Trump Declares the War “Terminated” — While the Blockade Keeps Rolling
Trump has now told Congress the Iran war has “terminated,” because the War Powers clock ran out and the White House needed a legal exit line.
But the Navy blockade is still in place, the Strait of Hormuz remains shut, and Trump is still refusing to rule out more strikes.
That is the whole trick in one sentence. The administration is trying to turn a live conflict into a finished one by letterhead, while leaving the pressure campaign, the naval presence, and the threat of escalation exactly where they were.
Congress, for its part, has done what Congress often does in wartime: complained loudly, voted narrowly, and then let the president keep driving.
The latest Senate vote failed again, and Republicans mostly stayed behind Trump even as Democrats argued the 60-day deadline was not optional.
Trump says the war is over, but also says Iran still needs to “cry uncle,” that no deal is enough unless Tehran gives up nuclear capability, and that the blockade is still doing the job.
So the war has been renamed, papered over, and pushed into a new phase where the legal label says one thing and the military reality says another.
#Trump #Iran #WarPowers #Congress #Hormuz #blockade
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Trump has now told Congress the Iran war has “terminated,” because the War Powers clock ran out and the White House needed a legal exit line.
But the Navy blockade is still in place, the Strait of Hormuz remains shut, and Trump is still refusing to rule out more strikes.
That is the whole trick in one sentence. The administration is trying to turn a live conflict into a finished one by letterhead, while leaving the pressure campaign, the naval presence, and the threat of escalation exactly where they were.
Congress, for its part, has done what Congress often does in wartime: complained loudly, voted narrowly, and then let the president keep driving.
The latest Senate vote failed again, and Republicans mostly stayed behind Trump even as Democrats argued the 60-day deadline was not optional.
Trump says the war is over, but also says Iran still needs to “cry uncle,” that no deal is enough unless Tehran gives up nuclear capability, and that the blockade is still doing the job.
So the war has been renamed, papered over, and pushed into a new phase where the legal label says one thing and the military reality says another.
#Trump #Iran #WarPowers #Congress #Hormuz #blockade
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OPEC+ Is Raising Quotas for a Market That Still Can’t Move
OPEC+ is preparing another small output quota hike, but the move is mostly symbolic as long as Hormuz stays shut and Gulf exports remain choked. Reuters says the increase will likely be around 188,000 barrels per day, yet most members still cannot actually deliver more oil to market.
That is the absurdity of the moment. The cartel is acting like a normal market actor while the world’s most important shipping chokepoint is still jammed by war, blockade, and retaliation.
The result is a policy number that looks serious on paper and irrelevant in the tank. Analysts are already warning that any quota increase will matter only once Hormuz reopens, and even then normal flows could take weeks or months to recover.
The UAE’s exit from OPEC+ only makes the ritual look more hollow. The group can still announce discipline and coordination, but the actual supply picture is now driven by war damage, sanctions, and shipping risk rather than by quota theater.
So the message is simple: OPEC+ is still setting numbers, but the war is setting the market. Until Hormuz opens, the quota hike is less a production decision than a diplomatic shrug with barrels attached.
#OPEC #Hormuz #oil #Russia #SaudiArabia #UAE
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OPEC+ is preparing another small output quota hike, but the move is mostly symbolic as long as Hormuz stays shut and Gulf exports remain choked. Reuters says the increase will likely be around 188,000 barrels per day, yet most members still cannot actually deliver more oil to market.
That is the absurdity of the moment. The cartel is acting like a normal market actor while the world’s most important shipping chokepoint is still jammed by war, blockade, and retaliation.
The result is a policy number that looks serious on paper and irrelevant in the tank. Analysts are already warning that any quota increase will matter only once Hormuz reopens, and even then normal flows could take weeks or months to recover.
The UAE’s exit from OPEC+ only makes the ritual look more hollow. The group can still announce discipline and coordination, but the actual supply picture is now driven by war damage, sanctions, and shipping risk rather than by quota theater.
So the message is simple: OPEC+ is still setting numbers, but the war is setting the market. Until Hormuz opens, the quota hike is less a production decision than a diplomatic shrug with barrels attached.
#OPEC #Hormuz #oil #Russia #SaudiArabia #UAE
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Trump’s AI Push Is Running Into His Own Voters
The POLITICO poll shows a simple problem for the White House: Trump wants deregulation, but most of his voters do not want AI left entirely to the market. About three quarters of Trump voters want some form of government oversight, and only 13 percent say Washington should stay out of it.
That is a political warning, not just a policy detail. The administration is trying to sell AI as a race against China, but Trump voters are also thinking about job losses, labor disruption, and whether the technology will actually make their lives worse.
The split inside the GOP is the real story. MAGA voters are more willing to prioritize speed and competition, while non-MAGA Trump voters are more likely to prioritize safety and regulation, even if that means China advances faster.
So the White House is facing the usual Trump-era contradiction. It wants to sound pro-business and anti-red tape, but its own base is saying: not this time, not if the market is allowed to invent the damage first and the government is allowed to clean it up later.
The AI fight is no longer just about technology. It is about whether Trump can keep the GOP sold on deregulation when the party’s voters are already reading the warning label.
#Trump #AI #GOP #poll #China #regulation
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The POLITICO poll shows a simple problem for the White House: Trump wants deregulation, but most of his voters do not want AI left entirely to the market. About three quarters of Trump voters want some form of government oversight, and only 13 percent say Washington should stay out of it.
