attacking the salient from the south, in order to secure the bridgehead.

This is why I call it the "Russian gamble in Lyman".

🔗 AMK Mapping

🇺🇸🇱🇾⚡️ — The Trump administration is pursuing a U.S.-backed power-sharing arrangement aimed at reunifying Libya’s rival eastern and western administrations while boosting foreign investment in the country’s energy sector, according to FT.

The plan seeks to establish a unified government and consolidate Libya’s fragmented institutions. Washington is also encouraging American energy companies to expand their presence in Libya, with officials projecting that oil production could potentially double to 3 million barrels per day by the end of the decade.

The proposed framework would place Saddam Haftar, son of eastern strongman Khalifa Haftar, at the head of an executive presidential council, while Abdul Hamid Dbeibeh would remain prime minister in western Libya.

Supporters argue the plan could complement UN-led political efforts and help stabilize the country after years of division, while critics question whether the rival factions are willing to share power and warn that deep mistrust between the two camps could undermine any agreement.

Recent progress cited by U.S. officials includes a joint national budget, development funding agreements between east and west, and participation by both sides in U.S.-led military exercises.

🇺🇸❌🇮🇱 Israeli Channel 13 claims that the reason why the MoU between the U.S. and Iran wasn't made public is because the White House wants this deal to be kept away from Israeli officials and the Jewish lobby who would mount a massive media campaign against president Trump for agreeing to it in the first place

Israel fears that it will be forced after Friday's signing ceremony to withdraw from the "security zones" in Lebanon. The IDF is almost unanimously opposed to returning to the UNDOF 2000 "Blue Line" border between Lebanon and Israel.

@CIG_telegram

🇺🇸🕊🇮🇷 Bloomberg claims to have gotten a copy of the MoU that will be signed on Friday by the U.S. and Iran in Switzerland

1. The Islamic Republic of Iran and the United States, together with their allies in the current war, declare upon the signing of this Memorandum of Understanding an immediate and permanent end to the war on all fronts, including Lebanon, and undertake that from now on they will not launch any hostile action against each other, and will refrain from the threat or use of force against each other. The final agreement will confirm the provisions of this Article and the remaining Articles.

2. The Islamic Republic of Iran and the United States undertake to respect each other’s sovereignty and territorial integrity, and to refrain from interfering in each other’s internal affairs.

3. The Islamic Republic of Iran and the United States undertake to negotiate and reach a final agreement within a maximum period of 60 days, extendable by mutual consent.

4. Immediately upon the signing of this Memorandum of Understanding, the United States Lift the naval blockade and prevent any interference or obstruction against the Islamic Republic of Iran, and restore traffic within a maximum of 30 days to its full capacity; the traffic of ships shall be proportional to the pre-war volume of traffic on the part of the Islamic Republic of Iran. The United States also undertakes to withdraw its forces from the surrounding areas within 30 days after the final agreement.

5. Upon signing this Memorandum of Understanding, the Islamic Republic of Iran will immediately take steps to ensure that the movement of merchant ships from the Persian Gulf to the Sea of ​​Oman and vice versa is resumed within 30 days to the pre-war volume, taking into account the need for the removal of technical obstacles and the neutralization of mines by Iran.

6. The United States undertakes, together with its regional partners, to create a comprehensive plan agreed upon by both parties for the rehabilitation and economic development of the Islamic Republic of Iran, While ensuring financing of at least $300 billion. The implementation mechanism of this plan, as part of the final agreement, will be formulated within 60 days.

7. The United States commits to ending, on a schedule to be agreed upon as part of the final agreement, all types of sanctions currently facing the Islamic Republic of Iran, including resolutions of the United Nations Security Council and the Board of Governors of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), and all unilateral U.S. sanctions, both primary and secondary.

8. The Islamic Republic of Iran reiterates that it will never produce nuclear weapons. The Islamic Republic of Iran and the United States have agreed that the fate of enriched material and the fate of all other mutually agreed nuclear-related issues, including Iran’s nuclear needs, will be adequately addressed in a final agreement; the final agreement will confirm the provisions of this Article.

9. The Islamic Republic of Iran and the United States agree that, pending a final agreement, they will maintain the status quo: Iran will maintain the status quo on its nuclear program, and the United States will not impose new sanctions on Iran or strengthen its forces in the region.

10. The United States undertakes that immediately after the signing of this Memorandum of Understanding, and until the date of the lifting of sanctions, the United States Treasury Department will issue waivers for exports of Iranian crude oil, petrochemical products and their derivatives, and all related services, including banking, insurance, transportation, and the like.

11. The United States undertakes that, in light of the progress of negotiations towards a final agreement, frozen or restricted funds and assets of the Islamic Republic of Iran will be released and made fully available. These funds, whether held in the master account or transferred, will be used for any final beneficiary payment determined by the Central Bank of the Islamic Republic of Iran and will be fully available for use. The United States undertakes to issue all necessary permits and licenses on this basis.

12. The Islamic Republic of Iran and the United States agree that an implementation mechanism will be established to oversee the successful implementation of and future commitment to the Final Agreement.

13. Following the signing of this Memorandum of Understanding, and upon receipt of assurances regarding the commencement of implementation of Articles 4, 5, 10, and 11 of this Memorandum of Understanding, and the continued implementation of these steps, the Islamic Republic of Iran and the United States will enter into negotiations for a Final Agreement solely with respect to the remaining Articles.

14. The final agreement will be approved through a binding resolution of the UN Security Council.

🔗 Bloomberg