1) The 90–95% drop in volume claimed by CENTCOM earlier in the month was probably a temporary lull as Iran repositioned its remaining launchers into hardened sites. Independent satellite analysis suggests that a significant portion of the "80% destruction" claimed by the IDF actually hit high-fidelity decoys.
2) Despite fewer launchers, the lethality per strike has increased. Iran's shift to cluster warheads has allowed a single missile to impact multiple locations simultaneously, compensating for the lower volume of launches
3) Iran has successfully set up mobile, underground units able to fire at steady rates. Iran used that quiet period to move their remaining ~100-120 heavy launchers into "Super-Hardened" facilities
4) Iran is utilizing its Zolfaqar and Dezful road-mobile launchers. These units move from hardened tunnels to pre-surveyed launch spots, fire, and return underground in under 10 minutes, often before coalition drones can re-task for a strike.
5) Because these launching units are decentralized, it is very hard for US and Israeli intelligence to get info on them.
Israel and the United States do not have an answer to this problem. That is why they are trying escalation on energy sources instead. But that is backfiring.
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Shaiel Ben-Ephraim (@academic_la) on X
I talked to two Israeli sources on why Iranian launches continue to increase, despite US-Israeli claims that they have destroyed almost all of the launchers. Here is what they said:
1) The 90–95% drop in volume claimed by CENTCOM earlier in the month was…
1) The 90–95% drop in volume claimed by CENTCOM earlier in the month was…
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After 20 days, Iran does not have the ability to enrich uranium or to produce ballistic missiles.
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Two weeks ago, I instructed the IDF and Mossad to collaborate and work together so that the murderers of the IRGC will know that we will hunt them down even inside the cities. And they've done so perfectly.
You can see this — how these murderers are running away in fear.
In addition to all this, I can say one thing. It is too soon to say if the Iranian people will take advantage of the conditions that we are giving it to go out to the streets. I hope that will be the case.
We are working for that to be the case. But at the end of the day, it will be up only to them.
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They talked about hundreds of high-rises in Tel Aviv, Jerusalem and Haifa that would fall.
But the towers that are falling, they're falling in Tehran and Beirut.
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We have changed Israel into a regional power and, in some cases, a global power.
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Instead, Israel will help the U.S. reopen the Hormuz with "intelligence gathering" and "through other means".
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They say Israel somehow dragged the U.S. into a conflict with Iran.
Does anyone really think that someone can tell Trump what to do? Come on.
President Trump always makes his decisions on what he thinks is good for America and also good for future generations.
In this case, those interests are absolutely clear, and so is the clarity of our achievements.
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If leaders are honest, they would understand that we're not only fighting our fight, we're fighting their fight.
The world owes a debt of deep indebtedness to President Trump for leading this effort to safeguard our future.
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@CIG_telegram
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/CIG/ Telegram | Counter Intelligence Global
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"America is not fighting for Israel, America is fighting WITH Israel".
@CIG_telegram
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@CIG_telegram
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@CIG_telegram
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@CIG_telegram
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@CIG_telegram
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You can’t do revolutions from the air—that is true.
There has to be a ground component. There are many possibilities for this ground component.
I take the liberty of not sharing all these possibilities.
@CIG_telegram
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@CIG_telegram
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You don't want to replace an Ayatollah with another Ayatollah, you don’t want to replace Hitler with Himmler. We are creating the conditions for a transition but its too early to say".
@CIG_telegram
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"Trump is the leader, I am his ally".
@CIG_telegram
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🔗 Brendan Gutenschwager (@BGOnTheScene)
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