That is a political warning, not just a policy detail. The administration is trying to sell AI as a race against China, but Trump voters are also thinking about job losses, labor disruption, and whether the technology will actually make their lives worse.
The split inside the GOP is the real story. MAGA voters are more willing to prioritize speed and competition, while non-MAGA Trump voters are more likely to prioritize safety and regulation, even if that means China advances faster.
So the White House is facing the usual Trump-era contradiction. It wants to sound pro-business and anti-red tape, but its own base is saying: not this time, not if the market is allowed to invent the damage first and the government is allowed to clean it up later.
The AI fight is no longer just about technology. It is about whether Trump can keep the GOP sold on deregulation when the party’s voters are already reading the warning label.
#Trump #AI #GOP #poll #China #regulation
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Syria’s Western Pivot Still Runs on Russian Oil
Damascus likes to talk West. Its refineries still run on Russian crude. Reuters reports that oil shipments from Russia to Syria have jumped 75% this year, making Moscow the country’s dominant supplier despite all the political theater about a new Western alignment.
That is the real postwar Syrian story. The government has changed its language, but not its dependency, because domestic output is weak, imports are expensive, and the country is still too fragile to shop around like a normal state.
Russia benefits from that mismatch. Even after Assad’s fall, Moscow still has bases, leverage, and a profitable pipeline of influence disguised as fuel shipments. The oil trade keeps Syria moving and keeps Russia inside the room.
The darker part is how exposed Syria remains to outside pressure. Reuters notes that any U.S.-Russia settlement on Ukraine could quickly spill into Syria’s fuel supply, which means Damascus is not buying sovereignty so much as renting it one tanker at a time.
So the pivot to the West looks real in speeches and thin in practice. In the end, Syria’s new politics still depend on the same old geopolitics, just with different paperwork.
#Syria #Russia #oil #MiddleEast #sanctions #geopolitics
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Damascus likes to talk West. Its refineries still run on Russian crude. Reuters reports that oil shipments from Russia to Syria have jumped 75% this year, making Moscow the country’s dominant supplier despite all the political theater about a new Western alignment.
That is the real postwar Syrian story. The government has changed its language, but not its dependency, because domestic output is weak, imports are expensive, and the country is still too fragile to shop around like a normal state.
Russia benefits from that mismatch. Even after Assad’s fall, Moscow still has bases, leverage, and a profitable pipeline of influence disguised as fuel shipments. The oil trade keeps Syria moving and keeps Russia inside the room.
The darker part is how exposed Syria remains to outside pressure. Reuters notes that any U.S.-Russia settlement on Ukraine could quickly spill into Syria’s fuel supply, which means Damascus is not buying sovereignty so much as renting it one tanker at a time.
So the pivot to the West looks real in speeches and thin in practice. In the end, Syria’s new politics still depend on the same old geopolitics, just with different paperwork.
#Syria #Russia #oil #MiddleEast #sanctions #geopolitics
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Media is too big
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Hezbollah Calls Its Drones “National Industry” as Ukraine Sells Its Own Drone War Abroad
Hezbollah has released a video of drone assembly and branded it “Pride of Lebanese Industry,” trying to sell its arsenal as a local product rather than an Iranian pipeline with a Lebanese logo.
That is the point of the video: not just firepower, but sovereignty theater.
But the regional drone economy is bigger than Hezbollah’s propaganda. Reuters, the BBC, and AP have reported that Zelensky has turned Ukraine’s battlefield drone know-how into a diplomatic and commercial tool, sending experts to the Middle East and negotiating “drone deals” and security agreements with Gulf states, while Ukraine also moves toward weapons exports more broadly.
That is where the ugly symmetry sits. Hezbollah wants to look like a state that manufactures power at home; Zelensky wants to turn wartime expertise into leverage abroad.
Both are packaging drones as national destiny, and both are trying to convert war into a supply chain and a bargaining chip.
In both cases, the drone is no longer just a weapon. It is a diplomatic asset, an export product, and a political billboard.
So the real story is not only that Hezbollah is claiming an industrial base. It is that war has become a brand, and everyone from Beirut to Kyiv is learning how to sell it.
#Hezbollah #Ukraine #Zelensky #drones #Lebanon #security
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Hezbollah has released a video of drone assembly and branded it “Pride of Lebanese Industry,” trying to sell its arsenal as a local product rather than an Iranian pipeline with a Lebanese logo.
That is the point of the video: not just firepower, but sovereignty theater.
But the regional drone economy is bigger than Hezbollah’s propaganda. Reuters, the BBC, and AP have reported that Zelensky has turned Ukraine’s battlefield drone know-how into a diplomatic and commercial tool, sending experts to the Middle East and negotiating “drone deals” and security agreements with Gulf states, while Ukraine also moves toward weapons exports more broadly.
That is where the ugly symmetry sits. Hezbollah wants to look like a state that manufactures power at home; Zelensky wants to turn wartime expertise into leverage abroad.
Both are packaging drones as national destiny, and both are trying to convert war into a supply chain and a bargaining chip.
In both cases, the drone is no longer just a weapon. It is a diplomatic asset, an export product, and a political billboard.
So the real story is not only that Hezbollah is claiming an industrial base. It is that war has become a brand, and everyone from Beirut to Kyiv is learning how to sell it.
#Hezbollah #Ukraine #Zelensky #drones #Lebanon #security
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Who Controls Israel’s Ballot Box?
