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We've been paying the "old price" since this started
20-30% increases hitting all at once
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Geopolitics Watch
Early reports suggest the damage was minimal, with NASA’s FIRMS system picking up fires at the site.
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We're only three weeks into this war of choice, imposed on both Iranians and Americans.
This $200b is the tip of the iceberg. Ordinary Americans can thank Benjamin Netanyahu and his lackeys in Congress for the trillion-dollar "Israel First tax" that's about to hit U.S. economy.
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Macron has not uttered one word of condemnation of the Israel-US war on Iran. He did not condemn Israel when it blew up fuel storage in Tehran, exposing millions to toxins. His current "concern" didn't follow Israel's attack on our gas facilities. It follows our retaliation. Sad!
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Finland’s President Alexander Stubb says he can see real potential in offering Trump what he wants: European military support to secure the Strait of Hormuz, the crucial oil shipping route that Iran has effectively blockaded in response to American and Israeli bombing.
Europe’s condition for providing such assistance? That the U.S. president delivers all the help Ukraine needs to reach an acceptable peace deal with Russia.
Officials — including Stubb — fear the longer Trump’s war against Iran continues, the more it could constrain Ukraine’s fight against invading Russian forces. Soaring global energy prices — and Washington's decision to loosen sanctions on Russia’s oil industry — will significantly boost Vladimir Putin’s income from Russian fossil fuel sales.
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POLITICO
Europe could offer to help Trump on Iran — if he backs Ukraine, Finland’s Stubb suggests – POLITICO
Alexander Stubb, a golf buddy of the U.S. president, says it’s a “really good idea” to try to bargain with Trump, who wants Europe to help him open the Strait of Hormuz.
Still TTF futures are far from the record highs of 2022 but the longer Qatar LNG remains offline, the higher prices will go
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The winds later carried this toxic smog to the northeast into Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan and much of Central Asia.
No countries condemned Israel for this attack.
🔗 Soar (@SoarAtlas)
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The shutdown of Qatar's Ras Laffan facility, the world's largest LNG export plant, has knocked out ~33% of global helium supply, as helium is a byproduct of natural gas processing.
With the facility offline, the global market is losing ~5.2 million cubic meters per month, while there is almost no spare capacity as helium must reach end users within ~45 days before it evaporates.
As a result, Helium spot prices have risen over +100% since the Iran War began.
Notably, in 2025, Qatar produced 63 million cubic meters of helium, making it the 2nd-largest producer in the world after the US.
If the disruption lasts 60 to 90 days, prices could surge another +50%, potentially exceeding $2,000 per thousand cubic feet, according to AKAP Energy.
Helium is essential for semiconductor manufacturing, MRI machines, fiber optics, and space exploration, with no viable substitutes, meaning higher helium prices will directly raise the cost of making every chip in the world.
Chipmakers hold ~6 months of inventory, but Samsung and SK Hynix are already scrambling to find alternative sources, with 64% of South Korean helium imports coming from Qatar alone.
The Iran War is sending shockwaves well beyond the energy market.
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First, a drone struck the al-Ahmadi port refinery, one of the largest in the Middle East, with a production capacity of about 730,000 barrels per day.
A second attack then sparked a fire at the nearby Abdullah port refinery, which produces around 454,000 barrels per day.
🔗 Egypt's Intel Observer (@EGYOSINT)
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“Significant surprises are expected today across all fronts that will escalate the war to a new level.
We have authorized the IDF to eliminate any Iranian official once a “targeting circle” has been closed on them, without the need for additional approval.”
With US “cover”, its been shielded from the consequences of over-aggression
Thus Israel knows only offense, escalation. The “ceasefire” is a tool to slow the enemy as Israel regroups for more attacks
🔗 Megatron (@Megatron_ron)
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🔗 Europa.com (@europa)
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While the price of WTI Crude went back under 100$, the price of Brent Crude has continued to increase, reaching nearly 115$.
Murban Crude meanwhile is nearly at 129$/barrel
@CIG_telegram
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Israeli sources admitted a "security incident" in Lebanon and later described the battle as reminding them of the battle of Wadi Saluki in the 2006 Lebanon War when 24 tanks of the 401st Brigade of the IDF were ambushed and several destroyed by Kornet ATGMs.
The village of Taybeh is merely 2km from the Israel-Lebanon border and its been 8 days since the IDF began ground operations against Hezbollah.
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A closer look would reveal that the helicopter that was targeted does not resemble an Mi-17 but rather a Bell 214A Isfahan utility helicopter which is often used for search and rescue missions or to transport critically injured to hospitals for emergency surgeries.
Drawings of an Mi-17 and Bell 214A helicopters for comparison.
@CIG_telegram
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