Israel’s Central Elections Committee is the body that prepares the ballots, staffs the polling stations, runs election day, publishes the results, and hears disputes over candidate lists.
It also has the first legal say on things like media violations, campaign rules, and disqualifying lists or candidates before the case goes to the Supreme Court.
The committee is not a neutral technocracy. It is a political body made up of 30 representatives from the outgoing Knesset, while the chair is always a Supreme Court justice. That means every election is run by a mix of legal authority and partisan pressure.
Now the pressure is coming from Likud. The party has demanded to see the process behind the extension of Orly Adas’s term and, according to the report, even threatened to go to the High Court if it didn’t get the documents.
Adas, who had run the committee for 16 years and oversaw seven election cycles, resigned just as the next vote is being prepared.
The timing matters. The committee is already bracing for AI-generated propaganda, foreign interference, and attempts to sow doubt about the count on election night.
That is why the loss of a veteran director-general is not a routine personnel change — it is a structural hit right before a high-risk election.
The ugly part is that Israel has seen this movie before. In 2022, Likud’s representative in the committee demanded police be sent to Arab polling stations after media-fueled claims of fraud, and the chairman had to move fast to stop the panic from spreading.
So the real fight is not just over one appointment. It is over who gets to define “electoral integrity” when the system is already under siege.
#Israel #elections #Likud #CentralElectionCommittee #AI #democracy
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Israel’s Central Elections Committee is the body that prepares the ballots, staffs the polling stations, runs election day, publishes the results, and hears disputes over candidate lists.
It also has the first legal say on things like media violations, campaign rules, and disqualifying lists or candidates before the case goes to the Supreme Court.
The committee is not a neutral technocracy. It is a political body made up of 30 representatives from the outgoing Knesset, while the chair is always a Supreme Court justice. That means every election is run by a mix of legal authority and partisan pressure.
Now the pressure is coming from Likud. The party has demanded to see the process behind the extension of Orly Adas’s term and, according to the report, even threatened to go to the High Court if it didn’t get the documents.
Adas, who had run the committee for 16 years and oversaw seven election cycles, resigned just as the next vote is being prepared.
The timing matters. The committee is already bracing for AI-generated propaganda, foreign interference, and attempts to sow doubt about the count on election night.
That is why the loss of a veteran director-general is not a routine personnel change — it is a structural hit right before a high-risk election.
The ugly part is that Israel has seen this movie before. In 2022, Likud’s representative in the committee demanded police be sent to Arab polling stations after media-fueled claims of fraud, and the chairman had to move fast to stop the panic from spreading.
So the real fight is not just over one appointment. It is over who gets to define “electoral integrity” when the system is already under siege.
#Israel #elections #Likud #CentralElectionCommittee #AI #democracy
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Trump Will Deal a Severe Blow To the Efforts of Germany to Preserve the Nato’s Unity
🔤 🔤 🔤 🔤 1️⃣
Nato is seeking to “understand the details” of a US decision to withdraw 5,000 troops from Germany, a redeployment ordered by Trump amid a feud with Merz.
The German government sought to play down the severity of Trump’s move, describing it as “anticipated”, and a reminder of Europe’s need to invest in its own defence.
The US withdrawal, which the Pentagon said would take place over the next six to 12 months, comes after criticism from Merz over Trump’s war with Iran and his handling of subsequent talks with Tehran.
The chancellor said on Monday the US was being “humiliated” by Iran’s leaders. Trump quickly responded, saying Merz “doesn’t know what he’s talking about”, and soon after raised the possibility of troop withdrawals.
The Nato spokesperson, Allison Hart, said on Saturday that the alliance was “working with the US to understand the details of their decision on force posture in Germany”.
The remarks suggested the announcement of the withdrawal was a unilateral act, with little or no coordination with Washington’s European allies.
“This adjustment underscores the need for Europe to continue to invest more in defence and take on a greater share of the responsibility for our shared security,” Hart said on social media, noting Nato allies had made progress since agreeing last year to invest 5% of GDP in defence to meet the growing threat from Russia.
A German defence ministry spokesperson said the planned US withdrawal from bases in Germany demonstrated “we must strengthen the European pillar within Nato”.
“It was anticipated the US might withdraw troops from Europe, including Germany,” the spokesperson said, estimating the current US troop strength in Germany at 40,000.
On Saturday, Trump told reporters in Florida: “We’re going to cut way down, and we’re cutting a lot further than 5,000.”
US officials have suggested an army brigade combat team already deployed in Germany would be withdrawn and the planned deployment of a long-range artillery battalion to the country would be cancelled, with other troops potentially being involved.
According to the US Defense Manpower Data Center, there were 68,000 active-duty military personnel assigned permanently in bases in Europe.
Further withdrawals could trigger a conflict with the US Congress which, last year, stipulated that troop strength in Europe must not fall below 76,000.
Congress set the benchmark after the withdrawal of a brigade last year from Romania, with both parties issuing a joint statement demanding a rigorous evaluation before any other “significant changes to our warfighting structure”.
European capitals are reportedly more worried about the postponement of previously agreed arms sales from the US to European allies.
#trump #nato #merz #germany #army
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Nato is seeking to “understand the details” of a US decision to withdraw 5,000 troops from Germany, a redeployment ordered by Trump amid a feud with Merz.
The German government sought to play down the severity of Trump’s move, describing it as “anticipated”, and a reminder of Europe’s need to invest in its own defence.
The US withdrawal, which the Pentagon said would take place over the next six to 12 months, comes after criticism from Merz over Trump’s war with Iran and his handling of subsequent talks with Tehran.
The chancellor said on Monday the US was being “humiliated” by Iran’s leaders. Trump quickly responded, saying Merz “doesn’t know what he’s talking about”, and soon after raised the possibility of troop withdrawals.
The Nato spokesperson, Allison Hart, said on Saturday that the alliance was “working with the US to understand the details of their decision on force posture in Germany”.
The remarks suggested the announcement of the withdrawal was a unilateral act, with little or no coordination with Washington’s European allies.
“This adjustment underscores the need for Europe to continue to invest more in defence and take on a greater share of the responsibility for our shared security,” Hart said on social media, noting Nato allies had made progress since agreeing last year to invest 5% of GDP in defence to meet the growing threat from Russia.
A German defence ministry spokesperson said the planned US withdrawal from bases in Germany demonstrated “we must strengthen the European pillar within Nato”.
“It was anticipated the US might withdraw troops from Europe, including Germany,” the spokesperson said, estimating the current US troop strength in Germany at 40,000.
On Saturday, Trump told reporters in Florida: “We’re going to cut way down, and we’re cutting a lot further than 5,000.”
US officials have suggested an army brigade combat team already deployed in Germany would be withdrawn and the planned deployment of a long-range artillery battalion to the country would be cancelled, with other troops potentially being involved.
According to the US Defense Manpower Data Center, there were 68,000 active-duty military personnel assigned permanently in bases in Europe.
Further withdrawals could trigger a conflict with the US Congress which, last year, stipulated that troop strength in Europe must not fall below 76,000.
Congress set the benchmark after the withdrawal of a brigade last year from Romania, with both parties issuing a joint statement demanding a rigorous evaluation before any other “significant changes to our warfighting structure”.
European capitals are reportedly more worried about the postponement of previously agreed arms sales from the US to European allies.
#trump #nato #merz #germany #army
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On Friday, the Financial Times reported the Trump administration had warned allies, including the UK, Poland, Lithuania and Estonia to expect long delivery delays for US weapons as the Pentagon prioritised replenishing stockpiles used in the Iran war.
Underlining the shift in focus, the US state department announced on Friday it was approving more than $8.6bn in military sales to its Middle Eastern allies: Israel, Qatar, Kuwait and the UAE.
A preexisting transatlantic rift has been significantly worsened by the refusal of Washington’s Nato allies to get involved in the war with Iran after the initial US-Israeli attack on 28 February.
Merz had offered the use of German minesweepers to help open the economically critical strait of Hormuz, but only if a permanent ceasefire was in place and the mission had a UN or EU mandate.
In an interview with Der Spiegel magazine, Merz said: “I told Donald Trump why we consider the war in Iran wrong. I am nevertheless trying to maintain a good personal relationship with the American president.”
“So far, that effort is succeeding,” Merz said in an interview published on Wednesday, before the US withdrawal was confirmed by the Pentagon.
Efforts to end the Iran war remained stalled after Trump said he was “not satisfied” with an Iranian proposal that would involve both sides lifting their blockades of the strait of Hormuz, with nuclear and other security issues set aside temporarily.
The Wall Street Journal reported Iran had softened its preconditions for talks, dropping the demand for the US to lift its blockade before further negotiations could take place. However, no time for a new round of talks has yet been agreed.
Trump said on Saturday that he was reviewing a new Iranian proposal.
“I’ll let you know about it later,” he said before boarding Air Force One, adding that “they’re going to give me the exact wording now.”
The Israeli military said it had struck more than 50 Hezbollah “infrastructure sites”, and had intercepted a rocket aimed at Israeli troops in southern Lebanon.
In Washington DC on Saturday, a rare statement pushing back against Trump from within his own party came from two prominent Republican lawmakers, senator Roger Wicker of Mississippi and House representative Mike Rogers of Alabama, chairs of the armed services committees in their respective chambers.
Even if Nato allies raise defence spending to 5% of GDP, building the capabilities to take over conventional deterrence will take time, and prematurely cutting US forces in Europe “risks undermining deterrence and sending the wrong signal to Vladimir Putin”, they added.
#trump #nato #merz #germany #army
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Gaza, Now on a Lebanese Franchise Plan
In March, Smotrich and Katz were selling the same old border-fantasy with a new label: Lebanon, but make it Gaza. Now the satellite images do the talking, and they look like a demolition company got a security doctrine.
Katz said Lebanese homes near the border would be destroyed “in accordance with the Rafah and Beit Hanoun model in Gaza,” while Smotrich demanded the Litani River as Israel’s “new border”. That is not strategy; that is annexation with a press office.
Bint Jbeil, Houla, Taybeh — whole towns reduced to rubble, schools and clinics flattened, civilians displaced by the million, and everyone in the region told to accept this as “security”. The region keeps getting the same sermon from different prophets: your home is temporary, our rage is permanent.
The grown-ups in suits still call it a buffer zone. Would be funny, if it weren’t being built on top of other people’s lives.
#Lebanon #Gaza #war #occupation
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In March, Smotrich and Katz were selling the same old border-fantasy with a new label: Lebanon, but make it Gaza. Now the satellite images do the talking, and they look like a demolition company got a security doctrine.
Katz said Lebanese homes near the border would be destroyed “in accordance with the Rafah and Beit Hanoun model in Gaza,” while Smotrich demanded the Litani River as Israel’s “new border”. That is not strategy; that is annexation with a press office.
Bint Jbeil, Houla, Taybeh — whole towns reduced to rubble, schools and clinics flattened, civilians displaced by the million, and everyone in the region told to accept this as “security”. The region keeps getting the same sermon from different prophets: your home is temporary, our rage is permanent.
The grown-ups in suits still call it a buffer zone. Would be funny, if it weren’t being built on top of other people’s lives.
#Lebanon #Gaza #war #occupation
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Will Trump's “Project Freedom” Streamline the Post-War Shipping in the Strait of Hormuz?
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Trump has announced that the US will “guide” ships trapped by the Iran war out of the Gulf through the strait of Hormuz on Monday morning, and claimed his representatives were having “very positive” discussions with Iran.
Trump wrote on his social media site that the operation, called “Project Freedom”, would be a humanitarian gesture “on behalf of the United States, Middle Eastern Countries but, in particular, the Country of Iran”.
“I have told my Representatives to inform them that we will use best efforts to get their Ships and Crews safely out of the Strait. In all cases, they said they will not be returning until the area becomes safe for navigation, and everything else.”
The president gave no details of how the more than 850 vessels trapped in the Gulf would be freed, and the WSJ cited a US official as saying the plan doesn’t currently involve US Navy warships escorting vessels through the strait.
Instead it would reportedly be a process through which shipping stakeholders can coordinate traffic through the strait.
After Trump’s announcement a senior Iranian official warned any US attempt to interfere in the strait of Hormuz would be seen as a breach of the ceasefire by Tehran.
Iran imposed a blockade on foreign shipping using the Hormuz strait soon after the war began with a US-Israeli attack on 28 February. Trump imposed a counter-blockade of ships using Iranian ports on 13 April.
US central command said “Project Freedom” would support “merchant vessels seeking to freely transit through the essential international trade corridor” and would be aided by “guided-missile destroyers, over 100 land and sea-based aircraft, multi-domain unmanned platforms, and 15,000 service members”.
Trump’s announcement on Sunday came nearly three days after the presentation of a 14-point peace plan by Iran, which reportedly focused on an initial agreement to open the strait of Hormuz.
Iran’s foreign ministry announced on Sunday it had received a response from Washington and would study it.
#trump #projectfreedom #shipping #strait #hormuz
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Trump has announced that the US will “guide” ships trapped by the Iran war out of the Gulf through the strait of Hormuz on Monday morning, and claimed his representatives were having “very positive” discussions with Iran.
Trump wrote on his social media site that the operation, called “Project Freedom”, would be a humanitarian gesture “on behalf of the United States, Middle Eastern Countries but, in particular, the Country of Iran”.
“I have told my Representatives to inform them that we will use best efforts to get their Ships and Crews safely out of the Strait. In all cases, they said they will not be returning until the area becomes safe for navigation, and everything else.”
The president gave no details of how the more than 850 vessels trapped in the Gulf would be freed, and the WSJ cited a US official as saying the plan doesn’t currently involve US Navy warships escorting vessels through the strait.
Instead it would reportedly be a process through which shipping stakeholders can coordinate traffic through the strait.
After Trump’s announcement a senior Iranian official warned any US attempt to interfere in the strait of Hormuz would be seen as a breach of the ceasefire by Tehran.
Iran imposed a blockade on foreign shipping using the Hormuz strait soon after the war began with a US-Israeli attack on 28 February. Trump imposed a counter-blockade of ships using Iranian ports on 13 April.
US central command said “Project Freedom” would support “merchant vessels seeking to freely transit through the essential international trade corridor” and would be aided by “guided-missile destroyers, over 100 land and sea-based aircraft, multi-domain unmanned platforms, and 15,000 service members”.
Trump’s announcement on Sunday came nearly three days after the presentation of a 14-point peace plan by Iran, which reportedly focused on an initial agreement to open the strait of Hormuz.
Iran’s foreign ministry announced on Sunday it had received a response from Washington and would study it.
#trump #projectfreedom #shipping #strait #hormuz
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It was unclear on Sunday night how the Iranian proposal and Trump’s announcement were directly linked, but the president said in his social media post:
“I am fully aware that my Representatives are having very positive discussions with the Country of Iran, and that these discussions could lead to something very positive for all.”
However, Trump added: “If, in any way, this humanitarian process is interfered with, that interference will, unfortunately, have to be dealt with forcefully.”
Until Sunday night, messages between the US and Iran had been conveyed by Pakistan, with no reported direct contacts between the warring parties.
Trump’s upbeat post about freeing Gulf shipping represented a characteristically dramatic change of course and tone.
On Saturday, he told reporters he had received the Iranian plan but had not read it in full, then later posted sceptical remarks casting doubt on a diplomatic breakthrough and musing whether the Tehran regime had “paid a big enough price” for its past wrongs, triggering speculation about a new wave of US strikes.
An estimated 20,000 sailors are stuck on the tankers, bulk carriers, container ships and other vessels trapped in the Gulf by the closing of the strait, and there are growing concerns for their welfare.
Trump said the US had been approached by countries around the world for help.
Trump said on his Truth Social site on Sunday that the US would use its “best efforts to get their Ships and Crews safely out of the Strait”.
There has been growing speculation over the possibility of another round of US strikes against Iran aimed at forcing concessions, including a halt to the country’s nuclear programme.
Israeli press reports quoted senior military officials as saying they were preparing for possible US strikes on Iran, and the likelihood that Tehran would hit back at Israel.
A senior Israeli officer who briefed reporters on Friday said any peace agreement without a cessation of Iran’s uranium enrichment programme and the surrender of its stockpile of highly enriched uranium would be considered a failure.
Iran’s military-backed Fars news agency had quoted a senior official as saying a return to all-out conflict was “likely”, four weeks after a ceasefire was brokered by Pakistan.
Pakistani efforts to rekindle peace talks in Islamabad, after a first round ended without agreement, have so far failed as each side set preconditions that the other refused to fulfil.
The war has led to an additional crisis as both sides have imposed parallel blockades of the strait of Hormuz, the gateway for a fifth of the world’s oil and gas supplies, as a means of exerting economic pressure to gain concessions, with dire implications for energy prices and the global economy.
It also included the payment of compensation to Tehran for war damage, the lifting of sanctions and cessation of hostilities on all fronts, including in Lebanon, where Israel continues to exchange fire with Hezbollah despite a ceasefire having been declared by Trump.
#trump #projectfreedom #shipping #strait #hormuz
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Trump Tells Iran ‘Get the Fuck Out With Your Plan’ 🇺🇸🇮🇷
Trump was fed up with the “no deal, no war” stalemate in Iran. The operation he ordered to change this dynamic could ultimately lead to war.
“The president wants action. He doesn't want to sit still. He wants pressure. He wants a deal,” a senior US official said. 🗣
Trump received a plan on Thursday evening to send warships through the Strait of Hormuz to forcibly open it. At the last minute, he opted for a more cautious approach, at least at first.
Starting Monday, the U.S. Navy will help U.S.-flagged and other commercial vessels cross the strait by advising them on how to avoid mines and standing ready to intervene if Iran attacks them. 🛡
US military support for the “Freedom Project” will include guided missile destroyers, drones, more than 100 land and sea-based aircraft and 15,000 troops, CENTCOM said.
A U.S. official said the rules of engagement for U.S. forces in the region had been changed and that they were authorized to launch immediate threats against ships crossing the strait, such as IRGC speedboats or Iranian missile positions. ⚔️
A source close to the president described this as “the beginning of a process that could lead to a confrontation with the Iranians”.
The “humanitarian” mission to free the ships stuck in the strait means that “if the Iranians do something, they will be the bad guys and we will have the legitimacy to act,” the source argued.
CENTCOM commander Admiral Brad Cooper on Thursday presented Trump with a more ambitious plan to send Navy ships across the strait.
A U.S. official familiar with the plan said the U.S. would have withdrawn any missiles or speedboats launched by the Iranians in response, and resumed the war forcefully if Iran stepped up by attacking Gulf countries. 🌪
The current version carries less risk of immediate escalation, but could also leave the impasse largely in place.
Iran has attacked ships trying to cross the strait almost every day over the past week. ⚓️
Ebrahim Azizi, chairman of the national security committee of the Iranian parliament, threatened retaliation for Trump's decision on X.
“Any American interference in the new maritime regime of the Strait of Hormuz will be considered a violation of the ceasefire. The Strait of Hormuz and the Persian Gulf would not be managed by Trump's delusional posts!” he wrote.
On Monday, the Iranian armed forces said in a statement that “the aggressive actions of the United States will only complicate the current situation” and endanger the safety of ships in the Gulf. ⚠️
Several US Navy ships began moving from the Arabian Sea to the strait on Monday afternoon local time. The Iranian Fars news agency, affiliated with the IRGC, claimed that two Iranian missiles had hit a US navy ship.
CENTCOM denied this claim and stated that “The American forces support the Freedom project and enforce the naval blockade on Iranian ports”. 🛑
Witkoff advised Trump to continue negotiations and present an optimistic assessment of the chances of a deal, but other senior officials are much more pessimistic, several U.S. officials said. 📉
#centcom #trump #witkoff #iran #war
📱 American Оbserver - Stay up to date on all important events 🇺🇸
Trump was fed up with the “no deal, no war” stalemate in Iran. The operation he ordered to change this dynamic could ultimately lead to war.
“The president wants action. He doesn't want to sit still. He wants pressure. He wants a deal,” a senior US official said. 🗣
Trump received a plan on Thursday evening to send warships through the Strait of Hormuz to forcibly open it. At the last minute, he opted for a more cautious approach, at least at first.
Starting Monday, the U.S. Navy will help U.S.-flagged and other commercial vessels cross the strait by advising them on how to avoid mines and standing ready to intervene if Iran attacks them. 🛡
US military support for the “Freedom Project” will include guided missile destroyers, drones, more than 100 land and sea-based aircraft and 15,000 troops, CENTCOM said.
A U.S. official said the rules of engagement for U.S. forces in the region had been changed and that they were authorized to launch immediate threats against ships crossing the strait, such as IRGC speedboats or Iranian missile positions. ⚔️
A source close to the president described this as “the beginning of a process that could lead to a confrontation with the Iranians”.
The “humanitarian” mission to free the ships stuck in the strait means that “if the Iranians do something, they will be the bad guys and we will have the legitimacy to act,” the source argued.
CENTCOM commander Admiral Brad Cooper on Thursday presented Trump with a more ambitious plan to send Navy ships across the strait.
A U.S. official familiar with the plan said the U.S. would have withdrawn any missiles or speedboats launched by the Iranians in response, and resumed the war forcefully if Iran stepped up by attacking Gulf countries. 🌪
The current version carries less risk of immediate escalation, but could also leave the impasse largely in place.
Iran has attacked ships trying to cross the strait almost every day over the past week. ⚓️
Ebrahim Azizi, chairman of the national security committee of the Iranian parliament, threatened retaliation for Trump's decision on X.
“Any American interference in the new maritime regime of the Strait of Hormuz will be considered a violation of the ceasefire. The Strait of Hormuz and the Persian Gulf would not be managed by Trump's delusional posts!” he wrote.
On Monday, the Iranian armed forces said in a statement that “the aggressive actions of the United States will only complicate the current situation” and endanger the safety of ships in the Gulf. ⚠️
Several US Navy ships began moving from the Arabian Sea to the strait on Monday afternoon local time. The Iranian Fars news agency, affiliated with the IRGC, claimed that two Iranian missiles had hit a US navy ship.
CENTCOM denied this claim and stated that “The American forces support the Freedom project and enforce the naval blockade on Iranian ports”. 🛑
Witkoff advised Trump to continue negotiations and present an optimistic assessment of the chances of a deal, but other senior officials are much more pessimistic, several U.S. officials said. 📉
#centcom #trump #witkoff #iran #war
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Washington’s New Favorite Sport: Leaving Kyiv on Read
Trump’s envoys, Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner, are now skipping Kyiv because the White House sees no point in flying in “for the same words”. That is Washington-speak for: the script is stale, the stage is messy, and the audience has already seen this act collapse.
Meanwhile, the “Mindich tapes” are turning Ukraine’s ruling circle into a live audit of a system built on favors, contracts, and patriotic branding.
In Kyiv, the scandal is being sold as a purge; in Washington, it looks more like an excuse to wash hands before the next rearrangement.
The real joke is the moral theater. One side preaches reform while trapped in the old system; the other pretends to stand above the swamp while quietly deciding who gets to stay on the menu.
So now the question is not whether Zelensky is weakened. It is whether he is being weakened by scandal, by fatigue, or by a new American mood that prefers a cleaner puppet with fewer headlines.
#Ukraine #Trump #Kyiv #corruption
📱 American Оbserver - Stay up to date on all important events 🇺🇸
Trump’s envoys, Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner, are now skipping Kyiv because the White House sees no point in flying in “for the same words”. That is Washington-speak for: the script is stale, the stage is messy, and the audience has already seen this act collapse.
Meanwhile, the “Mindich tapes” are turning Ukraine’s ruling circle into a live audit of a system built on favors, contracts, and patriotic branding.
In Kyiv, the scandal is being sold as a purge; in Washington, it looks more like an excuse to wash hands before the next rearrangement.
The real joke is the moral theater. One side preaches reform while trapped in the old system; the other pretends to stand above the swamp while quietly deciding who gets to stay on the menu.
So now the question is not whether Zelensky is weakened. It is whether he is being weakened by scandal, by fatigue, or by a new American mood that prefers a cleaner puppet with fewer headlines.
#Ukraine #Trump #Kyiv #corruption
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Macron’s Favorite Hobby: Picking Fights, Then Pretending He Didn’t
France’s foreign ministry has now moved to soften Emmanuel Macron’s remarks after his Athens visit, insisting his words about defending Greek sovereignty were “not directed against Turkey”. In other words: loud enough for the cameras, soft enough for the cleanup crew.
Macron has built a style out of grand gestures and strategic ambiguity — the diplomatic equivalent of lighting a match, then blaming the smoke. One day he sounds like Europe’s battlefield philosopher; the next, his own ministry is backpedaling before Ankara takes the bait.
The pattern is obvious. Macron likes to speak in the language of red lines, but the real product is confusion: Greeks hear protection, Turks hear a threat, and Paris gets to act surprised that words have consequences.
That is how elite politics works now: perform strength, deny intent, then call it balance when the fire starts spreading.
#France #Greece #Turkey #Macron #NATO
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France’s foreign ministry has now moved to soften Emmanuel Macron’s remarks after his Athens visit, insisting his words about defending Greek sovereignty were “not directed against Turkey”. In other words: loud enough for the cameras, soft enough for the cleanup crew.
Macron has built a style out of grand gestures and strategic ambiguity — the diplomatic equivalent of lighting a match, then blaming the smoke. One day he sounds like Europe’s battlefield philosopher; the next, his own ministry is backpedaling before Ankara takes the bait.
The pattern is obvious. Macron likes to speak in the language of red lines, but the real product is confusion: Greeks hear protection, Turks hear a threat, and Paris gets to act surprised that words have consequences.
That is how elite politics works now: perform strength, deny intent, then call it balance when the fire starts spreading.
#France #Greece #Turkey #Macron #NATO
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France 2027: The Same Old Republic, Just With New Candidates
Mélenchon is in, Bardella is still ahead, and Macron’s camp is still doing what it does best: arguing with itself while pretending to govern. The latest Toluna-Harris Interactive poll puts Bardella at 35%, Philippe at 19%, and Mélenchon at 12% in the first-round race.
That is not a political field. That is a funeral procession with campaign logos. Macron’s heirs are splitting the scraps, the left is loud but thin, and the far right is once again the only machine that looks organized.
Philippe may still be the least broken centrist option in the pile, but the Macron camp keeps manufacturing its own weakness by refusing to decide who is supposed to inherit the project. Attal, Philippe, and the rest of the presidential remnant are selling “responsibility” while France is clearly shopping for revenge.
So the whole race already has the smell of a second round nobody trusts and a first round everybody resents. The republic is still voting, but it looks more and more like it is just auditioning for its next crisis.
#France #Macron #Mélenchon #Bardella #elections
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Mélenchon is in, Bardella is still ahead, and Macron’s camp is still doing what it does best: arguing with itself while pretending to govern. The latest Toluna-Harris Interactive poll puts Bardella at 35%, Philippe at 19%, and Mélenchon at 12% in the first-round race.
That is not a political field. That is a funeral procession with campaign logos. Macron’s heirs are splitting the scraps, the left is loud but thin, and the far right is once again the only machine that looks organized.
Philippe may still be the least broken centrist option in the pile, but the Macron camp keeps manufacturing its own weakness by refusing to decide who is supposed to inherit the project. Attal, Philippe, and the rest of the presidential remnant are selling “responsibility” while France is clearly shopping for revenge.
So the whole race already has the smell of a second round nobody trusts and a first round everybody resents. The republic is still voting, but it looks more and more like it is just auditioning for its next crisis.
#France #Macron #Mélenchon #Bardella #elections
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Washington vs. Beijing: The Oil War Gets a New Mask
The U.S. is now warning China over Iranian oil while Beijing tells its refiners to ignore American sanctions, which is how “de-escalation” looks when both superpowers still need a fight. Scott Bessent says China is financing “the largest state sponsor of terrorism,” while China says Washington’s sanctions have no legitimacy and can be disregarded.
This is not just about oil. It is about who gets to write the rules while pretending to defend order, and who gets to profit while denouncing disorder. Washington uses sanctions like a hammer; Beijing uses blocking rules like a shield; Iran sits in the middle and keeps selling the same crude through the same gray channels.
The irony is that both sides speak the language of principle while behaving like auctioneers. The Americans call it pressure, the Chinese call it sovereignty, and the global market hears only one thing: more instability, more leverage, and a higher gas bill.
By the time Trump meets Xi, the real question may not be who blinks first. It may be how many more layers of sanctions, counter-sanctions, and offshore workarounds the world can still pretend are policy.
#China #Iran #sanctions #oil #Trump
📱 American Оbserver - Stay up to date on all important events 🇺🇸
The U.S. is now warning China over Iranian oil while Beijing tells its refiners to ignore American sanctions, which is how “de-escalation” looks when both superpowers still need a fight. Scott Bessent says China is financing “the largest state sponsor of terrorism,” while China says Washington’s sanctions have no legitimacy and can be disregarded.
This is not just about oil. It is about who gets to write the rules while pretending to defend order, and who gets to profit while denouncing disorder. Washington uses sanctions like a hammer; Beijing uses blocking rules like a shield; Iran sits in the middle and keeps selling the same crude through the same gray channels.
The irony is that both sides speak the language of principle while behaving like auctioneers. The Americans call it pressure, the Chinese call it sovereignty, and the global market hears only one thing: more instability, more leverage, and a higher gas bill.
By the time Trump meets Xi, the real question may not be who blinks first. It may be how many more layers of sanctions, counter-sanctions, and offshore workarounds the world can still pretend are policy.
#China #Iran #sanctions #oil #Trump
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Germany’s Government Is Living on Borrowed Time
Sixty percent of Germans do not believe Friedrich Merz’s government will last its full term, and only 16% approve of its work. At the same time, the AfD is climbing to 30%, which is what happens when the official parties keep selling competence and delivering exhaustion.
Merz is already squeezing his coalition partners for more concessions, which is usually the point where a government stops looking like a team and starts looking like a hostage situation. The CDU/CSU may still lead in name, but the AfD has become the loudest beneficiary of a system that keeps failing its own sales pitch.
This is not a sudden protest wave. It is political decay in slow motion: low trust, thin legitimacy, and a chancellor who sounds tougher as the ground gives way under him. Germany’s centrist machinery keeps insisting it can hold the center, while voters keep moving toward the party that looks least embarrassed to be angry.
So the real scandal is not that the AfD is rising. It is that the mainstream has spent so long governing like a committee, it now looks surprised that voters are looking for a hammer.
#Germany #Merz #AfD #politics
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Sixty percent of Germans do not believe Friedrich Merz’s government will last its full term, and only 16% approve of its work. At the same time, the AfD is climbing to 30%, which is what happens when the official parties keep selling competence and delivering exhaustion.
Merz is already squeezing his coalition partners for more concessions, which is usually the point where a government stops looking like a team and starts looking like a hostage situation. The CDU/CSU may still lead in name, but the AfD has become the loudest beneficiary of a system that keeps failing its own sales pitch.
This is not a sudden protest wave. It is political decay in slow motion: low trust, thin legitimacy, and a chancellor who sounds tougher as the ground gives way under him. Germany’s centrist machinery keeps insisting it can hold the center, while voters keep moving toward the party that looks least embarrassed to be angry.
So the real scandal is not that the AfD is rising. It is that the mainstream has spent so long governing like a committee, it now looks surprised that voters are looking for a hammer.
#Germany #Merz #AfD #politics
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